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- Implemented Sdchannel class for calculating standard deviation channels based on linear regression. - Added detailed documentation for SDCHANNEL, including overview, calculation methods, and interpretation. - Updated project files to include new numerics library components in Channels and Volatility projects.
162 lines
5.8 KiB
Markdown
162 lines
5.8 KiB
Markdown
# MAENV: Moving Average Envelope
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> "The simplest channels are often the most useful - a percentage above and below tells you when price is stretched."
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The Moving Average Envelope (MAENV) creates a fixed percentage-based channel around a selectable moving average. Unlike volatility-adaptive channels like Keltner or Bollinger Bands, MAENV maintains constant proportional distance from the middle line, making it useful for mean-reversion strategies where you expect price to oscillate within predictable bounds.
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## Historical Context
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Moving Average Envelopes are among the oldest channel indicators, predating volatility-based bands by decades. The concept is straightforward: if price tends to revert to a moving average, then defining zones at fixed percentages above and below that average provides natural support and resistance levels.
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The choice of moving average type affects responsiveness:
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- **SMA**: Equal weighting creates stable, predictable bands but slower reaction to price changes
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- **EMA**: Exponential weighting responds faster to recent prices, making bands more dynamic
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- **WMA**: Linear weighting provides a middle ground, emphasizing recent data without the sharp responsiveness of EMA
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This implementation offers all three options, letting traders choose the smoothing behavior that matches their strategy.
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## Architecture & Physics
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### 1. Moving Average Calculation
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The middle band is computed using the selected MA type:
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**SMA (Simple Moving Average)** - O(1) streaming via ring buffer:
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$$
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\text{SMA}_t = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=0}^{n-1} P_{t-i}
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$$
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Implementation uses circular buffer to maintain running sum, achieving constant-time updates.
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**EMA (Exponential Moving Average)** - O(1) with warmup compensation:
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$$
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\alpha = \frac{2}{n+1}
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$$
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$$
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\text{sum}_t = \text{sum}_{t-1}(1-\alpha) + P_t \cdot \alpha
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$$
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$$
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\text{weight}_t = \text{weight}_{t-1}(1-\alpha) + \alpha
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$$
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$$
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\text{EMA}_t = \frac{\text{sum}_t}{\text{weight}_t}
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$$
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Warmup compensation ensures accurate values from the first bar by tracking both weighted sum and weight.
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**WMA (Weighted Moving Average)** - O(n):
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$$
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\text{WMA}_t = \frac{\sum_{i=0}^{n-1} w_i \cdot P_{t-i}}{\sum_{i=0}^{n-1} w_i}
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$$
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where $w_i = (n-i) \times n$ giving highest weight to most recent values.
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### 2. Band Calculation
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Bands are symmetric percentage-based offsets:
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$$
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\text{dist}_t = \text{Middle}_t \times \frac{\text{percentage}}{100}
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$$
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$$
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\text{Upper}_t = \text{Middle}_t + \text{dist}_t
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$$
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$$
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\text{Lower}_t = \text{Middle}_t - \text{dist}_t
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$$
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## Mathematical Foundation
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### Band Width Formula
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Total band width scales linearly with both the middle value and percentage parameter:
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$$
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\text{Width}_t = \text{Upper}_t - \text{Lower}_t = 2 \times \text{Middle}_t \times \frac{\text{percentage}}{100}
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$$
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This creates proportional bands - a 2% envelope means bands are always 4% of the middle value apart.
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### EMA Warmup Derivation
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Traditional EMA initialization (`EMA_0 = P_0`) creates bias when the first value differs significantly from subsequent values. The warmup compensation tracks:
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$$
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\text{theoretical\_weight} = \alpha \sum_{i=0}^{t} (1-\alpha)^i = 1 - (1-\alpha)^{t+1}
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$$
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By dividing sum by actual accumulated weight, the EMA converges to the true value faster and without initialization bias.
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## Performance Profile
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### Operation Count (Streaming Mode)
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| MA Type | Per-Bar Cost | Memory | Complexity |
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| :--- | :---: | :---: | :---: |
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| SMA | ~5 ops | O(n) buffer | O(1) |
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| EMA | ~8 ops | O(1) scalars | O(1) |
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| WMA | ~3n ops | O(n) buffer | O(n) |
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SMA and EMA achieve constant-time streaming updates. WMA requires linear time due to weighted sum recalculation.
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### Batch Mode Performance
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For batch processing of 1000 values:
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| MA Type | Streaming | Batch (SIMD) | Speedup |
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| :--- | :---: | :---: | :---: |
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| SMA | ~5000 ops | ~5000 ops | 1× |
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| EMA | ~8000 ops | ~8000 ops | 1× |
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| WMA | ~3M ops | ~3M ops | 1× |
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Limited SIMD benefit due to recursive nature of MA calculations.
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### Quality Metrics
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| Metric | Score | Notes |
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| :--- | :---: | :--- |
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| **Accuracy** | 10/10 | Exact percentage-based calculation |
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| **Timeliness** | 7/10 | Depends on MA type (EMA fastest) |
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| **Stability** | 9/10 | No volatility-driven expansion |
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| **Predictability** | 10/10 | Constant proportional width |
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## Validation
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| Library | Status | Notes |
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| :--- | :---: | :--- |
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| **TA-Lib** | N/A | No direct equivalent |
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| **Skender** | N/A | No direct equivalent |
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| **Tulip** | N/A | No direct equivalent |
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| **Ooples** | N/A | No direct equivalent |
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| **PineScript** | ✅ | Reference implementation match |
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Validation performed against internal manual calculations and PineScript reference. No external library provides identical multi-MA-type envelope implementation.
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## Common Pitfalls
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1. **MA Type Selection**: SMA provides most stable bands but slowest response. EMA responds quickly but may whipsaw. WMA balances both but costs O(n) per update.
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2. **Percentage Calibration**: Optimal percentage varies by instrument volatility. Highly volatile assets need wider envelopes (3-5%), stable assets work with narrow bands (0.5-1%).
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3. **False Breakouts**: Fixed percentage bands don't adapt to volatility regime changes. Price may consistently breach bands during high-volatility periods.
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4. **Warmup Period**: All MA types need `period` bars for full accuracy. EMA warmup compensation accelerates convergence but initial bars still have reduced effective lookback.
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5. **Memory Footprint**: SMA and WMA require period-sized buffers (~8 bytes × period per instance). EMA uses only scalar state (~32 bytes total).
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6. **Bar Correction (isNew=false)**: State restoration copies entire buffer for SMA/WMA. For large periods, this adds latency to tick-by-tick updates.
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## References
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- Murphy, J.J. (1999). *Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets*. New York Institute of Finance.
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- TradingView. "Moving Average Envelope." Pine Script Reference.
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