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winning-wallet-finder_github/live/daily.sh
T
jaxperro 8c07343735 discord: retire per-trade pings, add daily sharp digest; trust: v2 self-certify + invalidated-wallet fallback
* per-trade Discord pings removed everywhere: copybot placement/settle/startup
  alerts silenced (engine.webhook forced off), webhook_receiver.py archived,
  Procfile removed. The ONLY Discord output is now live/discord_daily.py at the
  end of the daily pipeline: one embed listing every watch_sharps wallet with a
  Polymarket profile link + 30D conviction win% / record / P&L.

* trust.py fixes found on the first scheduled run (sharp list collapsed 25->7):
  - Polymarket rewrites endDate after resolution, so freshly re-pulled wallets'
    corrected res_t stopped matching the stale cross-wallet consensus
    (374/454 of iohihoo's rows wrongly distrusted). v2 rows with resolved=TRUE
    are now self-certifying (resolved=TRUE implies endDate-based res_t observed
    post-end) — consensus only gates legacy rows.
  - daily.sh invalidates watchlist wallets by DELETING their pulled row; a
    transiently failed re-pull then dropped the wallet's entire history from
    the trusted set (the 0x73afc816 whale vanished). Legacy rows of wallets
    missing from pulled now fall back to trusting markets resolved >=14d ago.
  Re-run: 85 conviction wallets, 34 copy-positive sharps — whale/iohihoo/
  Stavenson/LSB1/Kruto all recovered.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 18:31:30 -04:00

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#!/bin/bash
# Daily skilled-wallet refresh, cache-backed:
# 1) discover — enumerate traders of markets resolved in the last ~14 days,
# merged into the accumulating candidate pool
# 2) freshen — force a re-pull of the current watchlists (skilled + sharps,
# for forward tracking), then top up the cache (collect re-pulls
# only new + >14d-stale wallets, so it's cheap after the first run)
# 3) re-score — the 5-gate skill funnel, instant from cache -> watch_skilled.json
# 4) sharps — conviction-profile scan + last-minute timing gate ->
# conviction_wallets.json + watch_sharps.json (the set the live
# trading dashboard reads via raw.githubusercontent)
# 5) floors — recompute the copy bot's per-wallet p80 conviction floors from
# the (now-fresh) cache into ../config.json, so copybot.py stays
# in parity with the dashboard's top-20%-by-stake gate. Local-only
# (config.json is gitignored); never touches the curated watchlist.
# 6) dashboard — regenerate + snapshot for auditable forward history
# 7) publish — commit + push the refreshed outputs so the live dashboard
# (jaxperro.com/trading) picks up the new sharp list
#
# Schedule with launchd/cron (Mac must be awake). Logs to daily.log.
set -u
cd "$(dirname "$0")"
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 1/6 discover (enumerate last 14d)"
python3 enumerate.py 14
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 2/6 freshen cache (watchlists forced + new wallets)"
python3 -c "import json,os,cache
wl=[]
for f in ('watch_skilled.json','watch_sharps.json'):
if os.path.exists(f):
wl += [w['wallet'] for w in json.load(open(f))]
if wl:
cache.invalidate(wl)" 2>/dev/null || true
python3 collect.py
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 3/6 re-score skilled (cache-backed, instant)"
python3 skill.py
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 4/7 sharps: conviction scan + last-minute timing gate"
python3 conviction_scan.py
python3 validate_timing.py
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 5/7 floors: recompute copy-bot p80 conviction floors -> ../config.json"
python3 sync_floors.py || echo "[daily] floor sync skipped (no config/watchlist)"
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') portfolio: cache-based \$1k book -> portfolio.json"
python3 portfolio.py || echo "[daily] portfolio skipped"
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 6/7 dashboard"
python3 dashboard.py
mkdir -p history && cp watch_skilled.json "history/watch_$(date '+%Y%m%d').json" 2>/dev/null
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') 7/7 publish (commit + push refreshed outputs)"
PUBLISH="no changes"
git add watch_skilled.json watch_sharps.json conviction_wallets.json dashboard.html portfolio.json 2>/dev/null
if git diff --cached --quiet 2>/dev/null; then
echo "[daily] no output changes to publish"
elif git commit -q -m "live: daily refresh — skilled + sharp wallets [skip ci]"; then
# sync first so a diverged remote (e.g. a manual commit) doesn't wedge the
# auto-push permanently; abort a conflicting rebase and retry next run.
git pull --rebase -q origin main 2>/dev/null || git rebase --abort 2>/dev/null || true
if git push -q origin main; then
echo "[daily] pushed refreshed sharp list"; PUBLISH="pushed"
else
echo "[daily] push failed — committed locally, will retry next run"; PUBLISH="push failed (committed locally)"
fi
fi
echo "[daily] $(date '+%F %T') done -> watch_sharps.json + dashboard.html"
# Discord: the daily sharp-list digest (profile links + 30D conviction stats).
# The only Discord output in the system — per-trade pings retired 2026-07-04.
# Webhook lives in gitignored ../config.json -> daily_webhook.
python3 discord_daily.py "feed: $PUBLISH" || echo "[daily] discord digest failed (non-fatal)"