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copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

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copybot[bot]
2026-07-26 15:06:02 +00:00
parent 3a753fd72a
commit 409cf9e9e7
7 changed files with 89 additions and 62 deletions
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copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
+1
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@@ -554,3 +554,4 @@
{"ts": 1785077372.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785077701.4, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078037.8, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078361.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
+1
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@@ -53,3 +53,4 @@
{"ts": 1783824463, "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "token": "86486366666900934251692510513012809256323129155701648230490642360929725335546", "cond": "0x74e592f35b0751cf0bf4bc7e04ec5e4722c3bcee1332140faa86307c70616763", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET", "outcome": "Down", "price": 0.5675, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -1.01, "settled": 1783824780, "name": "0xd96750bf", "exit_checked": true}
{"ts": 1783847109, "wallet": "0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266", "token": "39914244553987465540792566278348498734923249672615251266280042181105318419717", "cond": "0x248fe1a9b246808baabfb9bf452d3d57f314050eb5776a9c53a5b1c027dd41fc", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET", "outcome": "Down", "price": 0.99, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.81\u21920.99", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.01, "settled": 1783847161, "name": "0xd96750bf", "exit_price": 1.0}
{"ts": 1783848284, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "98686933205526849260956926098370864586052275369032476650193546947433457446794", "cond": "0x5feac6140f642f8c3cc84eec974a63bdc99f3c02e9deeb49cdc654c8a7b21209", "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner", "outcome": "PARIVISION", "price": 0.65, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.99)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -1.01, "settled": 1783858199, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_checked": true}
{"ts": 1783848410, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "89628205161429183663335882524534177373428689595495022481997839397142363974023", "cond": "0x4a79ee243fd2910b21b240699be5e3cabb73de2f18cddc23c88fc842efe87d95", "title": "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner", "outcome": "Bilibili Gaming", "price": 0.5, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.98, "settled": 1783850631, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.999}
copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
+7
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@@ -123,3 +123,10 @@
{"ts": 1785075538.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101737069197249387963102004851211025566354274707549809068983221444221729231145", "cond": "0xc0a93ddba814197618a31c351b7491d8aaa2e2ae00d222a0bdaa4bf675f56712", "usd": 10.8, "price": 0.2580882227833039, "reason": "$11 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785077160.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "115255113960814973628859602935662148547452933017428513321638080185430806729247", "cond": "0xf13b10468f72942e3e5bf520dbca6fa03f596e806c173195b8b4e622b5f57ef9", "usd": 3.9, "price": 0.3799999727179437, "reason": "$4 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785077211.9, "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", "token": "76086080721211914578465521311103562342722558385619086781992496684492302000361", "cond": "0x94ff87418950d4d712605dd9ba5efbf80cd05c37d27057456c3d67e5b4cde514", "usd": 3.85, "price": 0.77, "reason": "$4 < conviction floor $80", "title": "Spread: Tobol Kostanay (-2.5)", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078123.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "48025382529750567685072394432380546840954558388193330194986975453537142750387", "cond": "0xf13b10468f72942e3e5bf520dbca6fa03f596e806c173195b8b4e622b5f57ef9", "usd": 2.65, "price": 0.5199999921509406, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078124.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101737069197249387963102004851211025566354274707549809068983221444221729231145", "cond": "0xc0a93ddba814197618a31c351b7491d8aaa2e2ae00d222a0bdaa4bf675f56712", "usd": 2.15, "price": 0.43, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078251.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101737069197249387963102004851211025566354274707549809068983221444221729231145", "cond": "0xc0a93ddba814197618a31c351b7491d8aaa2e2ae00d222a0bdaa4bf675f56712", "usd": 2.05, "price": 0.41, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078255.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "48025382529750567685072394432380546840954558388193330194986975453537142750387", "cond": "0xf13b10468f72942e3e5bf520dbca6fa03f596e806c173195b8b4e622b5f57ef9", "usd": 2.75, "price": 0.54, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078260.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "48025382529750567685072394432380546840954558388193330194986975453537142750387", "cond": "0xf13b10468f72942e3e5bf520dbca6fa03f596e806c173195b8b4e622b5f57ef9", "usd": 2.54, "price": 0.4799999608, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078260.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "101737069197249387963102004851211025566354274707549809068983221444221729231145", "cond": "0xc0a93ddba814197618a31c351b7491d8aaa2e2ae00d222a0bdaa4bf675f56712", "usd": 2.44, "price": 0.47, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?", "mode": "live"}
