copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

This commit is contained in:
copybot[bot]
2026-07-14 02:41:13 +00:00
parent ad84d89aa9
commit e5f01d7e8b
4 changed files with 87 additions and 45 deletions
+1
View File
@@ -409,3 +409,4 @@
{"ts": 1783983852.9, "side": "SELL", "token": "60806317326159607374282200707556294855206853468836223934335735983346661186527", "shares": 121.9587, "price": 0.86, "fee": 0.4405, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1783991965.0, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "24842837270178563045080596501119383388959231063439941109817831657351105273923", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 5.0, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.79, "slippage_pct": -0.0125, "shares": 7.75, "cost": 6.12, "fee": 0.0386, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.79, "ba": 0.87, "spread": 0.08, "bid5c": 3515.48, "ask5c": 61.21}}
{"ts": 1783996213.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "109624481875348569318303102429519724032296483676540566321245418804293736322472", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of July 13 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 0.8, "their_price": 0.85, "my_price": 0.78, "slippage_pct": -0.0824, "shares": 46.25, "cost": 36.07, "fee": 0.2381, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.78, "ba": 0.85, "spread": 0.07, "bid5c": 362.96, "ask5c": 360.74}}
{"ts": 1783996757.9, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 0.9, "their_price": 0.351, "my_price": 0.356, "slippage_pct": 0.0142, "shares": 57.34, "cost": 20.41, "fee": 0.3944, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.355, "ba": 0.369, "spread": 0.014, "bid5c": 643.49, "ask5c": 203.89}}
+50 -13
View File
@@ -3978,6 +3978,7 @@
"0x00005568d76f36b18fcead7eeff73834cc611f2c9bec873eca22ff13c973e2d1",
"0x3e1ff5455988a71ce5829af5277e5d1c68b94a5aecb64d2b6c649312a796a41c",
"0x3568aa3015c8f2c35cd76d8f36d98b6f52be5f8b1d563fc958aa8d6ca8e441d1",
"0xbedc6e1dbaa81c24685648dc223b53f761a71b1c1b12ec9fee415862d1d9e5cc",
"0xeb694a4ceaee907fbd330ddb770c6cbe4bbd80d507404382d8a16c721af50c65",
"0xa5ec8518eb4c6c6b2c5ab7c468e8577e7fcfa08515edcffabe6e5428e350d5e8",
"0x6a40dd5669bb3baa0aca029e1332e78a7b44dd2c0941dd788134b5a9b3631dbd",
@@ -6842,7 +6843,8 @@
"95719079385824444767210933052260527440494195733109151470684782584923881776379": 0.1331,
"53291078133210336121182199964422257603727178933336230228878460008781536431480": 0.13,
"5114758348937468364619995624757532956399328209015948227667388603288555799363": 0.11,
"24842837270178563045080596501119383388959231063439941109817831657351105273923": 189.76
"24842837270178563045080596501119383388959231063439941109817831657351105273923": 189.76,
"66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007": 378.401
}
},
"seed_tokens": {
@@ -9175,11 +9177,20 @@
"event": "will-ewy-hit-week-of-july-13-2026",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"cond": "0x73f249c806a34946776e96c784a6631b8b8421813a791903f9f9f576c4abaa7d"
},
"66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007": {
"shares": 57.34269662921349,
"cost": 20.414,
"title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"event": "elon-musk-of-tweets-july-7-july-14-180-199",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"cond": "0x0b9cc242b752ec4ed05405b172a767d3c14a7ebaf4356437b6b6d69f6eaa1d7e"
}
},
"spend": {
"date": "2026-07-14",
"usd": 42.19500000000001
"usd": 62.60900000000001
},
"seeded": [
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -9267,15 +9278,16 @@
"7410717121876145332418373180741433428881685336911848406679670735933068361996": "0xfa68c2d7750d6d7ed9b1103e86ac534bfbcd38724c2cd66f8358d71ed433cfc3",
"60806317326159607374282200707556294855206853468836223934335735983346661186527": "0x140c41f4491c885da7763e4111ca13fb169d907d73d3918429f98e1c1862aab9",
"24842837270178563045080596501119383388959231063439941109817831657351105273923": "0x7b2b0ac174514a7ec6351f91a01edd5064cf670c29f539cdfcc4d88bdb9937d0",
"109624481875348569318303102429519724032296483676540566321245418804293736322472": "0x73f249c806a34946776e96c784a6631b8b8421813a791903f9f9f576c4abaa7d"
"109624481875348569318303102429519724032296483676540566321245418804293736322472": "0x73f249c806a34946776e96c784a6631b8b8421813a791903f9f9f576c4abaa7d",
"66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007": "0x0b9cc242b752ec4ed05405b172a767d3c14a7ebaf4356437b6b6d69f6eaa1d7e"
},
"cash": 2013.834081538767,
"cash": 1993.0256830587668,
"lag": {
"n": 110,
"sum_s": 4446.69602560997,
"sum_slip_pct": -6.264639608337912
"n": 111,
"sum_s": 4447.638231277466,
"sum_slip_pct": -6.250394596693527
},
"fees_paid": 175.94711878330793,
"fees_paid": 176.34151726330794,
"lag_recent": [
[
1783933774.6,
@@ -9321,6 +9333,11 @@
1783996213.8,
0.8,
-0.08235
],
[
1783996757.9,
0.9,
0.01425
]
],
"bets": {
@@ -11378,11 +11395,30 @@
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null
},
"66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007": {
"token": "66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "No",
"title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.351,
"my_price": 0.356,
"slippage_pct": 0.0142,
"lag_s": 0.9,
"shares": 57.34,
"cost": 20.41,
"fee": 0.3944,
"opened": 1783996757,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null
}
},
"hwm": 2548.9580606723184,
"feed_sig": "8adc3fa098aaabe0ee578880bb42105f",
"feed_pushed_at": 1783996124.5490339,
"feed_sig": "078b081ea5e660dbca222b5a507c9742",
"feed_pushed_at": 1783996747.5408592,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783590977,
@@ -12783,6 +12819,7 @@
"32104096565297883836000352861355752897828289155805411739291906317457022383178",
