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2026-07-27 15:57:47 +00:00 · 2026-07-27 07:35:57 +00:00 · 2026-07-27 05:42:13 +00:00 · 2026-07-27 05:41:31 +00:00 · 2026-07-27 05:22:27 +00:00 · 2026-07-27 05:08:47 +00:00
15 changed files with 4546 additions and 3498 deletions
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 {"ts": 1783611728, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "65984611303909407052169607993537741220891602509766446043631462077119911368849", "cond": "0x868d295d9e0d6f777b7f4e6abb45f5d02e2f0281bb12b857f6375f7ecc8c91e5", "title": "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner", "outcome": "MOUZ", "price": 0.62, "stake": 45.4, "reason": "price moved 0.42\u21920.62", "status": "sold", "pnl": -4.89, "settled": 1783620044, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.5677}
 {"ts": 1783612016, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "18761224788266541727279689677720684189553273901637473351355084093520325570855", "cond": "0x868d295d9e0d6f777b7f4e6abb45f5d02e2f0281bb12b857f6375f7ecc8c91e5", "title": "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner", "outcome": "Team Nemesis", "price": 0.43, "stake": 45.4, "reason": "price moved 0.38\u21920.43", "status": "sold", "pnl": 8.51, "settled": 1783620044, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_checked": true, "exit_price": 0.5255}
+{"ts": 1783613564, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "5755211297434956696279302572789330402227935659122535568245047976652499077681", "cond": "0xaddacc919dbdf646885587fff2dd2967bc88b0c87f00ae3f014f8038597696f2", "title": "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner", "outcome": "Vici Gaming", "price": 0.64, "stake": 76.81, "reason": "price moved 0.50\u21920.64", "status": "sold", "pnl": -4.54, "settled": 1783620288, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.6162}
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+{"ts": 1783620287, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "101398220491720323754799949069639964958286012335853846453785209954253068634131", "cond": "0x44321e793575ffc4f54c11a226dacb86e4b5595d2bd48479dd222ae7d85211a1", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner", "outcome": "Inner Circle", "price": 0.2899, "stake": 77.32, "reason": "fill-split entry: clips read sub-floor individually (merge fix 2026-07-09)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 2.04, "settled": 1783620639, "exit_price": 0.3101, "name": "gkmgkldfmg"}
+{"ts": 1783622007, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "22725380484456966301228939445880731453285484401950854931468064580525084575682", "cond": "0x143c926299a00a8efbbb4368be94376883164ebeca3006dcb384f11b00f85a8a", "title": "PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to Score", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.8593, "stake": 77.32, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.64, "settled": 1783634212, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_price": 0.8594}
+{"ts": 1783625835, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "103411465761314013516623317407991195647989479153015683264102111901794650848128", "cond": "0x3c07935adc293c658ab20651f7fc6478d36e6bfdb375caab539fca9c81de03fd", "title": "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "LGD Gaming", "price": 0.3851, "stake": 79.0, "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 30.85, "settled": 1783626771, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.55}
@@ -59,3 +59,11 @@
 {"ts": 1783853587, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "14298727521347397971969992444073213603189753350952512402670010770159778335698", "cond": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3", "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "PARIVISION", "price": 0.55, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.49\u21920.55", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.05, "settled": 1783854130, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.5925}
 {"ts": 1783853611, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "56756661591231024232293612307766574619510235695228033895614049910615833094309", "cond": "0x32aa59596c181e3a3595883123e0871644bbbd902cc07eb72bb20af0c2221d9e", "title": "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "REKONIX", "price": 0.44, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (24s)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 1.25, "settled": 1783856036, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.999}
 {"ts": 1783854216, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "72657587692017665505599725656194205462581472368991422962137490050829927893951", "cond": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3", "title": "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Team Spirit", "price": 0.48, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price moved 0.22\u21920.48", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.22, "settled": 1783854450, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.3901}
+{"ts": 1783856323, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365", "cond": "0xae59ba73bbfb0e2630cc950c513afa1e536f11a8d52b467282926f91dec3397c", "title": "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Vici Gaming", "price": 0.96, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "price 0.960 outside [0.01,0.95]", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.1, "settled": 1783857000, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 1.0545}
+{"ts": 1783856423, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155", "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1", "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.51, "stake": 1.0, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (60s)", "status": "lost", "pnl": -1.01, "settled": 1783867047, "name": "0x41558102", "exit_checked": true}
