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copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]

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copybot[bot]
2026-07-16 07:48:56 +00:00
parent 0482052643
commit 330f312e9f
4 changed files with 83 additions and 53 deletions
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copybot_fills.jsonl
+1
View File
@@ -618,3 +618,4 @@
{"ts": 1784165984.5, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "No", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?", "detect_lag_s": 0.5, "their_price": 0.57, "my_price": 0.58, "slippage_pct": 0.0175, "shares": 178.63, "cost": 103.6, "fee": 1.3054, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.58, "ba": 0.59, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 1584.1, "ask5c": 1080.91}}
{"ts": 1784166175.5, "side": "SELL", "token": "37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802", "shares": 178.6255, "price": 0.59, "fee": 1.2963, "mode": "paper"}
{"ts": 1784174231.6, "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "token": "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102", "name": "BikesAreTheBikes", "outcome": "", "title": "", "detect_lag_s": 0.6, "their_price": 0.59, "my_price": 0.58, "slippage_pct": -0.0169, "shares": 178.57, "cost": 103.57, "fee": 1.305, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.58, "ba": 0.59, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 1204.13, "ask5c": 1531.85}}
{"ts": 1784188027.3, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "token": "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115", "name": "1kto1m", "outcome": "Up", "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?", "detect_lag_s": 1.3, "their_price": 0.45, "my_price": 0.45, "slippage_pct": 0.0, "shares": 221.8, "cost": 99.81, "fee": 1.6469, "mode": "paper", "book": {"bb": 0.45, "ba": 0.46, "spread": 0.01, "bid5c": 625.17, "ask5c": 998.1}}
copybot_state.json
+47 -22
View File
@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
{
"started_at": 1783541947.246319,
"seen_tx": [
"0xa8f46d54c6a394f2c5c1de307bb1fc7386eb212607b680cd87b9c60bef8bc2f4",
"0xb1d04334ec8cc949d3cd7f9678a103501ba03c4e8251e9dffa5d955a775a796b",
"0x71e35f1d8ffcb035f7b8d1f902bc46d382b252c8a68971724f3657fd0c3c3c1f",
"0xb3e8abfb311cb9f9e3b727f451262157c50abcdb7a89c990fafac7893d37e9ec",
@@ -1319,6 +1318,7 @@
"0x91d8e657615059cd8618d74589f1805f6169b8aae183262b1796aecf4f6cab69",
"0xd5e6226a955c2230ea62395779cbc6a67e886d3de2b98387b1f456671a40f328",
"0xa4b70b5956455e97193a4364af9c09bf2f855da8ac5d32794c62b6a18fd154ea",
"0x6570ea2c7cf95e0326b837189659dc7fd34928311fd5518d8e9885e787e4f9b8",
"0x7b187ad24bd2f2d1f9f9426370a53b4a93eaa4edd3e668703050e6578d3ee135",
"0xb0f0e28ac41b45c50a2ddef8811f21fe0355e57acdb5e73390fb48d560cafd70",
"0x8ac865d2636918081b285e2f5b63fd4dd15b5902e6da1c57cc34e102336b2885",
@@ -7001,7 +7001,8 @@
"65301703208113815530347876290561266470875920666201305377475334059901741185309": 0.0,
"14944044262730982291221179151627847814634755247529379019306299236463005904856": 0.0,
"64269318484707596873108813824863928622416069067627161039282457639726975915264": 0.0,
"89202382140495098386277849476388057412373985471608212631806427382851040625387": 0.0
"89202382140495098386277849476388057412373985471608212631806427382851040625387": 0.0,
"110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": 1355
},
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": {
"110171125648822283483807302788459801078553019343858878759755941501211839974747": 14999.9909,
@@ -10347,11 +10348,20 @@
"event": null,
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"cond": ""
},
"110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": {
"shares": 221.8,
"cost": 99.81,
"title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?",
"outcome": "Up",
"event": "spx-up-or-down-on-july-16-2026",
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"cond": "0xe6a1205d55c0fed0427084000f6e35b2b481003e509a4be0d4678715898c0ae2"
}
},
"spend": {
"date": "2026-07-16",
"usd": 207.1729703434444
"usd": 306.98297034344444
},
"seeded": [
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
@@ -10475,26 +10485,17 @@
"69816346859095495747189627053263753156196009953825285858477796399815602774300": "0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",
"75636274443607445614938470591337628868615181893893587977168160999705149850480": "0x7446c13b91bf8ece3c07cb6127008ff534ab2853dd3cd31dce5a1452367b461a",
"37906844316173351653431141004376509492088028380479597728611617251805844178802": "0xd1bb7552943d2403bb56fc3eaf03a1c28d8b48db16aa48eebc76e9c429cf05d8",
"35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": ""
"35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102": "",
"110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": "0xe6a1205d55c0fed0427084000f6e35b2b481003e509a4be0d4678715898c0ae2"
},
"cash": 1757.6283336966605,
"cash": 1656.1714686966604,
"lag": {
"n": 167,
"sum_s": 5230.4947147369385,
"n": 168,
"sum_s": 5231.7513637542725,
"sum_slip_pct": -6.992717757059984
},
"fees_paid": 248.97115207326962,
"fees_paid": 250.6180170732696,
"lag_recent": [
[
1784097546.4,
1.4,
-0.04396
],
[
1784100418.7,
0.7,
-0.01053
],
[
1784103460.4,
2.4,
@@ -10684,6 +10685,11 @@
1784174231.6,
0.6,
-0.01695
],
[
1784188027.3,
1.3,
0.0
]
],
"bets": {
@@ -13693,11 +13699,30 @@
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null
},
"110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115": {
"token": "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115",
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"name": "1kto1m",
"outcome": "Up",
"title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?",
"their_price": 0.45,
"my_price": 0.45,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.3,
