3141c392de
AGENT.md: - Expanded dimension 4 (niche analysis): ITF tennis/tier-3 esports = real edge, 5min BTC/scalping = never follow, long holds (>7d) kill compounding - Added edge disappearance warning (ArbTraderRookie wiped mid-analysis) - Added 5 new AI agent rules: don't use copy_pnl alone, niche awareness, edge fragility, win rate is survivorship-biased, small capital = concentrate 日常使用.md: - Added emergency exit procedure (host/flatten_positions.py) - Added edge disappearance detection and response procedure 问题排查与踩坑记录.md: - Added gotcha 7.11: win rate is survivorship-biased (90.6% shown = 48.3% real) - Added gotcha 7.12: edge can vanish (wallet wiped from API mid-analysis) - Added gotcha 7.13: long holds kill compounding (leegunner + lifetime but - to copy due to 7.6-day holds) - Added gotcha 7.14: emergency exit tool (flatten_positions.py)
509 lines
17 KiB
Markdown
509 lines
17 KiB
Markdown
# 日常使用手册
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> 部署完成后,每天只需花 5 分钟看一眼。大部分时间什么都不用做。
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>
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> 配合 `DEPLOY.md`(部署指南)、`USAGE.md`(项目逻辑)、`mihomo代理部署教程.md`(代理)一起看。
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---
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## 自动运行的部分(不用管)
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| 任务 | 频率 | 做什么 |
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|------|------|--------|
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| paper bot | 24/7 | 模拟跟单,直连 |
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| live bot | 24/7 | 真钱跟单,走代理 |
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| mihomo 代理 | 24/7 | 日本节点绕 geo-block |
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| dashboard | 24/7 | 网页展示实时账本 |
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| daily.sh | 每天 02:00 UTC(10:00 北京) | 刷新钱包池、打分、回测、推 Gitea |
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| 代理健康检查 | 每 5 分钟 | 节点挂了自动换 |
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---
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## 每日检查流程(约 5 分钟)
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### 第 1 步:看 dashboard
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浏览器打开 `http://45.207.206.36:18080/`(**先关掉本地 Clash 系统代理**,否则打不开)
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dashboard 顶部现在有 3 个自动面板,一眼看完不用 SSH:
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1. **系统健康**面板:
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- 4 个服务状态(Paper/Live/Dashboard/代理)全绿 = 正常
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- `CASH≠CHAIN: 正常` = 账本对得上
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- `心跳: X分X秒前` = bot 最后更新时间(>1 小时可能有问题,见紧急处理)
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2. **每日流水线**面板:
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- `✓ 正常` + 上次运行时间 = daily.sh 今天跑成功了
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- 钱包池数量(76 skilled / 12 sharps)
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3. **钱包建议**面板:
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- ❌ 已淘汰 = 当前跟的但不在 watch_sharps 里了 -> 必须换(见下方"换跟单钱包")
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- ⬆️ 建议加 = 排名靠前但没跟的 -> 可以考虑
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- 全 ✅ = 不用动
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然后点右上角按钮切到 **LIVE** 模式,看交易数据:
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- **现金**:还剩多少能下单
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- **已实现盈亏**:赚了还是亏了
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- **开放订单**:有没有卡住的仓位
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- **账本漂移**:是不是 $0.00(不是 = 有问题,见紧急处理)
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> 如果 dashboard 三个面板全绿 + LIVE 数据正常,第 2-4 步可以跳过。
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### 第 2 步:看日志有没有异常
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SSH 上服务器,跑:
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```bash
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# live bot 最近 1 小时有没有报错
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journalctl -u copybot-live --since "1 hour ago" --no-pager | grep -E "⚠|ERROR|FAIL|CASH≠CHAIN"
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# 代理正常吗
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/opt/mihomo-healthcheck.sh && echo "代理正常" || echo "代理异常"
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```
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- 没有 `⚠` 输出 = 正常
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- 有 `CASH≠CHAIN` = 见下方紧急处理
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- 代理异常 = 见下方紧急处理
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### 第 3 步:看 daily.sh 有没有跑成功
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```bash
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# 看今天的日志末尾
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tail -10 /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/daily.log
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```
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预期末尾看到 `done -> watch_sharps.json + dashboard.html`。
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如果没跑或报错,手动跑:
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```bash
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cd /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live && bash daily.sh
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```
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### 第 4 步:看钱包池有没有大变化(可选)
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```bash
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cat /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/watch_sharps.json | python3 -m json.tool | grep -E "name|copy_pnl"
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```