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+{"ts": 1783863296, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "84502716136213781728963328899707683260350624645362486645725504535263198032073", "cond": "0xa4807375ad750023e039c1a666413760e915ab367d2bfc57034bc5d631775d07", "title": "Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "1win", "price": 0.47, "stake": 1.04, "reason": "price moved 0.38\u21920.47", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.06, "settled": 1783863612, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.5135}
+{"ts": 1783866853, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "99894914207898514284631305777217402140704104471002518113888183892335214453642", "cond": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "OG", "price": 0.33, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (26s)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.03, "settled": 1783867117, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.3349}
+{"ts": 1783867167, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "4348221964264579870850466669975747411320261540985126046359486164505992457542", "cond": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Virtus.pro", "price": 0.63, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "price moved 0.58\u21920.63", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.04, "settled": 1783867751, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.6184}
+{"ts": 1783867617, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "99894914207898514284631305777217402140704104471002518113888183892335214453642", "cond": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "OG", "price": 0.41, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (35s)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.08, "settled": 1783867751, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.4551}
+{"ts": 1783867991, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "105787237860830132190384323107166398542270087772323787551486824946137398140548", "cond": "0x81af4ac7bf99204e9d6182691058bd92fb2b42dcec494654e1189dfde08f7004", "title": "Bitcoin above 63,200 on July 12, 11AM ET?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.001, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "price 0.001 outside [0.01,0.95]", "status": "sold", "pnl": 1028.94, "settled": 1783869326, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 1.0}
@@ -190,3 +190,73 @@
 {"ts": 1785104515.7, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "93570985691362138679209043728832713601038324500709968201680272304956741139144", "cond": "0xd2f40bb72445d3f31601907e70019e764a8736253523eeae84d55f3094f2fd5b", "usd": 10.8, "price": 0.5299999896944437, "reason": "$11 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $158 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785104536.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "34476225962679170017989119652763722072277900402779565218566365458140304283852", "cond": "0x517bf5ce7a70dce545414bee4c9c255fe5c07892b80088f81f7d58beccbd6640", "usd": 1.8, "price": 0.44, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $159 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
 {"ts": 1785104536.5, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "93570985691362138679209043728832713601038324500709968201680272304956741139144", "cond": "0xd2f40bb72445d3f31601907e70019e764a8736253523eeae84d55f3094f2fd5b", "usd": 11.0, "price": 0.5299999897, "reason": "$11 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $158 Week of July 27 2026?", "mode": "paper"}
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+{"ts": 1785130839.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "51073137584931725822528880959753828830364240640973894723582306070469495664374", "cond": "0xe7f6dc35825847657530f1262c9dfa49ace240a425214e3683782001897b44d0", "usd": 4.95, "price": 0.09, "reason": "$5 < conviction floor $28", "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 27?", "mode": "live"}
@@ -1,23 +1,23 @@
 {
 "mode": "paper",
 "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 133.33,
+ "stake": 133.66,
 "stake_pct": 0.04,
 "event_cap": 0,
- "hwm": 3333.33,
- "cash": 1672.14,
- "deployed": 1661.2,
+ "hwm": 3341.71,
+ "cash": 1612.4,
+ "deployed": 1729.14,
 "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 2333.3,
+ "realized": 2341.52,
 "adjustments": 0.03,
 "ledger_drift": -0.02,
- "open_count": 24,
- "fees_paid": 388.19,
+ "open_count": 25,
+ "fees_paid": 388.86,
 "fee_rate": 0.03,
 "lag": {
-  "n": 275,
-  "n24": 8,
-  "avg_s": 4.6,
+  "n": 278,
+  "n24": 10,
+  "avg_s": 4.7,
  "avg_slip_pct": 0.0,
  "window_h": 24
 },
@@ -49,6 +49,48 @@
  "JuiceFarm": 735.0
 },
 "bets": [
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+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+   "their_price": 0.9,
+   "my_price": 0.9,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 6.7,
+   "shares": 61.79,
+   "cost": 55.61,
+   "fee": 0.17,
+   "opened": 1785130838,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "end_ts": 1785110400
+  },
+  {
+   "token": "52897893276285627510690194142963884799788689807458708980439810896103687693971",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?",
+   "their_price": 0.9,
+   "my_price": 0.9,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 6.5,
+   "shares": 48.72,
+   "cost": 43.85,
+   "fee": 0.13,
+   "opened": 1785127060,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.9979,
+   "pnl": 4.64,
+   "settled": 1785129711,
+   "end_ts": 1798675200,
+   "sold_shares": 48.72,
+   "sold_proceeds": 48.62
+  },
  {
   "token": "73772414999817992515088687755193145487336993356690533986692595350122387340288",
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -63,13 +105,35 @@
   "cost": 58.9,
   "fee": 0.12,
   "opened": 1785103316,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.9897,
+   "pnl": 3.65,