"33268179848265621237713870867722058093642476198748605647422147599104237593873",
"34320045222277936713720830397426891082987734367890243003396143984338989258132",
"35705751614283377894685275468402254265050284253796910428428109715421043826792",
"39972622924517602245489680060778385204723280241121244048574854937226619835364",
"43551466881329966936571085042990699617845453317700345932385022134457322350137",
"56956427109653622706363572698999887557576122015571834883193371252810063459467",
@@ -12825,10 +12862,10 @@
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
"0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
"0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1783986131,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1783993846,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1783996519,
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1783967090,
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1783843568,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1783983676,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1783991960
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1783996475,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1783996757
}
}
+31 -32
View File
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"bankroll": 1000.0,
"stake": 94.29,
"stake": 94.28,
"stake_pct": 0.04,
"event_cap": 0,
"hwm": 2548.96,
"cash": 2013.83,
"deployed": 343.48,
"cash": 1993.03,
"deployed": 363.9,
"reserve": 0.0,
"realized": 1357.29,
"realized": 1356.89,
"adjustments": 0.03,
"ledger_drift": -0.01,
"open_count": 8,
"fees_paid": 175.95,
"ledger_drift": -0.02,
"open_count": 9,
"fees_paid": 176.34,
"fee_rate": 0.03,
"lag": {
"n": 110,
"n24": 9,
"avg_s": 79.4,
"avg_slip_pct": -0.0361,
"n": 111,
"n24": 10,
"avg_s": 71.5,
"avg_slip_pct": -0.0311,
"window_h": 24
},
"wallets": [
@@ -43,6 +43,25 @@
"BikesAreTheBikes": 113.44
},
"bets": [
{
"token": "66043823927578785385332294647462770708290770399339210264516767845856140852007",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "No",
"title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.351,
"my_price": 0.356,
"slippage_pct": 0.0142,
"lag_s": 0.9,
"shares": 57.34,
"cost": 20.41,
"fee": 0.39,
"opened": 1783996757,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null
},
{
"token": "109624481875348569318303102429519724032296483676540566321245418804293736322472",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -1997,26 +2016,6 @@
"pnl": 7.71,
"settled": 1783597238,
"note": "reconstructed from fills ledger 2026-07-09 \u2014 round clobbered pre-archive-fix"
},
{
"token": "5935284746747952722647052327314425731758209998268351888638837864133688247636",
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"name": "1kto1m",
"outcome": "Down",
"title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?",
"their_price": 0.83,
"my_price": 0.81,
"slippage_pct": -0.0241,
"shares": 49.46,
"cost": 40.06,
"fee": 0.23,
"opened": 1783589734,
"status": "closed",
"exit_price": 0.6129,
"pnl": -9.97,
"settled": 1783594389,
"sold_shares": 49.46,
"sold_proceeds": 30.32
}
],
"missed": [
@@ -2978,5 +2977,5 @@
}
],
"missed_pnl": 89813.04,
"updated": 1783996217
"updated": 1783996759
}
+5
View File
@@ -1679,3 +1679,8 @@
{"ts": 1783996090.34, "trade_ts": 1783996089, "lat_s": 1.34, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 410, "price": 0.7597560975609756, "title": "EWY (EWY) Up or Down on July 14?", "tx": "0x352e0a5edd6db2559f858c39a7723ab7644a3fdd4fe06764cfe572b833c5a0a9", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996213.6, "trade_ts": 1783996213, "lat_s": 0.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 60.705881, "price": 0.8499999859980617, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of July 13 2", "tx": "0xcc1f10540c99e1311143ec302a196fbb6931da95cc516562768bf92575b961ef", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996213.85, "trade_ts": 1783996213, "lat_s": 0.85, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 60, "price": 0.13, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of July 13 2", "tx": "0xd796c9d81756d25abf4a85ff6126b49d8c503b111672f0f9f471cf0a03686f98", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996476.84, "trade_ts": 1783996476, "lat_s": 0.84, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 286.07, "price": 0.8039825916733667, "title": "EWY (EWY) Up or Down on July 14?", "tx": "0x0afac7855274e9149b3b2f3f2bcb9d480a51a4b9ea80af3f4eb35939a53558f0", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996520.23, "trade_ts": 1783996519, "lat_s": 1.23, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 20, "price": 0.58, "title": "Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale?", "tx": "0x1f5ed6ac8d9e2e781b8c6950d1dfaa435adae073574dbf4306f6f212961b021f", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996520.3, "trade_ts": 1783996519, "lat_s": 1.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 22, "price": 0.1, "title": "Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?", "tx": "0x1464fe4e8bcbf4912a66136eadb88d73ea6cf30c6b250738c8a12e2d9a67b009", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996735.16, "trade_ts": 1783996735, "lat_s": 0.16, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 153.84, "price": 0.35, "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2", "tx": "0x0bde7df9bc703cb666e683f5cf7cd7a91ea3079e36d2b9c570a70ef86419d61d", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1783996757.72, "trade_ts": 1783996757, "lat_s": 0.72, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 378.401076, "price": 0.3510000008562344, "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2", "tx": "0xbedc6e1dbaa81c24685648dc223b53f761a71b1c1b12ec9fee415862d1d9e5cc", "seen": false}