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docs: T1 maker-quoting Stage-1 kill — the wall pays speed, not formulas (FINDINGS coda + README verdict)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@@ -655,6 +655,19 @@ or nothing. The through-line of the week, now written as one sentence:
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**every taker edge died at the requote wall, and every instrument that
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measured the wall found the makers standing on top of it.**
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Coda, same night: we simmed standing on the wall ourselves
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(maker_quote_sim — quotes at oracle-fair−m, 25k tokens, ~31–50k
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chain-graded fills per cell, every trade-through assumed to fill us
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at queue-front). Best cell **+$0.37/fill**; every 4s-requote cell
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−$7–9/fill. A stale quote buys below *stale* fair, and the flow that
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reaches it is the informed flow — staleness IS the adverse selection.
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The wall pays sub-second colocated speed and queue position, not a
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fair-value formula at hobbyist latency. Maker pivot: killed at Stage
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1, $0 spent, one evening. What survives the week: the concentrated
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copy edge and its two pre-registered execution upgrades (#20/#21),
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and the human-maker inventory-lean line — following the wall's
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incumbents, not competing with them.
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## Repo layout
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- `insider.py` — the detector: z-score/p-value, timing/freshness/sizing signals,
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