SII-leiyu
88a5309bd9
Three realistic example files in docs/examples/ showcasing the system's output format. README updated with collapsible demo sections. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
85 lines
2.6 KiB
Markdown
85 lines
2.6 KiB
Markdown
# Daily Signal Briefing - 2026-04-15
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Generated at: 2026-04-16 10:00:03
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## Today's Overview
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- High-confidence information asymmetry signals: **3** (confidence >= 60%)
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- Abnormal price volatility events: **2**
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---
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## High-Confidence Information Asymmetry Signals
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### 1. Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| Info Asymmetry | **72%** |
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| Direction | BUY Yes Token (Bullish) |
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| Entry Price | 0.4200 (Odds 2.4x) |
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| Trade Size | **$92,336** USDC |
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| Detected At | 2026-04-15 14:23:07 |
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**Analysis**: High-ranked trader (#47, PnL $284K) making concentrated bets. Unannounced smart contract deployed by MegaETH team 6 hours prior. KOL insider chatter on Twitter preceded the trade.
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**Insider Evidence**: New ERC-20 contract deployed by MegaETH deployer wallet, not yet publicly announced.
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### 2. US forces enter Iran by April 30
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| Info Asymmetry | **65%** |
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| Direction | BUY Yes Token (Bullish) |
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| Entry Price | 0.3100 (Odds 3.2x) |
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| Trade Size | **$46,500** USDC |
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| Detected At | 2026-04-15 09:21:53 |
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**Analysis**: Top-50 trader with $500K+ PnL placing aggressive bets. Multiple high-ranked traders converging on the same direction. Trade occurred hours before Pentagon press briefing.
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### 3. Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orban?
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| Info Asymmetry | **61%** |
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| Direction | BUY No Token (Bearish) |
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| Entry Price | 0.2800 (Odds 3.6x) |
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| Trade Size | **$65,699** USDC |
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| Detected At | 2026-04-15 16:31:22 |
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**Analysis**: Verified trader with strong European politics track record betting against Orban. Telegram channels discussing potential coalition shift not yet covered by mainstream media.
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---
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## Abnormal Price Volatility
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| Market | Direction | Change | Start Price | End Price | Detected At |
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|--------|-----------|--------|-------------|-----------|-------------|
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| EdgeX FDV above 500M one day... | Up | 35.2% | 22.00% | 57.20% | 2026-04-15 03:41 |
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| Iran leadership change by Dec... | Up | 22.8% | 31.00% | 53.80% | 2026-04-15 11:15 |
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---
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## Signal History
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| Total Signals | 847 |
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| Resolved | 312 |
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| Correct | 198 |
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| Win Rate | **63.5%** |
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| Avg ROI | **+28.3%** |
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| Theoretical Total PnL | **+42.71x** |
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### Performance by Confidence Tier
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| Confidence Range | Signals | Resolved | Win Rate | Avg ROI |
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|-----------------|---------|----------|----------|---------|
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| 0.8 - 1.0 | 23 | 15 | 80.0% | +52.1% |
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| 0.6 - 0.8 | 89 | 47 | 68.1% | +35.7% |
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| 0.4 - 0.6 | 284 | 132 | 59.1% | +18.4% |
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---
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*This briefing was automatically generated by Polymarket Whale Watcher*
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