diff --git a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
index 2f2386d2..5176ca04 100644
--- a/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_ignored_exits.live.jsonl
@@ -708,3 +708,8 @@
 {"ts": 1785128258.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785128588.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785128917.2, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785129258.0, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
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+{"ts": 1785130880.7, "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080", "their_size": 0, "their_prev": 0, "frac": 1.0, "reason": "band", "sell_px": 0.88, "shares_held": 3.4789, "cost_held": 2.47, "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?", "outcome": "Yes", "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
index 10b12f0d..f8cbe9bb 100644
--- a/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_missed_archive.live.jsonl
@@ -66,3 +66,4 @@
 {"ts": 1783866853, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "99894914207898514284631305777217402140704104471002518113888183892335214453642", "cond": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "OG", "price": 0.33, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (26s)", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.03, "settled": 1783867117, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.3349}
 {"ts": 1783867167, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "4348221964264579870850466669975747411320261540985126046359486164505992457542", "cond": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "Virtus.pro", "price": 0.63, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "price moved 0.58\u21920.63", "status": "sold", "pnl": -0.04, "settled": 1783867751, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.6184}
 {"ts": 1783867617, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "token": "99894914207898514284631305777217402140704104471002518113888183892335214453642", "cond": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73", "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "outcome": "OG", "price": 0.41, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "in-play hold expired unfilled (35s)", "status": "sold", "pnl": 0.08, "settled": 1783867751, "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "exit_price": 0.4551}
+{"ts": 1783867991, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "105787237860830132190384323107166398542270087772323787551486824946137398140548", "cond": "0x81af4ac7bf99204e9d6182691058bd92fb2b42dcec494654e1189dfde08f7004", "title": "Bitcoin above 63,200 on July 12, 11AM ET?", "outcome": "Yes", "price": 0.001, "stake": 1.03, "reason": "price 0.001 outside [0.01,0.95]", "status": "sold", "pnl": 1028.94, "settled": 1783869326, "name": "0xbadaf319", "exit_price": 1.0}
diff --git a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
index 17e8a7a0..604aa8e2 100644
--- a/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
+++ b/copybot_rejects.live.jsonl
@@ -254,3 +254,4 @@
 {"ts": 1785127889.1, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979", "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7", "usd": 25.5, "price": 0.5549999799764697, "reason": "$26 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785127892.8, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "106650800257319126154302003989125552900441701664885021406948235171744528735596", "cond": "0xb37bf0336b895f6b67b7f68bdb3a0ebcedfb9eb76b39301c4d4f4c81958bd6c0", "usd": 1.89, "price": 0.3699998844973294, "reason": "$2 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?", "mode": "live"}
 {"ts": 1785127892.9, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979", "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7", "usd": 2.81, "price": 0.555, "reason": "$3 < conviction floor $28", "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?", "mode": "live"}
+{"ts": 1785130839.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "token": "51073137584931725822528880959753828830364240640973894723582306070469495664374", "cond": "0xe7f6dc35825847657530f1262c9dfa49ace240a425214e3683782001897b44d0", "usd": 4.95, "price": 0.09, "reason": "$5 < conviction floor $28", "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 27?", "mode": "live"}
diff --git a/copybot_state.live.json b/copybot_state.live.json
index 2542d426..6c959e2d 100644
--- a/copybot_state.live.json
+++ b/copybot_state.live.json
@@ -1,12 +1,6 @@
 {
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@@ -5000,7 +4994,13 @@
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@@ -6447,7 +6447,7 @@
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@@ -7587,7 +7587,10 @@
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@@ -16535,22 +16538,6 @@
       "settled": null,
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-      "cond": "0x81af4ac7bf99204e9d6182691058bd92fb2b42dcec494654e1189dfde08f7004",
-      "title": "Bitcoin above 63,200 on July 12, 11AM ET?",
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     {
       "ts": 1783884565,
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@@ -19681,10 +19668,11 @@
       "price": 0.89,
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-      "status": "open",
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
-      "name": "0xbadaf319"
+      "status": "sold",
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+      "settled": 1785130889,
+      "name": "0xbadaf319",
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       "ts": 1785128918,
@@ -19698,11 +19686,27 @@
       "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
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-      "settled": null
+      "settled": null,
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+      "cond": "0xe682172dec68535c41b59d24d80803f4522b6ec3bcd6a7343d32c0a720bfec53",
+      "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+      "outcome": "Up",
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+      "stake": 1.0,
+      "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.999",
+      "status": "open",
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+      "settled": null,
+      "name": "0xbadaf319"
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+  "feed_sig": "8ccbdc6ac39b969dcb92e6a111498ed8",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1785130747.9451876,
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@@ -19753,14 +19757,14 @@
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-    "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874": 1785127807,
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     "0xa1d57d329227c75b12b09f927fb3d6d6ef8f1343": 1785121536,
@@ -19780,81 +19784,6 @@
     "outcome": "Karmine Corp"
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-      "mode": "live"
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     {
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@@ -22779,6 +22708,81 @@
       "outcome": "Yes",
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       "mode": "live"
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+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
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+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785129587.8,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785129912.8,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785130551.1,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
+    },
+    {
+      "ts": 1785130880.7,
