mirror of
https://github.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder.git
synced 2026-08-04 11:47:45 +00:00
copybot[bot]
3221 lines
92 KiB
JSON
3221 lines
92 KiB
JSON
{
|
|
"mode": "paper",
|
|
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
|
"stake": 54.72,
|
|
"stake_pct": 0.04,
|
|
"event_cap": 0,
|
|
"hwm": 3600.19,
|
|
"cash": 1265.28,
|
|
"deployed": 1470.83,
|
|
"reserve": 0.0,
|
|
"realized": 1736.08,
|
|
"adjustments": 0.03,
|
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"ledger_drift": -0.01,
|
|
"open_count": 26,
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"fees_paid": 454.27,
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"fee_rate": 0.03,
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"lag": {
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"n24": 5,
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"basis": "24h",
|
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"avg_s": 1.2,
|
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"avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
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"window_h": 24
|
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},
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"wallets": [
|
|
"Kruto2027",
|
|
"0xbadaf319",
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg",
|
|
"1kto1m",
|
|
"BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"AIcAIc",
|
|
"JuiceFarm"
|
|
],
|
|
"classes": {
|
|
"Kruto2027": "volume",
|
|
"0xbadaf319": "volume",
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg": "volume",
|
|
"1kto1m": "volume",
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|
"BikesAreTheBikes": "volume",
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|
"AIcAIc": "volume",
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|
"JuiceFarm": "volume"
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|
},
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|
"floors": {
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|
"Kruto2027": 80.0,
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|
"0xbadaf319": 27.5,
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|
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|
"BikesAreTheBikes": 227.01,
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|
"AIcAIc": 379.05,
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|
"JuiceFarm": 735.0
|
|
},
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|
"bets": [
|
|
{
|
|
"token": "56882011917273640084823249326001053189225136904142472220170731855262149705156",
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|
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
|
|
"name": "Kruto2027",
|
|
"outcome": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
|
|
"title": "National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic",
|
|
"their_price": 0.45,
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|
"my_price": 0.45,
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|
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|
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|
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|
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"end_ts": 1786233600
|
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},
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{
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"token": "113961999169187060881581100751857993788831983957610857176049971164400740097648",
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"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.48,
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
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|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
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"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?",
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|
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|
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},
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{
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by December 31?",
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|
"their_price": 0.82,
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in August?",
|
|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0x921433c93558b9a4ba807ec824d02aad7ea2ddbf",
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"name": "AIcAIc",
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|
"outcome": "Movistar KOI",
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|
"title": "LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner",
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{
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"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
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"outcome": "No",
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|
"title": "Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in August?",
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{
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"name": "AIcAIc",
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|
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{
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"name": "Kruto2027",
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|
"title": "Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 Trabzonspor?",
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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{
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"name": "AIcAIc",
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|
"outcome": "ThunderTalk Gaming",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"name": "1kto1m",
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|
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"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
"name": "AIcAIc",
|
|
"outcome": "ThunderTalk Gaming",
|
|