{"ts": 1785078294.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "115473468773460773779037287694704603605055350918057990080306971866121986289715", "cond": "0x70eb82556e062975ed23ff8e07a355f132a79f17ef6267ee8be0a8c283ef7dbd", "usd": 27.13, "price": 0.3799999944, "reason": "$27 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?", "mode": "live"}
copybot_state.live.json
+41 -40
View File
@@ -1,9 +1,6 @@
{
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@@ -5000,7 +4997,10 @@
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@@ -7545,7 +7545,9 @@
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@@ -16493,22 +16495,6 @@
"settled": null,
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{
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"cond": "0x4a79ee243fd2910b21b240699be5e3cabb73de2f18cddc23c88fc842efe87d95",
"title": "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner",
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{
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@@ -19665,10 +19651,25 @@
"settled": 1785075740,
"name": "AIcAIc",
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{
"ts": 1785078294,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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"cond": "0x7751647558c676e670214b1161ba938c16417b09c7b577310ad80652d70066c1",
"title": "Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
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{
"ts": 1783906689,
@@ -19719,14 +19720,14 @@
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@@ -19746,21 +19747,6 @@
"outcome": "Karmine Corp"
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"ignored_exits": [
{
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"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "live"
},
{
"ts": 1785009684.0,
"token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
@@ -22745,6 +22731,21 @@
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "live"
},
{
"ts": 1785078361.2,
"token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
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"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.88,
"shares_held": 3.4789,
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"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "live"
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],
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live/copybot_live_real.json
+18 -20
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@@ -2120,6 +2120,21 @@
}
],
"missed": [
{
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"token": "54620342958738283704802452250340372295186538019357418907215676271029676157053",
"cond": "0x7751647558c676e670214b1161ba938c16417b09c7b577310ad80652d70066c1",
"title": "Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.5,
"stake": 1.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x4c85689567f50b5654feb2d052fd5f24d16100747",
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"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -3054,26 +3069,9 @@
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true,
"exit_price": 0.6682
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{
"ts": 1784508146,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "28798051369308638598820548419525548679775617348292003491362631387640436001598",
"cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323",
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.3073,
"stake": 2.41,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 2.06,
"settled": 1784751007,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true,
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}
],
"missed_pnl": 1727.6,
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"last_fill": {
"ts": 1784999565,
"side": "SELL",
@@ -3089,7 +3087,7 @@
"wins": 6,
"open_cost": 15.58,
"open_n": 6,
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"miss_n": 81,
"miss_pnl": 1731.6,
"last_ts": 1785011532
},
@@ -3194,5 +3192,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1785078104
"updated": 1785078294
}
live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+17 -2
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@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "live",
"updated": 1785078104,
"updated": 1785078294,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": -1.26,
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
"wins": 6,
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"miss_pnl": 1731.6,
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},
@@ -2826,6 +2826,21 @@
}
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"missed": [
{
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "54620342958738283704802452250340372295186538019357418907215676271029676157053",
"cond": "0x7751647558c676e670214b1161ba938c16417b09c7b577310ad80652d70066c1",
"title": "Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.5,
"stake": 1.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0x4c85689567f50b5654feb2d052fd5f24d16100747",
"status": "open",
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"settled": null,
"name": "0xbadaf319"
},
{
"ts": 1785072243,
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rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+4
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@@ -2291,3 +2291,7 @@
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