mirror of
https://github.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder.git
synced 2026-07-27 15:57:47 +00:00
copybot[bot]
3153 lines
92 KiB
JSON
3153 lines
92 KiB
JSON
{
|
|
"mode": "paper",
|
|
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
|
"stake": 116.3,
|
|
"stake_pct": 0.04,
|
|
"event_cap": 0,
|
|
"hwm": 3017.98,
|
|
"cash": 1914.8,
|
|
"deployed": 992.81,
|
|
"reserve": 0.0,
|
|
"realized": 1907.57,
|
|
"adjustments": 0.03,
|
|
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|
|
"open_count": 16,
|
|
"fees_paid": 342.96,
|
|
"fee_rate": 0.03,
|
|
"lag": {
|
|
"n": 225,
|
|
"n24": 10,
|
|
"avg_s": 5.9,
|
|
"avg_slip_pct": -0.0349,
|
|
"window_h": 24
|
|
},
|
|
"wallets": [
|
|
"Kruto2027",
|
|
"0xbadaf319",
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg",
|
|
"1kto1m",
|
|
"BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"AIcAIc"
|
|
],
|
|
"classes": {
|
|
"Kruto2027": "volume",
|
|
"0xbadaf319": "volume",
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg": "volume",
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|
"1kto1m": "volume",
|
|
"BikesAreTheBikes": "volume",
|
|
"AIcAIc": "volume"
|
|
},
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|
"floors": {
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
"BikesAreTheBikes": 224.77,
|
|
"AIcAIc": 344.56
|
|
},
|
|
"bets": [
|
|
{
|
|
"token": "26988481082400938234620905580029354496814882411644162756993608321400480311992",
|
|
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
|
|
"name": "AIcAIc",
|
|
"outcome": "EDward Gaming",
|
|
"title": "LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend",
|
|
"their_price": 0.27,
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
},
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{
|
|
"token": "55071405929941363854274866721931311048000830793954776923614437932856724606852",
|
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
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|
"name": "AIcAIc",
|
|
"outcome": "Top Esports",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner",
|
|
"their_price": 0.6618,
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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},
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{
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
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|
"name": "AIcAIc",
|
|
"outcome": "Top Esports",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
"their_price": 0.5,
|
|
"my_price": 0.49,
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
},
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{
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
|
|
"name": "AIcAIc",
|
|
"outcome": "Team WE",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
"their_price": 0.35,
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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},
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{
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|
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"title": "Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.93,
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
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|
"name": "AIcAIc",
|
|
"outcome": "EDward Gaming",
|
|
"title": "LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
|
|
"their_price": 0.53,
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
"name": "AIcAIc",
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|
"outcome": "LGD Gaming",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
{
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
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|
"name": "AIcAIc",
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|
"outcome": "EDward Gaming",
|
|
"title": "LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
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|
"name": "Kruto2027",
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|
"outcome": "Under",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
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|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
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"outcome": "No",
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|
"title": "Iran leadership change by July 31?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
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|
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
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|
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|
"title": "LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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{
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"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
"title": "Will France win the World Cup?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
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|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
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|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
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|
|
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|
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|
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{
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"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
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|
|
"title": "StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?",
|
|
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"settled": 1784753351,
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0xcda1cbf4da6814c6c842870769e5af7a27e87572ee043ffbaa68a2f7fab7d323",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.3073,
|
|
"stake": 68.62,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 58.62,
|
|
"settled": 1784750985,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
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|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784750680,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x1d15ca70c93da7338e6134144dd19a41a8120f8a1ad1bca067478cdbf6d5b18a",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
"outcome": "Myth Esports",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
"name": "Kruto2027"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784747979,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0xf473c2e521258a81d44f16fd65e811de7bcb6646912561583969004b81c10ec1",
