mirror of
https://github.com/softwaredevelop/mql5.git
synced 2026-08-03 07:37:43 +00:00
refactor: Added support for dynamic anchored window sizes
This commit is contained in:
@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
//| PairsTrading_Calculator.mqh |
|
||||
//| Engine for Dynamic Rolling OLS Pairs Trading Cointegration. |
|
||||
//| Engine for Dynamic Rolling/Anchored OLS Pairs Cointegration |
|
||||
//| Strictly O(1) Incremental Optimized. |
|
||||
//| Copyright 2026, xxxxxxxx |
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
#property copyright "Copyright 2026, xxxxxxxx"
|
||||
#property version "1.00"
|
||||
#property version "1.10" // Added support for dynamic anchored window sizes
|
||||
|
||||
#ifndef PAIRS_TRADING_CALCULATOR_MQH
|
||||
#define PAIRS_TRADING_CALCULATOR_MQH
|
||||
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
|
||||
class CPairsTradingCalculator
|
||||
{
|
||||
private:
|
||||
int m_lookback;
|
||||
int m_max_window;
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Dynamic rolling arrays
|
||||
double m_arr_A[];
|
||||
@@ -32,59 +32,60 @@ public:
|
||||
CPairsTradingCalculator();
|
||||
~CPairsTradingCalculator() {};
|
||||
|
||||
bool Init(int lookback);
|
||||
bool Init(int max_window);
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Processes the raw synchronized prices and computes the rolling Z-Score
|
||||
double CalculateZScore(int rates_total, int current_index,
|
||||
//--- Upgraded: Accepts a dynamic window_size for VWAP-style anchored resets
|
||||
double CalculateZScore(int rates_total, int current_index, int window_size,
|
||||
const double &sync_price_A[], const double &sync_price_B[]);
|
||||
};
|
||||
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
//| Constructor |
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
CPairsTradingCalculator::CPairsTradingCalculator() : m_lookback(120) {}
|
||||
CPairsTradingCalculator::CPairsTradingCalculator() : m_max_window(120) {}
|
||||
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
//| Init |
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
bool CPairsTradingCalculator::Init(int lookback)
|
||||
bool CPairsTradingCalculator::Init(int max_window)
|
||||
{
|
||||
m_lookback = (lookback < 10) ? 10 : lookback;
|
||||
m_max_window = (max_window < 10) ? 10 : max_window;
|
||||
return true;
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
//| CalculateZScore (OLS Rolling Hedge Ratio & Z-Score) |
|
||||
//| CalculateZScore (OLS Dynamic Window Cointegration) |
|
||||
//+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|
||||
double CPairsTradingCalculator::CalculateZScore(int rates_total, int current_index,
|
||||
double CPairsTradingCalculator::CalculateZScore(int rates_total, int current_index, int window_size,
|
||||
const double &sync_price_A[], const double &sync_price_B[])
|
||||
{
|
||||
if(current_index < m_lookback)
|
||||
// Safety 1: Enforce minimum of 15 bars for statistical significance on anchored starts
|
||||
if(window_size < 15 || current_index < window_size)
|
||||
return 0.0;
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Resize internal rolling buffers
|
||||
if(ArraySize(m_arr_A) != m_lookback)
|
||||
//--- Dynamic array allocation based on the current active anchor size
|
||||
if(ArraySize(m_arr_A) != window_size)
|
||||
{
|
||||
ArrayResize(m_arr_A, m_lookback);
|
||||
ArrayResize(m_arr_B, m_lookback);
|
||||
ArrayResize(m_spread_history, m_lookback);
|
||||
ArrayResize(m_arr_A, window_size);
|
||||
ArrayResize(m_arr_B, window_size);
|
||||
ArrayResize(m_spread_history, window_size);
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Extract rolling window from synchronized prices
|
||||
for(int k = 0; k < m_lookback; k++)
|
||||
//--- Extract rolling/anchored window from synchronized prices
|
||||
for(int k = 0; k < window_size; k++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
int src_idx = current_index - m_lookback + 1 + k;
|
||||
int src_idx = current_index - window_size + 1 + k;
|
||||
m_arr_A[k] = sync_price_A[src_idx];
|
||||
m_arr_B[k] = sync_price_B[src_idx];
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Calculate means
|
||||
double mean_A = GetMean(m_arr_A, m_lookback);
|
||||
double mean_B = GetMean(m_arr_B, m_lookback);
|
||||
double mean_A = GetMean(m_arr_A, window_size);
|
||||
double mean_B = GetMean(m_arr_B, window_size);
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Calculate Variance of Benchmark (B) and Covariance (A, B)
|
||||
double var_B = GetVariance(m_arr_B, mean_B, m_lookback);
|
||||
double cov_AB = GetCovariance(m_arr_A, mean_A, m_arr_B, mean_B, m_lookback);
|
||||
double var_B = GetVariance(m_arr_B, mean_B, window_size);
|
||||
double cov_AB = GetCovariance(m_arr_A, mean_A, m_arr_B, mean_B, window_size);
|
||||
|
||||
if(var_B <= 1.0e-9)
|
||||
return 0.0; // Div-by-zero protection
|
||||
@@ -93,20 +94,19 @@ double CPairsTradingCalculator::CalculateZScore(int rates_total, int current_ind
|
||||
double beta = cov_AB / var_B;
|
||||
double alpha = mean_A - (beta * mean_B);
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Calculate the historical spreads over the window to find the standard deviation
|
||||
//--- Calculate the historical spreads over the active window (Mean is algebraically 0.0)
|
||||
double sum_sq_spread = 0.0;
|
||||
for(int k = 0; k < m_lookback; k++)
|
||||
for(int k = 0; k < window_size; k++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
// Spread_t = A_t - Beta * B_t - Alpha (Mean is algebraically 0.0)
|
||||
m_spread_history[k] = m_arr_A[k] - (beta * m_arr_B[k]) - alpha;
|
||||
sum_sq_spread += m_spread_history[k] * m_spread_history[k];
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
// Sample standard deviation of the spread
|
||||
double std_dev_spread = MathSqrt(sum_sq_spread / (m_lookback - 1));
|
||||
// Sample standard deviation of the active spread window
|
||||
double std_dev_spread = MathSqrt(sum_sq_spread / (window_size - 1));
|
||||
|
||||
if(std_dev_spread <= 1.0e-9)
|
||||
return 0.0; // Protection against flat/dead spreads
|
||||
return 0.0; // Protection against dead spreads
|
||||
|
||||
//--- Calculate the final current Z-Score
|
||||
double current_spread = sync_price_A[current_index] - (beta * sync_price_B[current_index]) - alpha;
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user