diff --git a/live/conviction_wallets.json b/live/conviction_wallets.json index 831d5835..e3742dda 100644 --- a/live/conviction_wallets.json +++ b/live/conviction_wallets.json @@ -119,30 +119,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x2338566572c8f61fd98f29406cdc727b731327f6", - "name": "0x23385665", - "train_win": 100.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.714, - "train_z": 3.67, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 19, - "fwd_win": 83.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.495, - "fwd_n": 12 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xacf8383491688a61a0e4dbba060122ba031be791", - "name": "0xacf83834", - "train_win": 66.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.704, - "train_z": 2.46, - "avg_entry": 0.41, - "train_n": 21, - "fwd_win": 46.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.011, - "fwd_n": 54 - }, { "wallet": "0x2ba9075a4393227d4f1bee910725a6706de0b078", "name": "0x2ba9075a", @@ -167,6 +143,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x2338566572c8f61fd98f29406cdc727b731327f6", + "name": "0x23385665", + "train_win": 100.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.685, + "train_z": 3.4, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 17, + "fwd_win": 66.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.189, + "fwd_n": 24 + }, { "wallet": "0x916111713050c71c4e073ed5f1a2888c2980533b", "name": "0x91611171", @@ -191,6 +179,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.347, "fwd_n": 17 }, + { + "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", + "name": "0xe8ca3f75", + "train_win": 72.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.672, + "train_z": 8.43, + "avg_entry": 0.47, + "train_n": 237, + "fwd_win": 76.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.498, + "fwd_n": 52 + }, { "wallet": "0x6557f72e92eacae9ff8333f7c3aa81aa9466ec12", "name": "0x6557f72e", @@ -203,18 +203,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.261, "fwd_n": 6 }, - { - "wallet": "0xe8ca3f758c93f44f3ec210542ab78afb7c0bcccb", - "name": "0xe8ca3f75", - "train_win": 72.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.67, - "train_z": 8.37, - "avg_entry": 0.47, - "train_n": 236, - "fwd_win": 76.5, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.483, - "fwd_n": 51 - }, { "wallet": "0xade74a23c444d0eebee00034459fbc269fab58af", "name": "0xade74a23", @@ -227,6 +215,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.952, "fwd_n": 7 }, + { + "wallet": "0x226bbd8eae6f5592234e7b79fbb9ec50a12e0c87", + "name": "0x226bbd8e", + "train_win": 78.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.623, + "train_z": 3.29, + "avg_entry": 0.47, + "train_n": 23, + "fwd_win": 40.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.403, + "fwd_n": 10 + }, { "wallet": "0xfc81760d44a21acc9fd4b749a5bf9a9b2eeae072", "name": "0xfc81760d", @@ -635,6 +635,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.143, "fwd_n": 103 }, + { + "wallet": "0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4", + "name": "0x8e9eedf2", + "train_win": 71.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.342, + "train_z": 4.65, + "avg_entry": 0.63, + "train_n": 335, + "fwd_win": 90.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.08, + "fwd_n": 187 + }, { "wallet": "0x98f81d28dc4a0a18ca4e30259f44590a2b96fbc6", "name": "0x98f81d28", @@ -671,6 +683,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.267, "fwd_n": 29 }, + { + "wallet": "0xb64f38403370c4e7eb7229403b40a4277534c3a9", + "name": "0xb64f3840", + "train_win": 73.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.331, + "train_z": 3.66, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 104, + "fwd_win": 48.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.153, + "fwd_n": 116 + }, { "wallet": "0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c", "name": "0x215adbb6", @@ -779,6 +803,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.062, "fwd_n": 10 }, + { + "wallet": "0x5b6e9bce6d8a533017e7f16987c9854c5da955b9", + "name": "0x5b6e9bce", + "train_win": 77.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.307, + "train_z": 4.77, + "avg_entry": 0.59, + "train_n": 158, + "fwd_win": 73.