Commit Graph

14 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9d47ee942d feat(Project): use SKLearn models directly, removed custom ensembling, use 5 minute data, batch inference, numba cusum filter (#192)
* feat(Project): use 5 minute data, running training in parallel, sped up cusum filter by 10x with numba

* fix(WalkForward): inference mini-batch parallelization

* fix(WalkForward): don't use the parallel version of any of the functions

* feat(CI): download the data required

* fix(Project): 5min_crypto folder added

* fix(Evaluate): make sure we have numerical stability in returns

* feat(Models): use SKLearn models directly to enable composability

* feat(Inference): batched inference now working, added forecasting_horizon

* fix(Inference): works again

* fix(Inference)

* chore(Models): remove unused Ensemble model

* fix(Labeller): don't just forward shift returns, also take the sum of the data happened until then

* Update test.yml
2022-02-17 16:36:35 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 42a1bc59cb feat(Events): added EventFilter, EventLabeller (#186) 2022-01-26 23:22:43 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey 55f083638f feature(Inference): Created the inference process, added model saving. (#153)
* feat: Basic scaffolding up for inference process after training.

* feat: Saving and loading models works. Inference works nearly.

* feat: Added inference pipeline.

* feat: Saving model now accoring to date and time; loading models now selects from latest file. Fixed the creation of dictionary of models.

* feat: Added lightweight asset config, but full pipeline.

* feat: Added new naming for dictionary.

* fix: Fixed dictionary naming convention.

* fix: Fixed naming again, now the model structure is good

* fix: Changed the output path and the return values from run_pipeline.

* feat: Added function to make sure folder exists for output models.

Co-authored-by: Daniel Szemerey <szemereydaniel@gmail.com>
2022-01-11 19:15:58 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 81c217a401 feat(Portfolio): reporting MVP (#108)
* feat(DataLoader): added load_only_returns() method

* feat(Portfolio): load predictions

* feat(Portfolio): normalize weights

* feat(Portfolio): started integrating with portfoliobt

* feat(Portfolio): include fees in the portfolio construction

* feat(Portfolio): demo of pyportfolioopt

* feat(Portfolio): get efficient frontier calculation to work

* feat(Portfolio): add a few strategies to create weights

* chore(Dependencies): remove pyportfolioopt for now

* fix(Dependencies): try to install all dependencies with pip

* fix(Dependencies): indentation

* fix(Dependencies): corrected pytorch module name

* fix(Dependencies): try to have as many modules installed by conda for the sake of sanity?

* fix(Dependencies): put fracdiff into pip modules

* fix(Dependencies): revert to using pip almost exclusively

* feat(Portfolio): added alphalens

* fix(Portfolio): got limited weights working

* feat(Portfolio): trying to get alphalens to work

* feat(Portfolio): alphalens working

* fix(Dependencies): removed vectorbt

* fix(Dependencies): use alphalens-reloaded

* fix(Dependencies): added conda source for alphalens-reloaded

* refactor(Portfolio): removed traces of vectorbt

* feat(Reporting): factor reporting done

* feat(Portfolio): added pyfolio reporting (fails bc alphalens is not working properly lol)
2022-01-08 00:05:36 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky f8af5641e8 chore(Project): added output folder (#124)
* chore(Project): added output folder

* chore(CI): updated path

* fix(CI): correct path
2022-01-07 19:03:17 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 9488e92597 feature(MetaLabeling): replaced previous non-functional Ensembling method with Meta-labeling method available for both lvl1 and lvl2 models (#110)
* feature(MetaLabeling): added hacky prototype

* fix(MetaLabeling): drop index until first valid X & y

* fix(MetaLabeling): transform both X & y before feature selection

* fix(MetaLabeling): got feature selection to work

* fix(MetaLabeling): correct values for meta_y

* feat(MetaLabeling): created predictions multiplied by bet sizes

* feat(Pipeline): print out averaged result

* fix(Evaluation): correctly deal with non-discretized data

* fix(Pipeline): use the right column names

* refactor(Pipeline): move out meta-labeling

* refactor(Pipeline): complete refactoring

* feat(CI): post results to PR

* fix(Pipeline): use the correct filename

* chore(Config): removed now redundant feature_selection flag

* feat(Models): added SVC

* fix(Pipeline): accidentally switched two return values

* feat(Sweep): prepared sweep_meta.yaml, moved report_results() into a separate file

