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164 lines
5.6 KiB
Markdown
164 lines
5.6 KiB
Markdown
# PWMA: Parabolic Weighted Moving Average
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## What It Does
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The Parabolic Weighted Moving Average (PWMA) applies a squared weighting scheme to historical prices, assigning significantly higher importance to the most recent data points than a standard Weighted Moving Average (WMA). While WMA uses linear weights ($1, 2, 3, \dots, n$), PWMA uses parabolic weights ($1^2, 2^2, 3^2, \dots, n^2$). This results in an indicator that tracks price action with exceptional responsiveness, making it ideal for fast-moving markets and momentum calculations.
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## Historical Context
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The concept of parabolic weighting is often associated with advanced signal processing techniques in finance, notably appearing as a core component in Jurik Research's "Velocity" indicator ($Velocity = PWMA - WMA$). By shifting the center of gravity even closer to the current price than a linear WMA, it minimizes lag to near-zero levels for recent price changes.
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## How It Works
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### The Core Idea
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Imagine a 5-day window.
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- **SMA:** Weights are $1, 1, 1, 1, 1$.
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- **WMA:** Weights are $1, 2, 3, 4, 5$.
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- **PWMA:** Weights are $1, 4, 9, 16, 25$.
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In the PWMA, the most recent price (weight 25) is 25 times more important than the oldest price (weight 1), whereas in the WMA it is only 5 times more important. This aggressive weighting allows the PWMA to turn almost instantly when the trend changes.
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### Mathematical Foundation
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$$ PWMA = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} i^2 \cdot P_i}{\sum_{i=1}^{n} i^2} $$
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Where:
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- $n$ = period length
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- $P_i$ = price at position $i$ (oldest to newest)
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- Denominator = $\frac{n(n+1)(2n+1)}{6}$ (sum of squares)
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### Implementation Details: O(1) Streaming
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Calculating the sum of $i^2 \cdot P_i$ for every bar would be computationally expensive ($O(n)$). We achieve **O(1)** complexity using a triple running sum technique:
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1. **S1 (Simple Sum):** $\sum P_i$
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2. **S2 (Linear Weighted Sum):** $\sum i \cdot P_i$
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3. **S3 (Parabolic Weighted Sum):** $\sum i^2 \cdot P_i$
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When the window slides:
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$$ S1_{new} = S1_{old} - P_{oldest} + P_{new} $$
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$$ S2_{new} = S2_{old} - S1_{old} + n \cdot P_{new} $$
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$$ S3_{new} = S3_{old} - 2 \cdot S2_{old} + S1_{old} + n^2 \cdot P_{new} $$
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This allows the indicator to update in constant time, regardless of the period length.
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## Configuration
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| Parameter | Default | Purpose | Adjustment Guidelines |
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|-----------|---------|---------|----------------------|
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| Period | 14 | Lookback window | Shorter (5-10) for momentum; Longer (20+) for trend smoothing. |
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## Performance Profile
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| Operation | Complexity | Description |
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|-----------|------------|-------------------|
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| Streaming update | O(1) | Constant time triple-sum update |
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| Bar correction | O(1) | Efficient state rollback |
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| Batch processing | O(n) | Fast sequential processing |
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| Memory footprint | O(period) | Uses a RingBuffer to store the lookback window |
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## Interpretation
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### Trading Signals
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#### Momentum
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- **Rapid Turns:** PWMA is excellent for identifying the exact moment a trend loses momentum, often turning before the price itself peaks or troughs.
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#### Velocity
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- **PWMA - WMA:** Subtracting a WMA from a PWMA of the same period creates a powerful momentum oscillator (Velocity) that is smoother than ROC but with less lag.
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### When It Works Best
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- **Fast Trends:** Markets that move parabolically or have sharp V-bottoms/tops.
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### When It Struggles
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- **Noise:** The extreme sensitivity to recent data means PWMA can be noisy in choppy markets. It is often best used as part of a composite indicator rather than a standalone filter.
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## Architecture Notes
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This implementation makes specific trade-offs:
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### Choice: Triple Running Sums
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- **Implementation:** Maintains S1, S2, and S3.
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- **Rationale:** Enables O(1) updates. A naive implementation would be O(n), which is unacceptable for large periods or high-frequency trading.
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### Choice: Periodic Resync
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- **Implementation:** Recalculates sums from scratch every 1,000 ticks.
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- **Rationale:** Floating-point errors accumulate rapidly in the $S3$ term (which involves $n^2$). Periodic resync ensures long-term stability.
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## References
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- Colby, Robert W. "The Encyclopedia of Technical Market Indicators." McGraw-Hill, 2002.
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- Jurik Research. "Velocity."
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## C# Usage
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### Streaming Updates (Single Instance)
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```csharp
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using QuanTAlib;
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var pwma = new Pwma(period: 14);
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// Process each new bar
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TValue result = pwma.Update(new TValue(timestamp, closePrice));
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Console.WriteLine($"PWMA: {result.Value:F2}");
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// Check if buffer is full
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if (pwma.IsHot)
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{
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// Indicator is fully initialized
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}
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```
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### Batch Processing (Historical Data)
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```csharp
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// TSeries API (object-oriented)
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TSeries prices = ...;
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TSeries pwmaValues = Pwma.Batch(prices, period: 14);
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// High-performance Span API (zero allocation)
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double[] prices = new double[10000];
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double[] output = new double[10000];
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Pwma.Calculate(prices.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), period: 14);
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```
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### Bar Correction (isNew Parameter)
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```csharp
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var pwma = new Pwma(14);
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// New bar arrives
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pwma.Update(new TValue(time, 100.5), isNew: true);
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// Intra-bar price updates (real-time tick data)
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pwma.Update(new TValue(time, 101.0), isNew: false); // Updates current bar
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pwma.Update(new TValue(time, 100.8), isNew: false); // Updates current bar
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// Next bar
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pwma.Update(new TValue(time + 60, 101.2), isNew: true); // Advances state
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```
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### Event-Driven Architecture
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```csharp
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var source = new TSeries();
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var pwma = new Pwma(source, period: 14);
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// Subscribe to PWMA output
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pwma.Pub += (value) => {
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Console.WriteLine($"New PWMA value: {value.Value}");
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};
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// Feeding source automatically triggers the chain
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source.Add(new TValue(DateTime.Now, 105.2));
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