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如果排名靠前的钱包变了,或者你正在跟的钱包被淘汰了,考虑换(见下方"换跟单钱包")。
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---
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## 定期任务
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### 换跟单钱包(每周看一次)
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#### 去哪看
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**方法 1(推荐):dashboard 面板**
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打开 `http://45.207.206.36:18080/`,顶部"钱包建议"面板直接显示:
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```
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当前跟的 排名 copy_pnl 信念胜率 状态
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Vahan88 #1 +3486 86% ✅ 正常
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Kruto2027 #2 +2247 69% ✅ 正常
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0xbadaf319 #3 +1010 80% ✅ 正常
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1kto1m #5 +719 98% ✅ 正常
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LSB1 #6 +706 91% ✅ 正常
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建议加:
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⬆️ BikesAreTheBikes · #4 · +813 · 21%
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```
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- **❌ 已淘汰** = 当前跟的但不在 watch_sharps 里了 -> 必须踢
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- **⬆️ 建议** = watch_sharps 排名前 6 但没跟的 -> 可以考虑加
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- **✅ 正常** = 不用动
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**方法 2:命令行看原始数据**
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```bash
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# 看 watch_sharps 排名(12 个可复制钱包)
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cat /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/watch_sharps.json | python3 -m json.tool | grep -E "name|copy_pnl|conv_win"
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# 看你当前跟的 5 个
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python3 -c "import json; [print(w['name']) for w in json.load(open('/opt/winning-wallet-finder/config.live.json'))['wallets']]"
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```
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#### 什么时候要换
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- dashboard 面板里有 **❌ 已淘汰** -> 必须踢,换成 ⬆️ 建议的
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- 某个钱包连续亏钱(看 dashboard 的"最近结算"盈亏列)-> 考虑踢
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- ⬆️ 建议的钱包 copy_pnl 明显高于你跟的最差的 -> 考虑优化
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#### 怎么换
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**改哪两个文件**:
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| 文件 | 位置 | 改什么 |
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|------|------|--------|
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| `config.live.json` | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/config.live.json` | live bot 跟的钱包 |
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| `copybot.paper.json` | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/copybot.paper.json` | paper bot 跟的钱包 |
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> 两个文件必须改一致(paper 和 live 跟同一批钱包,结果才可比)。
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**换的脚本**(踢旧的 + 加新的,paper 和 live 一起改):
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```bash
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cd /opt/winning-wallet-finder
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python3 <<'PYEOF'
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import json
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# === 在这里配置:保留哪些、加哪些 ===
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keep_names = {"Kruto2027", "0xbadaf319", "1kto1m"} # 保留的
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add_names = ("Vahan88", "LSB1") # 新加的
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# 从 watch_sharps.json 查新钱包地址
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sharps = json.load(open("live/watch_sharps.json"))
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addr_map = {}
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for w in sharps:
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if w.get("name") in add_names:
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addr_map[w["name"]] = w["wallet"]
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# 改 paper 配置和 live 配置
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for cfg_path in ["live/copybot.paper.json", "config.live.json"]:
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cfg = json.load(open(cfg_path))
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old = [w["name"] for w in cfg["wallets"]]
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new = [w for w in cfg["wallets"] if w["name"] in keep_names]
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for name in add_names:
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if name in addr_map:
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new.append({"wallet": addr_map[name], "name": name,
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"class": "volume", "floor": 25.0})
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cfg["wallets"] = new
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json.dump(cfg, open(cfg_path, "w"), indent=2)
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print(f"{cfg_path}: {old} -> {[w['name'] for w in new]}")
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PYEOF
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# 修权限
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chown wwf:wwf live/copybot.paper.json config.live.json
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# 重启两个 bot
