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winning-wallet-finder_github/live/copybot_live_real.json
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copybot[bot] 803df06944 copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]
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{
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"title": "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?",
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $146 Week of July 20 2026?",
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{
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"title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?",
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{
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of July 20 2026?",
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{
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
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"status": "open",
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{
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 20 2026?",
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"stake": 2.41,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
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{
"ts": 1784508146,
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
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"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
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{
"ts": 1784508146,
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"cond": "0x943ef1da2c4e06269e15f15bd6840c9a91e730f576e9af3c122d9fc5b895c484",
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of July 20 2026?",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.594,
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"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
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{
"ts": 1784503159,
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"cond": "0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb",
"title": "Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?",
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"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "open",
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{
"ts": 1784496391,
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"cond": "0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",
"title": "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
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"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
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{
"ts": 1784492349,
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"cond": "0x514c3dd24cde8101ec8e3982b74fca425c592e3fe7526056a4d80aa269c98808",
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?",
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"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "open",
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{
"ts": 1784485474,
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"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.4326,
"stake": 2.35,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
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"pnl": 0.53,
"settled": 1784485797,
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{
"ts": 1784482279,
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"token": "17973586937761078448873484917108971852340583833844287573538816307502825884858",
"cond": "0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59",
"title": "Israel closes its airspace by July 31?",
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"price": 0.66,
"stake": 2.35,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
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{
"ts": 1784481439,
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"token": "42936981830905824453534043956708985265540220333757051125171389193089187972089",
"cond": "0x01a6556cf3057f36658c61ba18b2c8023bfd7e1eac2541523f54ed19bfc9da53",
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner",
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"price": 0.3,
"stake": 2.35,
"reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (10s)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -0.04,
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{
"ts": 1784481379,
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"cond": "0xfb2118c2ec1decae1284e002717a85b6157ae99ba1fd60fd3478cea44c50cb9c",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET",
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"stake": 2.35,
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"pnl": 0.91,
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{
"ts": 1784481303,
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"cond": "0x01a6556cf3057f36658c61ba18b2c8023bfd7e1eac2541523f54ed19bfc9da53",
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner",
"outcome": "BetBoom Team",
"price": 0.2,
"stake": 2.35,
"reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (50s)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.23,
"settled": 1784481379,
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
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},
{
"ts": 1784480664,
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"cond": "0xfb2118c2ec1decae1284e002717a85b6157ae99ba1fd60fd3478cea44c50cb9c",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.3496,
"stake": 2.35,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.67,
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},
{
"ts": 1784477428,
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"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
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"stake": 2.07,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -1.42,
"settled": 1784477763,
"name": "1kto1m",
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},
{
"ts": 1784475771,
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"cond": "0x2621f174955892ef32bcabd62ae74d1e14530f0585527322fdf2d2cb7e41c27a",
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
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"price": 0.46,
"stake": 2.07,
"reason": "price moved 0.33\u21920.46",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -0.3,
"settled": 1784476134,
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{
