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{
"generated_at": "2026-08-04T20:31:40.184166Z",
"yields": {
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},
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"headline": "So what\u2019s the plan to bring down inflation? The new Fed chair and his White House allies say you shouldn\u2019t ask.",
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{
"headline": "Should wealthier Americans forgo their Social Security benefits as a charitable gesture?",
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Balance of Trade (Jun)",
"prev": "-77.60B",
"fcast": "$-73.0B",
"act": "-73.30B",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Exports (Jun)",
"prev": "$317.7B",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "$314.7B",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Imports (Jun)",
"prev": "$395.3B",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "$388.0B",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "08:55",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Redbook YoY (08/02)",
"prev": "8.3%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "8.7%",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "09:20",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months",
"prev": "\u2014",
"fcast": "$5.179 billion",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Factory Orders ex Transportation (Jun)",
"prev": "2.0%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "-0.4%",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Factory Orders MoM (Jun)",
"prev": "-1.3%",
"fcast": "0.2%",
"act": "-0.3%",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": "miss",
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "JOLTs Job Openings (Jun)",
"prev": "7.537M",
"fcast": "7.4M",
"act": "7.359M",
"imp": "red",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "JOLTs Job Quits (Jun)",
"prev": "3.065M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "3.232M",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (Aug)",
"prev": "45.5",
"fcast": "47.5",
"act": "45.1",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": "miss",
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "11:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "52-Week Bill Auction",
"prev": "3.860%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "3.880%",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "11:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "6-Week Bill Auction",
"prev": "3.700%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "3.640%",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-04",
"time": "16:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "API Crude Oil Stock Change (08/01)",
"prev": "3.296M",
"fcast": "-2M",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "07:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (08/01)",
"prev": "6.76%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "07:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "MBA Mortgage Applications (08/01)",
"prev": "-6.4%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "07:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "MBA Mortgage Market Index (08/01)",
"prev": "247.2",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "07:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (08/01)",
"prev": "723.1",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "07:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "MBA Purchase Index (08/01)",
"prev": "159.8",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "08:15",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "ADP Employment Change (Jul)",
"prev": "98K",
"fcast": "70K",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Treasury Refunding Announcement",
"prev": "\u2014",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "ISM Services Business Activity (Jul)",
"prev": "55.4",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "ISM Services Employment (Jul)",
"prev": "51.2",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "ISM Services New Orders (Jul)",
"prev": "55.1",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "ISM Services PMI (Jul)",
"prev": "54.0",
"fcast": "54.5",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "red",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "ISM Services Prices (Jul)",
"prev": "67.7",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (08/01)",
"prev": "-0.237M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (08/01)",
"prev": "-7.167M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (08/01)",
"prev": "-0.771M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (08/01)",
"prev": "0.015M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Distillate Stocks Change (08/01)",
"prev": "1.062M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Gasoline Production Change (08/01)",
"prev": "0.178M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (08/01)",
