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copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

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copybot[bot]
2026-07-23 15:23:09 +00:00
parent 0601ce20c6
commit 86550ef489
5 changed files with 83 additions and 44 deletions
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copybot_fills.jsonl
+1
View File
@@ -884,3 +884,4 @@
{"ts": 1784791174.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762", "shares": 11.541, "price": 0.959, "fee": 0.0136, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1784819629.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 0.5, "their_price": 0.95, "my_price": 0.93, "slippage_pct": -0.0211, "shares": 66.53, "cost": 61.87, "fee": 0.1299, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.93, "ba": 0.95, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3052.32, "ask5c": 3966.07}}
{"ts": 1784819791.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?", "detect_lag_s": 1.5, "their_price": 0.92, "my_price": 0.91, "slippage_pct": -0.0109, "shares": 60.1, "cost": 54.69, "fee": 0.1477, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.91, "ba": 0.93, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3118.58, "ask5c": 3466.74}}
{"ts": 1784820189.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173", "shares": 5.2356, "price": 0.86, "fee": 0.0189, "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
+26 -10
View File
@@ -1,8 +1,6 @@
{
"started_at": 1783541947.246319,
"seen_tx": [
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"0xd327a838fdfc93a4b6b0bdcf8c47a401cbd8193841664ef991ea52839f96d53e",
"0x9876e9211338e092a3dc8c2fc20ce0438f9817d950c92a0e8f89453c2a33caba",
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"0x5578eda79e35664024360552a33ccd7a4cd20fd12f14d333a8b04d930dad8c28",
@@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@
"0xb3ffa52aaf202589449c56ed01ddcbf628e91f9e80c87cd9719c7e42652951bd",
"0x56e78db2e6806c0de9d0649c253158a98b88f2de3f3b8fd4c923d31d63982306",
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"0x542a41f9641f05afbf84aedc011ec67c4ca727dc99fdbb39482d73e44b068c24"
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"0x92dea0e5b0065eba7cfa24367ffef76475ff584ffe06c67174d49dda4f41c12b",
"0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408"
],
"their_pos": {
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -7242,7 +7242,8 @@
"106507761033389376443609222018734385575718403979519595838350473596011994572031": 0.0,
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"45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": 307.6399
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},
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": {
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@@ -11512,8 +11513,8 @@
"cond": "0x2c0febfae1214f1a85b6f9a39f4c74523ed5217590eb246857d671d7861b35fe"
},
"45276939554340428771698865022604030782253660716041002232668611227463504055173": {
"shares": 126.62694703496891,
"cost": 116.56113857601525,
"shares": 121.39129728249921,
"cost": 111.74168023304051,
"title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?",
"outcome": "No",
"event": "ethereum-price-on-july-23-2026",
@@ -15839,7 +15840,7 @@
},
"hwm": 3017.9847339343023,
"feed_sig": "290b7a3979c430d8f0e0cc24716a4263",
"feed_pushed_at": 1784819781.9226665,
"feed_pushed_at": 1784820048.092743,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783590977,
@@ -18663,10 +18664,25 @@
"price": 0.96,
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"reason": "thin book ($29 within 5c < $50)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -17.6,
"settled": 1784820188,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_price": 0.6667
},
{
"ts": 1784820182,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "29922880124871912107369653749261396163687764000386220237409162132192311391947",
"cond": "0xfe5188a5b3eb20224878822f8deb3e7e1270415c3d5eb6ad14c9e8380d16b115",
"title": "Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.8594,
"stake": 64.45,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
"settled": null
}
],
"no_miss_toks": [
@@ -18772,7 +18788,7 @@
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
"0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
"0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784814235,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784819674,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784819791,
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784745123,
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1784807970,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784798961,
live/copybot_live.json
+32 -30
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@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"bankroll": 1000.0,
"stake": 116.56,
"stake": 116.54,
"stake_pct": 0.04,
"event_cap": 0,
"hwm": 3017.98,
"cash": 1810.16,
"deployed": 1103.72,
"cash": 1814.64,
"deployed": 1098.9,
"reserve": 0.0,
"realized": 1913.85,
"realized": 1913.52,
"adjustments": 0.03,
"ledger_drift": -0.02,
