copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

This commit is contained in:
copybot[bot]
2026-07-29 04:03:23 +00:00
parent 3c0863c356
commit a0ee76e41e
6 changed files with 135 additions and 123 deletions
+1
View File
@@ -1047,3 +1047,4 @@
{"ts": 1785295774.1, "side": "SELL", "token": "81227913022464789020420026850668797006106628368067299950425613264309232066763", "shares": 41.9007, "price": 0.994, "fee": 0.0075, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785296848.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "81227913022464789020420026850668797006106628368067299950425613264309232066763", "shares": 32.5887, "price": 0.994, "fee": 0.0058, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785296848.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", "shares": 1.812, "price": 0.97, "fee": 0.0016, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297749.2, "side": "SELL", "token": "9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096", "shares": 1.812, "price": 0.969, "fee": 0.0016, "mode": "paper"}
+6
View File
@@ -1896,3 +1896,9 @@
{"ts": 1785296452.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785296453.7, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.06, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785296454.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.25, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297104.5, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297105.7, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.06, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297106.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.25, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297734.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.89, "shares_held": 0.8746, "cost_held": 0.61, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297736.2, "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.06, "shares_held": 37.5315, "cost_held": 23.64, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785297736.5, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.25, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
+113 -111
View File
@@ -1,9 +1,6 @@
{
"started_at": 1783541947.246319,
"seen_tx": [
"0xa441904e192e4acae839724656938e928a2ad6c9a66787c01844316eeddb74c8",
"0xc4632f757426eb2b238d99c0abfab30fc6302934d17283612e10de37d7f15e47",
"0xc5904aac017966b2f8287b815a092dbe6040550b946cb9a25b89f458f7988f18",
"0x03e10f83e274bcbdadff0ae4b7ab65d1018d6f84330b28e448f3989682b8c087",
"0x4546e3dfd6b3a88ba38fd24d53cfb82614f0c70e4e092fddbc18bdadb627431a",
"0x484dba7b7c0ad025ee0a40a2dc91f82c7b04f0f601a49a01ffdafe4e020a653d",
@@ -5000,7 +4997,10 @@
"0x8ba2b4c96d5d1ade619c34d9a875c4aeaa61166a58c724ccca30ef80435ee161",
"0x72d7ad525ee1abcc4273672a26b6830ffcef60ae53da5fa1d687e2bbcdced6fb",
"0xf879dbe0921577de244e5ada208c988ddd3a0d8569b568e9dd4cec8613ae3f68",
"0x9a47c22d29e59d15c86955b1cc6af0a172febda71cfbc682de184eb39547dfca"
"0x9a47c22d29e59d15c86955b1cc6af0a172febda71cfbc682de184eb39547dfca",
"0x4b4247febcfd6b462ae71b1b6a15f16573659f0107bbaf51e17e6b003400bebc",
"0x6aa93d5440e57b6966fe60b6cbf7a0d7286e3cf0f09235e47d07b6b69cd6c7e0",
"0x7ec4e14bd74f2f16637b1d4e380913e1cca3976959c990e284bc9115a256f197"
],
"their_pos": {
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -9645,7 +9645,7 @@
"6942521039548952262803452715536366269632833663841807575802631974514414220741": 2348.54,
"28239418772633645184924651434956000849078365566842629564562475378531350731731": 4068.81,
"53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378": 407.15999999999997,
"9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": 1030.0259,
"9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": 1015.0259000000001,
"87461865681689699081648262736937951256169066109275377425968376597869321557502": 0.0,
"88095392088380018988811128905056685420681684247700244221273733002608971216833": 4179.93,
"111604417349377875799825956621596386269673370070912696668140891647145772186047": 1477.71,
@@ -9654,7 +9654,9 @@
"55805599679396794643020959724265487381144406111284276240185102465706193783798": 667.8157,
"101199866997875475477762302945563324496302554506520238019180264738090486376688": 0.0,
"54972485612542353955693785745658417485269741775441019242732798969647627035768": 0.0,
"77296121908679352434251847862979395356842679683122047698068091276062911570618": 0.0
"77296121908679352434251847862979395356842679683122047698068091276062911570618": 0.0,
"95577979648711137561778638101766617213130581085760544385254830392377913395624": 0.0,
"75254689111693420659251259927067825374267364439634599193510178189761460984447": 0.0
