copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

copybot_fills.live.jsonl

@@ -5,3 +5,5 @@
 {"ts": 1783685626, "wallet": "", "token": "reconstructed-1783685626", "name": "(incident)", "outcome": "PlayTime", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 6.0, "their_price": 0.45, "my_price": 0.45, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 11.1111, "cost": 5.0, "fee": 0.15, "mode": "live", "note": "reconstructed from chain \u2014 delayed-fill incident"}
 {"ts": 1783686500, "wallet": "", "token": "reconstructed-1783686500", "name": "(incident)", "outcome": "Aurora", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 6.0, "their_price": 0.57, "my_price": 0.57, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 8.7719, "cost": 5.0, "fee": 0.1132, "mode": "live", "note": "reconstructed from chain \u2014 delayed-fill incident"}
 {"ts": 1783689280, "wallet": "0xd9fa6d54cf294343ee42bbb735b7cff20a4bf0b9", "token": "49886282303318964434544606851164664333698127985256361511182784657423645654000", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "outcome": "Aurora", "title": "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner", "detect_lag_s": 6.0, "their_price": 0.69, "my_price": 0.69, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 7.2464, "cost": 5.0, "fee": 0.0674, "mode": "live", "note": "reconstructed from chain \u2014 delayed-fill incident"}
+{"ts": 1783727680.5, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248", "name": "1kto1m", "outcome": "Up", "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7PM ET", "detect_lag_s": 3.5, "their_price": 0.6236, "my_price": 0.65, "slippage_pct": 0.0424, "shares": 1.54, "cost": 1.0, "fee": 0.0105, "mode": "live", "book": {"bb": 0.64, "ba": 0.65, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 803.91, "ask5c": 1509.64}}
+{"ts": 1783727742.3, "side": "SELL", "token": "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248", "shares": 1.36, "price": 0.8, "fee": 0.0065, "mode": "live"}

