2569718930@qq.com
121 lines
3.3 KiB
Markdown
121 lines
3.3 KiB
Markdown
# Commercialization Roadmap
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Target: make PolyWeather a sustainable paid weather-intelligence product.
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---
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## 1. Product Positioning
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PolyWeather is not a generic weather app.
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It is a decision-support layer for temperature-settlement markets:
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- observation-first (METAR/MGM),
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- settlement-aware probability modeling (DEB + mu/buckets),
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- market mapping (Polymarket read-only) for actionable edge detection.
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---
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## 2. Business Overview Diagram
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```mermaid
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flowchart TD
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A["PolyWeather Monetization"]
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subgraph P["Product"]
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P1["Telegram Signal Channel"]
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P2["Web Dashboard"]
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P3["VIP Bundle"]
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end
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subgraph R["Pricing"]
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R1["Entry 1 USD"]
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R2["Dashboard 5 USD"]
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R3["Bundle 5.5 USD"]
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end
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subgraph AC["Access Control"]
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AC1["Manual activation (P1)"]
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AC2["Wallet/USDC detection (P2)"]
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AC3["Entitlement middleware"]
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end
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subgraph G["Growth"]
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G1["Accuracy reports"]
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G2["Retention analytics"]
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G3["User preference center"]
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end
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A --> P
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A --> R
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A --> AC
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A --> G
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```
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---
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## 3. Packaging and Pricing
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| Tier | Price | Value |
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| :--------------- | :----------- | :---------------------------------------- |
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| Telegram Channel | $1 / month | Low-noise proactive signal feed |
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| Web Dashboard | $5 / month | Full multi-model context + reconciliation |
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| VIP Bundle | $5.5 / month | Dashboard + signal stream |
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Payment direction:
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- Currency: Polygon USDC
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- Phasing: manual activation first, then automated entitlement sync
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---
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## 4. Execution Phases
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```mermaid
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graph LR
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P1[Phase 1 Manual Beta] --> P2[Phase 2 Payment Automation]
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P2 --> P3[Phase 3 Growth and B2B]
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```
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### Phase 1: Manual Beta
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- Keep paid channel small, optimize signal quality first.
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- Manual payment confirmation + manual entitlement grant.
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- Invite-gated dashboard while access control hardens.
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### Phase 2: Payment Automation
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- Detect wallet payment events (USDC).
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- Auto-issue/refresh entitlement.
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- Enforce route-level and API-level access guards.
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### Phase 3: Growth and Expansion
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- Self-serve billing and subscription panel.
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- Operator analytics and feature usage telemetry.
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- Optional B2B API package for quant teams.
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---
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## 5. Technical Dependencies for Revenue
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| Dependency | Why it matters |
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| :------------------- | :--------------------------------------------------------------- |
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| Entitlement guard | Prevents unpaid dashboard/API access |
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| Subscriber store | Persistent paid user state |
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| Audit trail | Explains why each alert fired |
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| Observability | Detects degradation before churn |
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| Frontend performance | Impacts conversion and retention (Speed Insights now integrated) |
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---
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## 6. Immediate Commercial Priorities
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1. Finish robust entitlement middleware in frontend and backend.
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2. Persist subscriber/payment state in managed DB.
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3. Publish transparent monthly accuracy and signal-quality reports.
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4. Add support playbooks for false-alert and stale-data incidents.
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---
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Last Updated: `2026-03-11`
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