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.28, + "fwd_n": 61 + }, { "wallet": "0x8656883a02915fb9b8a9baebe31aba8e7dd549e0", "name": "0x8656883a", @@ -851,6 +887,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.244, "fwd_n": 28 }, + { + "wallet": "0x69b9bd4fa27813091fcfe726541f2fd7baa3a5d5", + "name": "0x69b9bd4f", + "train_win": 67.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.281, + "train_z": 3.22, + "avg_entry": 0.54, + "train_n": 137, + "fwd_win": 61.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.112, + "fwd_n": 72 + }, { "wallet": "0x61c1e4206e25292c6e618e42d4b346932cc10513", "name": "0x61c1e420", @@ -986,14 +1034,14 @@ { "wallet": "0x3abffa6d0b8a22423a66064ca458499225feb143", "name": "0x3abffa6d", - "train_win": 71.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.246, - "train_z": 6.7, + "train_win": 71.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.248, + "train_z": 6.75, "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 499, - "fwd_win": 72.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.084, - "fwd_n": 11 + "train_n": 500, + "fwd_win": 66.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.16, + "fwd_n": 12 }, { "wallet": "0x0b153742426768a62239e044bd8e93076582bf8c", @@ -1080,16 +1128,16 @@ "fwd_n": 137 }, { - "wallet": "0x2144c9803b8cb39e4894c3658d9ee698195494ab", - "name": "0x2144c980", - "train_win": 85.9, + "wallet": "0xacd496b13a691fa69dcf7b63f5dcaca9c9ee5ad6", + "name": "0xacd496b1", + "train_win": 83.1, "train_conv_roi": 0.227, - "train_z": 6.72, + "train_z": 3.59, "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 290, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 + "train_n": 124, + "fwd_win": 100.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 1.56, + "fwd_n": 3 }, { "wallet": "0x1f2ea878eece1493f887f6ad99fd41cbe68a1730", @@ -1223,6 +1271,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.19, "fwd_n": 61 }, + { + "wallet": "0xcd9f73fad6d95cc4aea1b5f5c51bf256a0a4f62f", + "name": "0xcd9f73fa", + "train_win": 65.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.204, + "train_z": 3.75, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 693, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x93164f2f061f931cd4d549834d657bb342ffc00c", "name": "0x93164f2f", @@ -1259,6 +1319,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 1 }, + { + "wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228", + "name": "0xc684828f", + "train_win": 78.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.193, + "train_z": 4.16, + "avg_entry": 0.68, + "train_n": 236, + "fwd_win": 72.2, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.038, + "fwd_n": 97 + }, { "wallet": "0x92b95f492d69fbb1449a5f07dbaaad2e7de71eca", "name": "0x92b95f49", @@ -1271,54 +1343,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228", - "name": "0xc684828f", - "train_win": 78.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.192, - "train_z": 4.2, - "avg_entry": 0.67, - "train_n": 238, - "fwd_win": 72.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.021, - "fwd_n": 88 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x31864feb9d25dee93728c6225ba891530967e9ca", - "name": "0x31864feb", - "train_win": 80.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.189, - "train_z": 4.99, - "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 339, - "fwd_win": 82.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.105, - "fwd_n": 61 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x2b58033c5d54132eb97ca0ca22a0a50ac2e7ec75", - "name": "0x2b58033c", - "train_win": 69.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.186, - "train_z": 4.92, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 420, - "fwd_win": 81.2, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.419, - "fwd_n": 48 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x476639d9845d7a0261cb005dae6473f089ff5a03", - "name": "0x476639d9", - "train_win": 77.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.184, - "train_z": 5.21, - "avg_entry": 0.64, - "train_n": 327, - "fwd_win": 71.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.117, - "fwd_n": 77 - }, { "wallet": "0x95c19ee9c99be8ac6e72fc8922250635b5d55c75", "name": "0x95c19ee9", @@ -1355,6 +1379,30 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 1 }, + { + "wallet": "0x79f7be8aa1da9da7996a4f4dcc6826283990ef5b", + "name": "0x79f7be8a", + "train_win": 72.