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|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?",
|
|
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|
|
"price": 0.56,
|
|
"stake": 116.3,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.44\u21920.56",
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784746881,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0xd51ea730858a341990e878b08c665d0361dfec8a6f29d41b0c598f7c5a27561c",
|
|
"title": "Set 1 Winner: Gonzalez vs Valdez",
|
|
"outcome": "Gonzalez",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784506708,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x943ef1da2c4e06269e15f15bd6840c9a91e730f576e9af3c122d9fc5b895c484",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.52,
|
|
"stake": 6.25,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
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|
|
"pnl": 2.62,
|
|
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|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784727262,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"token": "92050986166401987445069388208414464326154054301377903319727847954822960387891",
|
|
"cond": "0xd2a295c1c4015ad115574f49bf871f925b6d6967af23d383ba155670c3ece25c",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.87,
|
|
"stake": 51.03,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
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|
},
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784724871,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x756c8e0bf6d5e4781a2dc0076040132c748a9b6afcce050842897f46a7b493c4",
|
|
"title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31\u00b0C on July 22?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.943,
|
|
"stake": 50.68,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($24 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784709848,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"cond": "0x236fabcdc7506a5bde811505d8dc35863599dfea80ac3d39ac6f6d28dc922b08",
|
|
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.2557,
|
|
"stake": 40.53,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
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|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784528216,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "80568398380615613281811262196000400273657215935776416622694841219164637714912",
|
|
"cond": "0xfcb2ba978ce2e5cc300f76adca25f8b74d9eede005f089498aa6dc0faaf7aaee",
|
|
"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.56,
|
|
"stake": 25.3,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 8.38,
|
|
"settled": 1784700507,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.7583
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784696451,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "68642938852444405618524357112499284175503313921723452625127267630411120480355",
|
|
"cond": "0x3143454e474c199ec69abacc2a962885b1b82f9201837624ab0883be9e15436d",
|
|
"title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.64,
|
|
"stake": 110.32,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.59\u21920.64",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784682914,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "66006680389192620317816056197058298603060937483253191311974086024874814208778",
|
|
"cond": "0x78322c43b6c76c3f29208ae75bf81d455c3b3b803c891a8945e25fe4376a3a8e",
|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.52,
|
|
"stake": 110.32,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784663345,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "31114539293109191150949144475239465589903245761316798745025708973207317205400",
|
|
"cond": "0xe0befb0fb9fdcb3b7c46521845d0ce3248eb65352522f67cc3113894b992f3b3",
|
|
"title": "Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.81,
|
|
"stake": 62.54,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 10.89,
|
|
"settled": 1784670629,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9568
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784666234,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "110127509798966540887051550451493333155192689272629249313511785868238474355262",
|
|
"cond": "0xfac54e7b2f02513939fb462481a830d293ee1f5a39b40b7a510ff0a90689c673",
|
|
"title": "Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.78\u21920.95",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"settled": 1784666682,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784648798,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "63211073606793804423333353862189269330913460147355410611068287262791890789543",
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|
"cond": "0x5dd201517c0879ed3bcf2046d83586a6b32c3a71ab8c7877e308101f19fda007",
|
|
"title": "Iran full airspace closure by July 27?",
|
|
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|
|
"price": 0.72,
|
|
"stake": 55.01,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -3.24,
|
|
"settled": 1784657990,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.69
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784657983,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "83432464582900021768828185200260903111076458489414209503967480044416221851661",
|
|
"cond": "0xcef977a42d757016fc76c46cf4de3fd65c164ef8af0e6daf62a166058f9f621b",
|
|
"title": "Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $40B?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.9399,
|
|
"stake": 38.0,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784128795,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221",
|
|
"cond": "0xd2a97dd956e70c9c4abda30d2864588ece0c7213013eb3fa664b88509ff829b1",
|
|
"title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.44,
|
|
"stake": 99.83,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.09 > 0.08)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
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|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784148369,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"cond": "0xb2af625fa98691e234f918fb36e5063ca14d436d5d7b1a1ad299bbb1890694a3",
|
|
"title": "Will Argentina win the World Cup?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.716,
|
|
"stake": 64.21,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)",
|
|
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|
|
"pnl": 16.45,
|
|
"settled": 1784649073,
|
|
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|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.908
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784597503,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"cond": "0x5704802f1d0ebddb43aea7ab7616c5708487925e6bb2827d6f873d73ee7e0c47",
