mirror of
https://github.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder.git
synced 2026-07-27 15:57:47 +00:00
copybot[bot]
3182 lines
93 KiB
JSON
3182 lines
93 KiB
JSON
{
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"mode": "paper",
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"gkmgkldfmg",
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"1kto1m",
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"BikesAreTheBikes",
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"AIcAIc",
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"JuiceFarm"
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{
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"cond": "0x1d15ca70c93da7338e6134144dd19a41a8120f8a1ad1bca067478cdbf6d5b18a",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
"outcome": "Myth Esports",
|
|
"price": 0.45,
|
|
"stake": 101.5,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -103.17,
|
|
"settled": 1784836444,
|
|
"name": "Kruto2027",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784824150,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378",
|
|
"cond": "0x25ecc56fd4f2853fa7f7a1068d9cbab84bfebada5eae442610f0e4547c50e1e1",
|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.78,
|
|
"stake": 45.09,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823419,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "10648768902294223005281776472791443674603816737553002058221071348281139541856",
|
|
"cond": "0x30034a8bfb66e13d0235c5a8483b5f4ba974c0221e3c9ca67f1382723d19a801",
|
|
"title": "Bitcoin above 66,000 on July 22, 12PM ET?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.39,
|
|
"stake": 32.14,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -32.73,
|
|
"settled": 1784823492,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823420,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "53864929757641923279848610727880389145399611177187939181757886904167965697807",
|
|
"cond": "0x0d3bdcf422b886240b03a86ca18854b09d7e5db1a51693f702d7378b53e5bc63",
|
|
"title": "Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5799,
|
|
"stake": 34.81,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -35.25,
|
|
"settled": 1784823492,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823420,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "45139241414469860954947578765028277034812078372494153843579493704976148448651",
|
|
"cond": "0x65791b55c71bf4314b7234f0406f052727201d521f68721d360563b3ac59a3a3",
|
|
"title": "Tuyo FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.7499,
|
|
"stake": 35.36,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823420,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "44360920780922767656954735357129256432039074408110623509391936414714437499560",
|
|
"cond": "0x09d587f63d04643fb9ea6247f58e3dd5b436e23e0d3a3fe643d6936424561e78",
|
|
"title": "Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8799,
|
|
"stake": 34.75,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823419,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "8333078091351388621146592798724535139068755779946609679053201076909843903284",
|
|
"cond": "0x71c12ea3c50fdee199b076a107eae1e6969c133d9ec3454354603b4ab9e07aec",
|
|
"title": "Will AVAX reach $10 by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5,
|
|
"stake": 32.91,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784818263,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "27550239637632399096048782995950028754921427598196211548179911390834637255919",
|
|
"cond": "0xa843abc8eee73c1dcf3871d27b50200900767539d9638446eb0bceff0f363a8c",
|
|
"title": "Hibernian FC to score first vs. FC Malisheva?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.96,
|
|
"stake": 56.11,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($29 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -17.6,
|
|
"settled": 1784820188,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.6667
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784820182,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "29922880124871912107369653749261396163687764000386220237409162132192311391947",
|
|
"cond": "0xfe5188a5b3eb20224878822f8deb3e7e1270415c3d5eb6ad14c9e8380d16b115",
|
|
"title": "Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8594,
|
|
"stake": 64.45,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784507597,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "42533251363336805162348806087988408831791767490089792227520004048407304797610",
|
|
"cond": "0x5548deff712d5250f021e0983e99e251b97f74f9291c24e45673fa0c0244d38f",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5299,
|
|
"stake": 106.32,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 21.56,
|
|
"settled": 1784814981,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.6516
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784755101,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "61732519224035345472843765202641458946038730839684443029887468562689879517849",
|
|
"cond": "0x21e1af0405c04efa4d30febd572d99f1d331026a9f52c2df0e9346e695025a52",
|
|
"title": "Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.06,
|
|
"stake": 67.09,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($2 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 1037.62,
|
|
"settled": 1784814260,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.99
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784696451,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "68642938852444405618524357112499284175503313921723452625127267630411120480355",
|
|
"cond": "0x3143454e474c199ec69abacc2a962885b1b82f9201837624ab0883be9e15436d",
|
|
"title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.64,