copybot_state.live.json

@@ -217,6 +217,7 @@
     "0x9b3886e5d2adc27bdbd7ca6d10d63707e595dfe7019d0c8b782408f7fa216732",
     "0x2a293bcb1168c6cc256a91ca559d34d17c8c3094fc025ad10dbc9d5b65b13381",
     "0x632dd0934fb548da56f76f6f8da9a4562f2e89793f5ac5ef71961bf8aa959876",
+    "0x8ba1129f91d098fa82bf297bf1f36d77608dfc219a6f940c18a0ecb792b2a927",
     "0xe2d3b71c4b99dc2547946bb1820ec202a0b98c92682b4684b0b4019d51420bdc",
     "0xf550de9c1a18cb14710bebbb2f0c2c2ccabbcdb8e31a821e18f5fd7f515701ac",
     "0x7a2f48de06162f3f2788eb07914c63bbebadc01c3083df35455bae10590fc3a7",
@@ -258,6 +259,7 @@
     "0x3256f1521d688aa13b90681d63bcfe8b01ea5904c6d2188e95a3458de17e9ba7",
     "0x45351f8550a8e8ae94c7b2f274c181537af47fe6e1173d88d1783828ba05ad80",
     "0x446d9a0b5ffdb2dd3ae9e0c067b9381e316248ba89713a1700f62787a4109402",
+    "0x35eb49e3d26c191a761b1706a588f277577e239a38d8d4a167b5e6c6c53fb07d",
     "0x5f707553d97added95c873f1ffbcac327d93cc596dcb8bafdac485f170afd2d4",
     "0xbbfc521a076d0c4319c4ea66a9babcaff6e3125f2fd7bea91a5075e812dddcfd",
     "0xba8fe957688d27c34921a34f557bf646ad703b9cf0bb197810e29bf27d181a23",
@@ -381,6 +383,7 @@
     "0xf93e0479ad215d53d70bce4739893aad90105e65209e1f18776ff374474f96b4",
     "0xe004b7b028a0adaa59264d7c66b5dcea17d0a821e17cd211e503f3c1b1d75946",
     "0x956f663103c153e06319901ffeef0a9abe659fb64329c9d4ade53655727a8c77",
+    "0x1491ae6a74b4495c16daf84b9f1d0ce8623a727c0856217f86d80f3d462a2c35",
     "0x7ccff43803d6f717ee250e53a4c385b6f841c848de8203861200d9d32d4bc6c8",
     "0x2b67bbc755c47de7130098dcae0a75bd40465acb72e0347a2d92ad8d88aa1eea",
     "0x2ac5fab4c8df4865d08bd4a060ded42cfa0909c58ce135aa351a4da66b98ce72",
@@ -539,6 +542,7 @@
     "0x0863477d4d65096564682a9d4bd898ac45b8deaa3a79f21af9f076bd58545df5",
     "0xc2626654a8f9e6dd263e56c78fa0f644e31bdb9b96b9f4226863326376777b70",
     "0x68d420d7ef0c46bc7b025c67b8c8a85150b5e24af01d2eea24bcbffc8dbe85a2",
+    "0x177bc19c671f02399df1972eb0c26f0ef8474d311ff60b612d689b92cb8c834b",
     "0x61dd7d87d0ab84ae3ff8eed151da25848d1fe9ea5f4ce779a683b88d2551dce9",
     "0x9821e50ab1e6d932d8a07620d10a781ed2a7efc7d1100a7b75fe6d85fa8aca27",
     "0x03ef69b4fc7e680885a2296663d1ebc6f654c8d8639f364eed43722a335849c0",
@@ -856,6 +860,7 @@
     "0xce53a7c072cb5a5759a7fd6bd987fa9bc2615c2b336808ce29fc3dde69c32bdb",
     "0x89c9966cb1867b9e4034799d211fe77680115924a5d86168c488d741c1b187ac",
     "0xe251a6f26e01f4d1a143099f21c6194c19ac1f73d48ef06938c3edba17a2b115",
+    "0xadb1ced29c4f582add5483b336e9e32842ea457bb21b9fbb18c8eaf64866b2c2",
     "0x13b372523278f170606b4578dfd45c0e0ef1a90f6806b43c7d2b8897175d99f1",
     "0x70a1f552c93c15c25e362205fe7a913a63fc91f0bd3564568f8dc2244f3f6213",
     "0xa07a87a5217723b416e516d5a572a91f5901c2ca4c0d0cfcb6f1d8f3160a3bfa",
@@ -1332,6 +1337,7 @@
     "0x9a49ad350089396d18b00b241b0b819f4d112e9c02d593227724256e5f74fd67",
     "0x10b874abcd4ca59574e2a8332e6bb0a0170678bc236616d42fef42514a853bcc",
     "0x5d2f2928b5c5eabf2e5ab112ddebea35e1280f4437dd363ea6285f3b99ea6b5a",
+    "0x0acd22434a9b7c292459616f15e05e70925b85ea26a4657fd018360e622c030b",
     "0x6a159fb75d9d64b6277bebd704f94d4f237ff41044bbb02d5c9856a78aac81bf",
     "0xf0b6eb4d761b71ac127d783c8246df29d297cb02573c3ec49f5419de943be06c",
     "0xce5cb1879d0e82651d60a5d2058afa4b8c8adeac9f1c36dcfc07c4b14ee87774",
@@ -1470,6 +1476,7 @@
     "0x3a9114b6c8a06410c6944183301902e1916f3eefb6ea63ddd40c708cbccace3d",
     "0x9683e0716b86ae95d70a0680f4d15143b493998f2c32407902c4d2584cf78845",
     "0x5a3d097093d1d0b1781f8cf6a0b363d90fb5ef7e1c3a57c7bc2b335760fa7a34",
+    "0xf4b65517de7fb72acdf7b9bd82e35a6a5a4528cd5017cd45f5eed300e0ce5edc",
     "0x2478ba90f4ba9efd908d44e8b919083338c165e6f984645b71f4388a4a0c0ae6",
     "0x04132a0c70a1ab3a1b7f2c05bf3ac6687d0475bd2bcab7eb34a31e7b74956b51",
     "0x9b152e6505fb236347a719262ce35a25f2f81c1fb38e6146c25da388a20328c4",
@@ -1814,6 +1821,7 @@
     "0x0ad4747e782b700c46e89e646361c58e831ffa609ced89f015af679865c2b965",
     "0x63ef3691bb8d87c7d178b6d29f09043743d81cd61d069b7aeb391409aa4dd799",
     "0x20350db69e3553fcb7dbac2d10b4fb00e0e0a2c98f5bebe26488cea20fa2ce42",
+    "0x41a935b6364da267a3bb9a40483f35aff60f878d4ae0c4dc3132c24f328ef3aa",
     "0x01976ed67d8b5612e94409bd7d786aefc405bd5e3ff04e59f14605e243e14758",
     "0x3b1cb78a18681330d35913823487b0f543d64f3a3224270b77f7c39b5cb3507c",
     "0x8fb74e020863a1844ee8d8ae72ebb8655732e2c9877c217b5066448d04713a8d",
@@ -3822,7 +3830,9 @@
       "30171303100765004612243778406121391796571838604034412150376032542494004186310": 0.0,
       "26319778379523918549589901679927233322462298815144477409174754068895350869947": 0.0,
       "26379421034075180345938345798355680076288830287354989602643338187529820436982": 0.0,
-      "104991676509458935872902670573863089983650175686835859047092464495899660697324": 0.0
+      "104991676509458935872902670573863089983650175686835859047092464495899660697324": 0.0,
+      "66572575886087002093675612625761679742426575725132489892138793406826088369258": 0.0,
+      "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248": 73.60622799999999
     },
     "0xd9fa6d54cf294343ee42bbb735b7cff20a4bf0b9": {}
   },
@@ -5182,11 +5192,20 @@
       "event": "what-price-will-lab-hit-in-2026",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0xaa7424f5826991fe2e7c67240319aae5dfd798c701afe2fe713afdbf3377e392"
+    },
+    "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248": {
+      "shares": 0.17845999999999984,
+      "cost": 0.11599899999999994,
+      "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7PM ET",
+      "outcome": "Up",
+      "event": "bitcoin-up-or-down-july-10-2026-7pm-et",
+      "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
+      "cond": "0x11430681158d08a5c6146596ed6ad9a89f2226505329ab859a1463aab90a0057"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
-    "usd": 0.0
+    "usd": 0.999999
   },
   "seeded": [
     "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -5198,20 +5217,26 @@
     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343"
   ],
   "conds": {
-    "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": "0xaa7424f5826991fe2e7c67240319aae5dfd798c701afe2fe713afdbf3377e392"
+    "72380260523779452108747496691590035418744958761813904753644512394906005337193": "0xaa7424f5826991fe2e7c67240319aae5dfd798c701afe2fe713afdbf3377e392",
+    "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248": "0x11430681158d08a5c6146596ed6ad9a89f2226505329ab859a1463aab90a0057"
   },
-  "cash": 17.27911,
+  "cash": 17.3500830105,
   "lag": {
-    "n": 1,
-    "sum_s": 268.13123512268066,
-    "sum_slip_pct": -3.378948849323836e-08
+    "n": 2,
+    "sum_s": 271.6577241420746,
+    "sum_slip_pct": 0.04239884970581061
   },
-  "fees_paid": 0.723,
+  "fees_paid": 0.7400279894999999,
   "lag_recent": [
     [
       1783665419.1,
       268.1,
       -0.0
+    ],
+    [
+      1783727680.5,
+      3.5,
+      0.0424
     ]
   ],
   "bets": {
@@ -5346,6 +5371,26 @@
       "pnl": 2.18,
       "settled": 1783699592,
       "note": "reconstructed 2026-07-10: in-play 'delayed' acceptance mis-read as rejection; order filled untracked"
+    },
+    "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248": {
+      "token": "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248",
+      "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
+      "name": "1kto1m",
+      "outcome": "Up",
+      "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7PM ET",
+      "their_price": 0.6236,
+      "my_price": 0.65,
+      "slippage_pct": 0.0424,
+      "shares": 1.54,
+      "cost": 1.0,
+      "fee": 0.0105,
+      "opened": 1783727677,
+      "status": "open",
+      "exit_price": null,
+      "pnl": null,
+      "settled": null,
+      "sold_shares": 1.36,
+      "sold_proceeds": 1.081472
     }
   },
   "no_miss_toks": [
@@ -6430,8 +6475,8 @@
       "name": "LSB1"
     }
   ],
-  "feed_sig": "329416f0543029c3f0342033d0fb67a4",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783726998.923675,
+  "feed_sig": "f33e858d853f1038955899250b55cc5f",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783727618.7530532,
   "adjustments": [
     {
       "ts": 1783718232,
@@ -6439,5 +6484,6 @@
       "note": "2026-07-10 rebase to $22.28 equity baseline (user: retire caps, 4% paper-parity sizing; prior incident P&L stays in history)"
     }
   ],
-  "pending_orders": []
+  "pending_orders": [],
+  "exit_retries": []
 }

