mirror of
https://github.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder.git
synced 2026-07-27 15:57:47 +00:00
copybot[bot]
3208 lines
93 KiB
JSON
3208 lines
93 KiB
JSON
{
|
|
"mode": "paper",
|
|
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
|
"stake": 134.56,
|
|
"stake_pct": 0.04,
|
|
"event_cap": 0,
|
|
"hwm": 3363.9,
|
|
"cash": 1714.35,
|
|
"deployed": 1649.55,
|
|
"reserve": 0.0,
|
|
"realized": 2363.87,
|
|
"adjustments": 0.03,
|
|
"ledger_drift": -0.03,
|
|
"open_count": 24,
|
|
"fees_paid": 389.47,
|
|
"fee_rate": 0.03,
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|
"lag": {
|
|
"n": 279,
|
|
"n24": 7,
|
|
"avg_s": 8.0,
|
|
"avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
|
|
"window_h": 24
|
|
},
|
|
"wallets": [
|
|
"Kruto2027",
|
|
"0xbadaf319",
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg",
|
|
"1kto1m",
|
|
"BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"AIcAIc",
|
|
"JuiceFarm"
|
|
],
|
|
"classes": {
|
|
"Kruto2027": "volume",
|
|
"0xbadaf319": "volume",
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg": "volume",
|
|
"1kto1m": "volume",
|
|
"BikesAreTheBikes": "volume",
|
|
"AIcAIc": "volume",
|
|
"JuiceFarm": "volume"
|
|
},
|
|
"floors": {
|
|
"Kruto2027": 80.0,
|
|
"0xbadaf319": 27.5,
|
|
"gkmgkldfmg": 470.51,
|
|
"1kto1m": 314.91,
|
|
"BikesAreTheBikes": 227.01,
|
|
"AIcAIc": 379.05,
|
|
"JuiceFarm": 735.0
|
|
},
|
|
"bets": [
|
|
{
|
|
"token": "5093836280630653877561190382016580808144147177143767913302616853585042535941",
|
|
"wallet": "0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90",
|
|
"name": "JuiceFarm",
|
|
"outcome": "T1",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage",
|
|
"their_price": 0.88,
|
|
"my_price": 0.88,
|
|
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
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|
"lag_s": 30.2,
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|
"shares": 151.88,
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|
"cost": 133.65,
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|
"fee": 0.48,
|
|
"opened": 1785139491,
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|
"status": "closed",
|
|
"exit_price": 1.0,
|
|
"pnl": 17.75,
|
|
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|
|
"end_ts": 1785110400,
|
|
"sold_shares": 151.88,
|
|
"sold_proceeds": 151.88
|
|
},
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|
{
|
|
"token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515",
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.8998,
|
|
"my_price": 0.887,
|
|
"slippage_pct": -0.0142,
|
|
"lag_s": 2.5,
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|
"shares": 52.99,
|
|
"cost": 47.0,
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|
"fee": 0.16,
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|
"opened": 1784824866,
|
|
"status": "closed",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9753,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
"end_ts": 1785542400,
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|
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|
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|
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},
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|
{
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|
"token": "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928",
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"outcome": "Up",
|
|
"title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.9,
|
|
"my_price": 0.9,
|
|
"slippage_pct": 0.0,
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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},
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{
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"token": "52897893276285627510690194142963884799788689807458708980439810896103687693971",
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.9,
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|
"my_price": 0.9,
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},
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{
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"token": "73772414999817992515088687755193145487336993356690533986692595350122387340288",
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"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on July 27?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.93,
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|
"my_price": 0.93,
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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{
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"token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
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|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
|
|
"their_price": 0.63,
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
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|
"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
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"outcome": "Team Liquid",
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"title": "LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner",
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"their_price": 0.61,
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{
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"name": "gkmgkldfmg",
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"outcome": "RE.Arise",
|
|
"title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner",
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|
"their_price": 0.64,
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|
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{
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|
"name": "AIcAIc",
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"outcome": "Bilibili Gaming",
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|
"title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend",
|
|
"their_price": 0.52,
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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"name": "AIcAIc",
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"outcome": "ThunderTalk Gaming",
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
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|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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"name": "AIcAIc",
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|
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|
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"name": "0xbadaf319",
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|
|
"title": "Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