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.18, + "train_z": 5.03, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 490, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0x31864feb9d25dee93728c6225ba891530967e9ca", + "name": "0x31864feb", + "train_win": 80.4, + "train_conv_roi": 0.18, + "train_z": 4.67, + "avg_entry": 0.69, + "train_n": 312, + "fwd_win": 76.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.044, + "fwd_n": 88 + }, { "wallet": "0x2bcff9f5cd6baac5d597aac9c337a9bddc4cc678", "name": "0x2bcff9f5", @@ -1368,13 +1416,13 @@ "fwd_n": 56 }, { - "wallet": "0x79f7be8aa1da9da7996a4f4dcc6826283990ef5b", - "name": "0x79f7be8a", - "train_win": 71.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.177, - "train_z": 4.97, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 494, + "wallet": "0x2144c9803b8cb39e4894c3658d9ee698195494ab", + "name": "0x2144c980", + "train_win": 85.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.178, + "train_z": 5.08, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 206, "fwd_win": null, "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 @@ -1391,18 +1439,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x5b6e9bce6d8a533017e7f16987c9854c5da955b9", - "name": "0x5b6e9bce", - "train_win": 71.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.176, - "train_z": 2.56, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 99, - "fwd_win": 73.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.296, - "fwd_n": 57 - }, { "wallet": "0xa6b8e799dacdd120681b6cee43d6768844fadc86", "name": "0xa6b8e799", @@ -1428,28 +1464,16 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x3d2b9fb4c36a220723ff74d995ea61b2efdca730", - "name": "0x3d2b9fb4", - "train_win": 67.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.174, - "train_z": 3.78, - "avg_entry": 0.58, - "train_n": 407, - "fwd_win": 63.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.234, - "fwd_n": 54 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xb8adbd9b70907cd22cf1ab84f5091d7920d10e38", - "name": "0xb8adbd9b", - "train_win": 79.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.173, - "train_z": 2.73, - "avg_entry": 0.7, - "train_n": 130, - "fwd_win": 84.8, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.052, - "fwd_n": 99 + "wallet": "0x1fb7053bb490c6ec05a78fe2ed383af48526fb66", + "name": "0x1fb7053b", + "train_win": 71.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.172, + "train_z": 2.9, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 123, + "fwd_win": 65.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.188, + "fwd_n": 29 }, { "wallet": "0xd212624d423e1c351783fe71bb4250850d34feaf", @@ -1463,18 +1487,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x1fb7053bb490c6ec05a78fe2ed383af48526fb66", - "name": "0x1fb7053b", - "train_win": 71.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.172, - "train_z": 2.87, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 122, - "fwd_win": 69.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.251, - "fwd_n": 29 - }, { "wallet": "0x336848a1a1cb00348020c9457676f34d882f21cd", "name": "0x336848a1", @@ -1511,6 +1523,30 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.016, "fwd_n": 207 }, + { + "wallet": "0x2b58033c5d54132eb97ca0ca22a0a50ac2e7ec75", + "name": "0x2b58033c", + "train_win": 67.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.165, + "train_z": 4.08, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 385, + "fwd_win": 85.5, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.418, + "fwd_n": 83 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xb8adbd9b70907cd22cf1ab84f5091d7920d10e38", + "name": "0xb8adbd9b", + "train_win": 78.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.165, + "train_z": 2.64, + "avg_entry": 0.69, + "train_n": 132, + "fwd_win": 83.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.031, + "fwd_n": 110 + }, { "wallet": "0x74570d4da5c33aa03f19d3586aeace0bb7a11ec9", "name": "0x74570d4d", @@ -1559,18 +1595,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x6777a24d939db442b93e83a7394d56e106378c30", - "name": "0x6777a24d", - "train_win": 85.4, - "train_conv_roi": 0.161, - "train_z": 2.88, - "avg_entry": 0.73, - "train_n": 103, - "fwd_win": 79.