SII-leiyu
88a5309bd9
Three realistic example files in docs/examples/ showcasing the system's output format. README updated with collapsible demo sections. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2.6 KiB
Daily Signal Briefing - 2026-04-15
Generated at: 2026-04-16 10:00:03
Today's Overview
- High-confidence information asymmetry signals: 3 (confidence >= 60%)
- Abnormal price volatility events: 2
High-Confidence Information Asymmetry Signals
1. Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Info Asymmetry | 72% |
| Direction | BUY Yes Token (Bullish) |
| Entry Price | 0.4200 (Odds 2.4x) |
| Trade Size | $92,336 USDC |
| Detected At | 2026-04-15 14:23:07 |
Analysis: High-ranked trader (#47, PnL $284K) making concentrated bets. Unannounced smart contract deployed by MegaETH team 6 hours prior. KOL insider chatter on Twitter preceded the trade.
Insider Evidence: New ERC-20 contract deployed by MegaETH deployer wallet, not yet publicly announced.
2. US forces enter Iran by April 30
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Info Asymmetry | 65% |
| Direction | BUY Yes Token (Bullish) |
| Entry Price | 0.3100 (Odds 3.2x) |
| Trade Size | $46,500 USDC |
| Detected At | 2026-04-15 09:21:53 |
Analysis: Top-50 trader with $500K+ PnL placing aggressive bets. Multiple high-ranked traders converging on the same direction. Trade occurred hours before Pentagon press briefing.
3. Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orban?
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Info Asymmetry | 61% |
| Direction | BUY No Token (Bearish) |
| Entry Price | 0.2800 (Odds 3.6x) |
| Trade Size | $65,699 USDC |
| Detected At | 2026-04-15 16:31:22 |
Analysis: Verified trader with strong European politics track record betting against Orban. Telegram channels discussing potential coalition shift not yet covered by mainstream media.
Abnormal Price Volatility
| Market | Direction | Change | Start Price | End Price | Detected At |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above 500M one day... | Up | 35.2% | 22.00% | 57.20% | 2026-04-15 03:41 |
| Iran leadership change by Dec... | Up | 22.8% | 31.00% | 53.80% | 2026-04-15 11:15 |
Signal History
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Signals | 847 |
| Resolved | 312 |
| Correct | 198 |
| Win Rate | 63.5% |
| Avg ROI | +28.3% |
| Theoretical Total PnL | +42.71x |
Performance by Confidence Tier
| Confidence Range | Signals | Resolved | Win Rate | Avg ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 - 1.0 | 23 | 15 | 80.0% | +52.1% |
| 0.6 - 0.8 | 89 | 47 | 68.1% | +35.7% |
| 0.4 - 0.6 | 284 | 132 | 59.1% | +18.4% |
This briefing was automatically generated by Polymarket Whale Watcher