"title": "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
|
|
"their_price": 0.53,
|
|
"my_price": 0.53,
|
|
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
|
|
"lag_s": 2.2,
|
|
"shares": 224.48,
|
|
"cost": 118.97,
|
|
"fee": 1.68,
|
|
"opened": 1785059588,
|
|
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|
|
"exit_price": 1.0,
|
|
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|
|
"settled": 1785063175,
|
|
"end_ts": 1785024000,
|
|
"sold_shares": 224.48,
|
|
"sold_proceeds": 224.48
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"missed": [
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785379176,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "92062876943642517334204166558488649767389043731898736327419367578333707352166",
|
|
"cond": "0x2c2d6a33bd848d03b55f9c9ae23518675aafe29a116868168168a1036211a431",
|
|
"title": "Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.87,
|
|
"stake": 53.73,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (90s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -0.96,
|
|
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|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8615
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785562936,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "100720310613801593018338978226305070422958119598669850594088450940775255709584",
|
|
"cond": "0x046323588aa622773f8f4bfee9f659a67b48934cdc18d6241d0ccd1db44f963a",
|
|
"title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.53,
|
|
"stake": 57.23,
|
|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
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|
|
"settled": 1785765384,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785714325,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "22543406314196444245323960026442066534512011193983246558699690573164322842611",
|
|
"cond": "0x63764d6d2fb1c9cf8eca39c65725190116e768c9c7903a52d72a4a0d92f4ebed",
|
|
"title": "Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $123 Week of August 3 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.72,
|
|
"stake": 28.8,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 8.93,
|
|
"settled": 1785765208,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9507
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785547159,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "71739557560388946044087731872467452814125074603840391771492036693615154840015",
|
|
"cond": "0xf167107f5ced42d688c51576c51f6393efcef0827da02e11b997d503633606b7",
|
|
"title": "Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.8411,
|
|
"stake": 44.06,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (101s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 8.08,
|
|
"settled": 1785765205,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9993
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785765199,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "105325057331617843593500921322985327200497446237876935215440565478876478702870",
|
|
"cond": "0xa50d4dfbd3162502a8f6319f6f03bf96d11a29e59c966f074d362fac414586ea",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.3083,
|
|
"stake": 32.23,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785765199,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "55959144997843871163283791486660253833743728047314190261335173160541128732918",
|
|
"cond": "0x5a3ea7926fc133f2319a1ffe07829b6bfafa3a13b24939238905c038efd4f350",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of August 3 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.6415,
|
|
"stake": 55.41,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785764923,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "21719030549920839782400045989779409306132128111576509534594737801642680036604",
|
|
"cond": "0xffe63153186b9f685328cbe65795408d369e4ffffb890ff667d050e9464b96d6",
|
|
"title": "Fuse FDV above $8B one day after launch?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.83,
|
|
"stake": 55.41,
|
|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785636848,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "106384382902272259275653733417531627173944931937610707897597239994735553962869",
|
|
"cond": "0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",
|
|
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.65,
|
|
"stake": 20.81,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (112s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -4.35,
|
|
"settled": 1785744932,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5284
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785723609,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "15394737252115511624698733646046193249964740097060021118061023239685546384550",
|
|
"cond": "0x2c185587bad5fe008a477755ed1dfbbb9f5828e84596aa9c6d9f60ebe6bc705d",
|
|
"title": "Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.04,
|
|
"stake": 55.27,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($13 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -56.86,
|
|
"settled": 1785743470,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785718176,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "34336750619875308256599829547670506010305636448259915722708507966106063783608",
|
|
"cond": "0x7b69d995101730f541059753d84a23ca3cd3416d8a89145cec76b851ca82f9f1",
|
|
"title": "Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.5275,
|
|
"stake": 55.27,
|
|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785708383,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "21005039642732637989429444477398837601208977664640014960101226836645659307122",
|
|
"cond": "0x8433670f312ac7e4da05ebf58242122dcf412243ca3a8d02766e0aae1a4a711f",
|
|
"title": "Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.2107,
|
|
"stake": 56.39,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (85s)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785671059,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "17391547350755989425804702732311542223226424331639399782496706299760208244671",