},
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": {
"114711371330120068482313838962365747984220728893579964288039365743675176387739": 6259.0032,
@@ -13676,8 +13678,8 @@
"cond": "0x5d02cb8ef8fe6c50dd2d58283dfe5742b4f13cfa5acbaa4b75dc25a438c6594d"
},
"9143471318122042059988785265162570023911768060235394311552003051606225073096": {
"shares": 124.42636549772217,
"cost": 112.7302871409363,
"shares": 122.61437661233023,
"cost": 111.0886252107712,
"title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?",
"outcome": "No",
"event": null,
@@ -13972,13 +13974,13 @@
"115022349425230056420599576774053150964082288276346642481948600625364544056404": "0x1e7aa6955c8430e1506188bece94f7da20cdb0311535abeda8123be2c69b1f59",
"55805599679396794643020959724265487381144406111284276240185102465706193783798": "0xf1081540637c6d2d14a3fc3344809a0ba08e59c7c15d3cc551ac391197f33b60"
},
"cash": 1930.8524043746984,
"cash": 1932.6065886946194,
"lag": {
"n": 294,
"sum_s": 6776.239930868149,
"sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669
},
"fees_paid": 396.25264246211924,
"fees_paid": 396.25427537214307,
"lag_recent": [
[
1785235545.4,
@@ -18256,8 +18258,8 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1788134400,
"sold_shares": 4.8573382054406675,
"sold_proceeds": 4.707377603024098
"sold_shares": 6.66932709083261,
"sold_proceeds": 6.461561922945041
},
"107504891632815999637002772178305299765396815437535131855162503864828528783551": {
"token": "107504891632815999637002772178305299765396815437535131855162503864828528783551",
@@ -19402,9 +19404,9 @@
"end_ts": 1785456000
}
},
"hwm": 3455.9089990983057,
"feed_sig": "69c6ccac2f89fe573a36e8f4798c6005",
"feed_pushed_at": 1785296776.7304866,
"hwm": 3456.0215214880614,
"feed_sig": "b95075a354db5030afe91aa4d86a5e52",
"feed_pushed_at": 1785297665.929799,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783690584,
@@ -22719,16 +22721,16 @@
"111238155193029214626119372717509509454868187612257655146390848111901958320265": 1,
"54808825071623730922593344072571837691813951745707044026991588993889799442913": 1,
"45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 1,
"30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 1150,
"30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080": 1152,
"17278012384173360502232131272354786231595802723343593413625940837844848366978": 1,
"35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332": 1,
"30105308353288988924984162628182939641372197734077392129497102501234749347616": 1,
"30763135880765767714915424809927017029690489225123793413196619783027580637320": 1,
"111811929502290362982122721758046162774175984777524039918857735995004907450973": 42,
"107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1,
"112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 303,
"112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 305,
"79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4,
"45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 270,
"45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 272,
"64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15,
"99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 65,
"91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 10,
@@ -22744,7 +22746,7 @@
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785248999,
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785074847,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785283727,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785296847,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785297518,
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785269149
},
"boot": {
@@ -22752,9 +22754,9 @@
"ts": 1785194148
},
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1785296848,
"ts": 1785297749,
"side": "SELL",
"price": 0.97,
"price": 0.969,
"shares": 1.81,
"title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?",
"outcome": "No"
@@ -22765,96 +22767,6 @@
"misses": 28
},
"ignored_exits": [
{
"ts": 1785271611.4,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.36,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785271612.6,
"token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.001,
"shares_held": 30.23,
"cost_held": 14.34,
"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785271948.4,
"token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.89,
"shares_held": 0.8746,
"cost_held": 0.61,
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785271950.0,
"token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.08,
"shares_held": 37.5315,
"cost_held": 23.64,
