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copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

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copybot[bot]
2026-08-01 09:38:33 +00:00
parent 12f48c9cc3
commit 6d411fe38e
6 changed files with 59 additions and 62 deletions
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copybot_missed_archive.jsonl
+1
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@@ -76,3 +76,4 @@
{"ts": 1783888427, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "107179792112987391529646299006880228718467140164269968140132399486412571398191", "cond": "0x880d4d315634908ffac985de5cd442ec679beeb25f0166a77bece698f35463f6", "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.7899, "stake": 49.48, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 2.1, "settled": 1783936410, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.8326}
{"ts": 1783890308, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "57692873707168744410462715873400507686142544046928546188194421200046018282561", "cond": "0x8022dd304232ce80b3866b7a45f7396d2e8cb91ace3b86b3aaffd06a44ec6052", "title": "Ava\u00ed FC vs. Clube N\u00e1utico Capibaribe: O/U 1.5", "outcome": "Over", "price": 0.999, "stake": 90.4, "reason": "price moved 0.46\u21921.00", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.09, "settled": 1783899442, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_price": 1.0}
{"ts": 1783894711, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "50206051919987143398301686023277350657729433627529907465714791269369601841506", "cond": "0xcf710169c9bda6d44066d759780d850b6d3fb02ae09c60f69223e1ed03ff1523", "title": "Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of July 13 2026?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.82, "stake": 50.63, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -4.34, "settled": 1783936410, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.7596}
{"ts": 1783915558, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "17233538369622331395311990544159709275677306359062920824570611974340792501916", "cond": "0xec4147d703a1013d0bdc0ef4dcaf129fe8443e6ad1318edcd2a2ac9eff6c8421", "title": "Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.8504, "stake": 82.88, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 13.72, "settled": 1783916816, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 0.9951}
copybot_rejects.jsonl
+2
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@@ -1643,3 +1643,5 @@
{"ts": 1785576949.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890", "cond": "0x487a2c7f3e43fdb74fe584b3ec3596cef5f26f37fd8eed1370256dbcb45898b8", "usd": 10.58, "price": 0.5, "reason": "$11 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785576971.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "8846759894545333316665370992966512639253402156980691804622837028256703772554", "cond": "0x862e28b94132fa7a1fba1368de96c8fc2dc5249c8a55ba1c965a8e54c79424e5", "usd": 7.5, "price": 0.1899999804, "reason": "$7 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in August?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785576971.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "41924814385271001327475674741821953575251218962289218166941963169991583786761", "cond": "0xd9424ce031bb1a0fe039063773eb22901d07361afac583fca40d8b1a8112a7f3", "usd": 23.55, "price": 0.64, "reason": "$24 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785577047.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "8846759894545333316665370992966512639253402156980691804622837028256703772554", "cond": "0x862e28b94132fa7a1fba1368de96c8fc2dc5249c8a55ba1c965a8e54c79424e5", "usd": 7.28, "price": 0.1899999812087905, "reason": "$7 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in August?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785577047.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "41924814385271001327475674741821953575251218962289218166941963169991583786761", "cond": "0xd9424ce031bb1a0fe039063773eb22901d07361afac583fca40d8b1a8112a7f3", "usd": 23.65, "price": 0.65, "reason": "$24 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
+19 -41
View File
@@ -20812,8 +20812,8 @@
}
},
"hwm": 3600.1933566560215,
"feed_sig": "4a72b6c2c42f487ea9eede13ea043b06",
"feed_pushed_at": 1785576839.88309,
"feed_sig": "ce2a20c23823a5c24130c3018ef70097",
"feed_pushed_at": 1785576979.275234,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783889397,
@@ -20830,22 +20830,6 @@
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1783915558,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "17233538369622331395311990544159709275677306359062920824570611974340792501916",
"cond": "0xec4147d703a1013d0bdc0ef4dcaf129fe8443e6ad1318edcd2a2ac9eff6c8421",
"title": "Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.8504,
"stake": 82.88,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 13.72,
"settled": 1783916816,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_price": 0.9951
},
{