+      "token": "30518385375198439635185229487622977022492810585983145828956543777339451661080",
+      "their_size": 0,
+      "their_prev": 0,
+      "frac": 1.0,
+      "reason": "band",
+      "sell_px": 0.88,
+      "shares_held": 3.4789,
+      "cost_held": 2.47,
+      "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
+      "outcome": "Yes",
+      "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+      "mode": "live"
     }
   ],
   "maker_stats": {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real.json b/live/copybot_live_real.json
index 799544d7..256ce6e9 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real.json
@@ -2120,21 +2120,6 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
-  {
-   "ts": 1785128918,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
-   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
-   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.5548,
-   "stake": 1.0,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785127066,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2145,6 +2130,37 @@
    "price": 0.89,
    "stake": 1.0,
    "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf39bb935be7758beecfda001d2c312f3bc218be4f",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.11,
+   "settled": 1785130889,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9873
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785130838,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928",
+   "cond": "0xe682172dec68535c41b59d24d80803f4522b6ec3bcd6a7343d32c0a720bfec53",
+   "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.999",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785128918,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
+   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
+   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5548,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
    "status": "open",
    "pnl": null,
    "settled": null,
@@ -3046,24 +3062,9 @@
    "settled": 1784836462,
    "name": "Kruto2027",
    "exit_checked": true
-  },
-  {
-   "ts": 1784824895,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "78639892723644623147617890032845605442018473848411325154446303980329931711515",
-   "cond": "0xe9ab976f5c3b9c65ea229b1a7890ba92da55c06a8c5dfe6c911320d5ecfa6a9f",
-   "title": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?",
-   "outcome": "No",
-   "price": 0.887,
-   "stake": 2.52,
-   "reason": "order rejected twice (re-quote retry): exception: no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orde",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": 1727.27,
+ "missed_pnl": 698.44,
  "last_fill": {
   "ts": 1784999565,
   "side": "SELL",
@@ -3079,8 +3080,8 @@
    "wins": 7,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 90,
-   "miss_pnl": 1732.12,
+   "miss_n": 91,
+   "miss_pnl": 1732.23,
    "last_ts": 1785104758
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
@@ -3184,5 +3185,5 @@
    "last_ts": 0
   }
  },
- "updated": 1785128926
+ "updated": 1785130890
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
index c65bd5f6..edc5d651 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live_real_full.json
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
  "mode": "live",
- "updated": 1785128926,
+ "updated": 1785130890,
  "wallet_pnl": {
   "0xbadaf319": {
    "realized": -1.02,
@@ -8,8 +8,8 @@
    "wins": 7,
    "open_cost": 13.33,
    "open_n": 5,
-   "miss_n": 90,
-   "miss_pnl": 1732.12,
+   "miss_n": 91,
+   "miss_pnl": 1732.23,
    "last_ts": 1785104758
   },
   "AIcAIc": {
@@ -2826,21 +2826,6 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
-  {
-   "ts": 1785128918,
-   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
-   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
-   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
-   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.5548,
-   "stake": 1.0,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "0xbadaf319"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1785127066,
    "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
@@ -2851,6 +2836,37 @@
    "price": 0.89,
    "stake": 1.0,
    "reason": "order rejected: exception: order 0xf39bb935be7758beecfda001d2c312f3bc218be4f",
+   "status": "sold",
+   "pnl": 0.11,
+   "settled": 1785130889,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319",
+   "exit_price": 0.9873
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785130838,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "79670417518965340166637380137891741750752210241055933511013597289989925437928",
+   "cond": "0xe682172dec68535c41b59d24d80803f4522b6ec3bcd6a7343d32c0a720bfec53",
+   "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?",
+   "outcome": "Up",
+   "price": 0.89,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "order rejected: exception: invalid amount for a marketable BUY order ($0.999",
+   "status": "open",
+   "pnl": null,
+   "settled": null,
+   "name": "0xbadaf319"
+  },
+  {
+   "ts": 1785128918,
+   "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
+   "token": "45008911945219735557521805884729456911272112830419157569734797577265875509979",
+   "cond": "0x44a785ee8973526fd587f902739da9579f29b2326a77d0f2040e480ecc6263c7",
+   "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5548,
+   "stake": 1.0,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
    "status": "open",
    "pnl": null,
    "settled": null,
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
index 14a07046..2f6dd13c 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.live.jsonl
@@ -2525,3 +2525,6 @@
 {"ts": 1785127889.08, "trade_ts": 1785127888, "lat_s": 1.08, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 45.945944, "price": 0.5549999799764697, "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?", "tx": "0xb564ade9566aa78d18ce868c744fba24ef499eb37e15b450874ba473dc50076c", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785127892.76, "trade_ts": 1785127892, "lat_s": 0.76, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 5.108107, "price": 0.3699998844973294, "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?", "tx": "0x3e7b5987b418f9c4dc533d87b956617c14a64f881898983d06d23f97412b172a", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1785127892.87, "trade_ts": 1785127892, "lat_s": 0.87, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 5.07, "price": 0.555, "title": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?", "tx": "0xd850e1d17cae0c23eb40e71fc494bf35ec99c968324a2398a00cdc89b8797a7d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785130215.0, "trade_ts": 1785130214, "lat_s": 1.0, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "SELL", "size": 10, "price": 0.36, "title": "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $161 Week of July 27 20", "tx": "0xb8e5e626eab6e72c6aff5679e00d1e430e50f8f15b0d2dd76186402ee2da95c5", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785130838.56, "trade_ts": 1785130838, "lat_s": 0.56, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 55.61111, "price": 0.9, "title": "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?", "tx": "0x79514573ed5d870dabb3b60fabfb2c7bdd652d7bc6aa840b6a3b3efe47c539ac", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1785130839.01, "trade_ts": 1785130838, "lat_s": 1.01, "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874", "name": "0xbadaf319", "side": "BUY", "size": 55, "price": 0.09, "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 27?", "tx": "0xaf3bece903f50b27218bb7cdd47dd46b19ee7359db131354f0b507401fe4c475", "seen": false}