live/copybot_live_real.json

@@ -5,20 +5,20 @@
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 24.73,
- "cash": 17.28,
- "deployed": 5.0,
+ "cash": 17.35,
+ "deployed": 5.12,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": -2.21,
+ "realized": -2.02,
  "adjustments": 2.2,
  "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 1,
- "fees_paid": 0.72,
+ "open_count": 2,
+ "fees_paid": 0.74,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
-  "n": 1,
-  "n24": 1,
-  "avg_s": 268.1,
-  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
+  "n": 2,
+  "n24": 2,
+  "avg_s": 135.8,
+  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0212,
   "window_h": 24
  },
  "wallets": [
@@ -49,6 +49,26 @@
   "1kto1m": 320.95
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "76668431089191294884722284769810081002688692300759117208537364410807093425248",
+   "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
+   "name": "1kto1m",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7PM ET",
+   "their_price": 0.6236,
+   "my_price": 0.65,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0424,
+   "shares": 1.54,
+   "cost": 1.0,
+   "fee": 0.01,
+   "opened": 1783727677,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "sold_shares": 1.36,
+   "sold_proceeds": 1.08
+  },
   {
    "token": "49886282303318964434544606851164664333698127985256361511182784657423645654000",
    "wallet": "0xd9fa6d54cf294343ee42bbb735b7cff20a4bf0b9",
@@ -1139,5 +1159,5 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed_pnl": 102.14,
- "updated": 1783727075
+ "updated": 1783727743
 }