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DEFINITION LAW: scorer and harness must name the same events ( #26 diagnostic)
...
51% of leanbot attempts matched a tape crossing; 84% of tape crossings
were invisible to the live bot. Study C's tape +$2.17 and harness −$2.26
were measuring different signals, not one signal two ways. Exposure is
state-dependent triggers (running inventory) vs point-in-time ones.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com >
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research: forward ledger 2026-07-28 [skip ci]
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live: daily refresh — skilled + sharp wallets [skip ci]
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cache: wait out the single-writer lock at import instead of raising
...
duckdb is single-writer and cache.py connects at IMPORT time, so any
daily/nightly overlap raised out of 'import cache' — which killed
forward.py and, via nightly.sh's set -e, every grader behind it. Twice
now (07-27, 07-28) the night's grades silently never ran. Bounded wait
(24x15s) covers a collect pass; all consumers inherit the fix.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com >
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