Commit Graph

13 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Mark Aron Szulyovszky c611481eb6 refactor(WalkForward): separate train / test functions to help with inference later (#158)
* refactor(WalkForward): separate train / test functions (draft) to potentially help with inference later

* fix(Training): use the new separate train / test functions

* feat(Training): return and pass in scalers that are necessary for inference

* fix(Project): runtime errors

* fix(WalkForward): use the correct `train_from` value

* fix(Tests): for new walk_forward functions()

* refactor(WalkForward): rename `walk_forward_test()` to `walk_forward_inference()`
2022-01-12 14:42:16 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 5db2a3b935 fix(Reporting): identify primary models correctly with the new column names 2022-01-11 19:44:01 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey 55f083638f feature(Inference): Created the inference process, added model saving. (#153)
* feat: Basic scaffolding up for inference process after training.

* feat: Saving and loading models works. Inference works nearly.

* feat: Added inference pipeline.

* feat: Saving model now accoring to date and time; loading models now selects from latest file. Fixed the creation of dictionary of models.

* feat: Added lightweight asset config, but full pipeline.

* feat: Added new naming for dictionary.

* fix: Fixed dictionary naming convention.

* fix: Fixed naming again, now the model structure is good

* fix: Changed the output path and the return values from run_pipeline.

* feat: Added function to make sure folder exists for output models.

Co-authored-by: Daniel Szemerey <szemereydaniel@gmail.com>
2022-01-11 19:15:58 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 255910cb40 chore(Config): try to turn off PCA to see the results (#152) 2022-01-11 15:25:36 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 54ea59c0cf feat(Sweep): try to filter out some not great models (#144)
* feat(Sweep): try to filter out some not great models

* fix(Sweep): yaml

* fix(Sweep): yaml

* fix(Config): remove some models that do not perform well
2022-01-11 10:33:18 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 18768c3925 fix(FeatureExtractor): use a rolling z-score instead of StandardScaler with unavoidable lookahead bias (#146)
* fix(FeatureExtractor): use a rolling z-score instead of StandardScaler with unavoidable lookahead bias

* chore(Archive): removed archived models

* fix(FeatureExtractors): syntax

* fix(FeatureExtractors): mistake with expanding window
2022-01-10 14:24:51 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky b1c04afb13 refactor(Naming): use new convention, added Ensemble model parameter back, support multiple Meta-Labeling models (#132)
* refactor(Naming): use `primary_models` & `meta_labeling_models`

* refactor(Naming): using primary * meta_labeling across config and in pipeline

* feat(Pipeline): added back Ensemble models

* fix(Pipeline): compiler error

* fix(Config): typo

* chore(Pipeline): removed unused averaging step

* revert the changes in discretizing

* chore(Pipeline): remove sharpe improvement logging

* fix(Pipeline): ensemble predictions should be a pd.Series instead of a DataFrame

* fix(Pipeline): discard unnecessary ensemble_probabilities

* fix(Pipeline): fixes regarding various meta-labeling ensemble bugs

* fix(Reporting): use the new naming convention

* fix(Reporting): use the right variable

* feat(Sweep): new sweep for ensemble models

* fix(Sweep): config reference

* fix(Config): simplified dev config

* fix(Models): use the faster LR model

* fix(Models): use LGBM in the meta-labeling model for speed

* fix(Selection): always use the first model for feature selection, commented out caching from select_features() as it's close to redundant in terms of speed
2022-01-09 17:21:06 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky fc5eba4e2d feat(Models): added lightGBM, moved other models to separate files (#128)
* feat(Models): added lightGBM, moved other models to separate files

* feat(Models): added non-working statsmodel wrapper

* fix(Models): added work-in-progress comment to StatsModels
2022-01-08 12:02:42 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 57f63f1e93 fix(Selection): dynamic step size for feature selection (#123)
* fix(Selection): dynamic step size for feature selection

* refactor(Pipeline): type definition

* chore(Cache): renamed clear_cache script

* feat(Config): dynamic feature selection is now a toggleable feature

* fix(Training): not passing in necessary parameter
2022-01-07 18:45:03 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey 78a7fe028e feat(Inference): Models are collected and structured. (#120)
* feat: Added collection of models into a dictionary.

* feat: Models are now saved in a structured way into a dictionary.

* Rename run_model_test.py to run_model_dev.py

* fix(Pipeline): missing variable statement

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2022-01-07 15:33:50 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9488e92597 feature(MetaLabeling): replaced previous non-functional Ensembling method with Meta-labeling method available for both lvl1 and lvl2 models (#110)
* feature(MetaLabeling): added hacky prototype

* fix(MetaLabeling): drop index until first valid X & y

* fix(MetaLabeling): transform both X & y before feature selection

* fix(MetaLabeling): got feature selection to work

* fix(MetaLabeling): correct values for meta_y

* feat(MetaLabeling): created predictions multiplied by bet sizes

* feat(Pipeline): print out averaged result

* fix(Evaluation): correctly deal with non-discretized data

* fix(Pipeline): use the right column names

* refactor(Pipeline): move out meta-labeling

* refactor(Pipeline): complete refactoring

* feat(CI): post results to PR

* fix(Pipeline): use the correct filename

* chore(Config): removed now redundant feature_selection flag

* feat(Models): added SVC

* fix(Pipeline): accidentally switched two return values

* feat(Sweep): prepared sweep_meta.yaml, moved report_results() into a separate file

* fix(Pipeline): wrong function name

* fix(Sweep): yaml + run_sweep

* fix(Sweep): typo in name

* fix(Reporting): only save averaged results

* feat(MetaLabeling): use optional meta-labeling step for every lvl1 models, before averaging

* feat(Reporting): print out sharpe improvement in meta-labeling step

* fix(Sweep): adjusted config, defaulted to good defaults

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep
2022-01-06 16:36:45 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 1cd0119589 feat(DataLoader): caching MVP, added ability to use standard scaling for exogenous data, scaling is now also done before feature selection (#105)
* fix(FeatureExtractor): apply log to transform some series to normality

* feat(DataLoader): add ability of not returning returns when they're not needed (exogenous data), applied log to certain features

* feat(FeatureExtractors): added standard scaling for exogenous data

* feat(FeatureSelection): scale data with the passed in scaler before doing feature-selection

* fix(Config): sweep config

* feat(Models): output probability, store it

* feat(Core): added caching to select_features() and load_data()

* fix(Dependencies): added diskcache

* fix(Training): error when creating results DF

* feat(Models): added xgboost, fixed tests

* refactor(Cache): moved hashing to a separate function, created wrapper functions to separate business logic and caching

* fix(Tests): new syntax

* fix(Model): XGboost can't handle -1 class, so we'll use the deprecated label_encoder fornow

* fix(Model): XGBoost config

* feat(Cache): add run_clear_cache script

* fix(Pipeline) accidentally re-instatiating all_predictions for each asset
2022-01-04 11:44:35 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 867269df2b feat(Data): added daily_glassnode DataCollection (#99) 2022-01-03 13:57:36 +01:00