Brent Neale b1f3a919bf Add pivot retest + engulfing strategy with dual take-profit
New strategy (pivot_retest_engulfing) that enters long/short trades at
pivot level retests confirmed by SMA 50 alignment and engulfing candle
patterns. Uses ATR-based stop loss with two take-profit levels — at TP1
half the position closes and SL moves to breakeven, at TP2 the rest closes.

- data_engine: add detect_engulfing() for bullish/bearish pattern detection
- backtester: add generate_signals_pivot_retest(), run_backtest_dual_tp(),
  update signal dispatcher and metrics for dual-TP trade format
- order_executor: support signal=-1 (SHORT), attach SL/TP levels
- config: switch to pivot_retest_engulfing with default params
- chart_trades: new mplfinance script to visualize entries on candlesticks
- README: rewrite with full setup guide, project structure, strategy docs
- requirements.txt: make portable (remove conda file:// paths), add mplfinance
- .env.example: add template for secrets

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-17 15:18:02 +10:00
2026-02-16 13:01:24 +10:00

fx-quant

Algorithmic FX trading system with backtesting, paper/live execution via OANDA, and a Flask web dashboard.

Quick Start (New Machine Setup)

1. Clone & install dependencies

git clone <your-repo-url>
cd fx-quant
python -m pip install -r requirements.txt

2. Configure environment variables

Copy the template and fill in your credentials:

cp config/.env.example config/.env

Required variables in config/.env:

Variable Description
SUPABASE_URL Your Supabase project URL
SUPABASE_KEY Supabase anon/service key
OANDA_API_KEY OANDA v20 API token
OANDA_ACCOUNT_ID OANDA account ID
OANDA_ENV practice or live (default: practice)
DASHBOARD_PASSWORD Password for web dashboard login

3. Verify connectivity

python src/test_connection.py

4. Load historical data (if Supabase table is empty)

python src/historical_loader.py

5. Run the backtester

python src/backtester.py

Output goes to logs/:

  • backtest_trades_<INSTRUMENT>_<GRANULARITY>.csv -- trade log
  • backtest_summary_<INSTRUMENT>_<GRANULARITY>.json -- metrics + monthly P&L

6. Visualize trades on a chart

python src/chart_trades.py --start 2025-02-24 --end 2025-02-27
python src/chart_trades.py --granularity M15 --start 2025-04-01 --end 2025-04-15

Saves PNG charts to logs/chart_trades_*.png.


Project Structure

fx-quant/
  config/
    system.yaml          # Main configuration (strategy, features, execution)
    .env                 # Secrets (not committed)
  src/
    config_loader.py     # Loads system.yaml + .env
    data_engine.py       # Feature engineering (SMA, EMA, RSI, ATR, VWAP, pivots, engulfing)
    backtester.py        # Backtesting engine (SMA cross + pivot retest strategies)
    order_executor.py    # Paper/live order execution via OANDA
    ai_wrapper.py        # ML ensemble (logistic reg, RF, gradient boosting) signal validation
    dashboard.py         # Flask web dashboard
    chart_trades.py      # Matplotlib/mplfinance trade visualization
    get_candles.py       # Fetch candles from OANDA API
    historical_loader.py # Bulk historical data loader
    supabase_upload.py   # Upload candle data to Supabase
    param_sweep.py       # Strategy parameter optimization
    test_connection.py   # OANDA + Supabase connectivity check
  templates/             # Flask HTML templates (chart, backtest, config, logs)
  logs/                  # Output: trade CSVs, JSON summaries, chart PNGs
  models/                # Saved ML models
  sql/                   # Database schemas
  Dockerfile             # Bot container
  docker-compose.yml     # Bot + dashboard services
  requirements.txt       # Python dependencies (portable)
  requirements.docker.txt# Docker-specific deps

Strategies

1. SMA Cross (original)

Long-only strategy. Goes long when short SMA > long SMA, flat otherwise.

strategy:
  rule: sma_cross
  params:
    short: 50
    long: 100

2. Pivot Retest + Engulfing (current)

Long/short strategy with dual take-profit and ATR-based stop loss.

Entry conditions (all must be true):

  • Price retests a pivot level (broke through, then returned within ATR tolerance)
  • SMA 50 aligns with trade direction relative to the pivot level
  • Engulfing candle pattern confirmed
  • Strong close (in top/bottom 30% of candle range)

Position management:

  • SL: 1.5x ATR from entry
  • TP1: next pivot level in trade direction (close 50%, move SL to breakeven)
  • TP2: pivot level after TP1 (close remaining 50%)
strategy:
  rule: pivot_retest_engulfing
  params:
    sma_period: 50
    lookback_bars: 20
    retest_tolerance_atr: 0.5
    strong_close_pct: 0.30
    sl_atr_multiplier: 1.5

To switch strategies, edit config/system.yaml and change strategy.rule.

Configuration Reference

All settings live in config/system.yaml:

Section Key settings
brokers[0].instruments Currency pairs to trade (e.g. EUR_USD)
data.candle_granularities Timeframes (M5, M15, H1, etc.)
features.* Indicator windows (SMA, EMA, RSI, ATR, VWAP, volatility)
strategy.* Active strategy rule + parameters
ai.* ML ensemble config, confidence threshold, sanity checks
execution.paper_mode true for paper trading, false for live
execution.interval_seconds Bot loop interval
execution.max_positions Max concurrent open trades

Web Dashboard

Flask-based UI for remote management.

# Docker
docker-compose build && docker-compose up -d

# Or run directly
python src/dashboard.py

Access via SSH tunnel: ssh -L 5000:localhost:5000 your-server, then open http://localhost:5000.

Pages: Status (/), Backtest (/backtest), Chart (/chart), Config (/config), Logs (/logs)

Kill Switch

Create STOP_ALL_TRADING in the project root to halt all trading immediately. The bot checks for this file every loop iteration. In live mode, it also closes all open trades. Toggle via the dashboard or manually:

touch STOP_ALL_TRADING   # activate
rm STOP_ALL_TRADING      # deactivate

Running the Bot

# Single execution
python src/order_executor.py --once

# Continuous loop (default 60s interval)
python src/order_executor.py

# Docker
docker-compose up -d
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