Files
winning-wallet-finder_github/live/watch_sharps.json
T
jaxperro 4b9488be9d live: select sharps by copyability, not lead time (surfaces new holders)
Replace the blunt 24h lead gate with a copy-replay selection run on EVERY
conviction wallet: keep only those that are copy-positive AND have a
genuine hold-to-resolution edge (held_pnl>0, held win-rate>=55% over >=8
resolved held bets), active in 30d, with a light >=1h lead floor vs true
snipers. display_stats now splits copy P&L into scalp vs held legs and
uses fresh-positions resolution (clob fallback) so it's cheap enough to
run on all ~229 wallets.

Effect: drops scalper-traps whose win% looked great but lose copied
(ArbTrader, iohihoo, S888, ttj01) and the old lead gate's discards;
surfaces fast-resolving copy-positive holders it used to throw away
(raid3r, 0x6d1A94f4, 0xec1d07e5, mantaray, earthisgood, shisan...).
14 copy-positive holders now in watch_sharps.json.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 13:31:41 -06:00

422 lines
9.6 KiB
JSON

[
{
"wallet": "0xa1a77ea9382bb8c3610f3303b66e093f644aace4",
"name": "raid3r",
"train_win": 70.5,
"train_conv_roi": 0.097,
"train_z": 2.75,
"avg_entry": 0.63,
"train_n": 292,
"fwd_win": 69.4,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.092,
"fwd_n": 193,
"conv_win": 70.1,
"conv_won": 340,
"conv_lost": 145,
"conv_pnl": 6686,
"conv30_win": 67.2,
"conv30_won": 176,
"conv30_lost": 86,
"conv30_pnl": 1487,
"realized_pnl": 1682,
"avg_bet": 110,
"copy_pnl": 1915,
"held_pnl": 1915,
"held_won": 68,
"held_lost": 45,
"sold": 0,
"last_trade": 1782239239,
"last_conv_bet": 1782239237,
"med_lead_h": 3.5
},
{
"wallet": "0x6d1a94f4bdd53114ec483925d025367db68697fb",
"name": "0x6d1A94f4BdD53114eC483925d025367dB68697FB-1779060306044",
"train_win": 65.0,
"train_conv_roi": 0.183,
"train_z": 2.96,
"avg_entry": 0.56,
"train_n": 240,
"fwd_win": 70.8,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.107,
"fwd_n": 253,
"conv_win": 68.0,
"conv_won": 335,
"conv_lost": 158,
"conv_pnl": 244,
"conv30_win": 68.3,
"conv30_won": 297,
"conv30_lost": 138,
"conv30_pnl": 212,
"realized_pnl": 133,
"avg_bet": 4,
"copy_pnl": 1680,
"held_pnl": 947,
"held_won": 93,
"held_lost": 61,
"sold": 44,
"last_trade": 1782019142,
"last_conv_bet": 1781721302,
"med_lead_h": 2.9
},
{
"wallet": "0xec1d07e5379072429caa16bf6efeae71a6e4db17",
"name": null,
"train_win": 77.7,
"train_conv_roi": 0.115,
"train_z": 2.51,
"avg_entry": 0.7,
"train_n": 166,
"fwd_win": 71.1,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.177,
"fwd_n": 97,
"conv_win": 75.3,
"conv_won": 198,
"conv_lost": 65,
"conv_pnl": 194,
"conv30_win": 74.2,
"conv30_won": 121,
"conv30_lost": 42,
"conv30_pnl": 119,
"realized_pnl": 112,
"avg_bet": 14,
"copy_pnl": 1188,
"held_pnl": 1203,
"held_won": 82,
"held_lost": 44,
"sold": 11,
"last_trade": 1782242353,
"last_conv_bet": 1782196523,
"med_lead_h": 5.2
},
{
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
"name": "Kruto2027",
"train_win": 72.0,
"train_conv_roi": 0.664,
"train_z": 8.43,
"avg_entry": 0.47,
"train_n": 239,
"fwd_win": 76.6,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.504,
"fwd_n": 47,
"conv_win": 72.7,
"conv_won": 208,
"conv_lost": 78,
"conv_pnl": 109204,