"ts": 1784472135,
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"cond": "0xc0f70912445fc2aeee051c61d367a31ceebe940831ac329e63a406bdbc31528a",
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner",
"outcome": "BetBoom Team",
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"stake": 2.03,
"reason": "price moved 0.60\u21920.68",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 1.15,
"settled": 1784472574,
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{
"ts": 1784471230,
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"cond": "0x0b5ca9a26521274332651c17a582205c1e7f8ecb8488effc461f03b3250c6158",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10AM ET",
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"stake": 2.04,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -0.21,
"settled": 1784471560,
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},
{
"ts": 1784469105,
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"cond": "0xc0f70912445fc2aeee051c61d367a31ceebe940831ac329e63a406bdbc31528a",
"title": "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner",
"outcome": "BetBoom Team",
"price": 0.41,
"stake": 2.04,
"reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (36s)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.87,
"settled": 1784471234,
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},
{
"ts": 1784454959,
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"token": "73692579062193639095122093771528419354995015035612768219622062530252811614581",
"cond": "0x6ef951ec911045212964ad09a85853036c70ae7edf6fdab2f9d68d7f560e2d94",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.6311,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.02,
"settled": 1784455287,
"name": "1kto1m",
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},
{
"ts": 1784453998,
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"token": "20413144546134673104026764291663662744630163650305273852347168329867810784203",
"cond": "0x909f37860be24ec17981866ed02eb7e0779226585a18faf89e2b2201ca443236",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.3669,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -1.88,
"settled": 1784454324,
"name": "1kto1m",
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},
{
"ts": 1784451912,
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"token": "86567202803696185629704724961398129231892610051254319801824623009047556217191",
"cond": "0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.41,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
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},
{
"ts": 1784451862,
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"token": "50488227317031565004575684525878022626020008256198844799050708993499540064859",
"cond": "0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584",
"title": "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.731,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.18 > 0.08)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
},
{
"ts": 1784450723,
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"token": "32952048155093419718055060819712841482842350791391116195205201413217889733414",
"cond": "0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d",
"title": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.82,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
},
{
"ts": 1784446784,
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"token": "38793358179615174908021309915819238458278082712284959468246018176126033234516",
"cond": "0x7351fc78d06ad1bf25ee4e4f07d6e404451ba7ea062a4ce968ccdea9145a1ec3",
"title": "Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.87,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.17,
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{
"ts": 1784438883,
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"token": "18859662100986706442931434084612043934725834523854128874928569872427180020630",
"cond": "0x4906333de7e9252101ded75f9bac59e07d158573381c89afe6f719dd3baadefd",
"title": "Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.83,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "thin book ($17 within 5c < $50)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
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},
{
"ts": 1784438563,
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"token": "63579552197509143589959693779993809440480166595009463744830254978620312708977",
"cond": "0x46d3552e03b57d3dd99685973c0e2df2e1f177c70c3641fe17d539e3a4a23a22",
"title": "Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.766,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.13 > 0.08)",
"status": "open",
"pnl": null,
"settled": null,
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},
{
"ts": 1784425686,
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"token": "29977440714027702794755312644671117389655288253327722609561816044442289528639",
"cond": "0xe9db87577e7c580bd784cd40ca6b4dab103040a14073a78494beb502c340aba6",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET",
"outcome": "Down",
"price": 0.5045,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -0.65,
"settled": 1784426319,
"name": "1kto1m",
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},
{
"ts": 1784424727,
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"token": "79543505323749041351214009509945263468780378185758945288970137854254779524794",
"cond": "0x21588ac86fd81dffc6c7e69789427cef88cd18250daf9c93f4fd29f56ddb516c",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET",
"outcome": "Down",
"price": 0.5197,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.52,
"settled": 1784425689,
"name": "1kto1m",
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},
{
"ts": 1784402106,
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
"token": "91990736572156896332531437772162323719378402759982493855773735188693457077937",
"cond": "0x478199016ea7651f150e1fd9beb673cdf17b4c3dbf0f6f19991dddf60b3bb432",
"title": "Tauson vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 22.5",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 0.18,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.75 > 0.08)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 9.06,
"settled": 1784411148,
"name": "Kruto2027",
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},
{
"ts": 1784405095,
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"token": "90139378703681641386129407288116535136755368754469047343471414606378876598264",