|
|
"stake": 110.32,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.59\u21920.64",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 60.86,
|
|
"settled": 1784802647,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784802577,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "28239418772633645184924651434956000849078365566842629564562475378531350731731",
|
|
"cond": "0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830",
|
|
"title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.92,
|
|
"stake": 116.57,
|
|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784755189,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "6942521039548952262803452715536366269632833663841807575802631974514414220741",
|
|
"cond": "0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",
|
|
"title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.16,
|
|
"stake": 116.3,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($8 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -119.23,
|
|
"settled": 1784772298,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1783942543,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "25252139719387305389090759227041579550456702736511482208905350724277919018200",
|
|
"cond": "0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",
|
|
"title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.28,
|
|
"stake": 91.41,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.16 > 0.08)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 240.02,
|
|
"settled": 1784772296,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 1.0206
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784657983,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "83432464582900021768828185200260903111076458489414209503967480044416221851661",
|
|
"cond": "0xcef977a42d757016fc76c46cf4de3fd65c164ef8af0e6daf62a166058f9f621b",
|
|
"title": "Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $40B?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.9399,
|
|
"stake": 38.0,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 2.36,
|
|
"settled": 1784758713,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1783614355,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "89242338311934607563982674007060874462410613449265345423154631111798741937421",
|
|
"cond": "0xc13c12dd0b8c4a29dedc8f12b2976628fa57e4a8b27bbcc522b82008bb549e02",
|
|
"title": "Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8399,
|
|
"stake": 52.73,
|
|
"reason": "followed but not placed \u2014 silent exit at copy time (thin/no-ask book most likely; both silent paths instrumented 2026-07-09)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -10.36,
|
|
"settled": 1784758578,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.6853
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784746881,
|
|
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
|
|
"token": "101073632313407449841258966324566339609029406016329643951331988915036734803060",
|
|
"cond": "0xd51ea730858a341990e878b08c665d0361dfec8a6f29d41b0c598f7c5a27561c",
|
|
"title": "Set 1 Winner: Gonzalez vs Valdez",
|
|
"outcome": "Gonzalez",
|
|
"price": 0.48,
|
|
"stake": 116.3,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "refund",
|
|
"pnl": 3.03,
|
|
"settled": 1784756659,
|
|
"name": "Kruto2027",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784275928,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "15456330829547795037828293282236765253933989530349029925038235552652310014831",
|
|
"cond": "0x240c2424f9e2de98676f8a2dce520b2dfee499b68194ac5db0537be851f56989",
|
|
"title": "Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by December 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.28,
|
|
"stake": 47.29,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.64 > 0.08)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 120.58,
|
|
"settled": 1784756458,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784754810,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "81905629695376179467642152439122205490366546600283546015907818703618943938229",
|
|
"cond": "0x784aad9ba3f0aa5f8c2e6c4dc9314d8899cd147d6b289e6eb289e66a5b569082",
|
|
"title": "Will Elon Musk tweet \"Hyperliquid\" by August 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.004,
|
|
"stake": 65.95,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($9 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784737932,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "101809971081124775410756971833962290310584447326615818129608807839263253483036",
|
|
"cond": "0x7665295c0d116c9df0dccbbf10148a37f39093a7b1427b2f46358f6ec31b6cd3",
|
|
"title": "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on July 22?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.94,
|
|
"stake": 11.49,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 0.71,
|
|
"settled": 1784753351,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784507597,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "78980297018571400404799403103137601328646521882772163061763690804240957815229",
|
|
"cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.4074,
|
|
"stake": 106.32,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 64.43,
|
|
"settled": 1784750985,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.6682
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784507597,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "28798051369308638598820548419525548679775617348292003491362631387640436001598",
|
|
"cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.3073,
|
|
"stake": 68.62,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 58.62,
|
|
"settled": 1784750985,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5835