|
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"title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
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|
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|
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{
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"title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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{
|
|
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"title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 Week of July 27 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
|
|
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"title": "Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
|
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"title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
|
|
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|
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785110779,
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|
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"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?",
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784990183,
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
|
|
"ts": 1785102628,
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|
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|
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"title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?",
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|
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|
|
"price": 0.82,
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785086253,
|
|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x08a53f69944788b6c5fc6907e98e71fac00952c2cacfc588edaa35496fb29527",
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|
"title": "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winner",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785068256,
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785078307,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x7751647558c676e670214b1161ba938c16417b09c7b577310ad80652d70066c1",
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|
"title": "Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785069395,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x6c433c24fb3c1f54e74a3a016eaf7820f8b6d18486e04d0ba7ad515085cdecf0",
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|
"title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
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|
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|
"price": 0.5,
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785068199,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x6c433c24fb3c1f54e74a3a016eaf7820f8b6d18486e04d0ba7ad515085cdecf0",
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|
"title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner",
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|
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|
"price": 0.55,
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|
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|
"reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785067124,
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|
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|
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"cond": "0xeb31fb61257a0d23cae612629fecf7f454153f6e3cd2712e8415177b214d4601",
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|
"title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1785065732,
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|
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"cond": "0xeb31fb61257a0d23cae612629fecf7f454153f6e3cd2712e8415177b214d4601",
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|
"title": "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784983075,
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|
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|
"token": "37396056216978472002674926504514491318505793793759544366379504943870958326106",
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|
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|
"title": "LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784974802,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x92c1784a70aa80d59450fd7fa163faecc38e5465c0555ec1bef545bc978446d0",
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|
"title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65\u00b0F on July 25?",
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784754810,
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|
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|
"token": "81905629695376179467642152439122205490366546600283546015907818703618943938229",
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"cond": "0x784aad9ba3f0aa5f8c2e6c4dc9314d8899cd147d6b289e6eb289e66a5b569082",
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|
"title": "Will Elon Musk tweet \"Hyperliquid\" by August 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784957802,
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|
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"token": "84136887953338024754895453606615907387507802935603233306412924655539834091881",
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"cond": "0xb9ba5a1aab7799113572597370d54d3493e7e51448a9f90942e690f36f8c3587",
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"title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32\u00b0C on July 25?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
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|
"price": 0.74,
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784943181,
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|
"token": "101732096022791033420874767768998282176255049842341266029460503775596933298889",
|
|
"cond": "0xf12648e8f9b52f1d6d2fa8aafd965df15544876cecf53fc1be6c0ab178bbc814",
|
|
"title": "Will \"The Odyssey\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.46,
|
|
"stake": 125.36,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($1 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784856070,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "52998619540131236497547594447014700470168657421344143046644809127712598896777",
|
|
"cond": "0x13ae062bd68a15fcbaae29b584fd8030a546b4fb9b2211055a7124f17c2b3ef2",
|
|
"title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?",
|
|
"outcome": "Down",
|
|
"price": 0.63,
|
|
"stake": 62.21,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (124s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 13.58,
|
|