* fix(Pipeline): wrong function name

* fix(Sweep): yaml + run_sweep

* fix(Sweep): typo in name

* fix(Reporting): only save averaged results

* feat(MetaLabeling): use optional meta-labeling step for every lvl1 models, before averaging

* feat(Reporting): print out sharpe improvement in meta-labeling step

* fix(Sweep): adjusted config, defaulted to good defaults

* fix(Sweep): adjusted sweep
2022-01-06 16:36:45 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey 087b72714e refractor(Pipeline): Tiny refractor of code. (#111)
* ref: Refractored pipeline building.

* fix(Tests)

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2022-01-05 18:35:52 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey ee35332f58 feature(Models): Implemented a basic Neural Network with Pytorch-Lightning (#101)
* feat: Added base functions for Neural Net.

* feat: Added function to handle Neural Nets.

* fix: Fixed fit loop

* feat: Neural Net trains now, need to test it.

* feat: Prediction now works on the neural net.

* fix: Put back config and run_pipeline.py

* fix: Took out import from run_pipeline.

* fix(Models): added get_name(), adjusted pytorch model output size

* fix(Tests): fixed tests

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2022-01-05 12:25:03 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 1cd0119589 feat(DataLoader): caching MVP, added ability to use standard scaling for exogenous data, scaling is now also done before feature selection (#105)
* fix(FeatureExtractor): apply log to transform some series to normality

* feat(DataLoader): add ability of not returning returns when they're not needed (exogenous data), applied log to certain features

* feat(FeatureExtractors): added standard scaling for exogenous data

* feat(FeatureSelection): scale data with the passed in scaler before doing feature-selection

* fix(Config): sweep config

* feat(Models): output probability, store it

* feat(Core): added caching to select_features() and load_data()

* fix(Dependencies): added diskcache

* fix(Training): error when creating results DF

* feat(Models): added xgboost, fixed tests

* refactor(Cache): moved hashing to a separate function, created wrapper functions to separate business logic and caching

* fix(Tests): new syntax

* fix(Model): XGboost can't handle -1 class, so we'll use the deprecated label_encoder fornow

* fix(Model): XGBoost config

* feat(Cache): add run_clear_cache script

* fix(Pipeline) accidentally re-instatiating all_predictions for each asset
2022-01-04 11:44:35 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 867269df2b feat(Data): added daily_glassnode DataCollection (#99) 2022-01-03 13:57:36 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey a7414eac23 feature: Added Weights and Biases configuration to the repo. (#48)
* feat: initial wandb configured. Sweep parameters aren't configured yet.

* feat: Wandb logs now results.

* feat: gitignore.

* fix: Took out print()

* feat: Changed default value of wandb to False.

* feat: Added wandb to turn of automatically if there is no environment variable to start it (when we push it). Added environment configuration aswell.

* fix(Dependencies): the package name seems to be python-dotenv

Co-authored-by: Mark Aron Szulyovszky <mark.szulyovszky@gmail.com>
2021-12-20 14:01:14 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 6440ced32c feat(Tests): added basic unit tests for walk_forward_train_test() (#22)
* feat(Tests): added basic unit tests for walk_forward_train_test()

* fix(Tests): inherit from BaseEstimator, fix index problems in walk_forward_train_test

* fix(WalkForward): predictions were mistakenly removed, oops

* fix(WalkForward): mistakenly re-assiging model
2021-12-15 17:54:03 +01:00
Daniel Szemerey d4676e099b feat(Pytorch): added custom model to pytorch-forecasting (#8)
* feat: Refractored and created new model. Pipeline not ready yet.

* feat: Implemented and refactored a data pipeline.

* ref: Refractored to make more sense.

* feat: Training works now with models that you can change.

* feat: Added predict function but without working instructions.

* feat: gitignore.
2021-11-18 10:59:06 +01:00
Mark Aron Szulyovszky 842e99e4c7 Initial commit 2021-11-06 13:50:13 +01:00