2569718930@qq.com
84 lines
2.0 KiB
JSON
84 lines
2.0 KiB
JSON
{
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"version": "emos-20260415164136",
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"trained_at": "2026-04-15T16:41:36.704829+00:00",
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"global": {
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"mu": {
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"intercept": -0.39094186,
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"raw_mu_coef": 0.27476248,
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"deb_coef": 0.91159557,
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"ens_median_coef": -0.16959018,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.94232523
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},
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"sigma": {
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"intercept": -1.56485068,
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"raw_sigma_coef": 0.12930442,
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"spread_coef": 0.15947819,
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"peak_flag_coef": 0.19328621,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.08469752
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}
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},
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"sigma_constraints": {
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"min_ratio": 0.85,
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"max_ratio": 1.35,
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"absolute_min": 0.25,
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"absolute_max": 3.0
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},
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"selection_guardrails": {
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"max_mae_increase": 0.02,
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"max_bucket_hit_drop": 0.01,
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"max_bucket_brier_increase": 0.05
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},
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"blending": {
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"alpha_mu": 1.0,
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"alpha_sigma": 0.5
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},
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"cities": {
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"tokyo": {
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"samples": 4,
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"mu_bias": 0.211244,
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"sigma_scale": 0.5,
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"confidence": 0.5
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},
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"ankara": {
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"samples": 11,
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"mu_bias": 0.027471,
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"sigma_scale": 0.5,
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"confidence": 1.0
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},
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"istanbul": {
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"samples": 12,
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"mu_bias": 0.048913,
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"sigma_scale": 0.5,
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"confidence": 1.0
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},
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"hong kong": {
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"samples": 12,
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"mu_bias": -0.026823,
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"sigma_scale": 1.020494,
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"confidence": 1.0
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},
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"taipei": {
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"samples": 5,
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"mu_bias": 0.192719,
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"sigma_scale": 0.5,
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"confidence": 0.625
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}
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},
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"metrics": {
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"sample_count": 50,
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"mean_crps": 0.278798,
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"legacy_mean_crps": 1.26525,
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"legacy_mean_mae": 1.4674,
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"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.54,
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"legacy_bucket_brier": 0.744518,
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"selected_mean_crps": 0.278798,
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"selected_mean_mae": 0.248457,
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"selected_bucket_hit_rate": 0.82,
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"selected_bucket_brier": 0.369542,
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"selected_score": 0.8508,
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"legacy_score": 2.660378,
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"filled_actual_from_history": 0,
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"settlement_history_city_count": 30
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},
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"source": "artifacts\\probability_calibration\\default.json"
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} |