2569718930@qq.com
95 lines
3.3 KiB
Markdown
95 lines
3.3 KiB
Markdown
# 📈 Commercialization Roadmap
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> **Target**: Transforming PolyWeather for paid weather intelligence delivery.
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---
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## 🎯 Product Focus
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PolyWeather is positioned as a **premium intelligence service** for weather-based prediction markets (**Polymarket**). The value proposition lies in **Ankara-specialization**, **advanced advection forecasting**, and **DEB-weighted consensus**.
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---
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## 💰 Pricing & Monetization
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| Tier | Price | Primary Value Proposition |
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| :------------------- | :------------ | :------------------------------------------------------------ |
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| **Telegram Channel** | **$1 / mo** | High-fidelity proactive alerts, low noise. |
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| **Web Dashboard** | **$5 / mo** | Comprehensive multi-model view + historical MAE benchmarking. |
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| **VIP Bundle** | **$5.5 / mo** | Full access to all intelligence streams. |
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### 🛠️ Payment Infrastructure
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- **Currency**: Polygon / USDC.
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- **Method**: Initially manual activation; migrating to automatic deposit detection (Phase 2).
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---
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## 🗺️ Execution Roadmap
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```mermaid
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graph LR
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P1[Phase 1: Manual Beta] --> P2[Phase 2: USDC Automation]
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P2 --> P3[Phase 3: Scaling & Analytics]
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subgraph P1_Detail [Manual Operations]
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P1 -->|DM Bot| Pay[Manual Payment]
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Pay -->|Invite| Link[One-time Link]
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end
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subgraph P2_Detail [Smart Automation]
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P2 -->|Monitor| Chain[Polygon/USDC]
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Chain -->|Auto| Access[JWT/Sub Activation]
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end
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```
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### 📦 Phase 1: Manual Beta
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- **Goal**: Stabilize current alert quality and build core user group.
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- **Actions**:
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- Manual subscription activation via Telegram DM.
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- Small, focused paid Telegram channel for signal tests.
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- Invitation-only Web Access (Vercel).
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- Validate city-specific edge before scaling, with Ankara as the flagship strategy city.
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### 🛠️ Phase 2: Automation (USDC)
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- **Goal**: Reduce operational friction.
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- **Actions**:
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- **On-chain monitoring**: Detect USDC deposits to unique addresses.
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- **One-time Links**: Telegram bot automatically generates invite links with `member_limit=1`.
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- **JWT Auth**: Securing the Next.js frontend with subscriber-only tokens.
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### 🌐 Phase 3: Scaling & Analytics
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- **Goal**: Retention and expansion.
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- **Actions**:
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- **Accuracy Leaderboard**: Monthly reports of DEB vs Market outcomes.
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- **Self-Serve Portal**: User dashboard for billing and alert settings.
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### 📡 API Expansion Priority
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- **P0-1 Market Layer**
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- Polymarket Gamma discovery + `py-clob-client` pricing / order book
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- **P0-2 Official Observation Layer**
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- Aviation Weather / METAR
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- weather.gov official forecast / observation / alert context
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- **P1 Lead Layer**
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- Ankara keeps Turkish MGM nearby network
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- U.S. cities may later receive Mesonet enhancement without replacing METAR
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- **P2 Product Layer**
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- Stripe / Polygon-USDC automation
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- Realtime sync and user entitlement system
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---
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## 🚧 Critical Constraints
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- **Weather-First**: We focus on the **physical variable changes** rather than exchange-side order book execution.
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- **Quality > Quantity**: Alert fatigue will churn subscribers. We enforce a "True Probability Shift" rule for notifications.
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- **Local Niche**: Ankara is our flagship differentiator.
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---
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**📅 Last Updated**: 2026-03-09
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