"settled": 1784934648,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.7796
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784927019,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "13771338838328601734339816906945515194595281212781971576981933533238318254216",
|
|
"cond": "0xfb4d7cdb6ded97ed94b0cc9e9cfd89b93b41bc1a0768b095c1329e65aeaf2375",
|
|
"title": "Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.93,
|
|
"stake": 62.03,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (65s)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784905448,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "35613520187412099541224398067273773941235385627221930769717313222719613151332",
|
|
"cond": "0xc3a579d99e8b291b923f6cdf026fe86a510411bb0b5190cb5d8764bd425974de",
|
|
"title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.906,
|
|
"stake": 17.48,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (77s)",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 1.76,
|
|
"settled": 1784925235,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784727262,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "92050986166401987445069388208414464326154054301377903319727847954822960387891",
|
|
"cond": "0xd2a295c1c4015ad115574f49bf871f925b6d6967af23d383ba155670c3ece25c",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.87,
|
|
"stake": 51.03,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 5.84,
|
|
"settled": 1784925098,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true,
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9737
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784853302,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "109311392430765088290844176098874963554774723556919562323769686251788471847414",
|
|
"cond": "0x6ff3921d3101cb89b2e201753a0c915482b566ff65d08c4d0f18505aea8675b2",
|
|
"title": "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.943,
|
|
"stake": 44.67,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (111s)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -0.15,
|
|
"settled": 1784924844,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.943
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784682914,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "66006680389192620317816056197058298603060937483253191311974086024874814208778",
|
|
"cond": "0x78322c43b6c76c3f29208ae75bf81d455c3b3b803c891a8945e25fe4376a3a8e",
|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.52,
|
|
"stake": 110.32,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -111.91,
|
|
"settled": 1784921034,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784914783,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "40721468567018229427830693104124829389096865246100141431731263782329757924925",
|
|
"cond": "0x9126622317c7329b835455ad727953d5ed03d13a6c6b6d0e1bf326330e591d19",
|
|
"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 10?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5,
|
|
"stake": 30.0,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -30.45,
|
|
"settled": 1784914857,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784914783,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "57590278468135932985122265201166347717203805819317356723801980532081946556108",
|
|
"cond": "0x724fe3bb76a4c9dc5a1d72612bd762991d436b18253bef55152efcf7083cb48a",
|
|
"title": "Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.83,
|
|
"stake": 29.05,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784914783,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "71010957146987743570906714869412317330027794776414854320227602497864300978774",
|
|
"cond": "0x8084019b7fb72aadb8202bf727b3bb324b559f797caa94df04a08ea4e074c257",
|
|
"title": "Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.86,
|
|
"stake": 28.47,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784902289,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "38365494018831710677520416689919565222584467732964144219797493486772775024046",
|
|
"cond": "0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349",
|
|
"title": "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.72,
|
|
"stake": 123.96,
|
|
"reason": "price moved 0.62\u21920.72",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823420,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "44360920780922767656954735357129256432039074408110623509391936414714437499560",
|
|
"cond": "0x09d587f63d04643fb9ea6247f58e3dd5b436e23e0d3a3fe643d6936424561e78",
|
|
"title": "Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8799,
|
|
"stake": 34.75,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 4.14,
|
|
"settled": 1784899892,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.9882
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784898753,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "111604417349377875799825956621596386269673370070912696668140891647145772186047",
|
|
"cond": "0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",
|
|
"title": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.7155,
|
|
"stake": 123.96,
|
|
"reason": "maker bid unfilled (91s)",
|
|
"status": "open",
|
|
"pnl": null,
|
|
"settled": null,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784709848,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "16746455674526792453091721753802082438321089440613204909132014300251813407275",
|
|
"cond": "0x236fabcdc7506a5bde811505d8dc35863599dfea80ac3d39ac6f6d28dc922b08",
|
|
"title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.2557,
|
|
"stake": 40.53,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": -12.44,
|
|
"settled": 1784887957,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.1875
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784557341,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "67913011466625262359588841481742993497498081452195278087275807248301608894093",
|
|
"cond": "0x6abe5fe01ca113b7d6040604a8619cadf181d4e4a6d8db3a082542417af806fd",
|
|
"title": "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.824,
|
|
"stake": 65.29,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($4 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 3.26,
|
|
"settled": 1784887956,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8729
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784506885,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "90827395403667708709418040026017872248338498816541474972448341541535842153246",
|
|
"cond": "0xf8b37bd6e5060608e44b34843a2c8ada940c2b62beb1a26fc01088921a70e25b",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.57,
|
|
"stake": 61.92,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($34 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 26.65,
|
|
"settled": 1784887955,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.827
