copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

This commit is contained in:
copybot[bot]
2026-08-06 19:06:27 +00:00
parent 41db5999f9
commit 0c672b1c90
7 changed files with 567 additions and 469 deletions
+1
View File
@@ -1326,3 +1326,4 @@
{"ts": 1786015215.8, "side": "SELL", "token": "24078451613163097416410370805562772205827071462344242816835897193771116630414", "shares": 55.52, "price": 0.935, "fee": 0.1012, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786016915.7, "side": "SELL", "token": "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027", "shares": 18.3388, "price": 0.983, "fee": 0.0092, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040035.1, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "Yes", "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?", "detect_lag_s": 8.1, "their_price": 0.7554, "my_price": 0.7554, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 64.11, "cost": 48.43, "fee": 0.3554, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.77, "ba": 0.83, "spread": 0.06, "bid5c": 215.33, "ask5c": 12143.27}, "maker": true}
{"ts": 1786043159.4, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 1.4, "their_price": 0.43, "my_price": 0.43, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 112.61, "cost": 48.42, "fee": 0.828, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.4, "ba": 0.47, "spread": 0.07, "bid5c": 74.32, "ask5c": 608.96}, "maker": true}
+27
View File
@@ -9184,3 +9184,30 @@
{"ts": 1786039828.8, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786039830.1, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786039832.7, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.221, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040188.3, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040189.4, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040191.7, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.218, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040536.5, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040537.6, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040540.0, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.217, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040884.6, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040885.8, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786040888.0, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041234.1, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041235.2, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041237.8, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.198, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041587.0, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041588.2, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041590.6, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.201, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041937.2, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041938.4, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786041940.9, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.192, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042294.4, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042296.0, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042298.4, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.193, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042645.0, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042646.4, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042649.1, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.181, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042986.5, "token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.26, "shares_held": 210.4428, "cost_held": 116.53, "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?", "outcome": "No", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042987.7, "token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.2, "shares_held": 168.23, "cost_held": 68.97, "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042990.3, "token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.186, "shares_held": 115.61, "cost_held": 52.95, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "mode": "paper"}
+6
View File
@@ -2679,3 +2679,9 @@
{"ts": 1786039028.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "34348401464483404436375520444132896154961804251525461227009219402484825374707", "cond": "0x7196cbcd09db744f743aab8c0c5f509fa543d4a44cd89a3e5344d3560cefe7d6", "usd": 0.7, "price": 0.68, "reason": "$1 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786039028.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "41978738348470545166930551290923413070202155971845639631238449909918034477903", "cond": "0x04d29e27cfcba5b16705e10703969bb78e1391023b172f5c842f4e04889afe0a", "usd": 6.09, "price": 0.2803333009, "reason": "$6 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will StripChain launch a token by September 30, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786039369.7, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "31380452762865791793264313641563783010295782641131937184752318076265493577821", "cond": "0xabe0e41540b70f3535b0d9325a19bc6f8c6bcce0ce27c28636a2e1d5c0c4eda8", "usd": 58.73, "price": 0.37, "reason": "$59 < conviction floor $227", "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042830.2, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "80221183297959328654324428205995723367712555953802554653112267319672220033648", "cond": "0x4938db4a60db6a4de08e1e602f21e7a6eaab093c0b2d3fb5f69beb04d638d1ab", "usd": 1.26, "price": 0.2, "reason": "$1 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042830.3, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "112642191328596131899261381629595999993248108696545484436032154719158169979395", "cond": "0x771a75b397ca5470508a01de94d6ccdbf141e6b2d7b38d468b2b55880a3595aa", "usd": 4.32, "price": 0.6299999708333212, "reason": "$4 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042841.