"cond": "0xd861520749b6b912c50fcb8911be659834db5b9f1aad02ed792c79ebc89808ba",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET",
"outcome": "Up",
"price": 0.401,
"stake": 2.0,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 1.56,
"settled": 1784406057,
"name": "1kto1m",
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},
{
"ts": 1784391360,
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
"token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016",
"cond": "0x68bdc057bd18669f01b3e4b408d14733b2680a61c6e5c7a5cd5bdc86a1f41df6",
"title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
"outcome": "Team Yandex",
"price": 0.75,
"stake": 2.18,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.14 > 0.08)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.47,
"settled": 1784391739,
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
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},
{
"ts": 1784389064,
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
"token": "69652550707564368147617985733665950972926852562360271813685562356348115305033",
"cond": "0x68bdc057bd18669f01b3e4b408d14733b2680a61c6e5c7a5cd5bdc86a1f41df6",
"title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
"outcome": "PARIVISION",
"price": 0.49,
"stake": 2.23,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.15 > 0.08)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 1.61,
"settled": 1784389807,
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
"exit_price": 0.8553
},
{
"ts": 1784377056,
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
"token": "10916744353953665895148740879560856223867654434417397094964240555712472099459",
"cond": "0x9728557919be9ab35b2fd13c763c81ea4456de4dee839ea2982c4e699edb522e",
"title": "Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)",
"outcome": "QUAZAR",
"price": 0.76,
"stake": 2.24,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.22 > 0.08)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.6,
"settled": 1784389487,
"name": "Kruto2027",
"exit_price": 0.9701
},
{
"ts": 1784388877,
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
"token": "58169143653343450326195498215538236930997670878228551327845934859747060865016",
"cond": "0x68bdc057bd18669f01b3e4b408d14733b2680a61c6e5c7a5cd5bdc86a1f41df6",
"title": "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner",
"outcome": "Team Yandex",
"price": 0.46,
"stake": 2.23,
"reason": "price moved 0.36\u21920.46",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.52,
"settled": 1784389162,
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
"exit_price": 0.5824
},
{
"ts": 1783939156,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "72663413633237870742152602912076949024714881200491601361514812636170232854563",
"cond": "0xd50d0276f9b6c57d7a1b23be8be23a8dcdffed0aebae867de372b26593a9a238",
"title": "Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.898,
"stake": 1.0,
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.08,
"settled": 1784386262,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_price": 0.9728
},
{
"ts": 1784379486,
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
"token": "46464336901469148231749620229467543535010257111143284104831372917724022712604",
"cond": "0x6b049bc3befa02c22d0cfaee77625fc94e9a6d571f00c015ba7a3b442e306fbc",
"title": "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs",
"outcome": "Karmine Corp",
"price": 0.26,
"stake": 2.24,
"reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (1s)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -2.09,
"settled": 1784381747,
"name": "AIcAIc",
"exit_price": 0.0239
},
{
"ts": 1784285988,
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"token": "44468469502362896904382382268326429514759034374954168469772685401278157136699",
"cond": "0x33202ea27cf7fbf8d387c6ef1e0eb956dc999ffb96385b6fe67b84ea4a364952",
"title": "Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.21,
"stake": 2.45,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "lost",
"pnl": -2.51,
"settled": 1784351625,
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"exit_checked": true
},
{
"ts": 1784321590,
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"token": "36572361863292743525172722296256449344593421343195350786366455281513675169221",
"cond": "0xd2a97dd956e70c9c4abda30d2864588ece0c7213013eb3fa664b88509ff829b1",
"title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.21,
"stake": 2.25,
"reason": "thin book ($41 within 5c < $50)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 0.16,
"settled": 1784321701,
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"exit_price": 0.2357
},
{
"ts": 1784244954,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "29198556434804110591228001401963930700463402583244929766816225903118874844031",
"cond": "0x9b78e5101ab1282de40e522ae764a43a685d199fb0fab699af8093b5f0332b7b",
"title": "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of July 13 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.95,
"stake": 1.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "won",
"pnl": 0.05,
"settled": 1784320099,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true
},
{
"ts": 1783996214,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "109624481875348569318303102429519724032296483676540566321245418804293736322472",
"cond": "0x73f249c806a34946776e96c784a6631b8b8421813a791903f9f9f576c4abaa7d",
"title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of July 13 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.78,
"stake": 1.0,
"reason": "order rejected: exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": -0.06,
"settled": 1784320098,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true,
"exit_price": 0.743
},
{
"ts": 1784167406,
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"token": "7384451899802911723249599486996406665182105515403617543497677786694027499060",
"cond": "0x99527e3fb165b1b7ef5ccc75255c39a46e69a3006cf641f010ca2e23f4e9cb1b",
"title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of July 13 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.35,
"stake": 1.0,
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.64 > 0.08)",
"status": "sold",
"pnl": 1.5,
"settled": 1784319968,
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"exit_checked": true,
"exit_price": 0.884
}
],
"missed_pnl": 1173.65,
"updated": 1784650965
}
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