+   "settled": 1785115560,
+   "end_ts": 1785110400,
+   "sold_shares": 63.33,
+   "sold_proceeds": 62.68
+  },
+  {
+   "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "their_price": 0.63,
+   "my_price": 0.63,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 6.7,
+   "shares": 48.8,
+   "cost": 30.74,
+   "fee": 0.34,
+   "opened": 1785111585,
   "status": "open",
   "exit_price": null,
   "pnl": null,
   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785110400,
-   "sold_shares": 51.17,
-   "sold_proceeds": 50.64
+   "end_ts": 1785456000,
+   "sold_shares": 11.27,
+   "sold_proceeds": 10.46
  },
  {
   "token": "38653928625312634500254748884896709523765538580393484335273651251587581768973",
@@ -2076,71 +2140,116 @@
   "settled": 1784296219,
   "sold_shares": 362.5,
   "sold_proceeds": 328.38
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "49357014671746556855560755614469742325519994297167600840929876681819057732694",
-   "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
-   "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
-   "outcome": "Vici Gaming",
-   "title": "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner",
-   "their_price": 0.6998,
-   "my_price": 0.72,
-   "slippage_pct": 0.0288,
-   "lag_s": 21.7,
-   "shares": 75.85,
-   "cost": 54.61,
-   "fee": 0.46,
-   "opened": 1784290083,
-   "status": "closed",
-   "exit_price": 0.723,
-   "pnl": -0.23,
-   "settled": 1784290249,
-   "sold_shares": 75.85,
-   "sold_proceeds": 54.84
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "96493470136581654430268359631814450290137534659017161119334974730318350734648",
-   "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?",
-   "their_price": 0.914,
-   "my_price": 0.907,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.0077,
-   "lag_s": 583.6,
-   "shares": 115.4,
-   "cost": 104.67,
-   "fee": 0.29,
-   "opened": 1784236753,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1814313600
-  },
-  {
-   "token": "31227781598316880280877760465683086508096359894740658336497080463300979927822",
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "title": "Over $55M committed to the Credible public sale?",
-   "their_price": 0.89,
-   "my_price": 0.8801,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.0112,
-   "lag_s": 2.1,
-   "shares": 108.41,
-   "cost": 95.4,
-   "fee": 0.34,
-   "opened": 1784065065,
-   "status": "closed",
-   "exit_price": 0.9795,
-   "pnl": 10.44,
-   "settled": 1784223191,
-   "sold_shares": 108.41,
-   "sold_proceeds": 106.18
  }
 ],
 "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785128135,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
+   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
+   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5548,
+   "stake": 31.16,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785126129,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
+   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
+   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7487,
+   "stake": 93.58,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785116183,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "16328984566017971835770196682876409647533162437093057559133710618426804960492",
+   "cond": "0x0b0d65e39a6b3a67c9bc4eae0a80a18de26c79a03b2882f42c67f5da637f30c2",
+   "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.6281,
+   "stake": 32.13,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 14.57,
+   "settled": 1785118193,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9221
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785114042,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "87696708406779453134902801895465089795764350419182531911213489596972812010552",
+   "cond": "0x726f8c733ea83c15eb7bf25eca3fb324440c78a49fd2e233138214c69cdb46f0",
+   "title": "Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.68,
+   "stake": 22.36,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (66s)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1784966431,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
+   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
+   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.723,
+   "stake": 7.31,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (70s)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 1.65,
+   "settled": 1785112193,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.895
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110815,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "48824398491280100431239513921328336173859523998182185336991038266268084020611",
+   "cond": "0xceb1b54f8e0fa8fb4d240b042505ec7681715758a89f82b3e356a003094c8438",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.67,
+   "stake": 62.66,
+   "reason": "thin book ($21 within 5c < $50)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110779,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441",
+   "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.49,
+   "stake": 61.02,
+   "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
  {
   "ts": 1784990183,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2332,21 +2441,6 @@
   "name": "0xbadaf319",
   "exit_price": 0.9072
  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784966431,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
-   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
-   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.723,
-   "stake": 7.31,
-   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (70s)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
  {
   "ts": 1784957802,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2902,23 +2996,6 @@
   "name": "0xbadaf319",
   "exit_checked": true
  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1783614355,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "89242338311934607563982674007060874462410613449265345423154631111798741937421",