"conv30_win": 75.5,
"conv30_won": 37,
"conv30_lost": 12,
"conv30_pnl": 28179,
"realized_pnl": 41615,
"avg_bet": 772,
"copy_pnl": 1184,
"held_pnl": 260,
"held_won": 7,
"held_lost": 1,
"sold": 27,
"last_trade": 1782200713,
"last_conv_bet": 1781868172,
"med_lead_h": 78.2
},
{
"wallet": "0xab417c0bacc9fe17368d5d662c957f54a1fcc453",
"name": "earthisgood",
"train_win": 69.8,
"train_conv_roi": 0.087,
"train_z": 3.15,
"avg_entry": 0.63,
"train_n": 431,
"fwd_win": 70.7,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.239,
"fwd_n": 41,
"conv_win": 69.9,
"conv_won": 330,
"conv_lost": 142,
"conv_pnl": 13073,
"conv30_win": 66.7,
"conv30_won": 38,
"conv30_lost": 19,
"conv30_pnl": 1596,
"realized_pnl": 5228,
"avg_bet": 252,
"copy_pnl": 1019,
"held_pnl": 1019,
"held_won": 14,
"held_lost": 10,
"sold": 0,
"last_trade": 1782241037,
"last_conv_bet": 1782241037,
"med_lead_h": 3.4
},
{
"wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
"name": "LSB1",
"train_win": 85.3,
"train_conv_roi": 0.199,
"train_z": 4.35,
"avg_entry": 0.75,
"train_n": 259,
"fwd_win": 90.4,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.152,
"fwd_n": 125,
"conv_win": 87.0,
"conv_won": 334,
"conv_lost": 50,
"conv_pnl": 37214,
"conv30_win": 89.9,
"conv30_won": 124,
"conv30_lost": 14,
"conv30_pnl": 20532,
"realized_pnl": 26623,
"avg_bet": 608,
"copy_pnl": 820,
"held_pnl": 824,
"held_won": 71,
"held_lost": 5,
"sold": 15,
"last_trade": 1782240658,
"last_conv_bet": 1782189038,
"med_lead_h": 3.3
},
{
"wallet": "0xf3488e52ac2d7f0628b04481db5a5b0446f0e543",
"name": "shisan888888888888888888888888888",
"train_win": 78.5,
"train_conv_roi": 0.088,
"train_z": 3.34,
"avg_entry": 0.7,
"train_n": 260,
"fwd_win": 77.4,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.151,
"fwd_n": 31,
"conv_win": 78.4,
"conv_won": 228,
"conv_lost": 63,
"conv_pnl": 62319,
"conv30_win": 78.9,
"conv30_won": 56,
"conv30_lost": 15,
"conv30_pnl": 17288,
"realized_pnl": 17483,
"avg_bet": 1927,
"copy_pnl": 784,
"held_pnl": 784,
"held_won": 28,
"held_lost": 21,
"sold": 0,
"last_trade": 1782241259,
"last_conv_bet": 1782190729,
"med_lead_h": 4.7
},
{
"wallet": "0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867",
"name": "fortuneking",
"train_win": 76.6,
"train_conv_roi": 0.097,
"train_z": 2.86,
"avg_entry": 0.7,
"train_n": 291,
"fwd_win": 75.9,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.277,
"fwd_n": 83,
"conv_win": 76.5,
"conv_won": 286,
"conv_lost": 88,
"conv_pnl": 116332,
"conv30_win": 77.3,
"conv30_won": 75,
"conv30_lost": 22,
"conv30_pnl": 72324,
"realized_pnl": 105542,
"avg_bet": 2704,
"copy_pnl": 481,
"held_pnl": 468,
"held_won": 40,
"held_lost": 12,
"sold": 2,
"last_trade": 1782242963,
"last_conv_bet": 1782236510,
"med_lead_h": 157.9
},
{
"wallet": "0xe9fa488d214b3f73fdc81b7587a06991330af4c6",
"name": "0xE9fA488d214b3f73fdc81B7587A06991330Af4C6-1774697826723",
"train_win": 69.5,
"train_conv_roi": 0.091,
"train_z": 2.57,
"avg_entry": 0.63,
"train_n": 357,
"fwd_win": 77.9,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.196,
"fwd_n": 113,
"conv_win": 71.5,
"conv_won": 336,
"conv_lost": 134,
"conv_pnl": 472,
"conv30_win": 75.3,
"conv30_won": 116,
"conv30_lost": 38,
"conv30_pnl": 196,
"realized_pnl": 218,