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "112642191328596131899261381629595999993248108696545484436032154719158169979395", "cond": "0x771a75b397ca5470508a01de94d6ccdbf141e6b2d7b38d468b2b55880a3595aa", "usd": 4.26, "price": 0.71, "reason": "$4 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786042841.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "80221183297959328654324428205995723367712555953802554653112267319672220033648", "cond": "0x4938db4a60db6a4de08e1e602f21e7a6eaab093c0b2d3fb5f69beb04d638d1ab", "usd": 1.62, "price": 0.2603570332844173, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786043042.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "23107913951671005991985539426993172792762385608856370611599765901862020627379", "cond": "0x6d09979202ab1494303d4a857907dcbde95e902afeca4ae7f19f8e7a494f55a3", "usd": 18.27, "price": 0.8999999555, "reason": "$18 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1786043042.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "115477255388398067209602603916730588022566055529260778767516598267567887881801", "cond": "0x18dd286131c0c94310ff301e4cbc6769095e03410795a224ad00a05d3b731219", "usd": 1.66, "price": 0.08, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
+462 -427
View File
@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
{
"started_at": 1783541947.246319,
"seen_tx": [
"0xe34b9590336352f78f1472e4bbeb046291eda759fdb77c877c9e256bdc32f6b1",
"0xcf33e4242f219fa3d4061cbace30eae85b0461d164f73d925fa6ae854eba882d",
"0xaa119fe2a0f21e22e4cd748cc6721bfe44c131b3437b94800b0ff3eeeee294bf",
"0x9e3844c550d05de918e8ba50fbd60cedfad55b6707542360236dd83f93119f82",
@@ -5000,7 +4999,8 @@
"0x1257c1232f3ce08df5d3f6b737d512ed011a4441204dba24623956d17a0cebda",
"0xbaae8595c114529c72ce5d230c161ccaf5d7c5d356ff9024d024a12315777812",
"0xafe1235a3abf2b634ee857ffb2b324b9e6cea35d57f9154b67f5e5be3ac843e7",
"0xc15810edeaf79dab7b936a3c7a82a409ac14c823a01c56a305af32fde4991297"
"0xc15810edeaf79dab7b936a3c7a82a409ac14c823a01c56a305af32fde4991297",
"0x9960dcd9b36c1d34b55b3c7b5aa0fe7f0476d35e7fadcb3a0279b98469f6b0fa"
],
"their_pos": {
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": {
@@ -10221,7 +10221,7 @@
"63284803361703132321048739956780460363879925620696486229140595548329650415109": 862.06,
"77550960228341204288120509394963885549177211314903311399404330431381651171385": 0.0,
"69096949813045225336683960679829035937696902053122957721872788215708031375062": 0.0,
"106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869": 299.2299999999997,
"106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869": 1176.4199999999996,
"8380715925577845977184977030716387784969501288623224112825735013253473276536": 830.61,
"57183668547172424432356612075515208667422020948179508683908566129801961332276": 0.0,
"25780763791710454443844307339013118520329797311520117464451837313397103715375": 0.0,
@@ -10247,7 +10247,7 @@
"24078451613163097416410370805562772205827071462344242816835897193771116630414": 0.0,
"40081275558852222228080198821361202017557872256707631666334039001378518619916": 1782.53,
"200151319696111844652491412631482014847337257056971003992808586181134014409": 1044.18,
"60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": 775.672
"60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": 327.912
},
"0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90": {
"114711371330120068482313838962365747984220728893579964288039365743675176387739": 6259.0032,
@@ -14444,11 +14444,20 @@
"event": "us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-by-august-14-20260715194822046",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"cond": "0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f"
},
"106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869": {
"shares": 112.61,
"cost": 48.4223,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"event": "us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"cond": "0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282"
}
},
"spend": {
"date": "2026-08-06",
"usd": 144.701273299539
"usd": 193.123573299539
},
"seeded": [
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -14684,15 +14693,16 @@
"87970647543236439083440944769400298504759134074324143770349947929248763079016": "0x14ba4a9b638d59ec070561731d266b46f9c4f88c67f1e2357dabab89a807f390",
"54454320447199793390647050027653271985412597042191832216838799636248932328400": "0x256a68060ae5f1504a37095ee33d8767532fd9661436eb616f5e65d6d90de1d6",
"24078451613163097416410370805562772205827071462344242816835897193771116630414": "0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e",
"60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": "0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f"
"60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607": "0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",
"106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869": "0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282"
},
"cash": 754.855550841499,