-   "cond": "0xc13c12dd0b8c4a29dedc8f12b2976628fa57e4a8b27bbcc522b82008bb549e02",
-   "title": "Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.8399,
-   "stake": 52.73,
-   "reason": "followed but not placed \u2014 silent exit at copy time (thin/no-ask book most likely; both silent paths instrumented 2026-07-09)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": -10.36,
-   "settled": 1784758578,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_checked": true,
-   "exit_price": 0.6853
-  },
  {
   "ts": 1784746881,
   "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb",
@@ -3015,109 +3092,27 @@
   "pnl": null,
   "settled": null,
   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784506708,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "47220780654207130900897946624720002557366582763680292491834518691726158359185",
-   "cond": "0x943ef1da2c4e06269e15f15bd6840c9a91e730f576e9af3c122d9fc5b895c484",
-   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of July 20 2026?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.52,
-   "stake": 6.25,
-   "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 2.62,
-   "settled": 1784729089,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_checked": true,
-   "exit_price": 0.7514
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784724871,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "55322743872828723669471333687599655362701668769312714121349035444960033270363",
-   "cond": "0x756c8e0bf6d5e4781a2dc0076040132c748a9b6afcce050842897f46a7b493c4",
-   "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31\u00b0C on July 22?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.943,
-   "stake": 50.68,
-   "reason": "thin book ($24 within 5c < $50)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 0.83,
-   "settled": 1784725717,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_price": 0.9612
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784528216,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "80568398380615613281811262196000400273657215935776416622694841219164637714912",
-   "cond": "0xfcb2ba978ce2e5cc300f76adca25f8b74d9eede005f089498aa6dc0faaf7aaee",
-   "title": "Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.56,
-   "stake": 25.3,
-   "reason": "order rejected: no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 8.38,
-   "settled": 1784700507,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_checked": true,
-   "exit_price": 0.7583
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784663345,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "31114539293109191150949144475239465589903245761316798745025708973207317205400",
-   "cond": "0xe0befb0fb9fdcb3b7c46521845d0ce3248eb65352522f67cc3113894b992f3b3",
-   "title": "Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.81,
-   "stake": 62.54,
-   "reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): no orders found to match with FAK order (paper model: best a",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 10.89,
-   "settled": 1784670629,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_price": 0.9568
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784666234,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "110127509798966540887051550451493333155192689272629249313511785868238474355262",
-   "cond": "0xfac54e7b2f02513939fb462481a830d293ee1f5a39b40b7a510ff0a90689c673",
-   "title": "Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.952,
-   "stake": 110.33,
-   "reason": "price moved 0.78\u21920.95",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": -4.83,
-   "settled": 1784666682,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_price": 0.9141
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 ],
- "missed_pnl": 111124.72,
+ "missed_pnl": 111127.17,
 "last_fill": {
-  "ts": 1785103447,
-  "side": "SELL",
-  "price": 0.99,
-  "shares": 51.17,
-  "title": "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on July 27?",
-  "outcome": "No"
+  "ts": 1785130844,
+  "side": "BUY",
+  "price": 0.9,
+  "shares": 61.79,
+  "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+  "outcome": "Up"
 },
 "wallet_pnl": {
  "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 525.84,
-   "n": 61,
+   "realized": 534.13,
+   "n": 63,
   "wins": 19,
-   "open_cost": 724.0,
-   "open_n": 12,
-   "miss_n": 74,
-   "miss_pnl": 111874.75,
-   "last_ts": 1785103316
+   "open_cost": 751.45,
+   "open_n": 13,
+   "miss_n": 80,
+   "miss_pnl": 111890.97,
+   "last_ts": 1785130838
  },
  "gkmgkldfmg": {
   "realized": 928.1,
@@ -3155,8 +3150,8 @@
   "wins": 2,
   "open_cost": 0.0,
   "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 20,
-   "miss_pnl": -108.07,
+   "miss_n": 19,
+   "miss_pnl": -107.43,
   "last_ts": 1783867043
  },
  "AIcAIc": {
@@ -3189,6 +3184,16 @@
   "miss_pnl": 0.0,
   "last_ts": 1785005780
  },
+  "0x41558102": {
+   "realized": 0.0,
+   "n": 0,
+   "wins": 0,
+   "open_cost": 0.0,
+   "open_n": 0,
+   "miss_n": 1,
+   "miss_pnl": -0.64,
+   "last_ts": 0
+  },
  "0xd96750bf": {
   "realized": 0.0,
   "n": 0,
@@ -3200,5 +3205,5 @@
   "last_ts": 0
  }
 },
- "updated": 1785106220
+ "updated": 1785137691
 }
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 {
 "mode": "paper",
- "updated": 1785106220,
+ "updated": 1785137691,
 "wallet_pnl": {
  "0xbadaf319": {
-   "realized": 525.84,
-   "n": 61,
+   "realized": 534.13,
+   "n": 63,
   "wins": 19,
-   "open_cost": 724.0,
-   "open_n": 12,
-   "miss_n": 74,
-   "miss_pnl": 111874.75,
-   "last_ts": 1785103316
+   "open_cost": 751.45,
+   "open_n": 13,
+   "miss_n": 80,
+   "miss_pnl": 111890.97,
+   "last_ts": 1785130838
  },
  "gkmgkldfmg": {
   "realized": 928.1,
@@ -48,8 +48,8 @@
   "wins": 2,
   "open_cost": 0.0,
   "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 20,
-   "miss_pnl": -108.07,
+   "miss_n": 19,