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.13, - "fwd_n": 315 - }, { "wallet": "0xd31801d84dbc2d4d044fd080100b28a558886f23", "name": "0xd31801d8", @@ -1631,6 +1655,42 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x8ef6a1cc3fb81a0e2c3eb405a09ce497a23563ee", + "name": "0x8ef6a1cc", + "train_win": 78.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.155, + "train_z": 5.91, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 534, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xfdb826a0fb4a90b4cc9049e408ea3ef1b73ae4c9", + "name": "0xfdb826a0", + "train_win": 67.1, + "train_conv_roi": 0.151, + "train_z": 4.72, + "avg_entry": 0.57, + "train_n": 462, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xeff1a802da3ba500e051686ce10c354e7338a25c", + "name": "0xeff1a802", + "train_win": 74.3, + "train_conv_roi": 0.15, + "train_z": 5.81, + "avg_entry": 0.62, + "train_n": 529, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0xed61f86bb5298d2f27c21c433ce58d80b88a9aa3", "name": "0xed61f86b", @@ -1643,18 +1703,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.184, "fwd_n": 18 }, - { - "wallet": "0x8ef6a1cc3fb81a0e2c3eb405a09ce497a23563ee", - "name": "0x8ef6a1cc", - "train_win": 78.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.147, - "train_z": 5.1, - "avg_entry": 0.68, - "train_n": 422, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xdc92b303dab1637e987bd7a5959bfab2a3b1741b", "name": "0xdc92b303", @@ -1739,6 +1787,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xe00740bce98a594e26861838885ab310ec3b548c", + "name": "0xe00740bc", + "train_win": 83.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.138, + "train_z": 5.93, + "avg_entry": 0.71, + "train_n": 400, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x8262ffa70186af8656abb788bdb778e3f67ba815", "name": "0x8262ffa7", @@ -1751,6 +1811,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x9a12bfbc848ebee5ab77f402107d50ff47e8fe57", + "name": "0x9a12bfbc", + "train_win": 65.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.133, + "train_z": 4.32, + "avg_entry": 0.55, + "train_n": 349, + "fwd_win": 66.7, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.062, + "fwd_n": 3 + }, { "wallet": "0x9371566f4b338d1995e1072c89f2baa369b23aec", "name": "0x9371566f", @@ -1811,18 +1883,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.2, "fwd_n": 72 }, - { - "wallet": "0xeff1a802da3ba500e051686ce10c354e7338a25c", - "name": "0xeff1a802", - "train_win": 73.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.126, - "train_z": 4.55, - "avg_entry": 0.63, - "train_n": 409, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x7f9ba35ac1e36e3e12132359eb7f0b75e72ef652", "name": "0x7f9ba35a", @@ -1835,18 +1895,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x65070f8558174eba0ca25c8bba712e9d92942d2c", - "name": "0x65070f85", - "train_win": 81.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.123, - "train_z": 3.06, - "avg_entry": 0.72, - "train_n": 200, - "fwd_win": 73.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.015, - "fwd_n": 201 - }, { "wallet": "0xec1d07e5379072429caa16bf6efeae71a6e4db17", "name": "0xec1d07e5", @@ -1859,30 +1907,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.087, "fwd_n": 182 }, - { - "wallet": "0xb0f47416ad54915aea513144d7f3a9429b446fa9", - "name": "0xb0f47416", - "train_win": 70.3, - "train_conv_roi": 0.121, - "train_z": 3.44, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 283, - "fwd_win": 65.0, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.089, - "fwd_n": 234 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x6b0e20fa85e5035f72d73ee8622d6816a79344f6", - "name": "0x6b0e20fa", - "train_win": 80.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.121, - "train_z": 5.38, - "avg_entry": 0.65, - "train_n": 209, - "fwd_win": 78.4, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.127, - "fwd_n": 334 - }, { "wallet": "0x2e7f9976e99fa553587fe4591049582bdba8a844", "name": "0x2e7f9976", @@ -1931,6 +1955,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xb0f47416ad54915aea513144d7f3a9429b446fa9", + "name": "0xb0f47416", + "train_win": 69.9, + "train_conv_roi": 0.114, + "train_z": 3.38, + "avg_entry": 0.61, + "train_n": 289, + "fwd_win": 65.1, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.09, + "fwd_n": 235 + }, { "wallet": "0xd0f884f3fecca09f4a0945620b4befa64f3d73a1", "name": "0xd0f884f3", @@ -1955,6 +1991,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0x6e4976c274384ada57ae03b75e463585ad01f1af", + "name": "0x6e4976c2", + "train_win": 81.2, + "train_conv_roi": 0.112, + "train_z": 2.79, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 64, + "fwd_win": 68.6, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.013, + "fwd_n": 306 + }, { "wallet": "0x084dde736e07b9e31e3ca7665da7de7476bad966", "name": "0x084dde73", @@ -1967,18 +2015,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x6837a149d2278bc60fbe30a4b77246afd4029ca9", - "name": "0x6837a149", - "train_win": 68.