"cash": 705.605229511499,
"lag": {
"n": 405,
"sum_s": 7738.032909870148,
"n": 406,
"sum_s": 7739.434376716614,
"sum_slip_pct": -7.247834511462669
},
"fees_paid": 463.59829361015693,
"fees_paid": 464.42631494015694,
"lag_recent": [
[
1785986937.5,
@@ -14708,6 +14718,11 @@
1786040035.1,
8.1,
0.0
],
[
1786043159.4,
1.4,
0.0
]
],
"bets": {
@@ -21989,11 +22004,31 @@
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1786665600
},
"106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869": {
"token": "106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "No",
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.43,
"my_price": 0.43,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.4,
"shares": 112.61,
"cost": 48.42,
"fee": 0.828,
"opened": 1786043158,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1786752000
}
},
"hwm": 3600.1933566560215,
"feed_sig": "790f2df5b79e7b5252cb4adb94594ab0",
"feed_pushed_at": 1786039984.5730639,
"feed_sig": "0b4598ea98e6f7b4f36c3349be91fd8f",
"feed_pushed_at": 1786043050.2394953,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783889397,
@@ -25337,7 +25372,7 @@
"107156085038944146438947590438365026964800691960988984359921209164919978522933": 1,
"112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228": 338,
"79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928": 4,
"45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 2324,
"45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421": 2333,
"64694885593632675781317938696736040286617580212029967143105168259299625512290": 15,
"99168594369112900321075065263037928819848865546262777337590843994370476821249": 65,
"91266914832076152890178245367327746643886105568273548856344063538633019008684": 10,
@@ -25365,13 +25400,13 @@
"76752916551697359157851234269297016591012843522959969977805224055761398575042": 48,
"102071153892246039627048034194967021680193759805083679061162745293075874048047": 46,
"36288736401955665119786973077283875206752336249826000621290926077161772340777": 44,
"69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 926,
"69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": 935,
"85120775770768568171037319691430512769043349724236381575493834592043972740948": 1,
"84833713274530571479250444223158955887841795944345736012615608017701449951658": 1,
"36170784529909729175483932196304779852897425726715038923506785466386030402957": 1,
"44629810392325306078320885126725432925432567001348877770307512058002095840308": 142,
"41800024459753239846641136399457022409586964534205265889258791197815836336250": 51,
"105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 486,
"105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092": 495,
"15469460331352019135823646480486919090388437520615806921617791717165460861234": 7,
"44878213123264609020900502267992317958528606661890344163785451259153992473346": 1,
"12655298432856023401377623311129453877580829892143866780900963131940895536375": 62
@@ -25380,7 +25415,7 @@
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
"0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
"0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1785951531,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1786039028,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1786043042,
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1785429351,
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1786028364,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1786018536,
@@ -25392,424 +25427,19 @@
"ts": 1785194148
},
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1786040035,
"ts": 1786043159,
"side": "BUY",
"price": 0.7554,
"shares": 64.11,
"title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",
"outcome": "Yes"
"price": 0.43,
"shares": 112.61,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "No"
},
"paper_maker": [],
"maker_stats": {
"fills": 172,
"fills": 173,
"misses": 91
},
"ignored_exits": [
{
"ts": 1786015211.9,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.21,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786015214.0,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.293,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786015870.8,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786015872.1,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.21,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786015874.3,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.295,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016222.7,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016224.0,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.21,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016226.4,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.303,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016575.8,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016577.0,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.21,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016579.4,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.299,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016915.0,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016916.9,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786016920.0,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.299,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017276.2,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017277.3,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017279.4,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.294,