|
|
"title": "Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.01,
|
|
"stake": 100.0,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
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|
|
"pnl": 4822.03,
|
|
"settled": 1784649009,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784626586,
|
|
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|
|
"token": "54923619943837902531413944505673826869865789371722858311579457498438152585454",
|
|
"cond": "0x3f13595c81d4894015e99014f2562cc6edadfa1156b8849e9ebdf379149cb878",
|
|
"title": "Will Aurelien Tchouameni join Bayern Munich?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.875,
|
|
"stake": 27.93,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 1.95,
|
|
"settled": 1784649009,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9412
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784547091,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "109075623115035500221385426519923794314139178452765641614675281069970878340106",
|
|
"cond": "0xbcd6e99663f8b2056c91b7a766e084d20cde5bcfd54a97432596633921c02443",
|
|
"title": "US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.59,
|
|
"stake": 43.58,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 8.99,
|
|
"settled": 1784649008,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.725
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784628735,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "31798323952461961650983638405389053740930972138111089234409584277872747279143",
|
|
"cond": "0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.42,
|
|
"stake": 80.77,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784493015,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "33752982532314842955867034258985568949958761450943043689987049583448528253590",
|
|
"cond": "0x8240c24b4ac5c954241ee6a10cffc627abf676d88b9d7de5b034c2f7c060b00a",
|
|
"title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.882,
|
|
"stake": 105.73,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -47.07,
|
|
"settled": 1784583337,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784562364,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "103988361056715557688108806696666000436932711957896745224025885715803818393567",
|
|
"cond": "0x65ca30aee9dfec7f2f0292049b3a4d950808105864a3895b986402e2d86a631a",
|
|
"title": "Ethereum above 1,900 on July 20, 12PM ET?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8,
|
|
"stake": 23.29,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -23.43,
|
|
"settled": 1784580406,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784579992,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "44886536523187194068204780081456530701237321244412931776973158233298351926383",
|
|
"cond": "0x7ea1e76e67652187bc6c484f832840a92ca3af5f36b5d86b2f78db66b28d972a",
|
|
"title": "Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.69,
|
|
"stake": 64.69,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784572639,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "87122687121608029703081699232336906033160920614329826898705893750616809914369",
|
|
"cond": "0x075228a9709cdbea4f2ecf8286b1e70e27e18a4e07cc499ccb1c1ea7bdb0bbba",
|
|
"title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?",
|
|
"outcome": "Up",
|
|
"price": 0.69,
|
|
"stake": 44.8,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -22.29,
|
|
"settled": 1784575514,
|
|
"name": "1kto1m",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.36
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784573567,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "83778159848246307298177835560751845581203660912608603239968031176372923069932",
|
|
"cond": "0xf649be9e9c5ce3df0834e80690ee19f9696db9ee7c4b742b06cd3a84167c8a3d",
|
|
"title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.75,
|
|
"stake": 37.5,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784563071,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "81614773617418907184361485498947350465036514500422317775261099705727224721455",
|
|
"cond": "0xe23cc6e026b34163169a4add977d8f42f80681ea876f94afb3fa0da09f490c29",
|
|
"title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.733,
|
|
"stake": 65.27,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 23.25,
|
|
"settled": 1784564739,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784548183,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "45858479053746616749156519360893482359161569156141079722407137651102212018480",
|
|
"cond": "0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",
|
|
"title": "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.53,
|
|
"stake": 106.4,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -107.9,
|
|
"settled": 1784563785,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784552316,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "44447031562738174918016769793991804433486269578769473189935766976836636647978",
|
|
"cond": "0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",
|
|
"title": "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.31,
|
|
"stake": 106.4,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 60.12,
|
|
"settled": 1784557744,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.4991
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784557341,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "67913011466625262359588841481742993497498081452195278087275807248301608894093",
|
|
"cond": "0x6abe5fe01ca113b7d6040604a8619cadf181d4e4a6d8db3a082542417af806fd",
|
|
"title": "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.824,
|
|
"stake": 65.29,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($4 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784546090,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "99938107423318996756322333138555738106297484333668883121178163046396546977526",
|
|
"cond": "0xe3c09d18eefd24731660e6509eee5824ebcbba53f33515b2910b56bf059b3734",
|
|
"title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.76,
|
|
"stake": 10.91,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 0.97,
|
|
"settled": 1784555782,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8369
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784506363,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "27385644035915002110547363484247121532744022000859958113912667466557544439681",
|
|
"cond": "0x365fe978d6a00ed0afdfb7b0d097df040fd0dbb56065c42617c05b37de3d459a",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.52,
|
|