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784438883,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "18859662100986706442931434084612043934725834523854128874928569872427180020630",
|
|
"cond": "0x4906333de7e9252101ded75f9bac59e07d158573381c89afe6f719dd3baadefd",
|
|
"title": "Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.83,
|
|
"stake": 50.59,
|
|
"reason": "thin book ($17 within 5c < $50)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 2.3,
|
|
"settled": 1784887954,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8753
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1783718289,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "40157116416490623239679394844195379171683621861511438824716931745872340078199",
|
|
"cond": "0x2e5100b759d2e6da51f0d457028d8e42b833f4808edd8ff95e3d242aa1ef6102",
|
|
"title": "Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.8699,
|
|
"stake": 44.62,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 0.49,
|
|
"settled": 1784887953,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.8858
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784824150,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "53147856084273572324920349998954911060427762367735766007832600228479869956378",
|
|
"cond": "0x25ecc56fd4f2853fa7f7a1068d9cbab84bfebada5eae442610f0e4547c50e1e1",
|
|
"title": "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.78,
|
|
"stake": 45.09,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -45.39,
|
|
"settled": 1784873265,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784492349,
|
|
"wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
|
|
"token": "62074667087255747412382561081475311823484268378809285620641251664614873335395",
|
|
"cond": "0x514c3dd24cde8101ec8e3982b74fca425c592e3fe7526056a4d80aa269c98808",
|
|
"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?",
|
|
"outcome": "Yes",
|
|
"price": 0.79,
|
|
"stake": 105.73,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "won",
|
|
"pnl": 27.44,
|
|
"settled": 1784846419,
|
|
"name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823419,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "8333078091351388621146592798724535139068755779946609679053201076909843903284",
|
|
"cond": "0x71c12ea3c50fdee199b076a107eae1e6969c133d9ec3454354603b4ab9e07aec",
|
|
"title": "Will AVAX reach $10 by December 31, 2026?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5,
|
|
"stake": 32.91,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "sold",
|
|
"pnl": 17.11,
|
|
"settled": 1784845827,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_price": 0.7728
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784750680,
|
|
"wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
|
|
"token": "110230164960434404310059385575944076505582891264305624307112518287452413536393",
|
|
"cond": "0x1d15ca70c93da7338e6134144dd19a41a8120f8a1ad1bca067478cdbf6d5b18a",
|
|
"title": "LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner",
|
|
"outcome": "Myth Esports",
|
|
"price": 0.45,
|
|
"stake": 101.5,
|
|
"reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -103.17,
|
|
"settled": 1784836444,
|
|
"name": "Kruto2027",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823419,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "10648768902294223005281776472791443674603816737553002058221071348281139541856",
|
|
"cond": "0x30034a8bfb66e13d0235c5a8483b5f4ba974c0221e3c9ca67f1382723d19a801",
|
|
"title": "Bitcoin above 66,000 on July 22, 12PM ET?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.39,
|
|
"stake": 32.14,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -32.73,
|
|
"settled": 1784823492,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823420,
|
|
"wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
|
|
"token": "53864929757641923279848610727880389145399611177187939181757886904167965697807",
|
|
"cond": "0x0d3bdcf422b886240b03a86ca18854b09d7e5db1a51693f702d7378b53e5bc63",
|
|
"title": "Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.5799,
|
|
"stake": 34.81,
|
|
"reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
|
|
"status": "lost",
|
|
"pnl": -35.25,
|
|
"settled": 1784823492,
|
|
"name": "0xbadaf319",
|
|
"exit_checked": true
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784823420,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x65791b55c71bf4314b7234f0406f052727201d521f68721d360563b3ac59a3a3",
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|
"title": "Tuyo FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
},
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784818263,
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
"title": "Hibernian FC to score first vs. FC Malisheva?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
"price": 0.96,
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
},
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|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784820182,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0xfe5188a5b3eb20224878822f8deb3e7e1270415c3d5eb6ad14c9e8380d16b115",
|
|
"title": "Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?",
|
|
"outcome": "No",
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
},
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
"cond": "0x5548deff712d5250f021e0983e99e251b97f74f9291c24e45673fa0c0244d38f",
|
|
"title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 20 2026?",
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
{
|
|
"ts": 1784755101,
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|
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|
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|
"cond": "0x21e1af0405c04efa4d30febd572d99f1d331026a9f52c2df0e9346e695025a52",
|
|
"title": "Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July?",
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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{
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $40B?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Set 1 Winner: Gonzalez vs Valdez",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
{
|
|
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|
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|
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|
"title": "Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by December 31?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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"title": "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on July 22?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
"shares": 55.56,
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"title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
} |