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copybot: add JuiceFarm (7th seat, auto p80 floor) to paper + live follow sets
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Bench promotion per the #13 method run early: +17.4%/+33.5% both windows
(n=5), insider z 2.5 (p_luck 0.7%), 64% day-of entries, 1% refunds.
gkmgkldfmg stays per user call. Live mirrors paper exactly.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-07-23 12:16:25 -04:00
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research: forward ledger 2026-07-23 [skip ci]
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live: daily refresh — skilled + sharp wallets [skip ci]
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sync_tape: never bless a timed-out sftp partial — fall through to the base64 fallback
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A TimeoutExpired get leaves a size>0 partial that the exists-check treated
as success, so the console fallback never ran for timeouts; the caller's
parquet read then failed (no magic bytes), deleted the file, and the next
run repeated the identical loop — 8 hours of tape-head stall overnight
2026-07-23. Partials from timeouts are now removed and the fallback runs.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-07-23 09:35:26 -04:00
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docs: measurement split + data moat (2026-07-22 night) — FINDINGS section, HANDOFF snapshot, research README data streams + DATA LAW
...
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-07-23 00:52:51 -04:00
e6730ef579
research: data-moat hardening — durable settle logs, offline-proof forward backfill, nightly market-metadata snapshot
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- surgebot/oraclebot: settles now append-only to /data/*_settles.jsonl
(SETTLED_TRIM rotation can never lose a settle; graders pull them)
- forward.py: backfills any tape-covered day missing from the ledger —
a Mac offline gap > RESCORE_DAYS no longer leaves verdict-evidence holes
- meta_snap.py: nightly gzipped snapshot of all active markets (12k, 2MB/d,
local-only) — end dates make tau knowable at trigger for every tape
trigger; token->outcome maps kill the label-gap scorer artifact class
- .gitignore: pulled raw streams + meta stay local (re-fetchable, lean repo)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-07-23 00:43:12 -04:00
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