Commit Graph

16 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Mark Aron Szulyovszky d87389a135 fix(Selection): use step size of 5, speeding up feature selection by 5x (overall 3x improvement) (#115) 2022-01-06 18:13:19 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9488e92597 feature(MetaLabeling): replaced previous non-functional Ensembling method with Meta-labeling method available for both lvl1 and lvl2 models (#110)
* feature(MetaLabeling): added hacky prototype

* fix(MetaLabeling): drop index until first valid X & y

* fix(MetaLabeling): transform both X & y before feature selection

* fix(MetaLabeling): got feature selection to work

* fix(MetaLabeling): correct values for meta_y

* feat(MetaLabeling): created predictions multiplied by bet sizes

* feat(Pipeline): print out averaged result

* fix(Evaluation): correctly deal with non-discretized data

* fix(Pipeline): use the right column names

* refactor(Pipeline): move out meta-labeling

* refactor(Pipeline): complete refactoring

* feat(CI): post results to PR

* fix(Pipeline): use the correct filename

* chore(Config): removed now redundant feature_selection flag

* feat(Models): added SVC

* fix(Pipeline): accidentally switched two return values

* feat(Sweep): prepared sweep_meta.yaml, moved report_results() into a separate file

* fix(Pipeline): wrong function name

* fix(Sweep): yaml + run_sweep

* fix(Sweep): typo in name

* fix(Reporting): only save averaged results

* feat(MetaLabeling): use optional meta-labeling step for every lvl1 models, before averaging

* feat(Reporting): print out sharpe improvement in meta-labeling step

* fix(Sweep): adjusted config, defaulted to good defaults

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep
2022-01-06 16:36:45 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey ee35332f58 feature(Models): Implemented a basic Neural Network with Pytorch-Lightning (#101)
* feat: Added base functions for Neural Net.

* feat: Added function to handle Neural Nets.

* fix: Fixed fit loop

* feat: Neural Net trains now, need to test it.

* feat: Prediction now works on the neural net.

* fix: Put back config and run_pipeline.py

* fix: Took out import from run_pipeline.

* fix(Models): added get_name(), adjusted pytorch model output size

* fix(Tests): fixed tests

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2022-01-05 12:25:03 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 1cd0119589 feat(DataLoader): caching MVP, added ability to use standard scaling for exogenous data, scaling is now also done before feature selection (#105)
* fix(FeatureExtractor): apply log to transform some series to normality

* feat(DataLoader): add ability of not returning returns when they're not needed (exogenous data), applied log to certain features

* feat(FeatureExtractors): added standard scaling for exogenous data

* feat(FeatureSelection): scale data with the passed in scaler before doing feature-selection

* fix(Config): sweep config

* feat(Models): output probability, store it

* feat(Core): added caching to select_features() and load_data()

* fix(Dependencies): added diskcache

* fix(Training): error when creating results DF

* feat(Models): added xgboost, fixed tests

* refactor(Cache): moved hashing to a separate function, created wrapper functions to separate business logic and caching

* fix(Tests): new syntax

* fix(Model): XGboost can't handle -1 class, so we'll use the deprecated label_encoder fornow

* fix(Model): XGBoost config

* feat(Cache): add run_clear_cache script

* fix(Pipeline) accidentally re-instatiating all_predictions for each asset
2022-01-04 11:44:35 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 867269df2b feat(Data): added daily_glassnode DataCollection (#99) 2022-01-03 13:57:36 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 442915f847 feat(Data): create DataSource, DataCollection, added hourly crypto data (#96)
* feat(Data): create DataSource, DataCollection, added hourly crypto data

* fix(Data): hourly data format, loading & config
2021-12-31 19:04:27 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky f762ceed2a feat(FeatureExtraction): added fractionally differentiated returns to remove lagged returns (#95)
* feat(FeatureExtraction): added fractionally differentiated returns to remove lagged returns

* fix(Sweep): config

* fix(Sweep): name

* fix(Sweep): grid

* feat(Config): separated sliding_window_size_level1 & sliding_window_size_level2

* feat(Dependencies): added ray, now using it to parallel process feature extraction

* fix(Dependencies): added pip explicitly

* fix(Dependencies): removed ray from root

* fix(Models): average model was probably not taking the right timestamp to average

* feat(Config): separated expanding_window_level1 & expanding_window_level2

* fix(Config): set n_features_to_select to the optimal 30
2021-12-28 22:50:09 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky cc70d3f907 feat(Selection): added toggleable feature selection step into the pipeline (#83)
* feat(Selection): added prototype feature selection python script

* feat(Utils): added some helpers for the future from Advances in Financial ML book

