reason: $18 < conviction floor $227

title: US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?

mode: paper


reason: $0 < conviction floor $28

title: Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?


reason: $6 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 26?


title: Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?


reason: $3 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 26?


reason: $2 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 25?


reason: $26 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 25?


reason: $4 < conviction floor $28


title: Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Vert Best Trick at X Games New


title: Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 25?


reason: $1 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 25?


title: Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?


title: Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26?


title: Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 240?


title: Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 25?


reason: $25 < conviction floor $315

title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET


reason: $100 < conviction floor $315


title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET


reason: $76 < conviction floor $315


reason: $8 < conviction floor $315


reason: $3 < conviction floor $315

title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET


reason: $55 < conviction floor $315


reason: $30 < conviction floor $315


reason: $36 < conviction floor $315


reason: $7 < conviction floor $315


reason: $9 < conviction floor $315


reason: $1 < conviction floor $315


reason: $0 < conviction floor $315


reason: $12 < conviction floor $315

title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET


reason: $79 < conviction floor $315


reason: $2 < conviction floor $315


reason: $4 < conviction floor $315


reason: $5 < conviction floor $315


reason: $46 < conviction floor $379

title: LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season


reason: $8 < conviction floor $28

title: Milwaukee Brewers winning after 5 innings?


reason: $14 < conviction floor $28

title: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Tied after 5 innings?


title: Colorado Rockies winning after 5 innings?


reason: $15 < conviction floor $28

title: Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?


reason: $4 < conviction floor $28

title: Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?


reason: $3 < conviction floor $28

title: Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?


title: Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?


reason: $7 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 27?


title: Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?


reason: $12 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 27?


reason: $2 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?


reason: $6 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 26?


title: Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 26?


title: Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?


reason: $11 < conviction floor $28


reason: $9 < conviction floor $227

title: Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026


title: Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?


reason: $5 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 26?


title: Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 26?


title: Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?


reason: $1 < conviction floor $28

title: Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?


title: Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?


title: Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 26?


reason: $6 < conviction floor $227

title: Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?


reason: $195 < conviction floor $379

title: LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner


reason: $272 < conviction floor $379

title: LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner


reason: $97 < conviction floor $315

title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET


reason: $100 < conviction floor $315


title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET


reason: $400 < conviction floor $471

title: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner


title: Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026


title: Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026


reason: $452 < conviction floor $735

title: Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)


title: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET


reason: $68 < conviction floor $315


reason: $300 < conviction floor $471

title: LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner


title: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner


reason: $378 < conviction floor $379


reason: $80 < conviction floor $379


reason: $20 < conviction floor $379


reason: $42 < conviction floor $379


reason: $3 < conviction floor $28

title: Bitcoin above 63,600 on July 26, 8AM ET?


reason: $191 < conviction floor $471

title: LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner


reason: $78 < conviction floor $471


reason: $90 < conviction floor $471


reason: $194 < conviction floor $471

title: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner


reason: $200 < conviction floor $471


reason: $20 < conviction floor $471


reason: $4 < conviction floor $28


reason: $348 < conviction floor $379

title: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend


reason: $53 < conviction floor $379


reason: $267 < conviction floor $379


reason: $347 < conviction floor $379


reason: $130 < conviction floor $379


reason: $300 < conviction floor $471


reason: $5 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 26?


reason: $45 < conviction floor $379


reason: $1 < conviction floor $379


reason: $47 < conviction floor $379


reason: $19 < conviction floor $379


reason: $10 < conviction floor $28

title: Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?


title: Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?


reason: $11 < conviction floor $28


reason: $4 < conviction floor $80

title: Spread: Tobol Kostanay (-2.5)


reason: $3 < conviction floor $28


reason: $2 < conviction floor $28


reason: $27 < conviction floor $28

title: Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?


reason: $3 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $26 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $470 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $254 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


title: LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner


reason: $121 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $12 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $5 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $55 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $7 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $111 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $15 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $6 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $2 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $21 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $1 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $0 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $14 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner


reason: $17 < conviction floor $471

title: Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner