diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl index a09c15ae..5623b950 100644 --- a/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl +++ b/copybot_missed_archive.jsonl @@ -134,3 +134,4 @@ {"ts": 1784506363, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "27385644035915002110547363484247121532744022000859958113912667466557544439681", "cond": "0x365fe978d6a00ed0afdfb7b0d097df040fd0dbb56065c42617c05b37de3d459a", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.52, "stake": 68.5, "reason": "thin book ($36 within 5c < $50)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 59.1, "settled": 1784555577, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.9768} {"ts": 1784506708, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "47220780654207130900897946624720002557366582763680292491834518691726158359185", "cond": "0x943ef1da2c4e06269e15f15bd6840c9a91e730f576e9af3c122d9fc5b895c484", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.52, "stake": 6.25, "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a", "status": "sold", "pnl": 2.62, "settled": 1784729089, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.7514} {"ts": 1784506885, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "90827395403667708709418040026017872248338498816541474972448341541535842153246", "cond": "0xf8b37bd6e5060608e44b34843a2c8ada940c2b62beb1a26fc01088921a70e25b", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.57, "stake": 61.92, "reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 26.65, "settled": 1784887955, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.827} +{"ts": 1784507597, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "78980297018571400404799403103137601328646521882772163061763690804240957815229", "cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.4074, "stake": 106.32, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 64.43, "settled": 1784750985, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.6682} diff --git a/copybot_rejects.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.jsonl index 4f392415..a1070936 100644 --- a/copybot_rejects.jsonl +++ b/copybot_rejects.jsonl @@ -2983,3 +2983,5 @@ {"ts": 1786194289.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "86680739985094592714654046832512133615602932028895347659441068448216719819967", "cond": "0x1ce29277d0a94cb951af86b26d24e4e760a19991dbd075f579af3342d4c1bc06", "usd": 55.25, "price": 0.4292960919897444, "reason": "$55 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1786194646.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "66611161618038095197921470357471217644766577616624479600534797050825065601256", "cond": "0xeb9fa6e748b9fbaa35f8001e01a4e5e20e6d44309530cdaa53034f45a7b867e8", "usd": 14.34, "price": 0.4599999833, "reason": "$14 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?", "mode": "paper"} {"ts": 1786194647.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682", "cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3", "usd": 15.57, "price": 0.5, "reason": "$16 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1786194689.8, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "107719775574963408572648689114266020014935007397172842058703133480123345955975", "cond": "0x08768c5e6f569a863beadc3fd5751e50e6dd781fc4d48f5ed4412de7cc806103", "usd": 80.95, "price": 0.3900000017344602, "reason": "$81 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "mode": "paper"} +{"ts": 1786194692.4, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "token": "107719775574963408572648689114266020014935007397172842058703133480123345955975", "cond": "0x08768c5e6f569a863beadc3fd5751e50e6dd781fc4d48f5ed4412de7cc806103", "usd": 15.15, "price": 0.39, "reason": "$15 < conviction floor $735", "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "mode": "paper"} diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json index 648da81c..fd9280a6 100644 --- a/copybot_state.json +++ b/copybot_state.json @@ -22152,8 +22152,8 @@ } }, "hwm": 3600.1933566560215, - "feed_sig": "177dc526fb5b9cf14823ffc8454fe505", - "feed_pushed_at": 1786194515.23689, + "feed_sig": "50b98b28a159652a02eaf52185229416", + "feed_pushed_at": 1786194656.284624, "missed": [ { "ts": 1783889397, @@ -22215,23 +22215,6 @@ "settled": null, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" }, - { - "ts": 1784507597, - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "token": "78980297018571400404799403103137601328646521882772163061763690804240957815229", - "cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323", - "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "price": 0.4074, - "stake": 106.32, - "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", - "status": "sold", - "pnl": 64.43, - "settled": 1784750985, - "name": "0xbadaf319", - "exit_checked": true, - "exit_price": 0.6682 - }, { "ts": 1784507597, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -25332,6 +25315,21 @@ "pnl": null, "settled": null, "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, + { + "ts": 1786194716, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682", + "cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3", + "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.44, + "stake": 8.14, + "reason": "maker bid unfilled (109s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" } ], "no_miss_toks": [ @@ -25551,7 +25549,7 @@ "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1786190368, "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1786194289, "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1786192894, - "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1786189008 + "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1786193377 }, "boot": { "id": "016d484f75b6", @@ -25565,31 +25563,10 @@ "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?", "outcome": "No" }, - "paper_maker": [ - { - "paper_maker": true, - "sz": 18.49, - "mode": "maker", - "token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682", - "side": "BUY", - "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", - "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?", - "outcome": "Yes", - "event": "iran-successfully-targets-shipping-by-august-16-2026", - "cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3", - "their_price": 0.4399999919, - "their_ts": 1786194606, - "price": 0.4399999919, - "is_add": false, - "stake": 8.139000000000001, - "ts": 1786194606.8039386, - "ttl_s": 60.0, - "ba_at_signal": 0.44 - } - ], + "paper_maker": [], "maker_stats": { "fills": 178, - "misses": 97 + "misses": 98 }, "ignored_exits": [ { diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json index 2550a349..e08a8e7f 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live.json +++ b/live/copybot_live.json @@ -2138,6 +2138,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1786194716, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682", + "cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3", + "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.44, + "stake": 8.14, + "reason": "maker bid unfilled (109s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785611745, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", @@ -3072,24 +3087,9 @@ "settled": 1785687531, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true - }, - { - "ts": 1785684067, - "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", - "token": "23537842165977046370574778086600347274303604738338768967720021180647769610330", - "cond": "0x225a5d5900068fcf5c0a9f4dc9cbaf84d492be94c71782fbcea0461cd935048c", - "title": "Trump out as President by August 31?", - "outcome": "No", - "price": 0.989, - "stake": 56.67, - "reason": "price moved 0.92\u21920.99", - "status": "open", - "pnl": null, - "settled": null, - "name": "BikesAreTheBikes" } ], - "missed_pnl": 21092.57, + "missed_pnl": 21028.14, "last_fill": { "ts": 1786194614, "side": "BUY", @@ -3105,7 +3105,7 @@ "wins": 38, "open_cost": 757.62, "open_n": 15, - "miss_n": 152, + "miss_n": 153, "miss_pnl": 113264.12, "last_ts": 1786194606 }, @@ -3200,5 +3200,5 @@ "last_ts": 0 } }, - "updated": 1786194614 + "updated": 1786194723 } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/live/copybot_live_full.json b/live/copybot_live_full.json index 23caa6f0..8e5ca4c9 100644 --- a/live/copybot_live_full.json +++ b/live/copybot_live_full.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { "mode": "paper", - "updated": 1786194614, + "updated": 1786194723, "wallet_pnl": { "0xbadaf319": { "realized": 548.42, @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ "wins": 38, "open_cost": 757.62, "open_n": 15, - "miss_n": 152, + "miss_n": 153, "miss_pnl": 113264.12, "last_ts": 1786194606 }, @@ -7513,6 +7513,21 @@ } ], "missed": [ + { + "ts": 1786194716, + "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", + "token": "2829852299537035253430283542362459353409117273749772092993076006310052192682", + "cond": "0xb3a359b0b6027d4fae156051a5f02fb0fdc026b4af4db4fd7269173a31da89c3", + "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?", + "outcome": "Yes", + "price": 0.44, + "stake": 8.14, + "reason": "maker bid unfilled (109s)", + "status": "open", + "pnl": null, + "settled": null, + "name": "0xbadaf319" + }, { "ts": 1785611745, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl index de2f30b3..1bf388fd 100644 --- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl +++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl @@ -2281,3 +2281,5 @@ {"ts": 1786194614.48, "trade_ts": 1786194606, "lat_s": 8.48, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 64.392155, "price": 0.5099999992235079, "title": "", "tx": "0x56f991603c267c1ec7949bd17ebc4c317a7a2e18083b82db4fc1e4991a45d21f", "seen": true} {"ts": 1786194656.41, "trade_ts": 1786194644, "lat_s": 12.41, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 31.173912, "price": 0.4599999833193858, "title": "", "tx": "0x79780ab5c3d1ca578a296c845608a624645ce78fae494f79a74ffcbb5e2461ec", "seen": false} {"ts": 1786194656.54, "trade_ts": 1786194646, "lat_s": 10.54, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 31.14, "price": 0.5, "title": "", "tx": "0x17bdb5477eb53bc8ecfc25519de1c5de8bd20c066bc5698cbd3d4d0bb3217eae", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1786194689.7, "trade_ts": 1786194689, "lat_s": 0.7, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "name": "JuiceFarm", "side": "BUY", "size": 207.557376, "price": 0.3900000017344602, "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "tx": "0xe52372a379056d99c3b8ff03719436e72ee89ec059a3f6d1103bfba824886c78", "seen": false} +{"ts": 1786194697.61, "trade_ts": 1786194691, "lat_s": 6.61, "wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90", "name": "JuiceFarm", "side": "BUY", "size": 38.85, "price": 0.39, "title": "LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season", "tx": "0x54caf554db634bde90bc42acb08eb7c6242db09bf337a0dc8ef2e3411ad2005c", "seen": false}