"prev": "0.007M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (08/01)",
"prev": "0.308M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (08/01)",
"prev": "0.271M",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "11:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "17-Week Bill Auction",
"prev": "3.875%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-05",
"time": "16:05",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Fed Cook Speech",
"prev": "\u2014",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "05:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Challenger Job Cuts (Jul)",
"prev": "45.849K",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Continuing Jobless Claims (07/25)",
"prev": "1782K",
"fcast": "1790K",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Initial Jobless Claims (08/01)",
"prev": "197K",
"fcast": "202K",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Jobless Claims 4-week Average (08/01)",
"prev": "202.75K",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel (Q2)",
"prev": "0.3%",
"fcast": "0.6%",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "08:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Unit Labour Costs QoQ Prel (Q2)",
"prev": "1.8%",
"fcast": "2.1%",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "09:20",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months",
"prev": "\u2014",
"fcast": "$3.453 billion",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "10:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "Wholesale Inventories MoM (Jun)",
"prev": "0.3%",
"fcast": "0.3%",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "10:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (08/01)",
"prev": "28Bcf",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "11:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "4-Week Bill Auction",
"prev": "3.63%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "11:30",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "8-Week Bill Auction",
"prev": "3.675%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
},
{
"date": "2026-08-06",
"time": "12:00",
"ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8",
"ev": "15-Year Mortgage Rate (08/07)",
"prev": "6.04%",
"fcast": "\u2014",
"act": "\u2014",
"imp": "orange",
"beat": null,
"source": "finviz"
}
],
"policy_rates": {
"US": 4.5,
"Eurozone": 2.65,
"UK": 4.5,
"Japan": 0.5,
"Switzerland": 0.25,
"Canada": 2.75,
"Australia": 3.85,
"New Zealand": 3.5,
"Sweden": 2.25,
"Norway": 4.5
},
"macro": {
"US": {
"cpi": "2.8%",
"cpiP": "3.0%",
"gdp": "2.4%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "4.2%",
"unempT": "Jun 2025",
"stance": "Hawkish Hold",
"last": "Hold 4.50%",
"next": "Jul 30",
"pricing": "1 cut by Sep"
},
"Eurozone": {
"cpi": "2.1%",
"cpiP": "2.2%",
"gdp": "1.0%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "6.3%",
"unempT": "May 2025",
"stance": "Dovish Easing",
"last": "Cut to 2.65%",
"next": "Jul 17",
"pricing": "1 more cut 2025"
},
"UK": {
"cpi": "3.5%",
"cpiP": "3.3%",
"gdp": "1.3%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "4.4%",
"unempT": "May 2025",
"stance": "Cautious Hold",
"last": "Hold 4.50%",
"next": "Aug 7",
"pricing": "1 cut by Nov"
},
"Japan": {
"cpi": "3.6%",
"cpiP": "3.2%",
"gdp": "-0.7%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "2.5%",
"unempT": "May 2025",
"stance": "Gradual Tightening",
"last": "Hold 0.50%",
"next": "Jul 31",
"pricing": "Hike to 0.75% H2"
},
"Switzerland": {
"cpi": "0.6%",
"cpiP": "0.3%",
"gdp": "1.4%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "2.8%",
"unempT": "Jun 2025",
"stance": "Neutral",
"last": "Cut to 0.25%",
"next": "Sep 18",
"pricing": "Hold through 2025"
},
"Canada": {
"cpi": "2.9%",
"cpiP": "2.7%",
"gdp": "1.7%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "6.7%",
"unempT": "Jun 2025",
"stance": "Easing",
"last": "Cut to 2.75%",
"next": "Jul 30",
"pricing": "1 more cut 2025"
},
"Australia": {
"cpi": "2.4%",
"cpiP": "2.8%",
"gdp": "1.3%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "4.0%",
"unempT": "May 2025",
"stance": "Easing",
"last": "Cut to 3.85%",
"next": "Aug 5",
"pricing": "1-2 cuts by Dec"
},
"New Zealand": {
"cpi": "2.5%",
"cpiP": "2.2%",
"gdp": "0.7%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "5.1%",
"unempT": "Q1 2025",
"stance": "Easing Cycle",
"last": "Cut to 3.50%",
"next": "Jul 9",
"pricing": "2 more cuts 2025"
},
"Sweden": {
"cpi": "2.3%",
"cpiP": "2.5%",
"gdp": "1.1%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "8.9%",
"unempT": "May 2025",
"stance": "Dovish Hold",
"last": "Hold 2.25%",
"next": "Aug 20",
"pricing": "Hold through 2025"
},
"Norway": {
"cpi": "2.7%",
"cpiP": "2.8%",
"gdp": "1.5%",
"gdpT": "Q1 2025",
"unemp": "4.1%",
"unempT": "May 2025",
"stance": "Hawkish Hold",
"last": "Hold 4.50%",
"next": "Aug 14",
"pricing": "Cut Q4 2025"
}
},
"sentiment": {},
"scenarios": {},
"gov_bonds": {}
}