Patrick Selamy
e003e4ba47
The CLOB API does not expose 24h volume or order-book liquidity, so the size_anomaly detector currently has no real ratio to compare a trade against and falls back to the niche-base 0.2 confidence floor. That makes the volume_impact / book_impact thresholds essentially dead code. This change adds a small client for the public gamma-api markets endpoint and merges its volume24hr / liquidityNum snapshot into MarketMetadata during the existing periodic sync. The detector can now compute real volume and book impact ratios. Notes on the gamma client: - gamma-api enforces a server-side max of 100 markets per page and caps `offset` around 10000. The client paginates with bounded concurrency, sorted by `volume24hr desc`, so the most-traded markets (which is where size anomalies actually matter) are always covered. Markets beyond that window have negligible recent volume and the niche path handles them fine without a ratio. - Failures are swallowed: a degraded gamma endpoint must not stop CLOB metadata from being cached, since size_anomaly + the niche path remain functional with `daily_volume=None`. MarketMetadata gains three optional Decimal fields (daily_volume, weekly_volume, liquidity); to_dict / from_dict round-trip is preserved and older cache entries without these keys deserialize cleanly. Tests: 12 new tests for GammaClient (parsing, single-page, short-page stop, offset-cap clean stop, retry, malformed responses); existing metadata_sync tests updated to inject a mocked GammaClient so they don't hit the real network. Co-authored-by: schrodinger01 <schrodinger01@users.noreply.github.com>
Polymarket Insider Tracker
Detect informed money before the market moves.
Real-time detection of suspicious trading patterns on Polymarket: fresh wallets, unusual sizing, niche-market activity, and funding chain analysis. Streams trades via WebSocket, profiles wallets on-chain (Polygon), scores risk with ML + heuristics, and dispatches alerts to Discord/Telegram.
Quick Start (< 2 minutes)
1. Install
# Requires: Python 3.11+, Docker
git clone https://github.com/pselamy/polymarket-insider-tracker.git
cd polymarket-insider-tracker
uv sync --all-extras # or: pip install -e ".[dev]"
2. Start infrastructure
docker compose up -d # PostgreSQL 15 + Redis 7
docker compose ps # wait for healthy
3. Configure
cp .env.example .env
# Edit .env — only DATABASE_URL and REDIS_URL are required for local dev
# (defaults in .env.example work with docker compose)
4. Run migrations + start
uv run alembic upgrade head
uv run python -m polymarket_insider_tracker
You should see live trades within seconds:
INFO Connection state: disconnected -> connecting
INFO Connected to wss://ws-live-data.polymarket.com and subscribed to trades
DEBUG Trade: BUY 450 @ 1.00 on fifwc-ger-kor-2026-06-14-ger
DEBUG Trade: SELL 5 @ 0.86 on chi1-cd1-cdl-2026-06-14-draw
CLI Options
python -m polymarket_insider_tracker --help
--version Show version
--config-check Validate configuration and exit
--log-level DEBUG Override log level
--dry-run Run pipeline without sending alerts
--health-port 8080 Override health check port
Environment Variables
| Variable | Required | Default | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
DATABASE_URL |
Yes | — | PostgreSQL connection string |
REDIS_URL |
No | redis://localhost:6379 |
Redis connection string |
POLYGON_RPC_URL |
No | https://polygon-rpc.com |
Polygon RPC (public default works) |
POLYGON_FALLBACK_RPC_URL |
No | — | Fallback RPC endpoint |
POLYMARKET_WS_URL |
No | wss://ws-live-data.polymarket.com |
WebSocket endpoint |
POLYMARKET_API_KEY |
No | — | Optional API key for higher rate limits |
DISCORD_WEBHOOK_URL |
No | — | Discord alerts |
TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN |
No | — | Telegram alerts (needs TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID too) |
TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID |
No | — | Telegram chat for alerts |
LOG_LEVEL |
No | INFO |
Logging level |
DRY_RUN |
No | false |
Skip sending alerts |
HEALTH_PORT |
No | 8080 |
Health check HTTP port |
No API keys are needed for basic operation — the Polymarket WebSocket and CLOB REST APIs are public.
