gavindiaz/winning-wallet-finder_github
1
0
Fork 0
mirror of https://github.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder.git synced 2026-08-06 20:57:47 +00:00
Code Issues Packages Projects Releases Wiki Activity

copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

Browse Source
This commit is contained in:
copybot[bot]
2026-08-04 17:39:31 +00:00
parent 514a48c381
commit 30c2fbe5b0
7 changed files with 218 additions and 130 deletions
Download Patch File Download Diff File Expand all files Collapse all files
copybot_fills.jsonl
+1
View File
@@ -1312,3 +1312,4 @@
{"ts": 1785856949.4, "side": "SELL", "token": "32819665155605755010236143779947009768327413152372332911300524837573851288404", "shares": 24.7024, "price": 0.908, "fee": 0.0619, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785857013.4, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "32819665155605755010236143779947009768327413152372332911300524837573851288404", "name": "0xbadaf319", "outcome": "No", "title": "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?", "detect_lag_s": 1.4, "their_price": 0.8, "my_price": 0.8, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 65.33, "cost": 52.26, "fee": 0.3136, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.201, "ba": 0.8, "spread": 0.599, "bid5c": 22.01, "ask5c": 1708.45}, "maker": true}
{"ts": 1785858077.1, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "114449433793804741152636616815602958764078116393062159633554356421277316208723", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?", "detect_lag_s": 61.1, "their_price": 0.75, "my_price": 0.75, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 69.67, "cost": 52.25, "fee": 0.3919, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.632, "ba": 0.898, "spread": 0.266, "bid5c": 308.46, "ask5c": 221.1}, "maker": true}
{"ts": 1785865058.1, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 1.1, "their_price": 0.77, "my_price": 0.77, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 34.58, "cost": 26.63, "fee": 0.1837, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.77, "ba": 0.79, "spread": 0.02, "bid5c": 3535.43, "ask5c": 266.32}, "maker": true}
copybot_ignored_exits.jsonl
+4
View File
@@ -7437,3 +7437,7 @@
{"ts": 1785864817.3, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.29, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785864818.5, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785864819.9, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.431, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785865157.5, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.33, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785865159.2, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.3, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785865160.5, "token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.001, "shares_held": 431.49, "cost_held": 56.09, "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785865162.1, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.444, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_rejects.jsonl
+4
View File
@@ -2396,3 +2396,7 @@
{"ts": 1785862600.5, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "88055262336544723043551193457262417334445935173686048339223726478969953406171", "cond": "0xd04cfc3253ef13c1ebda1971b9476a29257d60ff5384617579770240b36875f7", "usd": 3.9, "price": 0.39, "reason": "$4 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785862949.1, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "88055262336544723043551193457262417334445935173686048339223726478969953406171", "cond": "0xd04cfc3253ef13c1ebda1971b9476a29257d60ff5384617579770240b36875f7", "usd": 1.92, "price": 0.3900000610000346, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785864862.9, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "92392882457361466414682477639321865560577679985964528570510578741906426987842", "cond": "0x00124c0277670e14a2e31daf162c517f1cc55b4843df9b372cea4957cb81277e", "usd": 55.4, "price": 0.7120000087398841, "reason": "$55 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785864903.5, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "57710947326527517142791816702921024824946830323262226496916404734255533257132", "cond": "0x86a2515d1df361ecd588ca8705c6eb83567cc9fbe907780c5d5d470877c1ce0c", "usd": 101.51, "price": 0.67, "reason": "$102 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785864911.9, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "92392882457361466414682477639321865560577679985964528570510578741906426987842", "cond": "0x00124c0277670e14a2e31daf162c517f1cc55b4843df9b372cea4957cb81277e", "usd": 191.82, "price": 0.712, "reason": "$192 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785865045.4, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218", "cond": "0x7fcd437be2d574e46b941a15c187fdff5c8a8eaa746b10ebcd7741f356014d7c", "usd": 188.09, "price": 0.79, "reason": "$188 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1785865085.1, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218", "cond": "0x7fcd437be2d574e46b941a15c187fdff5c8a8eaa746b10ebcd7741f356014d7c", "usd": 23.94, "price": 0.76, "reason": "$24 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
copybot_state.json