+   "miss_pnl": -107.43,
   "last_ts": 1783867043
  },
  "AIcAIc": {
@@ -82,6 +82,16 @@
   "miss_pnl": 0.0,
   "last_ts": 1785005780
  },
+  "0x41558102": {
+   "realized": 0.0,
+   "n": 0,
+   "wins": 0,
+   "open_cost": 0.0,
+   "open_n": 0,
+   "miss_n": 1,
+   "miss_pnl": -0.64,
+   "last_ts": 0
+  },
  "0xd96750bf": {
   "realized": 0.0,
   "n": 0,
@@ -94,6 +104,48 @@
  }
 },
 "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+   "their_price": 0.9,
+   "my_price": 0.9,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 6.7,
+   "shares": 61.79,
+   "cost": 55.61,
+   "fee": 0.1668,
+   "opened": 1785130838,
+   "status": "open",
+   "exit_price": null,
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "end_ts": 1785110400
+  },
+  {
+   "token": "52897893276285627510690194142963884799788689807458708980439810896103687693971",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?",
+   "their_price": 0.9,
+   "my_price": 0.9,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 6.5,
+   "shares": 48.72,
+   "cost": 43.85,
+   "fee": 0.1315,
+   "opened": 1785127060,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.9979,
+   "pnl": 4.64,
+   "settled": 1785129711,
+   "end_ts": 1798675200,
+   "sold_shares": 48.71911116786923,
+   "sold_proceeds": 48.61875564515676
+  },
  {
   "token": "73772414999817992515088687755193145487336993356690533986692595350122387340288",
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -108,13 +160,35 @@
   "cost": 58.9,
   "fee": 0.1237,
   "opened": 1785103316,
+   "status": "closed",
+   "exit_price": 0.9897,
+   "pnl": 3.65,
+   "settled": 1785115560,
+   "end_ts": 1785110400,
+   "sold_shares": 63.328260210975166,
+   "sold_proceeds": 62.67616911558275
+  },
+  {
+   "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "their_price": 0.63,
+   "my_price": 0.63,
+   "slippage_pct": 0.0,
+   "lag_s": 6.7,
+   "shares": 48.8,
+   "cost": 30.74,
+   "fee": 0.3413,
+   "opened": 1785111585,
   "status": "open",
   "exit_price": null,
   "pnl": null,
   "settled": null,
-   "end_ts": 1785110400,
-   "sold_shares": 51.17020514331584,
-   "sold_proceeds": 50.64330554095511
+   "end_ts": 1785456000,
+   "sold_shares": 11.268512331058032,
+   "sold_proceeds": 10.457709063301413
  },
  {
   "token": "38653928625312634500254748884896709523765538580393484335273651251587581768973",
@@ -5129,6 +5203,113 @@
  }
 ],
 "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785128135,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
+   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
+   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5548,
+   "stake": 31.16,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785126129,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
+   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
+   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7487,
+   "stake": 93.58,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785116183,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "16328984566017971835770196682876409647533162437093057559133710618426804960492",
+   "cond": "0x0b0d65e39a6b3a67c9bc4eae0a80a18de26c79a03b2882f42c67f5da637f30c2",
+   "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.6281,
+   "stake": 32.13,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 14.57,
+   "settled": 1785118193,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9221
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785114042,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "87696708406779453134902801895465089795764350419182531911213489596972812010552",
+   "cond": "0x726f8c733ea83c15eb7bf25eca3fb324440c78a49fd2e233138214c69cdb46f0",
+   "title": "Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.68,
+   "stake": 22.36,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (66s)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1784966431,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
+   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
+   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.723,
+   "stake": 7.31,
+   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (70s)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 1.65,
+   "settled": 1785112193,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.895
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110815,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "48824398491280100431239513921328336173859523998182185336991038266268084020611",
+   "cond": "0xceb1b54f8e0fa8fb4d240b042505ec7681715758a89f82b3e356a003094c8438",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.67,
+   "stake": 62.66,
+   "reason": "thin book ($21 within 5c < $50)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110779,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441",
+   "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.49,
+   "stake": 61.02,
+   "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
  {
   "ts": 1784990183,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -5320,21 +5501,6 @@
   "name": "0xbadaf319",
   "exit_price": 0.9072
  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784966431,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
-   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
-   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.723,
-   "stake": 7.31,
-   "reason": "maker bid unfilled (70s)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
  {
   "ts": 1784957802,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -8223,7 +8389,7 @@
   "status": "sold",
   "pnl": -0.64,
   "settled": 1783634212,
-   "name": "LSB1",
+   "name": "0x41558102",
   "exit_price": 0.8594
  },
  {
@@ -2120,6 +2120,67 @@
  }
 ],
 "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785127066,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "52897893276285627510690194142963884799788689807458708980439810896103687693971",
