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copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

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copybot[bot]
2026-07-29 06:34:24 +00:00
parent e96e8328a5
commit e2c6710296
7 changed files with 138 additions and 103 deletions
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copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+3
View File
@@ -1957,3 +1957,6 @@
{"ts": 1785306462.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306464.0, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.05, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306464.5, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306796.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306797.7, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.05, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306798.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_missed_archive.jsonl
+1
View File
@@ -26,3 +26,4 @@
{"ts": 1783688210, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "30046078570478042875484019498188445069739353707631130122422440814625914406231", "cond": "0x7664d545626cce2926008f88cf77c53e705c817404ada24e31d638e4031c8645", "title": "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "L1ga Team", "price": 0.15, "stake": 88.58, "reason": "price moved 0.14\u21920.15", "status": "sold", "pnl": 13.34, "settled": 1783688625, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.1809}
{"ts": 1783689565, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "49886282303318964434544606851164664333698127985256361511182784657423645654000", "cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Aurora", "price": 0.6799, "stake": 82.22, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 7.01, "settled": 1783689878, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.75}
{"ts": 1783690401, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "84864321844564005123638956205037810292837868807558456388220877376462415276538", "cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "PlayTime", "price": 0.56, "stake": 82.17, "reason": "price moved 0.49\u21920.56", "status": "sold", "pnl": -1.46, "settled": 1783690503, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.5648}
{"ts": 1783690584, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "49886282303318964434544606851164664333698127985256361511182784657423645654000", "cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Aurora", "price": 0.55, "stake": 82.82, "reason": "price moved 0.46\u21920.55", "status": "sold", "pnl": 28.15, "settled": 1783690824, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.75}
copybot_rejects.jsonl
+2
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@@ -661,3 +661,5 @@
{"ts": 1785305280.3, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "18211498853053333423641228987180359093999336274021434349711603499150495557508", "cond": "0x8c39e2ee7d85026ab1e23dd0ad927676f4c5b122051effafbe7764f817dbdc37", "usd": 9.28, "price": 0.03, "reason": "$9 < conviction floor $227", "title": "No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeti", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785305868.2, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "87327028183112729542041801313912945429026834215254879252017401231770815185508", "cond": "0x508a08321b06d7a6261c0b246c6ee3673cb710fe38b3766c7448ff06e4efd716", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.589999999056, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306615.9, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "115229519714537270061919870616162405456469761393625567562631170560460407046625", "cond": "0x35b3cb3e5714333a5ba6ca4cb9df4a9ca4eff35fadcb65c943882c6788323a2f", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.5, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306787.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101236487153880410126079538630224897926983898229295262349314695253663048007189", "cond": "0xa86dc479445ab6d92e87b41f57d690565a97ed93066becc54a83299529694669", "usd": 26.6, "price": 0.4199999930526314, "reason": "$27 < conviction floor $28", "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785306825.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "40481486686940079320678474338449528149161797707605537648163564219279198933751", "cond": "0x35b3cb3e5714333a5ba6ca4cb9df4a9ca4eff35fadcb65c943882c6788323a2f", "usd": 25.0, "price": 0.2899999936199999, "reason": "$25 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
+83 -82
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@@ -1,18 +1,6 @@
{
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@@ -19414,25 +19416,9 @@
}
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"cond": "0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d",
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@@ -22608,6 +22594,21 @@
"settled": 1785306472,
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{
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"title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 29?",
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@@ -22755,7 +22756,7 @@
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@@ -22777,51 +22778,6 @@
"misses": 28
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"ignored_exits": [
{
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"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
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"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785277029.5,
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"reason": "band",
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"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785277032.5,
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"reason": "band",
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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},
{
"ts": 1785277033.2,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
@@ -25776,6 +25732,51 @@
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
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"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
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live/copybot_live.json
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