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017624.2,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017625.3,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017627.9,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.383,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017974.4,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017975.6,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.21,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786017978.0,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.398,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786018323.2,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786018324.6,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.21,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786018327.4,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.402,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786018671.0,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.24,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786018672.1,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
@@ -28404,6 +28034,411 @@
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040188.3,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040189.4,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040191.7,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.218,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040536.5,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040537.6,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040540.0,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.217,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040884.6,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040885.8,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786040888.0,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041234.1,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041235.2,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041237.8,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.198,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041587.0,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041588.2,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041590.6,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.201,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041937.2,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041938.4,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786041940.9,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.192,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042294.4,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042296.0,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042298.4,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.193,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042645.0,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042646.4,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042649.1,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.181,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042986.5,
"token": "69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.26,
"shares_held": 210.4428,
"cost_held": 116.53,
"title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
"outcome": "No",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042987.7,
"token": "45117272123752214028376460723544361926835506941716663290099518852020253462421",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.2,
"shares_held": 168.23,
"cost_held": 68.97,
"title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"mode": "paper"
},
{
"ts": 1786042990.3,
"token": "105018125001683421642188507083357166141411975719572822588636238221967305408092",
"their_size": 0,
"their_prev": 0,
"frac": 1.0,
"reason": "band",
"sell_px": 0.186,
"shares_held": 115.61,
"cost_held": 52.95,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"mode": "paper"
}
]
}
+38 -38
View File
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"bankroll": 1000.0,
"stake": 48.43,
"stake": 48.41,
"stake_pct": 0.04,
"event_cap": 0,
"hwm": 3600.19,
"cash": 754.86,
"deployed": 1666.43,
"cash": 705.61,
"deployed": 1714.85,
"reserve": 0.0,
"realized": 1421.25,
"realized": 1420.42,
"adjustments": 0.03,
"ledger_drift": -0.02,
"open_count": 32,
"fees_paid": 463.6,
"open_count": 33,
"fees_paid": 464.43,
"fee_rate": 0.03,
"lag": {
"n": 405,
"n24": 3,
"n": 406,
"n24": 4,
"basis": "24h",
"avg_s": 8.1,
"avg_s": 4.8,
"avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
"window_h": 24
},
@@ -50,6 +50,26 @@
"JuiceFarm": 735.0
},
"bets": [
{
"token": "106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "No",
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.43,
"my_price": 0.43,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.4,
"shares": 112.61,
"cost": 48.42,
"fee": 0.83,
"opened": 1786043158,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1786752000
},
{
"token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
@@ -2115,26 +2135,6 @@
"end_ts": 1785283200,
"sold_shares": 197.2,
"sold_proceeds": 178.13
},
{
"token": "103571541388540797188675210796137540235836253758187660366648677646356255933450",
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
"name": "AIcAIc",
"outcome": "Kiwoom DRX",
"title": "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner",
"their_price": 0.56,
"my_price": 0.56,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 23.4,
"shares": 253.09,
"cost": 141.73,
"fee": 1.87,
"opened": 1785315623,
"status": "lost",