+141 -89
View File
@@ -1,8 +1,6 @@
{
"started_at": 1783541947.246319,
"seen_tx": [
"0x9a19acb517e9f0da94024e4a87b61678464fa96842d21d56c21bc4eebc92abd4",
"0x600c31dfaba1942b6cc9bb6aebede1b92a554b6a6327405d989cf7c8bff146f5",
"0x12f290063ae6fea38a854fc50ec083388d5de630602739c993324bd9a3d7cd8a",
"0x7e957b1c5f0327c3ba2a5e37fe26c4b3a9481769b8d453f0e8c939df14bee5a0",
"0x9afab633cd94dbc4f36fdecdded891c588937ee8051344d8a1317a5faae7192e",
@@ -5000,7 +4998,9 @@
"0x8d7a12c168abf10fe99fd66d1de334afe0d853a14fb9173ce6771f745380a673",
"0xa975fb52cc7c1e3307416caf8f59b9c4f3a49dcbf086e880f8292e2e93cf7258",
"0xb747fe5f2649c1fda363f2308de4aa19a5a63fb13a36fb027acbd78623351f9d",
"0xf759e4a600809404267f2930f13f88e61ceaa67e183ed3ee530018bdf71fe556"
"0xf759e4a600809404267f2930f13f88e61ceaa67e183ed3ee530018bdf71fe556",
"0xb26994171b39fc3d6f9eeff78b926b72af3cf0e19fa12877639bdae569bcf099",
"0x320ea0fbf19e4f887386072facb5f4b639eb40cc686d4791e22b5f6fcc89d7ea"
],
"their_pos": {
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -10162,7 +10162,8 @@
"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368": 416.66,
"87823307068114498763935325850531429658457985750942226626931639924771886967405": 1077.5078,
"105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 0.0,
"114449433793804741152636616815602958764078116393062159633554356421277316208723": 1760.5519
"114449433793804741152636616815602958764078116393062159633554356421277316208723": 1760.5519,
"87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218": 2831.96
},
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": {
"114711371330120068482313838962365747984220728893579964288039365743675176387739": 6259.0032,
@@ -14332,11 +14333,20 @@
"event": "0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt-20260626172559966",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"cond": "0xab38d355b9733ce4d605d47f6643436c1d706889efcb922682bf2e1d7c795bec"
},
"87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218": {
"shares": 34.58,
"cost": 26.6266,
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"event": "next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"cond": "0x7fcd437be2d574e46b941a15c187fdff5c8a8eaa746b10ebcd7741f356014d7c"
}
},
"spend": {
"date": "2026-08-04",
"usd": 458.140671193925
"usd": 484.767271193925
},
"seeded": [
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -14566,21 +14576,17 @@
"87823307068114498763935325850531429658457985750942226626931639924771886967405": "0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",
"105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": "0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",
"32819665155605755010236143779947009768327413152372332911300524837573851288404": "0xff3eade4aeb721d37d4ba7c7a924eb949df2a0449488709eb1825233cc49e7b1",
"114449433793804741152636616815602958764078116393062159633554356421277316208723": "0xab38d355b9733ce4d605d47f6643436c1d706889efcb922682bf2e1d7c795bec"
"114449433793804741152636616815602958764078116393062159633554356421277316208723": "0xab38d355b9733ce4d605d47f6643436c1d706889efcb922682bf2e1d7c795bec",
"87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218": "0x7fcd437be2d574e46b941a15c187fdff5c8a8eaa746b10ebcd7741f356014d7c"
},
"cash": 1007.4447877128013,
"cash": 980.6344641728012,
"lag": {
"n": 394,
"sum_s": 7619.4625470638275,
"n": 395,
"sum_s": 7620.607040882111,
"sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669
},
"fees_paid": 459.3541896128442,
"fees_paid": 459.5379131528442,
"lag_recent": [
[
1785775008.8,
0.8,
0.0
],
[
1785783825.9,
7.9,
@@ -14645,6 +14651,11 @@
1785858077.1,
61.1,
0.0
],
[
1785865058.1,
1.1,
0.0
]
],
"bets": {
@@ -21702,11 +21713,31 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1788134400
},
"87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218": {
"token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "Yes",
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.77,
"my_price": 0.77,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.1,
"shares": 34.58,
"cost": 26.63,
"fee": 0.1837,
"opened": 1785865057,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1787270400
}
},
"hwm": 3600.1933566560215,
"feed_sig": "8918d92fdc487273c8b42af401670b5b",
"feed_pushed_at": 1785864746.5190318,
"feed_sig": "2308dc2e844ce5b86540d1e97c310e80",
"feed_pushed_at": 1785865020.3792977,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783889397,
@@ -25048,7 +25079,7 @@
"107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1,
"112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 338,
"79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4,
"45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 1864,
"45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 1865,
"64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15,
"99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 65,
"91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 10,
@@ -25072,17 +25103,17 @@
"51755566490633190587710009082328558101318630200939268705320724845423074644286": 2,
"52147710483318183023156143315213141415940410632254734638455935907277139704912": 1,
"42904109279829735534970379368330412783573788683856067315929342371394889824245": 2,
"69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062": 603,
"69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062": 604,
