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copybot[bot]
2026-08-02 15:36:24 +00:00
parent 04dd98ea4b
commit 383b18382c
7 changed files with 215 additions and 186 deletions
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copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+9
View File
@@ -5298,3 +5298,12 @@
{"ts": 1785683960.1, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.002, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785683960.7, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785683962.4, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.01, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684303.3, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.002, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684303.9, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684305.5, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.01, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684643.3, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.002, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684643.8, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.23, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684645.3, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.01, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684981.4, "token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.002, "shares_held": 263.35, "cost_held": 123.77, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
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copybot_missed_archive.jsonl
+1
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@@ -87,3 +87,4 @@
{"ts": 1784036922, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "105476473765378697704173602882253304048974245706445258100084642430904375742011", "cond": "0x54570618ec2d24713f09896dd1e120b43515537c161d825656bdc1fef54ea66b", "title": "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Xtreme Gaming", "price": 0.46, "stake": 97.54, "reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -11.61, "settled": 1784037708, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.42}
{"ts": 1784038062, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "74079800819371354810882430985275264634530851270424415749197209350942756192264", "cond": "0x73b1e8e9993114bd0b92588ecdc2a6f490ba9cc6f85844d927ae62e0b3c15ca5", "title": "Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.242, "stake": 97.53, "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.69 > 0.08)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -99.75, "settled": 1784148557, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "exit_checked": true}
{"ts": 1784054882, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "106117170598299515991778271448868055604686257762862584190468389838818487912270", "cond": "0xbe259598e5a6c822d9d5cd125a853fecf6ebed30425621c4dd6fe4151b32d9ab", "title": "Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?", "outcome": "No", "price": 0.35, "stake": 95.37, "reason": "thin book ($5 within 5c < $50)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -97.23, "settled": 1784063079, "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "exit_checked": true}
{"ts": 1784106382, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "48230344805568764262522696442077527559175899701365768465113438102738863593763", "cond": "0xb3d5d0894da9a6438744854fb9a4cb0b6efa8ff0e8805adf8b4eb8c7f4f4344b", "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?", "outcome": "Up", "price": 0.4599, "stake": 52.7, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -6.76, "settled": 1784157230, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.4157}
copybot_rejects.jsonl
+4
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@@ -1989,3 +1989,7 @@
{"ts": 1785681357.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "36254202200306213488314524903646553769371526002143336025378808501550791838855", "cond": "0x6e83fdde855b209d3c4c0a107ecf6503350814421fa825ccea494e69e1324c77", "usd": 2.2, "price": 0.04, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 in August?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785681724.3, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "85376466556212180581280254474991969509394131397007831892630324829826957225267", "cond": "0x079c2fc0b46c4ca39baa47d9fa9305da5e0ab4a9b6c463e7601fe572c351f526", "usd": 101.89, "price": 0.7296573351, "reason": "$102 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785681727.7, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "85376466556212180581280254474991969509394131397007831892630324829826957225267", "cond": "0x079c2fc0b46c4ca39baa47d9fa9305da5e0ab4a9b6c463e7601fe572c351f526", "usd": 300.0, "price": 0.7923485961799601, "reason": "$300 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684712.8, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "91626595018177711644261736070428995717335647174882553314470996643517186235992", "cond": "0x37c67f4fa2db4b42b87262e034ffbc6f8eeba5cc3f4f2dee222311ad199a6139", "usd": 106.39, "price": 0.23, "reason": "$106 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684843.5, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "30336449975430458639815210142217475259744099097973942418807399809234010678689", "cond": "0xe39c29f498f9236e3897cdab4e9fc93f45a8b2b880eb35825d78a318636b7e59", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.657838, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684844.3, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "30336449975430458639815210142217475259744099097973942418807399809234010678689", "cond": "0xe39c29f498f9236e3897cdab4e9fc93f45a8b2b880eb35825d78a318636b7e59", "usd": 100.0, "price": 0.672495, "reason": "$100 < conviction floor $315", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785684911.6, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "62186892335112353200601116233014815327118615231581224116082907016816361622977", "cond": "0xc15cb40ae4cb082ce0ea9b4f9c5bc37b40485bfaf9f94cc0013e18ddea2a981f", "usd": 3.41, "price": 0.0551896552, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Ethereum above 1,870 on August 2, 12PM ET?", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
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View File
@@ -1,9 +1,6 @@
{
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"boot": {
@@ -24519,144 +24519,9 @@
"paper_maker": [],
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"ignored_exits": [
{
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"reason": "band",
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"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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{
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