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.112, - "train_z": 3.97, - "avg_entry": 0.59, - "train_n": 401, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1", "name": "0xa9aca75f", @@ -2039,6 +2075,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xe89b2ad092a1a78789305423632b6e56c0eb701f", + "name": "0xe89b2ad0", + "train_win": 67.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.108, + "train_z": 2.88, + "avg_entry": 0.6, + "train_n": 274, + "fwd_win": 63.8, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.045, + "fwd_n": 127 + }, { "wallet": "0x65f6f264ba92969190365f09e0e0054fe40eb1e2", "name": "0x65f6f264", @@ -2064,40 +2112,16 @@ "fwd_n": 113 }, { - "wallet": "0xe89b2ad092a1a78789305423632b6e56c0eb701f", - "name": "0xe89b2ad0", - "train_win": 67.5, + "wallet": "0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867", + "name": "0x86c878cd", + "train_win": 77.5, "train_conv_roi": 0.105, - "train_z": 2.95, - "avg_entry": 0.6, - "train_n": 280, - "fwd_win": 63.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.048, - "fwd_n": 121 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xe00740bce98a594e26861838885ab310ec3b548c", - "name": "0xe00740bc", - "train_win": 81.0, - "train_conv_roi": 0.104, - "train_z": 4.8, + "train_z": 2.85, "avg_entry": 0.71, - "train_n": 400, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0xe4ad4bc9e7742d1c08636e886dc631c6bb93795c", - "name": "0xe4ad4bc9", - "train_win": 73.5, - "train_conv_roi": 0.103, - "train_z": 2.93, - "avg_entry": 0.66, - "train_n": 309, - "fwd_win": 65.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": -0.059, - "fwd_n": 160 + "train_n": 280, + "fwd_win": 73.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.16, + "fwd_n": 115 }, { "wallet": "0xc5b5bbd42624a8f0c8dfa90221913007d8c77e80", @@ -2112,16 +2136,16 @@ "fwd_n": 0 }, { - "wallet": "0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867", - "name": "0x86c878cd", - "train_win": 77.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.101, - "train_z": 2.83, - "avg_entry": 0.7, - "train_n": 281, - "fwd_win": 71.7, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.152, - "fwd_n": 113 + "wallet": "0x476b0f069dc03644d1006ac912deb781d7b68a58", + "name": "0x476b0f06", + "train_win": 74.0, + "train_conv_roi": 0.1, + "train_z": 2.94, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 331, + "fwd_win": 77.0, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.095, + "fwd_n": 61 }, { "wallet": "0x46505242a39685d82de798a83da3f4a6fda0f3f0", @@ -2219,6 +2243,30 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, + { + "wallet": "0xf3488e52ac2d7f0628b04481db5a5b0446f0e543", + "name": "0xf3488e52", + "train_win": 78.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.091, + "train_z": 3.42, + "avg_entry": 0.7, + "train_n": 262, + "fwd_win": 76.9, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.089, + "fwd_n": 134 + }, + { + "wallet": "0xe4ad4bc9e7742d1c08636e886dc631c6bb93795c", + "name": "0xe4ad4bc9", + "train_win": 72.5, + "train_conv_roi": 0.09, + "train_z": 2.62, + "avg_entry": 0.66, + "train_n": 309, + "fwd_win": 64.3, + "fwd_conv_roi": -0.069, + "fwd_n": 171 + }, { "wallet": "0xd0966031867f8a519fee2c300dc3389aad61fa63", "name": "0xd0966031", @@ -2243,18 +2291,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": 0.012, "fwd_n": 166 }, - { - "wallet": "0xf3488e52ac2d7f0628b04481db5a5b0446f0e543", - "name": "0xf3488e52", - "train_win": 78.9, - "train_conv_roi": 0.087, - "train_z": 3.3, - "avg_entry": 0.7, - "train_n": 246, - "fwd_win": 77.3, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.099, - "fwd_n": 119 - }, { "wallet": "0x9f2c955bdf958f6eecb5b5b04583a2203608d0df", "name": "0x9f2c955b", @@ -2267,6 +2303,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": -0.036, "fwd_n": 64 }, + { + "wallet": "0x1790bb79ef7bd066ca11fcc9ba76fd14a5f4315b", + "name": "0x1790bb79", + "train_win": 66.8, + "train_conv_roi": 0.086, + "train_z": 2.78, + "avg_entry": 0.58, + "train_n": 211, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x43c1e3429da715249ba38a0bc10016b006b48b8c", "name": "0x43c1e342", @@ -2279,18 +2327,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x5103a4e7cf97f5fc095f60c132590cf963ad3c06", - "name": "0x5103a4e7", - "train_win": 79.7, - "train_conv_roi": 0.084, - "train_z": 3.61, - "avg_entry": 0.72, - "train_n": 379, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x913c76e1edf609b3d6dd7d597d1f9afc6c6039b3", "name": "0x913c76e1", @@ -2423,6 +2459,18 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 2 }, + { + "wallet": "0x965659485992e51f04f532e964e56ca2c6aee340", + "name": "0x96565948", + "train_win": 74.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.064, + "train_z": 3.36, + "avg_entry": 0.67, + "train_n": 315, + "fwd_win": null, + "fwd_conv_roi": null, + "fwd_n": 0 + }, { "wallet": "0x93c4cf598617d3670809d257ab46839da2afbc3d", "name": "0x93c4cf59", @@ -2483,18 +2531,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x965659485992e51f04f532e964e56ca2c6aee340", - "name": "0x96565948", - "train_win": 73.2, - "train_conv_roi": 0.057, - "train_z": 4.11, - "avg_entry": 0.66, - "train_n": 485, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x0753b3d35f12f10abb8669e2f45965fd5379b6d5", "name": "0x0753b3d3", @@ -2543,30 +2579,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0xfab2260cb5c930e952b13d88b69147deba029490", - "name": "0xfab2260c", - "train_win": 72.6, - "train_conv_roi": 0.042, - "train_z": 2.69, - "avg_entry": 0.67, - "train_n": 405, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, - { - "wallet": "0x7881a9189e6e6030ba46a3dfa06b0f35efea611b", - "name": "0x7881a918", - "train_win": 65.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.042, - "train_z": 3.67, - "avg_entry": 0.57, - "train_n": 401, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0x4c039d1350e83f378be2356f543e8d2e13fe604e", "name": "0x4c039d13", @@ -2580,16 +2592,16 @@ "fwd_n": 18 }, { - "wallet": "0x072715365c7e09e6ade0283a9938e24e99409e53", - "name": "0x07271536", - "train_win": 75.1, - "train_conv_roi": 0.039, - "train_z": 3.05, - "avg_entry": 0.69, - "train_n": 426, - "fwd_win": 84.6, - "fwd_conv_roi": 0.389, - "fwd_n": 13 + "wallet": "0xa4bd8f49695cf5d55924aca4cc2694952874e8a2", + "name": "0xa4bd8f49", + "train_win": 69.6, + "train_conv_roi": 0.04, + "train_z": 2.87, + "avg_entry": 0.65, + "train_n": 727, + "fwd_win": 86.4, + "fwd_conv_roi": 0.144, + "fwd_n": 59 }, { "wallet": "0xf4073f43e4afb119c3cb3800a10eb08adb16f1f4", @@ -2651,18 +2663,6 @@ "fwd_conv_roi": null, "fwd_n": 0 }, - { - "wallet": "0x080a53ccb5caf5949d2e67074e8629fe1f249da4", - "name": "0x080a53cc", - "train_win": 67.8, - "train_conv_roi": 0.022, - "train_z": 2.89, - "avg_entry": 0.61, - "train_n": 401, - "fwd_win": null, - "fwd_conv_roi": null, - "fwd_n": 0 - }, { "wallet": "0xe1a532a9991cc9ce27174b0296d077f824149dad", "name": "0xe1a532a9", diff --git a/live/dashboard.html b/live/dashboard.html index 6f1aad73..1c6ea770 100644 --- a/live/dashboard.html +++ b/live/dashboard.html @@ -36,13 +36,13 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de .b{color:var(--green)}.s{color:var(--red)}

Skilled Wallets · Polymarket

-

24 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-06-29 11:38

+

33 wallets that beat their own entry prices and held up out-of-sample · generated 2026-06-30 11:57

-
Validated wallets
24
-
Median z
5.4
+
Validated wallets
33
+
Median z
5.2
Median OOS z
3.5
-
Value / longshot
15
-
Favorite-rider
3
+
Value / longshot
23
+
Favorite-rider
5
@@ -68,7 +68,7 @@ td.name{font-weight:600}a{color:var(--blue);text-decoration:none}a:hover{text-de

How to read it. z = how far the wallet beat the prices it paid (skill; >3 is strong). OOS z = whether that skill held on held-out bets — the gate that separates real edge from luck. Alpha 0.2–0.4 = share of bets in the underdog value zone where research finds real edge concentrates. Value wallets win by beating longshot/mid prices (the copyable alpha); Favorite-rider wallets post high win rates buying near-certain favorites (real but thin, hard to copy). Click any row for live recent trades. Not financial advice — split-half OOS, forward-track before sizing.