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785271950.3,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.36,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785271951.5,
"token": "99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.001,
"shares_held": 30.23,
"cost_held": 14.34,
"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785272291.0,
"token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
@@ -25764,6 +25676,96 @@
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785297104.5,
"token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.89,
"shares_held": 0.8746,
"cost_held": 0.61,
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785297105.7,
"token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.06,
"shares_held": 37.5315,
"cost_held": 23.64,
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785297106.0,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.25,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785297734.7,
"token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.89,
"shares_held": 0.8746,
"cost_held": 0.61,
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785297736.2,
"token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.06,
"shares_held": 37.5315,
"cost_held": 23.64,
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785297736.5,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.25,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
}
]
}
+9 -9
View File
@@ -4,11 +4,11 @@
"stake": 138.24,
"stake_pct": 0.04,
"event_cap": 0,
"hwm": 3455.91,
"cash": 1930.85,
"deployed": 1525.06,
"hwm": 3456.02,
"cash": 1932.61,
"deployed": 1523.41,
"reserve": 0.0,
"realized": 2455.88,
"realized": 2455.99,
"adjustments": 0.03,
"ledger_drift": -0.04,
"open_count": 24,
@@ -1320,8 +1320,8 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1788134400,
"sold_shares": 4.86,
"sold_proceeds": 4.71
"sold_shares": 6.67,
"sold_proceeds": 6.46
},
{
"token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173",
@@ -3112,9 +3112,9 @@
],
"missed_pnl": 111381.45,
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1785296848,
"ts": 1785297749,
"side": "SELL",
"price": 0.97,
"price": 0.969,
"shares": 1.81,
"title": "Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?",
"outcome": "No"
@@ -3221,5 +3221,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1785296848
"updated": 1785297755
}
+3 -3
View File
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"updated": 1785296848,
"updated": 1785297755,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": 432.72,
@@ -1374,8 +1374,8 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1788134400,
"sold_shares": 4.8573382054406675,
"sold_proceeds": 4.707377603024098
"sold_shares": 6.66932709083261,
"sold_proceeds": 6.461561922945041
},
{
"token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173",
+3
View File
@@ -2486,3 +2486,6 @@
{"ts": 1785296848.42, "trade_ts": 1785296847, "lat_s": 1.42, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 15, "price": 0.967, "title": "", "tx": "0x9a47c22d29e59d15c86955b1cc6af0a172febda71cfbc682de184eb39547dfca", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1785296848.45, "trade_ts": 1785296847, "lat_s": 1.45, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 388.88, "price": 0.993, "title": "Iran leadership change by July 31?", "tx": "0xf879dbe0921577de244e5ada208c988ddd3a0d8569b568e9dd4cec8613ae3f68", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1785296848.48, "trade_ts": 1785296847, "lat_s": 1.47, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 138.9, "price": 0.932, "title": "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?", "tx": "0x72d7ad525ee1abcc4273672a26b6830ffcef60ae53da5fa1d687e2bbcdced6fb", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1785297145.94, "trade_ts": 1785297145, "lat_s": 0.94, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 6, "price": 0.44, "title": "", "tx": "0x4b4247febcfd6b462ae71b1b6a15f16573659f0107bbaf51e17e6b003400bebc", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785297517.42, "trade_ts": 1785297517, "lat_s": 0.42, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 120.77, "price": 0.14, "title": "Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?", "tx": "0x6aa93d5440e57b6966fe60b6cbf7a0d7286e3cf0f09235e47d07b6b69cd6c7e0", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785297749.0, "trade_ts": 1785297748, "lat_s": 1.0, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "SELL", "size": 15, "price": 0.967, "title": "", "tx": "0x7ec4e14bd74f2f16637b1d4e380913e1cca3976959c990e284bc9115a256f197", "seen": false}