* feat(Selection): added RFECV

* feat(Selection): added configurable feature selection step into pipeline

* feat(Config): added level_1 & level_2 default config, PCA before feature selection process starts

* feat(Selection): added backup feature selector models if current one can't output feature importance, removed unnecessary array for level-2 models

* fix(Training): deal with zero first value coming out of static models

* feat(Sweep): added feature selection sweep

* fix(Sweep): config problem

* fix(Sweep): config

* chore(Utils): removed unnecessary purged k-fold crossval class

* feat(Config): added dimensionality_reduction as a separate flag

* fix(Sweep): config updated

* fix(Sweep): sweep name

* chore(Config): updated level_2 config to the best performing configuation
2021-12-27 21:59:22 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey fc4e59a7d2 feat(Sweep): separated level-1 and level-2 sweep configs, skip assets with too few samples to train on, simplified model mapping (#84)
* feat: Added ensemble models to sweep and configured naming convention.

* fix: Default value was misconfigured.

* feat(Sweep): separated level-1 and level-2 sweep configs, skip assets with too few samples to train on, simplified model mapping

* fix(Sweep): syntax error

* chore(Sweep): set sweep names accordingly

* fix(Sweep): set sliding window

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep config

* fix(Sweep): removed invalid feature extractor preset

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2021-12-23 23:48:59 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 95573eb9dd feat(Data): add option to predict 3 classes (#79)
* feat(Data): add option to predict 3 classes

* feat(Evaluation): added ability to evaluate 3 class predictions

* chore(Config): set sensible config for regression models

* feat(Data): added option to use balanced or imbalanced three-class data

* feat(Evaluate): correctly track "no_of_samples" now that we have three classes

* chore(Sweep): remove probably not useful scaler values from sweep
2021-12-23 13:24:56 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky b6cd6b14fe feat(Config): feature extractors are enabled one-by-one with a bool, added previous model to model.fit() (#77)
* feat(Config): feature extractors are enabled one-by-one with a bool, added previous model to model.fit()

* fix(Sweep): removed unused `other_features` parameter that fails sweep

* feat(Config): using preset names for defining feature extractors again

* fix(Tests): fixed model stub classes
2021-12-23 10:35:20 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 6ae8acf70e feat(Models): added debug_future_lookahead, sped up LogisticRegression & DecisionTreeClassifier (#74)
* feat(Models): added `debug_future_lookahead`, sped up LogisticRegression & DecisionTreeClassifier

* feat(Training): added ability to train on expanding_window

* feat(Models): tuned some hyperparameters, added expanding_window to sweep config, fixed tests

* feat(Models): tune parameters of ensemble models

* fix(Config): use window size that works with ensembling
2021-12-22 16:59:03 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 25b64f5a3d refactor(Reporting): only report the last model's results, moved wandb-related functions to reporting (#69)
* refactor(Reporting): only report the last model's results, moved wandb-related functions to `reporting`

* fix(Reporting): use .mean() on axis 1 to retain the metrics, fixed get_model_name()

* fix(Config): sweep file syntax

* fix(Config): changed hyperparameter search method to "bayes"

* chore(Sweep): adjusted sweep config based on the results we saw (removed Momentum as well)

* fix(Sweep): only use classification method for now, we're not yet prepared for regression
2021-12-22 12:04:38 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey 1c1b8b2e54 Feature: Added sweep functionality (#65)
* feat: Parametricized model selection works now.

* feat: Fixed errors. Sweep generates and you can run it, but it gives an error for model.only_columns attribute.

* feat: Factored the wandb management, default config managment and the model_dictionary out of the run_pipeline to a seperate file.

* fix: Took out prints and fixed the mismatch of ensemble models when classifing.

* fix(Models): added StaticMomentum model to the dictionary, hopefully fixed sklearn-ex RandomForestRegressor problem

* fix(Dependencies): pin scikit-learn-ex's version, moved map_model_name_to_function to `models`

* feat(Sweep): added `run_sweep.py` shortcut

* feat(Pipeline): skip training a meta model if array is empty

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2021-12-21 17:28:36 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky d3d7184ea4 feat(Models): added StaticAverageModel for average ensembling & StaticNaiveModel (#64)
* feat(Models): added StaticAverageModel for average ensembling

* feat(Models): made sure we only pipe in predictions to StaticAverageModel, added StaticNaiveModel as potential baseline

* chore(Models): removed unnecessary commented out code
2021-12-21 15:57:08 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 79d84cf0a3 feat(Model): added own Model class, SkLearnModel wrapper and StaticMomentumModel (#61)
* feat(Model): added own `Model` class, SkLearnModel wrapper and StaticMomentumModel

* fix(Tests): added missing Model variable

* fix(Tests): added missing clone method()
2021-12-21 10:30:09 +01:00