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systemctl restart copybot-paper
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systemctl restart copybot-live
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sleep 10
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# 验证
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journalctl -u copybot-paper --since "10 seconds ago" --no-pager | grep "watching"
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journalctl -u copybot-live --since "10 seconds ago" --no-pager | grep "watching"
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```
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> 改之前把 `keep_names` 和 `add_names` 换成你实际的值。新钱包 floor 先设 $25,明天 daily.sh 会自动算真实 p80 门槛。
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**改完后的操作**:
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1. 上面脚本已经自动重启了两个 bot
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2. 验证两个 bot 都 `watching 5 wallets`
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3. 刷新 dashboard,"钱包建议"面板应该全是 ✅ 正常
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### 手动兑现已结算仓位
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bot 只自动跟单买卖,不自动 redeem(兑现)。已结算的仓位需要手动去 Polymarket 网站兑现。
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1. 浏览器登录 https://polymarket.com(MetaMask)
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2. 看 Portfolio 里有没有 "Redeem" 按钮
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3. 点兑现,钱回到存款钱包
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4. 兑现后更新 bankroll(见下方"充钱后更新 bankroll")
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### 充钱后更新 bankroll
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从交易所充 USDC 到存款钱包后,bot 不会自动认。需要手动更新:
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```bash
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# 1. 停 bot
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systemctl stop copybot-live
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# 2. 查链上实际 pUSD 余额
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export LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY=$(grep LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY /etc/copybot/live.env | cut -d= -f2-)
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export HTTPS_PROXY=http://127.0.0.1:7890
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python3 -c "from polymarket import SecureClient; c=SecureClient.create(private_key='$LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY'); b=c.get_balance_allowance(asset_type='COLLATERAL'); print('链上 pUSD: %.2f' % (b.balance/1e6)); c.close()"
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# 3. 把上面的数字填进去(替换 X.XX)
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sed -i 's/"bankroll_usd": [0-9.]*/"bankroll_usd": X.XX/' /opt/winning-wallet-finder/config.live.json
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# 4. 清 state
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rm -f /opt/winning-wallet-finder/copybot_state.live.json
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rm -f /opt/winning-wallet-finder/copybot_fills.live.jsonl
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rm -f /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/copybot_live_real.json
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# 5. 重启
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systemctl start copybot-live
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sleep 10
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journalctl -u copybot-live --since "15 seconds ago" --no-pager | grep -E "bankroll|armed"
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```
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---
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## 紧急处理
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### CASH≠CHAIN(账本与链上不一致)
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**怎么发现**:dashboard 显示"账本漂移"不为 $0.00,或日志有 `⚠ CASH≠CHAIN`
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**原因**:in-play 赛事的订单成交了但 bot 没追踪到(已修复大部分情况,但极端情况可能还会出现)
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**处理**:跟"充钱后更新 bankroll"流程一样--停 bot、查链上余额、改 bankroll、清 state、重启。
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```bash
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systemctl stop copybot-live
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export LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY=$(grep LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY /etc/copybot/live.env | cut -d= -f2-)
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export HTTPS_PROXY=http://127.0.0.1:7890
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python3 -c "from polymarket import SecureClient; c=SecureClient.create(private_key='$LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY'); b=c.get_balance_allowance(asset_type='COLLATERAL'); print('链上 pUSD: %.2f' % (b.balance/1e6)); c.close()"
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# 用查到的数字替换 X.XX
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sed -i 's/"bankroll_usd": [0-9.]*/"bankroll_usd": X.XX/' /opt/winning-wallet-finder/config.live.json
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rm -f /opt/winning-wallet-finder/copybot_state.live.json /opt/winning-wallet-finder/copybot_fills.live.jsonl /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/copybot_live_real.json
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systemctl start copybot-live
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```
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> 钱不会丢,在链上。清 state 只是重置 bot 的账本,让它在正确的余额上重新开始。
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### 代理挂了
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**怎么发现**:`/opt/mihomo-healthcheck.sh` 返回异常,或 live bot 日志报连接超时
