2569718930@qq.com
90 lines
2.1 KiB
JSON
90 lines
2.1 KiB
JSON
{
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"version": "emos-20260402151301",
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"trained_at": "2026-04-02T15:13:01.073253+00:00",
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"global": {
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"mu": {
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"intercept": 1.52725527,
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"raw_mu_coef": 2.96318139,
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"deb_coef": -1.54490032,
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"ens_median_coef": -0.71820793,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": 10.22802132
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},
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"sigma": {
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"intercept": 0.67227661,
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"raw_sigma_coef": 0.69444674,
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"spread_coef": 0.09134583,
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"peak_flag_coef": -0.58201761,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.81482466
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}
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},
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"sigma_constraints": {
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"min_ratio": 0.85,
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"max_ratio": 1.35,
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"absolute_min": 0.25,
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"absolute_max": 3.0
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},
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"selection_guardrails": {
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"max_mae_increase": 0.02,
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"max_bucket_hit_drop": 0.01,
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"max_bucket_brier_increase": 0.05
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},
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"blending": {
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"alpha_mu": 0.0,
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"alpha_sigma": 0.45
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},
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"cities": {
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"ankara": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 1.283918,
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"sigma_scale": 1.484056,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"hong kong": {
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"samples": 4,
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"mu_bias": 1.329042,
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"sigma_scale": 1.045379,
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"confidence": 0.5
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},
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"milan": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -3.932299,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"shanghai": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 1.827618,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"taipei": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 3.387896,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"warsaw": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -0.614031,
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"sigma_scale": 1.252706,
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"confidence": 0.375
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}
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},
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"metrics": {
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"sample_count": 54,
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"mean_crps": 3.78558,
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"legacy_mean_crps": 4.326547,
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"legacy_mean_mae": 4.528889,
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"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.518519,
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"legacy_bucket_brier": 0.83496,
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"selected_mean_crps": 4.239815,
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"selected_mean_mae": 4.528889,
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"selected_bucket_hit_rate": 0.537037,
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"selected_bucket_brier": 0.853485,
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"selected_score": 6.027262,
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"legacy_score": 6.127879,
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"filled_actual_from_history": 2,
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"settlement_history_city_count": 30
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},
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"source": "artifacts\\probability_calibration\\default.json"
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} |