|
|
"cond": "0x563292d4a0e819ca52af928027450cedad7fff7ef7588252b8752c75a035c407",
|
|
"title": "Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.61,
|
|
"stake": 5.46,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (75s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -1.47,
|
|
"settled": 1785706233,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.46
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785702449,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "63284803361703132321048739956780460363879925620696486229140595548329650415109",
|
|
"cond": "0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",
|
|
"title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.48,
|
|
"stake": 55.0,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.42\u21920.48",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 6.96,
|
|
"settled": 1785704188,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5557
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785452006,
|
|
"wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
|
|
"token": "86222734336247731664864731734281512829733267574920066804362888057386190851592",
|
|
"cond": "0x121c6b7fe5c7d713741d713b03823d0c152bb4b72e20b84e02840e419773cb36",
|
|
"title": "LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group",
|
|
"outcome": "Hanwha Life Esports",
|
|
"price": 0.7799,
|
|
"stake": 53.26,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (115s)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -53.61,
|
|
"settled": 1785693881,
|
|
"name": "JuiceFarm",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785423069,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "102617319572539919553357676752315366758463499662855057808806666308412570450045",
|
|
"cond": "0xa466e17524bcc473279c4ca86f4f1fb01932946a8204e68f6ca96628f8bf2b5e",
|
|
"title": "China x Japan military clash before 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.64,
|
|
"stake": 54.4,
|
|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 22.16,
|
|
"settled": 1785691846,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.91
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785684971,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "6503729227203238475503335964241924670130495964232872084820616852737731379951",
|
|
"cond": "0x4fbb76d3dac48e76b80978c0d35b9a4f9d4656fc2cb5284d501a9703f875895c",
|
|
"title": "Ethereum Up or Down on August 2?",
|
|
"outcome": "Down",
|
|
"price": 0.93,
|
|
"stake": 56.67,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (60s)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 4.15,
|
|
"settled": 1785687531,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785684067,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "23537842165977046370574778086600347274303604738338768967720021180647769610330",
|
|
"cond": "0x225a5d5900068fcf5c0a9f4dc9cbaf84d492be94c71782fbcea0461cd935048c",
|
|
"title": "Trump out as President by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.989,
|
|
"stake": 56.67,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.92\u21920.99",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785531442,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "51783880760599120440014289525159847949469877325479084384177696513850906603472",
|
|
"cond": "0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.7625,
|
|
"stake": 55.52,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (116s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 0.57,
|
|
"settled": 1785681563,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.7809
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785644854,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "78773028590498295371277243725072177227643111430128121386647940889892206666258",
|
|
"cond": "0x93642e5f0f0731dafb4e683a664d3c0a4022b0d4bc9a09180ed957b97bbf648f",
|
|
"title": "Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.63,
|
|
"stake": 62.84,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (98s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -0.27,
|
|
"settled": 1785646967,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.6412
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785632960,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "100624493784742066196172882799389607658238738180944134780099178110174173337292",
|
|
"cond": "0x9046deabbb7238f459ebd73a7c09ae384e28846cb21d92988cea3fc076986e24",
|
|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET",
|
|
"outcome": "Up",
|
|
"price": 0.894,
|
|
"stake": 56.05,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 6.47,
|
|
"settled": 1785633775,
|
|
"name": "1kto1m",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784628735,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "31798323952461961650983638405389053740930972138111089234409584277872747279143",
|
|
"cond": "0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.42,
|
|
"stake": 80.77,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -11.28,
|
|
"settled": 1785618869,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.3757
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784573567,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "83778159848246307298177835560751845581203660912608603239968031176372923069932",
|
|
"cond": "0xf649be9e9c5ce3df0834e80690ee19f9696db9ee7c4b742b06cd3a84167c8a3d",
|
|
"title": "Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.75,
|
|
"stake": 37.5,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 12.22,
|
|
"settled": 1785612413,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785611745,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "97308898246544661993978659530768075063335593853601089388728293522650950988709",
|
|
"cond": "0x88a19761fa049ae36da8a403464db9f356a7ea7d0163415052ed748bf72a20bf",
|
|
"title": "Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.781,
|
|
"stake": 41.06,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($1 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785604907,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "14980109967714475040425172542938759843822646035539893575852591461888569553959",