"open_count": 18,
"fees_paid": 343.58,
"fees_paid": 343.6,
"fee_rate": 0.03,
"lag": {
"n": 229,
@@ -63,7 +63,9 @@
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null
"settled": null,
"sold_shares": 5.24,
"sold_proceeds": 4.48
},
{
"token": "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762",
@@ -2123,6 +2125,22 @@
"price": 0.96,
"stake": 56.11,
"reason": "thin book ($29 within 5c < $50)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -17.6,
"settled": 1784820188,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_price": 0.6667
},
{
"ts": 1784820182,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "29922880124871912107369653749261396163687764000386220237409162132192311391947",
"cond": "0xfe5188a5b3eb20224878822f8deb3e7e1270415c3d5eb6ad14c9e8380d16b115",
"title": "Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.8594,
"stake": 64.45,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
@@ -3049,30 +3067,14 @@
"settled": 1784471551,
"name": "1kto1m",
"exit_price": 0.4171
},
{
"ts": 1784454959,
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"token": "73692579062193639095122093771528419354995015035612768219622062530252811614581",
"cond": "0x6ef951ec911045212964ad09a85853036c70ae7edf6fdab2f9d68d7f560e2d94",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.6311,
"stake": 98.79,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.93,
"settled": 1784455287,
"name": "1kto1m",
"exit_price": 0.6509
}
],
"missed_pnl": 96793.56,
"missed_pnl": 96775.96,
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1784819791,
"side": "BUY",
"price": 0.91,
"shares": 60.1,
"ts": 1784820189,
"side": "SELL",
"price": 0.86,
"shares": 5.24,
"title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J",
"outcome": "No"
},
@@ -3083,8 +3085,8 @@
"wins": 12,
"open_cost": 853.09,
"open_n": 11,
"miss_n": 54,
"miss_pnl": 97071.82,
"miss_n": 55,
"miss_pnl": 97054.22,
"last_ts": 1784819629
},
"gkmgkldfmg": {
@@ -3158,5 +3160,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1784819792
"updated": 1784820189
}
live/copybot_live_full.json
+22 -4
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@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"updated": 1784819792,
"updated": 1784820189,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": 542.9,
@@ -8,8 +8,8 @@
"wins": 12,
"open_cost": 853.09,
"open_n": 11,
"miss_n": 54,
"miss_pnl": 97071.82,
"miss_n": 55,
"miss_pnl": 97054.22,
"last_ts": 1784819629
},
"gkmgkldfmg": {
@@ -101,7 +101,9 @@
"status": "open",
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"pnl": null,
"settled": null
"settled": null,
"sold_shares": 5.235649752469704,
"sold_proceeds": 4.483747620218025
},
{
"token": "80270372288514892122229303181424592994977341771902366596528480848577129708762",
@@ -4219,6 +4221,22 @@
"price": 0.96,
"stake": 56.11,
"reason": "thin book ($29 within 5c < $50)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -17.6,
"settled": 1784820188,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_price": 0.6667
},
{
"ts": 1784820182,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "29922880124871912107369653749261396163687764000386220237409162132192311391947",
"cond": "0xfe5188a5b3eb20224878822f8deb3e7e1270415c3d5eb6ad14c9e8380d16b115",
"title": "Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.8594,
"stake": 64.45,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "open",
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"settled": null,
rtds_shadow.jsonl
+2
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@@ -2021,3 +2021,5 @@
{"ts": 1784819785.65, "trade_ts": 1784819785, "lat_s": 0.65, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 8.102563, "price": 0.7799999827215166, "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 16\u00b0C on July 25?", "tx": "0xffbc44716c8b43d4e9cbeeb4025b056a36a3932eaecfb293c6f19c005066f8db", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784819791.19, "trade_ts": 1784819790, "lat_s": 1.19, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 61.8913, "price": 0.92, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0x542a41f9641f05afbf84aedc011ec67c4ca727dc99fdbb39482d73e44b068c24", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784819791.52, "trade_ts": 1784819791, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 71.5, "price": 0.06, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x667b018751abb9a4a29c1a7fcdeae564affc63ad77bd80750c7784466f5dba5e", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784820178.7, "trade_ts": 1784820178, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.72, "price": 0.14, "title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 23, 12PM ET?", "tx": "0x92dea0e5b0065eba7cfa24367ffef76475ff584ffe06c67174d49dda4f41c12b", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784820189.26, "trade_ts": 1784820178, "lat_s": 11.26, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.72, "price": 0.88, "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on J", "tx": "0xf548e2bfbc6def6f445cf3acabfd13e7d8d8c239c18ee30e713cc2a587e41408", "seen": false}