"76752916551697359157851234269297016591012843522959969977805224055761398575042": 48,
"102071153892246039627048034194967021680193759805083679061162745293075874048047": 46,
"36288736401955665119786973077283875206752336249826000621290926077161772340777": 44,
"69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 467,
"69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 468,
"85120775770768568171037319691430512769043349724236381575493834592043972740948": 1,
"84833713274530571479250444223158955887841795944345736012615608017701449951658": 1,
"36170784529909729175483932196304779852897425726715038923506785466386030402957": 1,
"44629810392325306078320885126725432925432567001348877770307512058002095840308": 142,
"41800024459753239846641136399457022409586964534205265889258791197815836336250": 51,
"105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 27
"105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 28
},
"trade_cursor": {
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
@@ -25092,7 +25123,7 @@
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785429351,
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1785861542,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785834869,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785862949,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1785865058,
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": 1785617775
},
"boot": {
@@ -25100,79 +25131,40 @@
"ts": 1785194148
},
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1785858077,
"ts": 1785865058,
"side": "BUY",
"price": 0.75,
"shares": 69.67,
"title": "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?",
"outcome": "No"
"price": 0.77,
"shares": 34.58,
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ",
"outcome": "Yes"
},
"paper_maker": [],
"paper_maker": [
{
"paper_maker": true,
"sz": 32.28,
"mode": "maker",
"token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218",
"side": "BUY",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"event": "next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt",
"cond": "0x7fcd437be2d574e46b941a15c187fdff5c8a8eaa746b10ebcd7741f356014d7c",
"their_price": 0.76,
"their_ts": 1785865089,
"price": 0.76,
"is_add": true,
"stake": 24.540122554381814,
"ts": 1785865089.606542,
"ttl_s": 60.0,
"ba_at_signal": 0.8
}
],
"maker_stats": {
"fills": 161,
"fills": 162,
"misses": 85
},
"ignored_exits": [
{
"ts": 1785846902.6,
"token": "41800024459753239846641136399457022409586964534205265889258791197815836336250",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.001,
"shares_held": 91.6,
"cost_held": 54.04,
"title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner",
"outcome": "Kiwoom DRX",
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785847246.3,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.37,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785847247.7,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.23,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785847248.8,
"token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.001,
"shares_held": 431.49,
"cost_held": 56.09,
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785847249.8,
"token": "44629810392325306078320885126725432925432567001348877770307512058002095840308",
@@ -28112,6 +28104,66 @@
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785865157.5,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.33,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785865159.2,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.3,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785865160.5,
"token": "69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.001,
"shares_held": 431.49,
"cost_held": 56.09,
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1785865162.1,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.444,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
}
]
}
live/copybot_live.json
+37 -37
View File
@@ -5,20 +5,20 @@
"stake_pct": 0.04,
"event_cap": 0,
"hwm": 3600.19,
"cash": 1007.44,
"deployed": 1551.08,
"cash": 980.63,
"deployed": 1577.7,
"reserve": 0.0,
"realized": 1558.49,
"realized": 1558.31,
"adjustments": 0.03,
"ledger_drift": -0.01,
"open_count": 29,
"fees_paid": 459.35,
"open_count": 30,
"fees_paid": 459.54,
"fee_rate": 0.03,
"lag": {
"n": 394,
"n24": 13,
"n": 395,
"n24": 14,
"basis": "24h",
"avg_s": 6.8,
"avg_s": 4.6,
"avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
"window_h": 24
},
@@ -50,6 +50,26 @@
"JuiceFarm": 735.0
},
"bets": [
{
"token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "Yes",
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.77,
"my_price": 0.77,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.1,
"shares": 34.58,
"cost": 26.63,
"fee": 0.18,
"opened": 1785865057,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1787270400
},
{
"token": "41800024459753239846641136399457022409586964534205265889258791197815836336250",
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
@@ -2123,26 +2143,6 @@
"pnl": -110.32,
"settled": 1785249263,
"end_ts": 1785196800
},
{
"token": "80808145657906667113795891925826034935213900714245802195985269085181895227480",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"outcome": "No",