|
|
"cond": "0x76c1a69f2b0a7fcfa97b56ddbeaad1981a8cb3d8f24c1adce62ffa2d010ebbe0",
|
|
"title": "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.3701,
|
|
"stake": 57.21,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (94s)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785584907,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "10286659768913348993358470598849242742860975803412404099275992956393149144886",
|
|
"cond": "0x98f962ca4a21a47b73c8a914d08f224be31bc6dbdc609b3f0edd9654bbc802a1",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.87,
|
|
"stake": 116.52,
|
|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 5.31,
|
|
"settled": 1785604713,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9153
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785567342,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "43171108223683792926229116193941513170619352156926725221875963255678260552099",
|
|
"cond": "0x6d241c554cf546599063b5b87c12c5c9c569f7f9e4828cf349c3e7ea3e73f1d1",
|
|
"title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.93,
|
|
"stake": 57.22,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (96s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 3.58,
|
|
"settled": 1785596601,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9905
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785453599,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "112061967240382599149689205198858360526948984998429264738900923425548076008244",
|
|
"cond": "0x39605ffa16456a7b84b238d7a2305443fbc971cbbf94bf84c34c76cd5410180a",
|
|
"title": "Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.11,
|
|
"stake": 8.42,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (125s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -1.2,
|
|
"settled": 1785592598,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.1
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785453599,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "44951722963953529750522869714032390697712163183988488207431058937951658664117",
|
|
"cond": "0xfcd83805692939d3ea7ee66a1bd93aa08d973ced7cb4000a51cbf484a133ff7a",
|
|
"title": "Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.1,
|
|
"stake": 5.94,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (125s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 49.52,
|
|
"settled": 1785592598,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9381
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784451863,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "50488227317031565004575684525878022626020008256198844799050708993499540064859",
|
|
"cond": "0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584",
|
|
"title": "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.731,
|
|
"stake": 98.79,
|
|
"reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.18 > 0.08)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 15.26,
|
|
"settled": 1785592593,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8535
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785470250,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "103870460409416656847338772401285687754272075210292233734346832088838695487128",
|
|
"cond": "0xbe48dfd8fb2d44ebad08c3b170799c6633af2b68ce0df17e633e12a89ed734e3",
|
|
"title": "Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.71,
|
|
"stake": 53.59,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (117s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -12.82,
|
|
"settled": 1785588537,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.5537
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785578341,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "42899432488342704988410057610915628594524688649436238250083617450163825293663",
|
|
"cond": "0xa754dbf949dd2b1fbafa3d846564288df3e8e3da4b4062306055bee6b372d4fa",
|
|
"title": "Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5799,
|
|
"stake": 28.15,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785578340,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "50825092058293657542194164596745813272825150865419431118334975989194381746273",
|
|
"cond": "0x04646097993a3f048d428dcc051596a0f9962c7955540983a5815eef02e55edf",
|
|
"title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.2581,
|
|
"stake": 30.35,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785577039,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890",
|
|
"cond": "0x487a2c7f3e43fdb74fe584b3ec3596cef5f26f37fd8eed1370256dbcb45898b8",
|
|
"title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.4,
|
|
"stake": 17.86,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (98s)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785536031,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "89213299320340519312609800070963866900731006421290655419739582074858285792863",
|
|
"cond": "0xc1556ecbe613e403dfb9e38bf1b25a8aee2aa1687f2b343bc896dd2c9763ed74",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.51,
|
|
"stake": 56.0,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (102s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -2.64,
|
|
"settled": 1785574288,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.501
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785549161,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "42772917662483318526183537135033179986000015683684617429577504494110939593913",
|
|
"cond": "0xf94c3481523d10cb1757da1b8ce20c666400bcb83f232835e2e6b05676421710",
|
|
"title": "Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.67,
|
|
"stake": 55.8,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (117s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 9.87,
|
|
"settled": 1785550244,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785549850,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "8310650677069487821478025416478130051168635736368290554555541536659374960027",
|
|