"exit_price": 0.0,
"pnl": -143.6,
"settled": 1785332363,
"end_ts": 1785283200
}
],
"missed": [
@@ -3088,12 +3088,12 @@
],
"missed_pnl": 21332.65,
"last_fill": {
"ts": 1786040035,
"ts": 1786043159,
"side": "BUY",
"price": 0.7554,
"shares": 64.11,
"title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",
"outcome": "Yes"
"price": 0.43,
"shares": 112.61,
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
"outcome": "No"
},
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
@@ -3160,11 +3160,11 @@
"realized": 35.81,
"n": 21,
"wins": 3,
"open_cost": 1162.77,
"open_n": 18,
"open_cost": 1211.19,
"open_n": 19,
"miss_n": 49,
"miss_pnl": -571.16,
"last_ts": 1786040027
"last_ts": 1786043158
},
"JuiceFarm": {
"realized": -217.7,
@@ -3197,5 +3197,5 @@
"last_ts": 0
}
},
"updated": 1786040044
"updated": 1786043167
}
+24 -4
View File
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"updated": 1786040044,
"updated": 1786043167,
"wallet_pnl": {
"0xbadaf319": {
"realized": 542.3,
@@ -66,11 +66,11 @@
"realized": 35.81,
"n": 21,
"wins": 3,
"open_cost": 1162.77,
"open_n": 18,
"open_cost": 1211.19,
"open_n": 19,
"miss_n": 49,
"miss_pnl": -571.16,
"last_ts": 1786040027
"last_ts": 1786043158
},
"JuiceFarm": {
"realized": -217.7,
@@ -104,6 +104,26 @@
}
},
"bets": [
{
"token": "106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"outcome": "No",
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
"their_price": 0.43,
"my_price": 0.43,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.4,
"shares": 112.61,
"cost": 48.42,
"fee": 0.828,
"opened": 1786043158,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"end_ts": 1786752000
},
{
"token": "60736604095974956194543682313156464544142668961532964567135396949190081432607",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
+9
View File
@@ -2267,3 +2267,12 @@
{"ts": 1786039369.58, "trade_ts": 1786039369, "lat_s": 0.58, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 158.72, "price": 0.37, "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?", "tx": "0x092ef73e735e34545a149f604bc78bfa33e71954c89da3426eff6eb318a6a443", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786040027.04, "trade_ts": 1786040026, "lat_s": 1.04, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 359.012, "price": 0.75, "title": "", "tx": "0xc15810edeaf79dab7b936a3c7a82a409ac14c823a01c56a305af32fde4991297", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786040035.08, "trade_ts": 1786040027, "lat_s": 8.08, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 416.66, "price": 0.76, "title": "", "tx": "0xc15810edeaf79dab7b936a3c7a82a409ac14c823a01c56a305af32fde4991297", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1786042830.05, "trade_ts": 1786042829, "lat_s": 1.05, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.3, "price": 0.2, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 20", "tx": "0xa46affd2ecbb145bf875c92bb05468cbbb7dd4843a948015dbe6c754bf368adf", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786042830.24, "trade_ts": 1786042830, "lat_s": 0.24, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.85714, "price": 0.6299999708333212, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of August 3 20", "tx": "0x6d83112362cbd4cb91e781730d021650acd6903815e52a03eb2463130241d32d", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786042841.51, "trade_ts": 1786042841, "lat_s": 0.51, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6, "price": 0.71, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of August 3 20", "tx": "0xb92ba0b16cd0e68b46cff0c78c7a343abc5b5beb6a29719a99cb0c99be47bed6", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786042841.76, "trade_ts": 1786042841, "lat_s": 0.76, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.222221, "price": 0.2603570332844173, "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 20", "tx": "0xafa1e3ffb5a253da82ac1a8875e793fa8030dc7bd4bcb1c680892c50bd9a097f", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786043041.82, "trade_ts": 1786043041, "lat_s": 0.82, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 20.222221, "price": 0.8999999554945028, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2", "tx": "0xdd86e0bd4e3f948355cadeeb6c6cedb8184d9d0cfda12ab3fde7b61aad910f99", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786043041.98, "trade_ts": 1786043041, "lat_s": 0.98, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 20, "price": 0.08, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2", "tx": "0xdc64c73583bc03ceff2d1a53019764675b1315a11e95f5438bbcb7cd71fcda65", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786043159.08, "trade_ts": 1786043158, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 877.19, "price": 0.43, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?", "tx": "0x9960dcd9b36c1d34b55b3c7b5aa0fe7f0476d35e7fadcb3a0279b98469f6b0fa", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1786043159.51, "trade_ts": 1786043158, "lat_s": 1.51, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 892.85, "price": 0.44, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?", "tx": "0x9960dcd9b36c1d34b55b3c7b5aa0fe7f0476d35e7fadcb3a0279b98469f6b0fa", "seen": true}
{"ts": 1786043159.54, "trade_ts": 1786043159, "lat_s": 0.54, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "side": "BUY", "size": 847.45, "price": 0.41, "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?", "tx": "0x9960dcd9b36c1d34b55b3c7b5aa0fe7f0476d35e7fadcb3a0279b98469f6b0fa", "seen": true}