"ts": 1783918704,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -23995,6 +23979,21 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1785577039,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890",
"cond": "0x487a2c7f3e43fdb74fe584b3ec3596cef5f26f37fd8eed1370256dbcb45898b8",
"title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.4,
"stake": 17.86,
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (98s)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
}
],
"no_miss_toks": [
@@ -24187,31 +24186,10 @@
"title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?",
"outcome": "Yes"
},
"paper_maker": [
{
"paper_maker": true,
"sz": 44.64,
"mode": "maker",
"token": "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890",
"side": "BUY",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"event": null,
"cond": "0x487a2c7f3e43fdb74fe584b3ec3596cef5f26f37fd8eed1370256dbcb45898b8",
"their_price": 0.4,
"their_ts": 1785576940,
"price": 0.4,
"is_add": false,
"stake": 17.856,
"ts": 1785576941.1628625,
"ttl_s": 60.0,
"ba_at_signal": 0.87
}
],
"paper_maker": [],
"maker_stats": {
"fills": 126,
"misses": 69
"misses": 70
},
"ignored_exits": [
{
live/copybot_live.json
+18 -19
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@@ -2159,6 +2159,21 @@
}
],
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1785577039,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890",
"cond": "0x487a2c7f3e43fdb74fe584b3ec3596cef5f26f37fd8eed1370256dbcb45898b8",
"title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.4,
"stake": 17.86,
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (98s)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1785536031,
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
@@ -3084,25 +3099,9 @@
"settled": 1785322527,
"name": "AIcAIc",
"exit_price": 0.1055
},
{
"ts": 1785262738,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910",
"cond": "0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac",
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.4,
"stake": 40.15,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -1.45,
"settled": 1785306472,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_price": 0.4
}
],
"missed_pnl": 21536.91,
"missed_pnl": 21523.19,
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1785576842,
"side": "BUY",
@@ -3118,7 +3117,7 @@
"wins": 33,
"open_cost": 823.87,
"open_n": 14,
"miss_n": 117,
"miss_n": 118,
"miss_pnl": 112272.14,
"last_ts": 1785576842
},
@@ -3213,5 +3212,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1785576842
"updated": 1785577046
}
live/copybot_live_full.json
+17 -2
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@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"updated": 1785576842,
"updated": 1785577046,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": 571.33,
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
"wins": 33,
"open_cost": 823.87,
"open_n": 14,
"miss_n": 117,
"miss_n": 118,
"miss_pnl": 112272.14,
"last_ts": 1785576842
},
@@ -6513,6 +6513,21 @@
}
],
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1785577039,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890",
"cond": "0x487a2c7f3e43fdb74fe584b3ec3596cef5f26f37fd8eed1370256dbcb45898b8",
"title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.4,
"stake": 17.86,
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (98s)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1785536031,
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
rtds_shadow.jsonl
+2
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@@ -2200,3 +2200,5 @@
{"ts": 1785576949.92, "trade_ts": 1785576949, "lat_s": 0.92, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 21.16, "price": 0.5, "title": "", "tx": "0x9f3eab842d3b9688c79259a042e89bee1f780a8790cfb1708e57cee22e6a1abb", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785576979.38, "trade_ts": 1785576970, "lat_s": 9.38, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 36.28, "price": 0.64, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?", "tx": "0x3231f751c38776e2b910ec54e060c86f50f99002e809b2d16e6164e9aff867a9", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785576979.44, "trade_ts": 1785576970, "lat_s": 9.43, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 38.210525, "price": 0.1899999803719002, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in August?", "tx": "0x177a1456690aaa406bbb576304ac5eaa21e9a04c60730b5959e40a203ee21721", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785577046.93, "trade_ts": 1785577046, "lat_s": 0.93, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 38.315788, "price": 0.1899999812087905, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in August?", "tx": "0x469c22dfc4ed8425bb4fd5ad41082e791f820cde4a4504e8dd0de23dbcc88ec7", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785577047.05, "trade_ts": 1785577046, "lat_s": 1.05, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 36.39, "price": 0.65, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?", "tx": "0xfae7a5df44f395bf3f2eb272fdf3330d44560186eec8dcf713ae528d2067507e", "seen": false}