What It Detects
| Signal | Detection Method | Threshold |
|---|---|---|
| Fresh Wallets | Wallet age < 48h, nonce <= 5, making trades > $1k | Confidence 0.5-0.9 |
| Size Anomalies | Trade size > 2% of 24h volume or > 5% of order book | Weighted by niche factor |
| Niche Markets | Low-volume markets (< $50k daily) with specific outcomes | 1.5x risk multiplier |
| Funding Chains | Trace wallet funding to known entities (exchanges, etc.) | On-chain lineage |
| Sniper Clusters | DBSCAN clustering of wallets entering within minutes | Coordinated behavior |
Risk scoring combines signals with configurable weights (default threshold: 0.6). Multi-signal bonuses: 2 signals +20%, 3+ signals +30%.
Sample Alert
SUSPICIOUS ACTIVITY DETECTED
Wallet: 0x7a3...f91 (Age: 2 hours, 3 transactions)
Market: "Will X announce Y by March 2026?"
Action: BUY YES @ $0.075
Size: $15,000 USDC (8.2% of daily volume)
Risk Signals:
[x] Fresh Wallet (fewer than 5 transactions lifetime)
[x] Niche Market (less than $50k daily volume)
[x] Large Position (more than 2% order book impact)
Funding Trail:
--> 0xdef...789 (2-year-old wallet, 500+ txns)
--> Binance Hot Wallet
Confidence: HIGH (3/4 signals triggered)
Architecture
Polymarket WebSocket ──> Ingestor ──> Profiler ──> Detector ──> Alerter
(wss://ws-live-data) (trades) (on-chain) (scoring) (Discord/TG)
|
Polygon RPC
Components
| Module | Purpose |
|---|---|
ingestor/ |
WebSocket trade stream + CLOB REST client with rate limiting |
profiler/ |
Polygon wallet analysis, entity identification, funding chain tracing |
detector/ |
Fresh wallet, size anomaly, sniper cluster detection, composite risk scorer |
alerter/ |
Multi-channel dispatch (Discord webhooks, Telegram bot) with dedup |
storage/ |
SQLAlchemy ORM + Alembic migrations (PostgreSQL) |
pipeline.py |
Orchestrator wiring all components together |
shutdown.py |
Graceful SIGTERM/SIGINT handling with cleanup callbacks |
Development
uv run pytest # run tests
uv run ruff check src/ tests/ # lint
uv run ruff format src/ tests/ # format
uv run mypy src/ # type check (strict mode)
Docker Services
| Service | Port | Description |
|---|---|---|
| PostgreSQL 15 | 5432 | Primary database |
| Redis 7 | 6379 | Caching and pub/sub |
| Adminer | 8080 | Database admin UI (optional, --profile tools) |
| RedisInsight | 5540 | Redis admin UI (optional, --profile tools) |
Troubleshooting
No trades received / silent connection
The WebSocket subscription requires action: "subscribe" in the envelope. If you're on an older version, update — this was fixed in the WebSocket protocol alignment (see #89).
Connection timeout / DNS errors
Verify wss://ws-live-data.polymarket.com is reachable from your network. Some corporate firewalls block WebSocket connections.
Database migration errors
Ensure PostgreSQL is running (docker compose ps) and DATABASE_URL matches your docker-compose config. Run uv run alembic upgrade head after any schema changes.
Rate limiting on Polygon RPC
The default public RPC (https://polygon-rpc.com) has low rate limits. For production use, set POLYGON_RPC_URL to a dedicated provider (Alchemy, QuickNode, etc.).
Disclaimer
This software is provided for educational and research purposes only.
- Trading prediction markets involves significant financial risk
- This tool does not constitute financial advice
- Insider trading is illegal in regulated markets; this tool is for transparency and research
- Users are responsible for compliance with applicable laws
License
MIT License - see LICENSE for details.