Files
winning-wallet-finder_github/research/params/replay_sets.json
T
jaxperro c18de39b71 research: set-replay harness — sweep wallet-set compositions over the tape
Replays candidate sets through the engine's mirrored mechanics (stake rule
+ DD halving + their-shares ceiling + one-market-one-stake adds + all-or-
nothing cash gate + proportional sell mirror, copytrade.py cited) with the
calibrated sim fill model and tape proxy-resolution. Per-wallet conviction
floors from the paper config's pinned p80s (candidates without pins get
tape-p80, same rule). Outputs per-set×bankroll: realized/open, deployment
stats, miss families (capital/crater/band), capital-miss hypothetical P&L,
per-wallet realized, and --loo leave-one-out marginals at $1k.

Validated against the real paper book on the same window: 33 replay opens
vs 26 real (backfill bias documented — pre-tape positions' adds replay as
opens), capital misses 0 vs 0, peak deploy 62% vs the era's 74%, mean
deployed $297 vs ~$360. SEARCH TOOL ONLY per the silo README — verdicts
stay with forward_ledger.jsonl.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-21 12:54:35 -04:00

128 lines
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JSON

{
"current_plus_bench5": [
{
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
"name": "Kruto2027",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
"name": "0xbadaf319",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
"name": "1kto1m",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
"name": "AIcAIc",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea",
"name": "lma0o0o0o",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37",
"name": "leegunner",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228",
"name": "oliman2",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
"name": "JuiceFarm",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x73afc8160c17830c0c7281a7bf570c871455b880",
"name": "0xb0E43B",
"class": "volume"
}
],
"bench5_only": [
{
"wallet": "0x82d2e4dbb0a849ff8e2f5380719769145648beea",
"name": "lma0o0o0o",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37",
"name": "leegunner",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228",
"name": "oliman2",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
"name": "JuiceFarm",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x73afc8160c17830c0c7281a7bf570c871455b880",
"name": "0xb0E43B",
"class": "volume"
}
],
"tape_top8": [
{
"wallet": "0x37c1ff27d21b08d1cae9f38453b895eae2a78de1",
"name": "0x37c1ff27",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x9ab303a355bf22a29e485d98fb88d140abb43044",
"name": "0x9ab303a3",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x717990979ff84a32d47205a7eede94317aab7d79",
"name": "0x71799097",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x3d3bbf5d4855ea12fbc610b4c2b49438ace728bd",
"name": "0x3d3bbf5d",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x80d8dddcfdc075eb70f6d2d774a27bfb255ab703",
"name": "0x80d8dddc",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x00093a689df7fb09a137f9db7102d9e967c85497",
"name": "0x00093a68",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x81a994924efdbed20c3d360bbea3913b0b6bdf08",
"name": "0x81a99492",
"class": "volume"
},
{
"wallet": "0x7547479d43f4b52d892a6f2254050eea50edd158",
"name": "0x7547479d",
"class": "volume"
}
]
}