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https://github.com/jaxperro/winning-wallet-finder.git
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jaxperro
222a750bd7
FINDINGS: 'The fill model is the next scorer' section (A2 chain grade -$7.54/fill x1344 confirms the surge kill; oracle harness chain grade vetoes the ledger-positive tiers; virtual-book +26% variance footnote; the five tandem tests and the makers-on-the-wall through-line). HANDOFF: snapshot -> 07-23 (7-wallet rev 5, dark flags, Friday agenda incl #20/#21). READMEs: /test consolidation row, measurement-harness research row, study statuses + new script inventory. Archive: value/ (closed 07-19) + its test, ETHERSCAN_MIGRATION.md, order_probe v1 -> archive/; replay_out/ gitignored; links repaired. Tests: all 7 active scripts pass post-move. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
59 lines
2.8 KiB
Python
59 lines
2.8 KiB
Python
#!/usr/bin/env python3
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"""Controlled end-to-end order probe (Phase-4 in miniature): place ONE tiny
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marketable FAK buy on a liquid market via the exact executor the bot uses,
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report the fill, then immediately sell it back. Proves sign -> create ->
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post -> fill -> parse without waiting for an organic signal — after two
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crash-restarts proved this path had never once executed to completion.
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Cost: the spread + fees on ~$2. Run on the live box (env creds)."""
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import json, math, os, ssl, sys, urllib.request
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sys.path.insert(0, os.path.join(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)), ".."))
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_SSL = ssl._create_unverified_context()
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def get(u):
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req = urllib.request.Request(u, headers={"User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0"})
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return json.load(urllib.request.urlopen(req, timeout=15, context=_SSL))
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# pick the highest-volume active market with a sane two-sided book
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gm = get("https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false"
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"&limit=25&order=volume24hr&ascending=false")
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tok = ask = bid = None
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for m in gm:
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try:
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if m.get("negRisk") or m.get("negRiskAugmented"):
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continue # plain binary first — negRisk needs its own
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# order options (suspected cause of the 400)
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t0 = json.loads(m["clobTokenIds"])[0]
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book = get(f"https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id={t0}")
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bids, asks = book.get("bids") or [], book.get("asks") or []
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bb = max((float(x["price"]) for x in bids), default=None)
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ba = min((float(x["price"]) for x in asks), default=None)
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if bb and ba and 0.10 <= ba <= 0.90 and (ba - bb) <= 0.02:
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tok, ask, bid = t0, ba, bb
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print(f"market: {m.get('question','?')[:60]}")
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print(f"book: bid {bb} / ask {ba}")
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break
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except Exception:
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continue
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if not tok:
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sys.exit("no suitable liquid market found")
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cfg = {"live": {"private_key": os.environ["LIVE_PRIVATE_KEY"].strip(),
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"funder_address": os.environ["LIVE_FUNDER_ADDRESS"].strip(),
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"signature_type": int(os.environ.get("LIVE_SIGNATURE_TYPE") or 1),
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"order_type": "FAK"}}
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from copybot import LedgerLiveExecutor
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ex = LedgerLiveExecutor(cfg)
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shares = math.ceil(5 / ask * 100) / 100 # 5-share exchange minimum, ~$1-4.50
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print(f"\nBUY probe: {shares} shares @ ~{ask} (≈ ${shares*ask:.2f}) FAK…")
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r = ex.buy(tok, shares, ask, {})
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print("result:", json.dumps({k: str(v)[:200] for k, v in r.items()}, indent=1))
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if r["ok"] and r["filled_shares"] > 0:
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print(f"\nSELL back: {r['filled_shares']} @ ~{bid} FAK…")
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r2 = ex.sell(tok, r["filled_shares"], bid, {})
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print("result:", json.dumps({k: str(v)[:200] for k, v in r2.items()}, indent=1))
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print("\nround trip complete — placement path PROVEN")
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else:
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print("\nbuy did not fill — path exercised without crash; inspect resp above")
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