Files
drift/training/primary_model.py
T
Mark Aron Szulyovszky c611481eb6 refactor(WalkForward): separate train / test functions to help with inference later (#158)
* refactor(WalkForward): separate train / test functions (draft) to potentially help with inference later

* fix(Training): use the new separate train / test functions

* feat(Training): return and pass in scalers that are necessary for inference

* fix(Project): runtime errors

* fix(WalkForward): use the correct `train_from` value

* fix(Tests): for new walk_forward functions()

* refactor(WalkForward): rename `walk_forward_test()` to `walk_forward_inference()`
2022-01-12 14:42:16 +01:00

79 lines
3.3 KiB
Python

import pandas as pd
from typing import Literal
from training.walk_forward import walk_forward_train, walk_forward_inference
from utils.evaluate import evaluate_predictions
from models.base import Model
from utils.scaler import get_scaler
from utils.types import ScalerTypes
def train_primary_model(
ticker_to_predict: str,
original_X: pd.DataFrame,
X: pd.DataFrame,
y: pd.Series,
target_returns: pd.Series,
models: list[tuple[str, Model]],
method: Literal['regression', 'classification'],
expanding_window: bool,
sliding_window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
scaler: ScalerTypes,
no_of_classes: Literal['two', 'three-balanced', 'three-imbalanced'],
level: str,
print_results: bool
) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, dict]:
scaler = get_scaler(scaler)
results = pd.DataFrame()
all_models_single_asset = dict()
predictions = pd.DataFrame(index=y.index)
probabilities = pd.DataFrame(index=y.index)
for model_name, model in models:
model_over_time, scaler_over_time = walk_forward_train(
model_name=model_name,
model = model,
X = X if model.feature_selection == 'on' else original_X,
y = y,
target_returns = target_returns,
expanding_window = expanding_window,
window_size = sliding_window_size,
retrain_every = retrain_every,
scaler = scaler
)
preds, probs = walk_forward_inference(
model_name = model_name,
models = model_over_time,
X = X if model.feature_selection == 'on' else original_X,
expanding_window = expanding_window,
window_size = sliding_window_size,
scalers = scaler_over_time
)
assert len(preds) == len(y)
result = evaluate_predictions(
model_name = model_name,
target_returns = target_returns,
y_pred = preds,
y_true = y,
method = method,
no_of_classes=no_of_classes,
print_results = print_results,
discretize=True
)
levelname=("_" + level) if level=='metalabeling' else ""
column_name = "model_" + model_name + "_" + ticker_to_predict + levelname
results[column_name] = result
all_models_single_asset[column_name]=dict()
all_models_single_asset[column_name][level] = model_over_time.tolist()
# all_models_single_asset[model_name]=dict()
# all_models_single_asset[model_name][level] = model_over_time.tolist()
# column names for model outputs should be different, so we can differentiate between original data and model predictions later, where necessary
predictions[column_name] = preds
probs_column_name = "probs_" + ticker_to_predict + "_" + model_name + "_" + level
probs.columns = [probs_column_name + "_" + c for c in probs.columns]
probabilities = pd.concat([probabilities, probs], axis=1)
return results, predictions, probabilities, all_models_single_asset