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copybot[bot]
2026-08-02 01:09:28 +00:00
parent 47ce40fd01
commit 58a21f8bbb
7 changed files with 194 additions and 157 deletions
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copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+7
View File
@@ -4743,3 +4743,10 @@
{"ts": 1785631972.5, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.004, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785631973.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632144.2, "token": "42904109279829735534970379368330412783573788683856067315929342371394889824245", "their_size": 1034.7, "their_prev": 715.16, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 122.61, "cost_held": 56.06, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET", "outcome": "Up", "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632296.7, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.003, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632297.4, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.22, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632299.4, "token": "42904109279829735534970379368330412783573788683856067315929342371394889824245", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.74, "shares_held": 122.61, "cost_held": 56.06, "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET", "outcome": "Up", "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632633.2, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.003, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632633.8, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.22, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632956.5, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.003, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632957.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.21, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_missed_archive.jsonl
+1
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@@ -82,3 +82,4 @@
{"ts": 1783939208, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "72663413633237870742152602912076949024714881200491601361514812636170232854563", "cond": "0xd50d0276f9b6c57d7a1b23be8be23a8dcdffed0aebae867de372b26593a9a238", "title": "Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.898, "stake": 46.28, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 3.67, "settled": 1784386017, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.9728}
{"ts": 1783942543, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "25252139719387305389090759227041579550456702736511482208905350724277919018200", "cond": "0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90", "title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.28, "stake": 91.41, "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.16 > 0.08)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 240.02, "settled": 1784772296, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 1.0206}
{"ts": 1783965172, "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "token": "68863380862470769473817017624526026576800718695897153538391077057952557372819", "cond": "0x67d054d9a655ca606802150b8850a07e611c10364de253187869e9d2d0cdfadc", "title": "Set Handicap: Giese/Rafiq (-1.5) vs Ayeni/Chopra (+1.5)", "outcome": "Ayeni/Chopra", "price": 0.7, "stake": 93.91, "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.29 > 0.08)", "status": "refund", "pnl": -27.68, "settled": 1783997372, "name": "Kruto2027", "exit_checked": true}
{"ts": 1783973850, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "113811126480011515107509517146411015240698493006125965388028738076036215548925", "cond": "0x7b815d5ee7f26512f22e42943519b051ce430586fd88fd0acb167ab2252a688b", "title": "Over $95M committed to the Credible public sale?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.7575, "stake": 56.21, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 14.09, "settled": 1784315257, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.9542}
copybot_rejects.jsonl
+8
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@@ -1823,3 +1823,11 @@
{"ts": 1785632071.9, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "78202516409393826949699953061717228995014400974665294987882532461953325769497", "cond": "0x2303c4d47297a803505ba1bfd62afe674ac750203761ce2b1aeb4b58a2295b2b", "usd": 25.0, "price": 0.1207173170055655, "reason": "$25 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632072.1, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "78202516409393826949699953061717228995014400974665294987882532461953325769497", "cond": "0x2303c4d47297a803505ba1bfd62afe674ac750203761ce2b1aeb4b58a2295b2b", "usd": 25.0, "price": 0.1302088136953677, "reason": "$25 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632076.5, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "42904109279829735534970379368330412783573788683856067315929342371394889824245", "cond": "0x198ca25933e947661bbb8ba8c502d4a68355b91e0331708f2539dcb3cb30b503", "usd": 144.6, "price": 0.452528634912687, "reason": "$145 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632360.6, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "42904109279829735534970379368330412783573788683856067315929342371394889824245", "cond": "0x198ca25933e947661bbb8ba8c502d4a68355b91e0331708f2539dcb3cb30b503", "usd": 188.12, "price": 0.7168069498069498, "reason": "$188 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632398.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "105972107131291331186275784762591329688097462133039807097147485632595047463695", "cond": "0x393d5b30b8508af6bc3e830443820aa0d70910fd1efa49d270d7999d12fa2300", "usd": 3.32, "price": 0.16, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632398.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "13749211418395383044925294637492565092216182224239150424748653755487675867647", "cond": "0x36b6f0037d60b5a5be6cdcb5a6ccbcf8dbaf9d533fbb8f807550bcdf93f8a006", "usd": 15.72, "price": 0.78, "reason": "$16 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632631.1, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292", "cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.844888424876152, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632632.8, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292", "cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.8520486807794047, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632632.8, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292", "cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.859999999656, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632637.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292", "cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.8695085103145447, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785632845.6, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292", "cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24", "usd": 223.62, "price": 0.97, "reason": "$224 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
+136 -137
View File
@@ -1,11 +1,6 @@
{
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@@ -20855,7 +20855,7 @@
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"missed": [
{
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@@ -20872,23 +20872,6 @@
"settled": null,
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{
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"title": "Over $95M committed to the Credible public sale?",
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"status": "sold",
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},
{
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@@ -24038,6 +24021,20 @@
"pnl": null,
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},
{
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"token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292",
"cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.894,
"stake": 56.05,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "open",
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}
],
"no_miss_toks": [
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