"cond": "0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",
|
|
"title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.85,
|
|
"stake": 57.23,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.47\u21920.85",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785538189,
|
|
"wallet": "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343",
|
|
"token": "42545434228659485569831692832667457006480927794525728856287124784939219621691",
|
|
"cond": "0xe8616ad87788776aea916857de3e4818b1bbe0330bebdb46e39d9537a8e74781",
|
|
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET",
|
|
"outcome": "Down",
|
|
"price": 0.2533,
|
|
"stake": 56.0,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -57.25,
|
|
"settled": 1785538263,
|
|
"name": "1kto1m",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785356857,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "82740535108653012552624203462371653094102041666491123851481106526593652328066",
|
|
"cond": "0x66277180ae51efaa69652e681ab08ca9c1e739828feb739a1899ebacc749ff4b",
|
|
"title": "Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $337.50 Week of July 27 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.88,
|
|
"stake": 45,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($32 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 1.3,
|
|
"settled": 1785534160,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9111
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785312030,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "24411114427282578875426055969732348605035863582713101684063218947039334428561",
|
|
"cond": "0x5d284999aa83866c46cfa5fe672537a225edd19e2c420433707e08964a3037f0",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of July 27 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8,
|
|
"stake": 138.35,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.45\u21920.80",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 33.76,
|
|
"settled": 1785530908,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785527422,
|
|
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
|
|
"token": "10602688578724309582987348080322230036626259483794842612849826830636333831694",
|
|
"cond": "0x98516e7287d517ffa921dfb31918d68b6d631ac3af105c32bd3f844198fe24af",
|
|
"title": "T20 Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs Bahrain",
|
|
"outcome": "Bahrain",
|
|
"price": 0.4292,
|
|
"stake": 25.04,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (60s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 0.93,
|
|
"settled": 1785530136,
|
|
"name": "Kruto2027",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.46
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785162430,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "65075316665858123310904205342608300814898488753088658332913116406808619343398",
|
|
"cond": "0x6899f21b3a3d26c8ae9d0332c25d160fc08b9c3b834f0d8fe116d2ec87905dc9",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of July 27 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5463,
|
|
"stake": 33.91,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 25.22,
|
|
"settled": 1785530132,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9612
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785457799,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "84095995837321901108525598810643779965340385584800089874924016820857675236278",
|
|
"cond": "0x46ae11da706c5c9de73aaf87179cf8c2cf373f137866820e74220292d5b232fa",
|
|
"title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Down",
|
|
"price": 0.2999,
|
|
"stake": 27.64,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -28.22,
|
|
"settled": 1785529710,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785505110,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "25526593810196524643796155718642580515954324477358866326703379026943421853087",
|
|
"cond": "0xc550d430fb66ae9694f620dd61cd2d9b4883f064f2cb27d9f3a2aad57f09ff80",
|
|
"title": "Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Down",
|
|
"price": 0.3111,
|
|
"stake": 46.19,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -47.14,
|
|
"settled": 1785529506,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785456903,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "38400820373118241582688761399087324153152431599221369317367870141446152567740",
|
|
"cond": "0x3c1b9e370486b399f6a4c398e0a86cbb75b0e01ae9eb59fc503b62241df18841",
|
|
"title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.61,
|
|
"stake": 53.59,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($17 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 33.64,
|
|
"settled": 1785529428,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785505110,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "114650730184360314712304282318526198157180187083623658761895705210865420589569",
|
|
"cond": "0xa789796484c53802d0c5929a3435f602d3a09af17c5cb19c861d004a14901c66",
|
|
"title": "Will Micron (MU) finish week of July 27 above $960?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.2646,
|
|
"stake": 54.03,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -55.22,
|
|
"settled": 1785529428,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785529154,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "39652532623602170846456682951463932352134896182641898905432425437612057868317",
|
|
"cond": "0x26a6c7e4a905dfc13f23c44a8e41d0b96ad60569ef49869c46c237dfd8f3c003",
|
|
"title": "Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.395,
|
|
"stake": 55.32,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (75s)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785527135,
|
|
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"title": "Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on July 30?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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"title": "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on July 30?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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