+   "cond": "0x0cabaf08be1954680599a1cc5d3f715558d8880b6bcb819d2e32ca404c400b35",
+   "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf39bb935be7758beecfda001d2c312f3bc218be4f",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.11,
+   "settled": 1785130889,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9873
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785130838,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928",
+   "cond": "0xe682172dec68535c41b59d24d80803f4522b6ec3bcd6a7343d32c0a720bfec53",
+   "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.999",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785128918,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
+   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
+   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5548,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785126941,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
+   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
+   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7487,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
  {
   "ts": 1785103318,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2130,6 +2191,83 @@
   "price": 0.92,
   "stake": 1.0,
   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xfad089f06ed65e22afbfd8dffffae8ce34b36df34",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.06,
+   "settled": 1785117130,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9762
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785113978,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "87696708406779453134902801895465089795764350419182531911213489596972812010552",
+   "cond": "0x726f8c733ea83c15eb7bf25eca3fb324440c78a49fd2e233138214c69cdb46f0",
+   "title": "Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.67,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf215688810e41d482a5d17e580dea6a7ece262957",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785009018,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
+   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
+   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.723,
+   "stake": 2.02,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.46,
+   "settled": 1785113169,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.895
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785111590,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+   "cond": "0x1b158a9177d2b8cb17144844069b93753c2578ace89a07d06fe1872c86ff8e90",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.44,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.995",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110815,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "48824398491280100431239513921328336173859523998182185336991038266268084020611",
+   "cond": "0xceb1b54f8e0fa8fb4d240b042505ec7681715758a89f82b3e356a003094c8438",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.67,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "thin book ($21 within 5c < $50)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110779,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441",
+   "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.49,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)",
   "status": "open",
   "pnl": null,
   "settled": null,
@@ -2466,21 +2604,6 @@
   "settled": null,
   "name": "0xbadaf319"
  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785009018,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
-   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
-   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.723,
-   "stake": 2.02,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
  {
   "ts": 1785009018,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2939,136 +3062,9 @@
   "settled": 1784836462,
   "name": "Kruto2027",
   "exit_checked": true
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784824895,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515",
-   "cond": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f",
-   "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.887,
-   "stake": 2.52,
-   "reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784818262,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "27550239637632399096048782995950028754921427598196211548179911390834637255919",
-   "cond": "0xa843abc8eee73c1dcf3871d27b50200900767539d9638446eb0bceff0f363a8c",
-   "title": "Hibernian FC to score first vs. FC Malisheva?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.96,
-   "stake": 2.51,
-   "reason": "thin book ($29 within 5c < $50)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": -0.79,
-   "settled": 1784820212,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_price": 0.6667
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784820207,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "29922880124871912107369653749261396163687764000386220237409162132192311391947",
-   "cond": "0xfe5188a5b3eb20224878822f8deb3e7e1270415c3d5eb6ad14c9e8380d16b115",
-   "title": "Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.8594,
-   "stake": 2.51,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784508146,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "42533251363336805162348806087988408831791767490089792227520004048407304797610",
-   "cond": "0x5548deff712d5250f021e0983e99e251b97f74f9291c24e45673fa0c0244d38f",
-   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 20 2026?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.5299,
-   "stake": 2.41,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 0.49,
-   "settled": 1784815021,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_checked": true,
-   "exit_price": 0.6516
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784802578,
-   "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-   "token": "28239418772633645184924651434956000849078365566842629564562475378531350731731",