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784747979,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "68080778697884921540335032370654180051222428162809511382222697646266365598353",
|
|
"cond": "0xf473c2e521258a81d44f16fd65e811de7bcb6646912561583969004b81c10ec1",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.56,
|
|
"stake": 116.3,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.44\u21920.56",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784506708,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"cond": "0x943ef1da2c4e06269e15f15bd6840c9a91e730f576e9af3c122d9fc5b895c484",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.52,
|
|
"stake": 6.25,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.7514
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784727262,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "92050986166401987445069388208414464326154054301377903319727847954822960387891",
|
|
"cond": "0xd2a295c1c4015ad115574f49bf871f925b6d6967af23d383ba155670c3ece25c",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.87,
|
|
"stake": 51.03,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784724871,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "55322743872828723669471333687599655362701668769312714121349035444960033270363",
|
|
"cond": "0x756c8e0bf6d5e4781a2dc0076040132c748a9b6afcce050842897f46a7b493c4",
|
|
"title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31\u00b0C on July 22?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.943,
|
|
"stake": 50.68,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($24 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 0.83,
|
|
"settled": 1784725717,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9612
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784709848,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "16746455674526792453091721753802082438321089440613204909132014300251813407275",
|
|
"cond": "0x236fabcdc7506a5bde811505d8dc35863599dfea80ac3d39ac6f6d28dc922b08",
|
|
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.2557,
|
|
"stake": 40.53,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784528216,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "80568398380615613281811262196000400273657215935776416622694841219164637714912",
|
|
"cond": "0xfcb2ba978ce2e5cc300f76adca25f8b74d9eede005f089498aa6dc0faaf7aaee",
|
|
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.56,
|
|
"stake": 25.3,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 8.38,
|
|
"settled": 1784700507,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.7583
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784682914,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "66006680389192620317816056197058298603060937483253191311974086024874814208778",
|
|
"cond": "0x78322c43b6c76c3f29208ae75bf81d455c3b3b803c891a8945e25fe4376a3a8e",
|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.52,
|
|
"stake": 110.32,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784663345,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "31114539293109191150949144475239465589903245761316798745025708973207317205400",
|
|
"cond": "0xe0befb0fb9fdcb3b7c46521845d0ce3248eb65352522f67cc3113894b992f3b3",
|
|
"title": "Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.81,
|
|
"stake": 62.54,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 10.89,
|
|
"settled": 1784670629,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9568
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784666234,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "110127509798966540887051550451493333155192689272629249313511785868238474355262",
|
|
"cond": "0xfac54e7b2f02513939fb462481a830d293ee1f5a39b40b7a510ff0a90689c673",
|
|
"title": "Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.952,
|
|
"stake": 110.33,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.78\u21920.95",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -4.83,
|
|
"settled": 1784666682,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9141
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784648798,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "63211073606793804423333353862189269330913460147355410611068287262791890789543",
|
|
"cond": "0x5dd201517c0879ed3bcf2046d83586a6b32c3a71ab8c7877e308101f19fda007",
|
|
"title": "Iran full airspace closure by July 27?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.72,
|
|
"stake": 55.01,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -3.24,
|
|
"settled": 1784657990,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.69
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784128795,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221",
|
|
"cond": "0xd2a97dd956e70c9c4abda30d2864588ece0c7213013eb3fa664b88509ff829b1",
|
|
"title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.44,
|
|
"stake": 99.83,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.09 > 0.08)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -101.51,
|
|
"settled": 1784649073,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784148369,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "97790474719190241406489821993233180311618193540151039410585653304993937141574",
|
|
"cond": "0xb2af625fa98691e234f918fb36e5063ca14d436d5d7b1a1ad299bbb1890694a3",
|
|
"title": "Will Argentina win the World Cup?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.716,
|
|
"stake": 64.21,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 16.45,
|
|
"settled": 1784649073,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.908
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784597503,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "58462461700429243354293772965834869157205755175569336823865220371784986170846",