"avg_bet": 13,
"copy_pnl": 387,
"held_pnl": 171,
"held_won": 25,
"held_lost": 6,
"sold": 170,
"last_trade": 1781291908,
"last_conv_bet": 1781183664,
"med_lead_h": 3.6
},
{
"wallet": "0x23f544a1f92150f25ebafae0e40f5db448b37a6e",
"name": "mantaray1xusdfj",
"train_win": 71.5,
"train_conv_roi": 0.113,
"train_z": 2.62,
"avg_entry": 0.65,
"train_n": 277,
"fwd_win": 79.6,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.179,
"fwd_n": 93,
"conv_win": 73.5,
"conv_won": 272,
"conv_lost": 98,
"conv_pnl": 25480,
"conv30_win": 79.3,
"conv30_won": 107,
"conv30_lost": 28,
"conv30_pnl": 11543,
"realized_pnl": 10386,
"avg_bet": 615,
"copy_pnl": 311,
"held_pnl": 311,
"held_won": 36,
"held_lost": 15,
"sold": 0,
"last_trade": 1782196525,
"last_conv_bet": 1782193799,
"med_lead_h": 4.7
},
{
"wallet": "0xe1d415e4018407e8ca414a07188bc94c6063a31e",
"name": "0xE1D415E4018407E8Ca414a07188BC94c6063A31e-1770257784056",
"train_win": 72.2,
"train_conv_roi": 0.078,
"train_z": 3.15,
"avg_entry": 0.67,
"train_n": 432,
"fwd_win": 68.3,
"fwd_conv_roi": -0.008,
"fwd_n": 180,
"conv_win": 71.1,
"conv_won": 435,
"conv_lost": 177,
"conv_pnl": 1802,
"conv30_win": 69.0,
"conv30_won": 127,
"conv30_lost": 57,
"conv30_pnl": -269,
"realized_pnl": -687,
"avg_bet": 62,
"copy_pnl": 239,
"held_pnl": 89,
"held_won": 63,
"held_lost": 37,
"sold": 40,
"last_trade": 1781966680,
"last_conv_bet": 1781895982,
"med_lead_h": 15.6
},
{
"wallet": "0x5b6e9bce6d8a533017e7f16987c9854c5da955b9",
"name": "0x5B6e9bce6D8a533017E7f16987C9854C5dA955B9-1759594051953",
"train_win": 73.5,
"train_conv_roi": 0.223,
"train_z": 3.5,
"avg_entry": 0.6,
"train_n": 147,
"fwd_win": 71.2,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.31,
"fwd_n": 52,
"conv_win": 72.9,
"conv_won": 145,
"conv_lost": 54,
"conv_pnl": 114,
"conv30_win": 71.9,
"conv30_won": 46,
"conv30_lost": 18,
"conv30_pnl": 40,
"realized_pnl": -51,
"avg_bet": 4,
"copy_pnl": 194,
"held_pnl": 105,
"held_won": 8,
"held_lost": 1,
"sold": 26,
"last_trade": 1782219142,
"last_conv_bet": 1781247303,
"med_lead_h": 6.0
},
{
"wallet": "0x74570d4da5c33aa03f19d3586aeace0bb7a11ec9",
"name": "ijijijfssds",
"train_win": 76.8,
"train_conv_roi": 0.172,
"train_z": 6.8,
"avg_entry": 0.63,
"train_n": 449,
"fwd_win": 71.4,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.242,
"fwd_n": 28,
"conv_win": 76.5,
"conv_won": 365,
"conv_lost": 112,
"conv_pnl": 37237,
"conv30_win": 83.8,
"conv30_won": 88,
"conv30_lost": 17,
"conv30_pnl": 14681,
"realized_pnl": 11681,
"avg_bet": 490,
"copy_pnl": 157,
"held_pnl": 157,
"held_won": 14,
"held_lost": 11,
"sold": 0,
"last_trade": 1780732437,
"last_conv_bet": 1780685080,
"med_lead_h": 3.0
},
{
"wallet": "0xc9bfb9f0e5aee346b121b36a31f4c1c0af528ec8",
"name": "katarinabluuuu",
"train_win": 75.4,
"train_conv_roi": 0.226,
"train_z": 2.87,
"avg_entry": 0.63,
"train_n": 118,
"fwd_win": 61.1,
"fwd_conv_roi": 0.088,
"fwd_n": 90,
"conv_win": 69.2,
"conv_won": 144,
"conv_lost": 64,
"conv_pnl": 5158,
"conv30_win": 67.3,
"conv30_won": 74,
"conv30_lost": 36,
"conv30_pnl": 4216,
"realized_pnl": 4215,
"avg_bet": 122,
"copy_pnl": 112,
"held_pnl": 163,
"held_won": 31,
"held_lost": 18,
"sold": 15,
"last_trade": 1782228601,
"last_conv_bet": 1782226676,
"med_lead_h": 11.2
}
]