Show EMOS probability labels in intraday analysis

2026-04-19 03:41:39 +08:00
parent 1892d638fa
commit c4f1151cf3
2 changed files with 42 additions and 10 deletions
@@ -743,6 +743,14 @@ export function FutureForecastModal() {
    [dateStr, detail],
  );
  const modelView = useMemo(() => getModelView(detail, dateStr), [dateStr, detail]);
+  const probabilityEngineKey = String(probabilityView?.engine || "")
+    .trim()
+    .toLowerCase();
+  const probabilityCalibrationMode = String(
+    probabilityView?.calibrationMode || "",
+  )
+    .trim()
+    .toLowerCase();
  const hasLgbmProbability = useMemo(
    () =>
      Object.keys(modelView?.models || {}).some((name) =>
@@ -750,6 +758,28 @@ export function FutureForecastModal() {
      ),
    [modelView],
  );
+  const hasEmosProbability =
+    probabilityEngineKey === "emos" || probabilityCalibrationMode.includes("emos");
+  const probabilityEngineLabel = hasLgbmProbability
+    ? locale === "en-US"
+      ? "LGBM"
+      : "LGBM"
+    : hasEmosProbability
+      ? "EMOS"
+      : locale === "en-US"
+        ? "Calibrated model"
+        : "校准模型";
+  const probabilityTitle = hasLgbmProbability
+    ? locale === "en-US"
+      ? "LGBM-Calibrated Probability"
+      : "LGBM 校准概率"
+    : hasEmosProbability
+      ? locale === "en-US"
+        ? "EMOS-Calibrated Probability"
+        : "EMOS 校准概率"
+      : locale === "en-US"
+        ? "Calibrated Model Probability"
+        : "校准模型概率";
  const topProbabilityBucket = useMemo(() => {
    const buckets = Array.isArray(probabilityView?.probabilities)
      ? probabilityView.probabilities
@@ -943,6 +973,11 @@ export function FutureForecastModal() {
        ? `LGBM-calibrated read puts the leading bucket at ${bucketLabel} (${bucketProb}). Treat this as the base case, not the final settlement.`
        : `LGBM 校准后领先温度桶为 ${bucketLabel}（${bucketProb}）。可作为基准情形，但不要直接等同于最终结算。`;
    }
+    if (hasEmosProbability) {
+      return locale === "en-US"
+        ? `EMOS-calibrated probability puts the leading bucket at ${bucketLabel} (${bucketProb}). It is the primary calibrated probability layer, not the final settlement.`
+        : `EMOS 校准概率显示领先温度桶为 ${bucketLabel}（${bucketProb}）。这是当前主概率层，但不要直接等同于最终结算。`;
+    }
    return locale === "en-US"
      ? `Calibrated model probability puts the leading bucket at ${bucketLabel} (${bucketProb}). Treat this as the base case, not the final settlement.`
      : `校准模型概率显示领先温度桶为 ${bucketLabel}（${bucketProb}）。可作为基准情形，但不要直接等同于最终结算。`;
@@ -1311,8 +1346,8 @@ export function FutureForecastModal() {
            ? "Model spread and calibrated buckets are updating."
            : "模型分歧和校准概率桶正在更新。"
          : locale === "en-US"
-            ? "Probability buckets are derived from the local model stack."
-            : "概率桶当前由本地模型栈推导。",
+            ? `Probability buckets are derived from the ${probabilityEngineLabel} layer.`
+            : `概率桶当前由 ${probabilityEngineLabel} 层推导。`,
    },
  ] as const;

@@ -1896,13 +1931,7 @@ export function FutureForecastModal() {
                          {locale === "en-US" ? "Probability read" : "概率判断"}
                        </div>
                        <h3>
-                          {hasLgbmProbability
-                            ? locale === "en-US"
-                              ? "LGBM-Calibrated Probability"
-                              : "LGBM 校准概率"
-                            : locale === "en-US"
-                              ? "Calibrated Model Probability"
-                              : "校准模型概率"}
+                          {probabilityTitle}
                        </h3>
                      </div>
                      <div className="future-text-block" style={{ marginBottom: "12px" }}>
@@ -329,7 +329,10 @@ function formatProbabilityEngineLabel(
      : "LGBM 校准概率";
  }
  const engine = String(view.engine || "").trim().toLowerCase();
-  if (engine === "emos") {
+  const calibrationMode = String(view.calibrationMode || "")
+    .trim()
+    .toLowerCase();
+  if (engine === "emos" || calibrationMode.includes("emos")) {
    return locale === "en-US" ? "EMOS-calibrated probability" : "EMOS 校准概率";
  }
  return locale === "en-US" ? "Model probability" : "模型概率";