"shares": 221.8,
"cost": 99.81,
"fee": 1.6469,
"opened": 1784188026,
"status": "open",
"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
"settled": null
}
},
"hwm": 2590.069842011289,
"feed_sig": "aebdc0ad436a181d9dab2bbf191ac9d3",
"feed_pushed_at": 1784186749.785845,
"feed_sig": "d6d44a7957586c5bb33312c0362ce2fb",
"feed_pushed_at": 1784188011.6670682,
"missed": [
{
"ts": 1783590977,
@@ -15322,10 +15347,10 @@
"0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41": 1783900970,
"0xd96750bf8d941a8186e592b0ae6e096da66aa266": 1783871702,
"0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb": 1784181494,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784185543,
"0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1784187398,
"0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b": 1784140289,
"0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf": 1783843568,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784154233,
"0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1784188012,
"0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c": 1784174231
}
}
live/copybot_live.json
+30 -31
View File
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
{
"mode": "paper",
"bankroll": 1000.0,
"stake": 103.52,
"stake": 103.45,
"stake_pct": 0.04,
"event_cap": 0,
"hwm": 2590.07,
"cash": 1757.63,
"deployed": 830.32,
"cash": 1656.17,
"deployed": 930.13,
"reserve": 0.0,
"realized": 1587.92,
"realized": 1586.27,
"adjustments": 0.03,
"ledger_drift": -0.0,
"open_count": 17,
"fees_paid": 248.97,
"open_count": 18,
"fees_paid": 250.62,
"fee_rate": 0.03,
"lag": {
"n": 167,
"n24": 38,
"avg_s": 19.2,
"avg_slip_pct": -0.009,
"n": 168,
"n24": 39,
"avg_s": 18.7,
"avg_slip_pct": -0.0087,
"window_h": 24
},
"wallets": [
@@ -43,6 +43,25 @@
"BikesAreTheBikes": 227.39
},
"bets": [
{
"token": "110149901661791632318870033509195606722453896981581944225999632147320785007115",
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"name": "1kto1m",
"outcome": "Up",
"title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?",
"their_price": 0.45,
"my_price": 0.45,
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
"lag_s": 1.3,
"shares": 221.8,
"cost": 99.81,
"fee": 1.65,
"opened": 1784188026,
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"exit_price": null,
"pnl": null,
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},
{
"token": "35358889366059131445607416132477521541386270328042995107702816540034073998102",
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
@@ -2037,26 +2056,6 @@
"exit_price": 1.0,
"pnl": 17.89,
"settled": 1783715664
},
{
"token": "69332829857352543341630758571211075272974294373246290749231665438041402756556",
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
"outcome": "OG",
"title": "Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner",
"their_price": 0.4696,
"my_price": 0.45,
"slippage_pct": -0.0417,
"shares": 201.76,
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"fee": 1.5,
"opened": 1783710673,
"status": "closed",
"exit_price": 0.8998,
"pnl": 89.26,
"settled": 1783710876,
"sold_shares": 201.76,
"sold_proceeds": 181.54
}
],
"missed": [
@@ -3017,5 +3016,5 @@
}
],
"missed_pnl": 89595.48,
"updated": 1784186874
"updated": 1784188029
}
rtds_shadow.jsonl
+5
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@@ -2075,3 +2075,8 @@
{"ts": 1784183150.0, "trade_ts": 1784183149, "lat_s": 1.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 15.94, "price": 0.55, "title": "", "tx": "0x0a8c5097930bfeae71cb0dcc014ae1253d8e13d9813a97d3af46795a7de184e5", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784183153.57, "trade_ts": 1784183153, "lat_s": 0.57, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 15.307691, "price": 0.389999967989947, "title": "", "tx": "0x2d0e6acc91754d88b44f13dc062a565755ac8b04e4913b50ff75b0d67460db81", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784184501.53, "trade_ts": 1784184501, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 12.83, "price": 0.922, "title": "Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 13 2026", "tx": "0x8dd89a2feb1496baec91fc52720d8cc4f4de849951174d33ea818fb16902d310", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784187373.44, "trade_ts": 1784187373, "lat_s": 0.44, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.95652, "price": 0.6899998849999712, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?", "tx": "0x6e56abc5e261b62c845b9fd0ee6c287488a743366c88e90537e91f1ae575b307", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784187374.61, "trade_ts": 1784187374, "lat_s": 0.61, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 6.76, "price": 0.26, "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on ", "tx": "0xdd5ed5c177ed0cf73f007aa5249ca7fe6bf0aa5bfaa36b91081925b642919d30", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784188011.76, "trade_ts": 1784188011, "lat_s": 0.76, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 262, "price": 0.36, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 16?", "tx": "0x335f8135674443dd94422e649f92a054c0cbcd9d68c34cfb6c3e31614e2f7bd1", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784188019.3, "trade_ts": 1784188018, "lat_s": 1.3, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 400, "price": 0.44, "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?", "tx": "0x39c3e27fb27682d69fac1321d0f3518bb19ae849bba225b4dff3083fbe7cb151", "seen": false}
{"ts": 1784188027.12, "trade_ts": 1784188026, "lat_s": 1.12, "wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343", "name": "1kto1m", "side": "BUY", "size": 1355, "price": 0.45, "title": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?", "tx": "0x6570ea2c7cf95e0326b837189659dc7fd34928311fd5518d8e9885e787e4f9b8", "seen": false}