-   "cond": "0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830",
-   "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.9142,
-   "stake": 2.51,
-   "reason": "no ask side on the book at copy time",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes"
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784696452,
-   "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-   "token": "68642938852444405618524357112499284175503313921723452625127267630411120480355",
-   "cond": "0x3143454e474c199ec69abacc2a962885b1b82f9201837624ab0883be9e15436d",
-   "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.64,
-   "stake": 2.47,
-   "reason": "price moved 0.59\u21920.64",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 1.36,
-   "settled": 1784800803,
-   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
-   "exit_price": 1.0
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784755189,
-   "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c",
-   "token": "6942521039548952262803452715536366269632833663841807575802631974514414220741",
-   "cond": "0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",
-   "title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.16,
-   "stake": 2.52,
-   "reason": "thin book ($8 within 5c < $50)",
-   "status": "lost",
-   "pnl": -2.58,
-   "settled": 1784772284,
-   "name": "BikesAreTheBikes",
-   "exit_checked": true
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1783942543,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "25252139719387305389090759227041579550456702736511482208905350724277919018200",
-   "cond": "0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",
-   "title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.29,
-   "stake": 1.0,
-   "reason": "book unreliable (spread 0.15 > 0.08)",
-   "status": "sold",
-   "pnl": 2.5,
-   "settled": 1784772281,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319",
-   "exit_checked": true,
-   "exit_price": 1.0206
  }
 ],
- "missed_pnl": 1725.68,
+ "missed_pnl": 698.44,
 "last_fill": {
  "ts": 1784999565,
  "side": "SELL",
@@ -3084,8 +3080,8 @@
   "wins": 7,
   "open_cost": 13.33,
   "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 83,
-   "miss_pnl": 1731.6,
+   "miss_n": 91,
+   "miss_pnl": 1732.23,
   "last_ts": 1785104758
  },
  "AIcAIc": {
@@ -3134,8 +3130,8 @@
   "wins": 1,
   "open_cost": 0.0,
   "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 3,
-   "miss_pnl": -2.02,
+   "miss_n": 2,
+   "miss_pnl": -1.01,
   "last_ts": 1783828844
  },
  "BikesAreTheBikes": {
@@ -3174,8 +3170,8 @@
   "wins": 0,
   "open_cost": 0.0,
   "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 17,
-   "miss_pnl": 1.36,
+   "miss_n": 18,
+   "miss_pnl": 0.35,
   "last_ts": 0
  },
  "0xd96750bf": {
@@ -3189,5 +3185,5 @@
   "last_ts": 0
  }
 },
- "updated": 1785104762
+ "updated": 1785130890
 }
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
 "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1785104762,
+ "updated": 1785130890,
 "wallet_pnl": {
  "0xbadaf319": {
   "realized": -1.02,
@@ -8,8 +8,8 @@
   "wins": 7,
   "open_cost": 13.33,
   "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 83,
-   "miss_pnl": 1731.6,
+   "miss_n": 91,
+   "miss_pnl": 1732.23,
   "last_ts": 1785104758
  },
  "AIcAIc": {
@@ -58,8 +58,8 @@
   "wins": 1,
   "open_cost": 0.0,
   "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 3,
-   "miss_pnl": -2.02,
+   "miss_n": 2,
+   "miss_pnl": -1.01,
   "last_ts": 1783828844
  },
  "BikesAreTheBikes": {
@@ -98,8 +98,8 @@
   "wins": 0,
   "open_cost": 0.0,
   "open_n": 0,
-   "miss_n": 17,
-   "miss_pnl": 1.36,
+   "miss_n": 18,
+   "miss_pnl": 0.35,
   "last_ts": 0
  },
  "0xd96750bf": {
@@ -2826,6 +2826,67 @@
  }
 ],
 "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1785127066,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "52897893276285627510690194142963884799788689807458708980439810896103687693971",
+   "cond": "0x0cabaf08be1954680599a1cc5d3f715558d8880b6bcb819d2e32ca404c400b35",
+   "title": "Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf39bb935be7758beecfda001d2c312f3bc218be4f",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.11,
+   "settled": 1785130889,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9873
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785130838,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928",
+   "cond": "0xe682172dec68535c41b59d24d80803f4522b6ec3bcd6a7343d32c0a720bfec53",
+   "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.999",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785128918,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
+   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
+   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5548,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785126941,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "74119673575030259137547668301986785745647371043511033522238877972140940630607",
+   "cond": "0x40ef6ee7a563f8d48f60ad06cd27e175b070a5e2d48df2c42bc4f62091dcdd42",
+   "title": "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.7487,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
  {
   "ts": 1785103318,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2836,6 +2897,83 @@
   "price": 0.92,
   "stake": 1.0,
   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xfad089f06ed65e22afbfd8dffffae8ce34b36df34",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.06,
+   "settled": 1785117130,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9762
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785113978,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "87696708406779453134902801895465089795764350419182531911213489596972812010552",
+   "cond": "0x726f8c733ea83c15eb7bf25eca3fb324440c78a49fd2e233138214c69cdb46f0",