|
|
"cond": "0x5704802f1d0ebddb43aea7ab7616c5708487925e6bb2827d6f873d73ee7e0c47",
|
|
"title": "Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.01,
|
|
"stake": 100.0,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 4822.03,
|
|
"settled": 1784649009,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784626586,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "54923619943837902531413944505673826869865789371722858311579457498438152585454",
|
|
"cond": "0x3f13595c81d4894015e99014f2562cc6edadfa1156b8849e9ebdf379149cb878",
|
|
"title": "Will Aurelien Tchouameni join Bayern Munich?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.875,
|
|
"stake": 27.93,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 1.95,
|
|
"settled": 1784649009,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9412
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784547091,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "109075623115035500221385426519923794314139178452765641614675281069970878340106",
|
|
"cond": "0xbcd6e99663f8b2056c91b7a766e084d20cde5bcfd54a97432596633921c02443",
|
|
"title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.59,
|
|
"stake": 43.58,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 8.99,
|
|
"settled": 1784649008,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.725
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784628735,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "31798323952461961650983638405389053740930972138111089234409584277872747279143",
|
|
"cond": "0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.42,
|
|
"stake": 80.77,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784493015,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "33752982532314842955867034258985568949958761450943043689987049583448528253590",
|
|
"cond": "0x8240c24b4ac5c954241ee6a10cffc627abf676d88b9d7de5b034c2f7c060b00a",
|
|
"title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.882,
|
|
"stake": 105.73,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -47.07,
|
|
"settled": 1784583337,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784562364,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "103988361056715557688108806696666000436932711957896745224025885715803818393567",
|
|
"cond": "0x65ca30aee9dfec7f2f0292049b3a4d950808105864a3895b986402e2d86a631a",
|
|
"title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 20, 12PM ET?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8,
|
|
"stake": 23.29,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -23.43,
|
|
"settled": 1784580406,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784579992,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "44886536523187194068204780081456530701237321244412931776973158233298351926383",
|
|
"cond": "0x7ea1e76e67652187bc6c484f832840a92ca3af5f36b5d86b2f78db66b28d972a",
|
|
"title": "Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.69,
|
|
"stake": 64.69,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784572639,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "87122687121608029703081699232336906033160920614329826898705893750616809914369",
|
|
"cond": "0x075228a9709cdbea4f2ecf8286b1e70e27e18a4e07cc499ccb1c1ea7bdb0bbba",
|
|
"title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?",
|
|
"outcome": "Up",
|
|
"price": 0.69,
|
|
"stake": 44.8,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -22.29,
|
|
"settled": 1784575514,
|
|
"name": "1kto1m",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.36
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784573567,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "83778159848246307298177835560751845581203660912608603239968031176372923069932",
|
|
"cond": "0xf649be9e9c5ce3df0834e80690ee19f9696db9ee7c4b742b06cd3a84167c8a3d",
|
|
"title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.75,
|
|
"stake": 37.5,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784563071,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "81614773617418907184361485498947350465036514500422317775261099705727224721455",
|
|
"cond": "0xe23cc6e026b34163169a4add977d8f42f80681ea876f94afb3fa0da09f490c29",
|
|
"title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.733,
|
|
"stake": 65.27,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 23.25,
|
|
"settled": 1784564739,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784548183,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "45858479053746616749156519360893482359161569156141079722407137651102212018480",
|
|
"cond": "0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",
|
|
"title": "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.53,
|
|
"stake": 106.4,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -107.9,
|
|
"settled": 1784563785,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784552316,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "44447031562738174918016769793991804433486269578769473189935766976836636647978",
|
|
"cond": "0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",
|
|
"title": "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.31,
|
|
"stake": 106.4,
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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"title": "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 Week of July 20 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 20 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 20 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
"title": "Israel closes its airspace by July 31?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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