"stake": 68.5,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($36 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 59.1,
|
|
"settled": 1784555577,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9768
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784542228,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "94721150294315642159523163478678619726456567670111052245574554614840104448926",
|
|
"cond": "0x819865625d6f3a6333cf7ce5a4aa4405871553a37148b85d0ffa8b7e17ee94a8",
|
|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET",
|
|
"outcome": "Down",
|
|
"price": 0.3114,
|
|
"stake": 106.4,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -75.31,
|
|
"settled": 1784542996,
|
|
"name": "1kto1m",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.1001
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784517526,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "94940524945210845047467028525980880667745668441880643750095925409687698630543",
|
|
"cond": "0xe7092235327ee5dcf40eef80c9da3c0170287ceb2b58a05292218ecd6d0dff6b",
|
|
"title": "Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.091,
|
|
"stake": 51.19,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($2 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784507597,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "42533251363336805162348806087988408831791767490089792227520004048407304797610",
|
|
"cond": "0x5548deff712d5250f021e0983e99e251b97f74f9291c24e45673fa0c0244d38f",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5299,
|
|
"stake": 106.32,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784506885,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "90827395403667708709418040026017872248338498816541474972448341541535842153246",
|
|
"cond": "0xf8b37bd6e5060608e44b34843a2c8ada940c2b62beb1a26fc01088921a70e25b",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.57,
|
|
"stake": 61.92,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784503159,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "29659986108488397735882658288901718486356813252845923931653357875218546128408",
|
|
"cond": "0x439d44381d8808f463b076d8f0ffb7d65bec3180bfe98a68f1eb505264c31ec5",
|
|
"title": "Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.619,
|
|
"stake": 50,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($9 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 22.66,
|
|
"settled": 1784503786,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9091
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784503159,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "107531561888318513792277163301281336651898062064090922046801464380647002668604",
|
|
"cond": "0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb",
|
|
"title": "Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.56,
|
|
"stake": 106.32,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784496391,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "115428153746996892211798999366308897078723117634059783423375188043903703749062",
|
|
"cond": "0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",
|
|
"title": "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.711,
|
|
"stake": 63.59,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 1.53,
|
|
"settled": 1784498079,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.74
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784492349,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "62074667087255747412382561081475311823484268378809285620641251664614873335395",
|
|
"cond": "0x514c3dd24cde8101ec8e3982b74fca425c592e3fe7526056a4d80aa269c98808",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.79,
|
|
"stake": 105.73,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784469295,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "38596120750074321785333064789385162164853013897516945380739845321752073819772",
|
|
"cond": "0xf137d500bee37ff54903e73dfb8cabcfdf8ef4c13c1dd322b649c329cb70c008",
|
|
"title": "Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5559,
|
|
"stake": 101.66,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 79.86,
|
|
"settled": 1784489183,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784485443,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "3306035343466503934184175896783360690575375600980458166852017344010969201326",
|
|
"cond": "0x55396f414e79e269de30965a8304b16ecf3e993ed13505c39ec0f5ece7296b4a",
|
|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET",
|
|
"outcome": "Up",
|
|
"price": 0.4664,
|
|
"stake": 105.73,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 14.4,
|
|
"settled": 1784485764,
|
|
"name": "1kto1m",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5448
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784482284,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "17973586937761078448873484917108971852340583833844287573538816307502825884858",
|
|
"cond": "0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59",
|
|
"title": "Israel closes its airspace by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.63,
|
|
"stake": 24.52,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784481427,
|
|
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
|
|
"token": "42936981830905824453534043956708985265540220333757051125171389193089187972089",
|
|
"cond": "0x01a6556cf3057f36658c61ba18b2c8023bfd7e1eac2541523f54ed19bfc9da53",
|
|
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner",
|
|
"outcome": "BetBoom Team",
|
|
"price": 0.3,
|
|
"stake": 32.59,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -0.62,
|
|
"settled": 1784482070,
|
|
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.307
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784481244,
|
|
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
|
|
"token": "42936981830905824453534043956708985265540220333757051125171389193089187972089",
|
|
"cond": "0x01a6556cf3057f36658c61ba18b2c8023bfd7e1eac2541523f54ed19bfc9da53",
|
|
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner",
|
|
"outcome": "BetBoom Team",
|
|
"price": 0.19,
|
|
"stake": 105.73,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 16.73,
|
|
"settled": 1784481425,
|
|
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.23
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784477395,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "89753340355558804329056284757801794404260582483119786963475710029909788245640",
|
|
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"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10AM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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