"title": "Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
"their_price": 0.8132,
"my_price": 0.8132,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 5.3,
"shares": 32.2,
"cost": 26.19,
"fee": 0.15,
"opened": 1785242651,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1830297600
}
],
"missed": [
@@ -3095,12 +3095,12 @@
],
"missed_pnl": 21273.25,
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1785858077,
"ts": 1785865058,
"side": "BUY",
"price": 0.75,
"shares": 69.67,
"title": "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?",
"outcome": "No"
"price": 0.77,
"shares": 34.58,
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ",
"outcome": "Yes"
},
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
@@ -3167,11 +3167,11 @@
"realized": 82.68,
"n": 18,
"wins": 3,
"open_cost": 1122.85,
"open_n": 15,
"open_cost": 1149.48,
"open_n": 16,
"miss_n": 45,
"miss_pnl": -750.17,
"last_ts": 1785858016
"last_ts": 1785865057
},
"JuiceFarm": {
"realized": -217.7,
@@ -3204,5 +3204,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1785864820
"updated": 1785865058
}
live/copybot_live_full.json
+24 -4
View File
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"updated": 1785864820,
"updated": 1785865058,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": 621.89,
@@ -66,11 +66,11 @@
"realized": 82.68,
"n": 18,
"wins": 3,
"open_cost": 1122.85,
"open_n": 15,
"open_cost": 1149.48,
"open_n": 16,
"miss_n": 45,
"miss_pnl": -750.17,
"last_ts": 1785858016
"last_ts": 1785865057
},
"JuiceFarm": {
"realized": -217.7,
@@ -104,6 +104,26 @@
}
},
"bets": [
{
"token": "87623015856302842960010309762440982581803742318399419544646008856275103748218",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "Yes",
"title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.77,
"my_price": 0.77,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.1,
"shares": 34.58,
"cost": 26.63,
"fee": 0.1837,
"opened": 1785865057,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1787270400
},
{
"token": "41800024459753239846641136399457022409586964534205265889258791197815836336250",
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
rtds_shadow.jsonl
+7
View File
@@ -2236,3 +2236,10 @@
{"ts": 1785864627.52, "trade_ts": 1785864627, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 35, "price": 0.029, "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4?", "tx": "0xf759e4a600809404267f2930f13f88e61ceaa67e183ed3ee530018bdf71fe556", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785864627.8, "trade_ts": 1785864627, "lat_s": 0.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 35, "price": 0.976, "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4?", "tx": "0xb747fe5f2649c1fda363f2308de4aa19a5a63fb13a36fb027acbd78623351f9d", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1785864862.77, "trade_ts": 1785864862, "lat_s": 0.77, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 77.804235, "price": 0.7120000087398841, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August ", "tx": "0xed79a92bd442300c418848098252000d611338dad291131b6f61e87ba37eb129", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785864903.43, "trade_ts": 1785864903, "lat_s": 0.43, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 151.51, "price": 0.67, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ", "tx": "0xae001865ccbff843d8dac959e80948e7af7d0927173e1647ffc413e4f4b4da34", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785864911.91, "trade_ts": 1785864911, "lat_s": 0.91, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 269.41, "price": 0.712, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August ", "tx": "0x4d334df99f6d7404bfcc6c923235c366940fafc0f8aa15377d6ed595fedff3d8", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785865045.25, "trade_ts": 1785865044, "lat_s": 1.25, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 238.09, "price": 0.79, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ", "tx": "0xe39e6bca540c1a91c28f7ab366fc651f9e4f57378970649497fd6b77e841e7d0", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785865045.38, "trade_ts": 1785865044, "lat_s": 1.38, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 909.09, "price": 0.78, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ", "tx": "0xe39e6bca540c1a91c28f7ab366fc651f9e4f57378970649497fd6b77e841e7d0", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785865057.92, "trade_ts": 1785865057, "lat_s": 0.92, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 434.78, "price": 0.77, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ", "tx": "0xb26994171b39fc3d6f9eeff78b926b72af3cf0e19fa12877639bdae569bcf099", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785865085.01, "trade_ts": 1785865084, "lat_s": 1.01, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 31.5, "price": 0.76, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ", "tx": "0x1a3adda56f00d293f44a9cbacfefc4898c0162eb8be5a36196d444f33e606f53", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1785865089.48, "trade_ts": 1785865089, "lat_s": 0.48, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 1218.5, "price": 0.76, "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August ", "tx": "0x320ea0fbf19e4f887386072facb5f4b639eb40cc686d4791e22b5f6fcc89d7ea", "seen": false}