feat: retail sales MoM (TE scraping), smart cache, IL weekly delta arrows, OIS phase labels

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- Retail Sales: switch from FRED OECD series (4-6w lag) to Trading Economics real-time scraping
  for all 8 currencies; label changed to "Retail Sales MoM"
- Cache TTL: 24h → 1h base + 15min hot when ForexFactory detects recent high-impact event
- Rate probability trend arrows: server-side IL weekly delta (current vs previous Dellamotta article)
  with per-metric thresholds (prob ≥3%/10%, bps ≥10/25) and colour coding (sky=dovish, amber=hawkish)
- Cycle phase: replaced FRED trend heuristic with OIS-based logic using peakMeeting.probMovePct,
  probIsCut, and yearEndBps; dynamic descriptions include real market numbers
- investinglive.ts: find both current + previous article to compute week-over-week delta server-side

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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Capucine Gest

2026-06-08 19:41:50 +02:00

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