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copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

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copybot[bot]
2026-08-08 13:13:11 +00:00
parent 8156c715a6
commit 7514f56b59
6 changed files with 60 additions and 63 deletions
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copybot_missed_archive.jsonl
+1
View File
@@ -134,3 +134,4 @@
{"ts": 1784506363, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "27385644035915002110547363484247121532744022000859958113912667466557544439681", "cond": "0x365fe978d6a00ed0afdfb7b0d097df040fd0dbb56065c42617c05b37de3d459a", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.52, "stake": 68.5, "reason": "thin book ($36 within 5c < $50)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 59.1, "settled": 1784555577, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.9768}
{"ts": 1784506708, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "47220780654207130900897946624720002557366582763680292491834518691726158359185", "cond": "0x943ef1da2c4e06269e15f15bd6840c9a91e730f576e9af3c122d9fc5b895c484", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.52, "stake": 6.25, "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", "status": "sold", "pnl": 2.62, "settled": 1784729089, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.7514}
{"ts": 1784506885, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "90827395403667708709418040026017872248338498816541474972448341541535842153246", "cond": "0xf8b37bd6e5060608e44b34843a2c8ada940c2b62beb1a26fc01088921a70e25b", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.57, "stake": 61.92, "reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 26.65, "settled": 1784887955, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.827}
{"ts": 1784507597, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "78980297018571400404799403103137601328646521882772163061763690804240957815229", "cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.4074, "stake": 106.32, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 64.43, "settled": 1784750985, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.6682}
copybot_rejects.jsonl
+2
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@@ -2983,3 +2983,5 @@
{"ts": 1786194289.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "86680739985094592714654046832512133615602932028895347659441068448216719819967", "cond": "0x1ce29277d0a94cb951af86b26d24e4e760a19991dbd075f579af3342d4c1bc06", "usd": 55.25, "price": 0.4292960919897444, "reason": "$55 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786194646.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "66611161618038095197921470357471217644766577616624479600534797050825065601256", "cond": "0xeb9fa6e748b9fbaa35f8001e01a4e5e20e6d44309530cdaa53034f45a7b867e8", "usd": 14.34, "price": 0.4599999833, "reason": "$14 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786194647.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682", "cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3", "usd": 15.57, "price": 0.5, "reason": "$16 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786194689.8, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "107719775574963408572648689114266020014935007397172842058703133480123345955975", "cond": "0x08768c5e6f569a863beadc3fd5751e50e6dd781fc4d48f5ed4412de7cc806103", "usd": 80.95, "price": 0.3900000017344602, "reason": "$81 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786194692.4, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "107719775574963408572648689114266020014935007397172842058703133480123345955975", "cond": "0x08768c5e6f569a863beadc3fd5751e50e6dd781fc4d48f5ed4412de7cc806103", "usd": 15.15, "price": 0.39, "reason": "$15 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
+20 -43
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@@ -22152,8 +22152,8 @@
}
},
"hwm": 3600.1933566560215,
"feed_sig": "177dc526fb5b9cf14823ffc8454fe505",
"feed_pushed_at": 1786194515.23689,
"feed_sig": "50b98b28a159652a02eaf52185229416",
"feed_pushed_at": 1786194656.284624,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783889397,
@@ -22215,23 +22215,6 @@
"settled": null,
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
},
{
"ts": 1784507597,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "78980297018571400404799403103137601328646521882772163061763690804240957815229",
"cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323",
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.4074,
"stake": 106.32,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 64.43,
"settled": 1784750985,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true,
"exit_price": 0.6682
},
{
"ts": 1784507597,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -25332,6 +25315,21 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1786194716,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682",
"cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3",
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.44,
"stake": 8.14,
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (109s)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
}
],
"no_miss_toks": [
@@ -25551,7 +25549,7 @@
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1786190368,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1786194289,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1786192894,
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1786189008
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1786193377
},
"boot": {
"id": "016d484f75b6",
@@ -25565,31 +25563,10 @@
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?",
"outcome": "No"
},
"paper_maker": [
{
"paper_maker": true,
"sz": 18.49,
"mode": "maker",
"token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682",
"side": "BUY",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"event": "iran-successfully-targets-shipping-by-august-16-2026",
"cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3",
"their_price": 0.4399999919,
"their_ts": 1786194606,
"price": 0.4399999919,
"is_add": false,
"stake": 8.139000000000001,
"ts": 1786194606.8039386,
"ttl_s": 60.0,
"ba_at_signal": 0.44
}
],
"paper_maker": [],
"maker_stats": {
"fills": 178,
"misses": 97
"misses": 98
},
"ignored_exits": [
{
live/copybot_live.json
+18 -18
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@@ -2138,6 +2138,21 @@
}
],
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1786194716,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682",
"cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3",
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.44,
"stake": 8.14,
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (109s)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1785611745,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -3072,24 +3087,9 @@
"settled": 1785687531,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true
},
{
"ts": 1785684067,
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"token": "23537842165977046370574778086600347274303604738338768967720021180647769610330",
"cond": "0x225a5d5900068fcf5c0a9f4dc9cbaf84d492be94c71782fbcea0461cd935048c",
"title": "Trump out as President by August 31?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.989,
"stake": 56.67,
"reason": "price moved 0.92\u21920.99",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
}
],
"missed_pnl": 21092.57,
"missed_pnl": 21028.14,
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1786194614,
"side": "BUY",
@@ -3105,7 +3105,7 @@
"wins": 38,
"open_cost": 757.62,
"open_n": 15,
"miss_n": 152,
"miss_n": 153,
"miss_pnl": 113264.12,
"last_ts": 1786194606
},
@@ -3200,5 +3200,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1786194614
"updated": 1786194723
}
live/copybot_live_full.json
+17 -2
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@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"updated": 1786194614,
"updated": 1786194723,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": 548.42,
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
"wins": 38,
"open_cost": 757.62,
"open_n": 15,
"miss_n": 152,
"miss_n": 153,
"miss_pnl": 113264.12,
"last_ts": 1786194606
},
@@ -7513,6 +7513,21 @@
}
],
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1786194716,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682",
"cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3",
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.44,
"stake": 8.14,
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (109s)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1785611745,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
rtds_shadow.jsonl
+2
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@@ -2281,3 +2281,5 @@
{"ts": 1786194614.48, "trade_ts": 1786194606, "lat_s": 8.48, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 64.392155, "price": 0.5099999992235079, "title": "", "tx": "0x56f991603c267c1ec7949bd17ebc4c317a7a2e18083b82db4fc1e4991a45d21f", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1786194656.41, "trade_ts": 1786194644, "lat_s": 12.41, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 31.173912, "price": 0.4599999833193858, "title": "", "tx": "0x79780ab5c3d1ca578a296c845608a624645ce78fae494f79a74ffcbb5e2461ec", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786194656.54, "trade_ts": 1786194646, "lat_s": 10.54, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 31.14, "price": 0.5, "title": "", "tx": "0x17bdb5477eb53bc8ecfc25519de1c5de8bd20c066bc5698cbd3d4d0bb3217eae", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786194689.7, "trade_ts": 1786194689, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "name": "JuiceFarm", "side": "BUY", "size": 207.557376, "price": 0.3900000017344602, "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "tx": "0xe52372a379056d99c3b8ff03719436e72ee89ec059a3f6d1103bfba824886c78", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786194697.61, "trade_ts": 1786194691, "lat_s": 6.61, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "name": "JuiceFarm", "side": "BUY", "size": 38.85, "price": 0.39, "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "tx": "0x54caf554db634bde90bc42acb08eb7c6242db09bf337a0dc8ef2e3411ad2005c", "seen": false}