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**处理**:
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```bash
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# 1. 看 mihomo 活着吗
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systemctl status mihomo
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# 2. 没活就启动
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systemctl start mihomo
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sleep 5
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# 3. 看当前节点
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curl -s http://127.0.0.1:9090/proxies/GLOBAL | python3 -c "import sys,json; print('当前:', json.load(sys.stdin).get('now'))"
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# 4. 测代理通不通
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HTTPS_PROXY=http://127.0.0.1:7890 python3 /opt/winning-wallet-finder/host/geocheck.py | tail -1
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# 5. 不通就手动换节点
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curl -s -X PUT http://127.0.0.1:9090/proxies/GLOBAL \
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-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
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-d '{"name":"🇯🇵日本高速06|BGP|CTCU"}'
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# 6. live bot 会自动重启(Requires=mihomo.service)
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```
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### RTDS 断了(`⚠ rtds down`)
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**怎么发现**:日志有 `⚠ rtds down`,或 `24h lag` 变大(从 ~3 秒变成 ~17 秒以上),`slip` 变差
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**原因**:实时 WebSocket 连接断了(网络抖动 / 代理切换 / 服务器重启),bot 退回到 60 秒轮询模式
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**影响**:检测延迟从 ~3 秒变成 ~17 秒,滑点变差。$5 测试资金无所谓,加大资金后延迟 = 滑点 = 亏钱
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**处理**:重启 live bot 重连 WebSocket:
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```bash
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systemctl restart copybot-live
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sleep 10
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journalctl -u copybot-live --since "15 seconds ago" --no-pager | grep -E "rtds|armed"
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```
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预期看到 `rtds: connected - activity/trades stream up (T0 detection)`,不再是 `rtds down`。
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### dashboard 打不开
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**怎么发现**:浏览器访问 `http://45.207.206.36:18080/` 超时或拒绝连接
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**原因**:dashboard 服务挂了,或端口没监听
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**处理**:
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```bash
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# 1. 看服务状态
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systemctl status copybot-dashboard --no-pager | head -10
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# 2. 看端口在不在
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ss -tlnp | grep 18080
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# 3. 不在就重启
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systemctl restart copybot-dashboard
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sleep 3
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ss -tlnp | grep 18080
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```
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重启后端口在监听就能打开。如果还是不行,看日志:
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```bash
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journalctl -u copybot-dashboard --since "5 minutes ago" --no-pager | tail -20
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```
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### live bot 崩了
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**怎么发现**:dashboard 不更新,或 `systemctl status copybot-live` 不是 active
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**处理**:
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```bash
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# 看报错
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journalctl -u copybot-live --since "30 minutes ago" --no-pager | tail -30
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# 大部分情况重启就行
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systemctl restart copybot-live
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sleep 10
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journalctl -u copybot-live --since "15 seconds ago" --no-pager | grep -E "armed|bankroll|watching|rtds"
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```
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### paper bot 崩了
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```bash
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journalctl -u copybot-paper --since "30 minutes ago" --no-pager | tail -30
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systemctl restart copybot-paper
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```
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### 紧急退出(一键清仓所有 live 仓位)
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**什么时候用**:发现严重问题需要立刻清仓(bot 失控 / edge 消失 / 需要紧急撤资)
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```bash
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# 停 bot 防止它继续下单
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systemctl stop copybot-live
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# 一键市价卖出所有仓位
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cd /opt/winning-wallet-finder
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export LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY=$(grep LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY /etc/copybot/live.env | cut -d= -f2-)