+   "title": "Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.67,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf215688810e41d482a5d17e580dea6a7ece262957",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785009018,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
+   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
+   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.723,
+   "stake": 2.02,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.46,
+   "settled": 1785113169,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.895
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785111590,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "112774766992396377485489579919863607374726156472090313068282277768607356552228",
+   "cond": "0x1b158a9177d2b8cb17144844069b93753c2578ace89a07d06fe1872c86ff8e90",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.44,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.995",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110815,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "48824398491280100431239513921328336173859523998182185336991038266268084020611",
+   "cond": "0xceb1b54f8e0fa8fb4d240b042505ec7681715758a89f82b3e356a003094c8438",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.67,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "thin book ($21 within 5c < $50)",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785110779,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "35886998552783861513685353913940426093865851929878480433719442414123918040441",
+   "cond": "0x61eb75dae104f136d5946682f241c554f6282f81a4489285d134170526be41e0",
+   "title": "Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of July 27 2026?",
+   "outcome": "No",
+   "price": 0.49,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "thin book ($7 within 5c < $50)",
   "status": "open",
   "pnl": null,
   "settled": null,
@@ -3172,21 +3310,6 @@
   "settled": null,
   "name": "0xbadaf319"
  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1785009018,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "3901986631446153023403890805451260510191347162609117497694534689649201812603",
-   "cond": "0x6d440b85cbe22665a737fa92e1d698aebae32754d627e8f4214b5e258de7b05d",
-   "title": "Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.723,
-   "stake": 2.02,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
  {
   "ts": 1785009018,
   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -5946,7 +6069,7 @@
   "status": "lost",
   "pnl": -1.01,
   "settled": 1783867047,
-   "name": "LSB1",
+   "name": "0x41558102",
   "exit_checked": true
  },
  {
@@ -2447,3 +2447,156 @@
 {"ts": 1785104648.17, "trade_ts": 1785104648, "lat_s": 0.17, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 20, "price": 0.48, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $159 Week of July 27 20", "tx": "0xc4419bc495b8c57afb32416805f9c5ce0c2e571d28a55d034ea9d673996fdf2d", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785104815.54, "trade_ts": 1785104815, "lat_s": 0.54, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 4, "price": 0.47, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $159 Week of July 27 20", "tx": "0x58eab8193e6188dd7a9b97ebd0ede9ee5bd1b10dd21c3eedba0b249ca96ff512", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785104818.92, "trade_ts": 1785104815, "lat_s": 3.91, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 4, "price": 0.56, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $158 Week of July 27 20", "tx": "0x15e4f1e8a0ed9e5691337934968645b00e375b027d39a470f4e899db44814d32", "seen": true}
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Author	SHA1	Message	Date
copybot[bot]	0fa9ad0cb2	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 07:35:57 +00:00
copybot[bot]	30b9347131	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 05:42:13 +00:00
copybot[bot]	f1467c5d44	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 05:41:31 +00:00
copybot[bot]	115580eb66	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 05:22:27 +00:00
copybot[bot]	7840d703ff	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 05:08:47 +00:00
copybot[bot]	38ff7dd32d	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 04:55:44 +00:00
copybot[bot]	b112e279fc	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 04:37:57 +00:00
copybot[bot]	9f84a8af8c	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 04:37:47 +00:00
copybot[bot]	263e38161b	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 04:35:50 +00:00
copybot[bot]	eb7de89325	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 04:22:17 +00:00
copybot[bot]	66074d66e5	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 03:13:14 +00:00
copybot[bot]	618beda553	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 02:09:54 +00:00
copybot[bot]	f2c509ac4f	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 01:52:12 +00:00
copybot[bot]	eeaa517fa9	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 01:36:29 +00:00
copybot[bot]	50c0e1d8f1	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 01:27:27 +00:00
copybot[bot]	935d9b2549	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 01:01:33 +00:00
copybot[bot]	e4e6aa4e35	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 01:00:48 +00:00
copybot[bot]	4ec3dd9d75	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:46:13 +00:00
copybot[bot]	aa577306cc	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:29:54 +00:00
copybot[bot]	5802c90bbf	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:20:58 +00:00
copybot[bot]	27f73829f0	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:19:51 +00:00
copybot[bot]	e5bb110837	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:08:52 +00:00
copybot[bot]	dba8148e2a	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:07:47 +00:00
copybot[bot]	ead8421bbb	copybot: live paper feed [skip ci]	2026-07-27 00:06:38 +00:00