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export HTTPS_PROXY=http://127.0.0.1:7890
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python3 host/flatten_positions.py
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```
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> ⚠️ 这是**真钱操作**,市价卖出可能有滑点损失。只在紧急情况用。
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### edge 消失(钱包突然不交易或从 API 消失)
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**怎么发现**:某个跟单钱包连续 1 周没有 FOLLOW 信号,或 watch_sharps 里突然找不到
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|
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**原因**:作者研究发现 edge 可能随时消失(钱包可能被 Polymarket 封禁、改变策略、或信息源断了)
|
||
|
||
**处理**:
|
||
1. 确认钱包是否还在 watch_sharps.json 里
|
||
2. 如果不在了 -> 从跟单配置里踢掉,从 bench 里选替补
|
||
3. 如果还在但不交易 -> 观察 1 周,无改善则踢掉
|
||
4. **赚钱了定期取出来**,不要假设 edge 永久存在
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## 更新代码
|
||
|
||
本地改完代码推到 Gitea 后,在服务器上拉:
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
cd /opt/winning-wallet-finder
|
||
git fetch origin
|
||
git reset --hard origin/main
|
||
|
||
# 如果改了 copybot.py,重启两个 bot
|
||
systemctl restart copybot-paper
|
||
systemctl restart copybot-live
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
> `git reset --hard` 会丢弃服务器上的本地改动(bot 自动 commit 的 state 文件等)。如果 bot 在跑,拉之前先 `systemctl stop copybot-paper copybot-live`,拉完再 `systemctl start`。
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## 常用命令速查
|
||
|
||
### 看日志
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
journalctl -u copybot-live -f # live bot 实时日志
|
||
journalctl -u copybot-paper -f # paper bot 实时日志
|
||
journalctl -u copybot-dashboard -f # dashboard 日志
|
||
journalctl -u mihomo -f # 代理日志
|
||
tail -f /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/daily.log # daily.sh 日志
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
> `Ctrl+C` 退出日志查看,**不会停服务**。
|
||
|
||
### 服务管理
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
systemctl status copybot-live # 看状态
|
||
systemctl restart copybot-live # 重启
|
||
systemctl stop copybot-live # 停
|
||
systemctl start copybot-live # 启动
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### 代理管理
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
# 看当前节点
|
||
curl -s http://127.0.0.1:9090/proxies/GLOBAL | python3 -c "import sys,json; print('当前:', json.load(sys.stdin).get('now'))"
|
||
|
||
# 换节点
|
||
curl -s -X PUT http://127.0.0.1:9090/proxies/GLOBAL -H "Content-Type: application/json" -d '{"name":"节点名"}'
|
||
|
||
# 测代理
|
||
HTTPS_PROXY=http://127.0.0.1:7890 python3 /opt/winning-wallet-finder/host/geocheck.py | tail -1
|
||
|
||
# 手动健康检查
|
||
/opt/mihomo-healthcheck.sh && echo "正常" || echo "异常"
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### 查链上余额
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
export LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY=$(grep LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY /etc/copybot/live.env | cut -d= -f2-)
|
||
export HTTPS_PROXY=http://127.0.0.1:7890
|
||
python3 -c "from polymarket import SecureClient; c=SecureClient.create(private_key='$LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY'); b=c.get_balance_allowance(asset_type='COLLATERAL'); print('链上 pUSD: %.2f' % (b.balance/1e6)); c.close()"
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### 改配置
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
nano /opt/winning-wallet-finder/config.live.json # live 跟单钱包/金额
|
||
nano /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/copybot.paper.json # paper 跟单钱包/金额
|
||
nano /etc/copybot/live.env # 私钥/代理/确认短语
|
||
nano /etc/copybot/paper.env # Alchemy RPC
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
改完记得重启对应服务。
|
||
|
||
### 一键健康检查
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
# 如果 healthcheck.sh 还在 /tmp(可能重启后没了),重新创建见 DEPLOY.md
|
||
# 简化版检查:
|
||
echo "=== 服务状态 ==="
|
||
systemctl is-active copybot-paper copybot-live copybot-dashboard mihomo
|
||
echo "=== 代理 ==="
|
||
/opt/mihomo-healthcheck.sh && echo "正常" || echo "异常"
|
||
echo "=== live bot 最近心跳 ==="
|
||
journalctl -u copybot-live --since "5 minutes ago" --no-pager | tail -3
|
||
echo "=== daily.sh 今天跑了没 ==="
|
||
tail -3 /opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/daily.log
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## 文件位置速查
|
||
|
||
| 文件 | 位置 | 用途 |
|
||
|------|------|------|
|
||
| 项目代码 | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/` | git clone 来的 |
|
||
| live 配置 | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/config.live.json` | 跟单钱包/金额 |
|
||
| paper 配置 | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/copybot.paper.json` | 跟单钱包/金额 |
|
||
| live 环境变量 | `/etc/copybot/live.env` | 私钥/代理/确认短语 |
|
||
| paper 环境变量 | `/etc/copybot/paper.env` | Alchemy RPC |
|
||
| systemd 服务 | `/etc/systemd/system/copybot-*.service` | 4 个服务定义 |
|
||
| mihomo 配置 | `/etc/mihomo/config.yaml` | 代理订阅 |
|
||
| 健康检查脚本 | `/opt/mihomo-healthcheck.sh` | 代理自动轮换 |
|
||
| 钱包候选列表 | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/watch_sharps.json` | 11 个可复制钱包 |
|
||
| 钱包池 | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/watch_skilled.json` | 82 个有 edge 的钱包 |
|
||
| dashboard | `http://45.207.206.36:18080/` | 浏览器访问 |
|
||
| daily.sh 日志 | `/opt/winning-wallet-finder/live/daily.log` | 每日流水线日志 |
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## 浏览器入口
|
||
|
||
| 入口 | 地址 | 看什么 |
|
||
|------|------|--------|
|
||
| 实时 dashboard | `http://45.207.206.36:18080/` | bot 现金/持仓/成交(PAPER/LIVE 可切换) |
|
||
| 原始 JSON (paper) | Gitea raw URL | paper bot 的 feed |
|
||
| 原始 JSON (live) | Gitea raw URL | live bot 的 feed |
|
||
| Polymarket | `https://polymarket.com` | MetaMask 登录看真实仓位/兑现 |
|
||
| Gitea 仓库 | `https://code.aifunny.ltd/gavindiaz/winning-wallet-finder` | 代码/文档 |
|