diff --git a/copybot_state.json b/copybot_state.json
index 6db588de..f89fd919 100644
--- a/copybot_state.json
+++ b/copybot_state.json
@@ -1851,6 +1851,7 @@
     "0x2b67bbc755c47de7130098dcae0a75bd40465acb72e0347a2d92ad8d88aa1eea",
     "0x5c00cbf7406df5c8566625ffe4433e671f00105e2e600f233ea2fd1f98792433",
     "0xd8ab5d3d1de4181dbaa3f73ed5b36984a1f8bd67900d2ba5f3e42b2b82718cc1",
+    "0x7213b961b17cedde3020b5bc7c932395924ac7fd36dde44092359027f97936fb",
     "0x8e5f32cd4ef09d8aac4e7f3c2eec072b16d22148cfc6a12cce9dafbe1248410f",
     "0x11eb45b0afbc10241a4131d8bae91dc57112d5603a1a6f3c67fd132cef9b421b",
     "0xdf7d126c5ae84c6c060a86a88ae8a48cb7b48012a7d5290cfd6405c8fe21ad0c",
@@ -1938,6 +1939,7 @@
     "0xa81be2f0ef60a3750cefe3730abce48d418013030fdfb3d2106c28f46d22209d",
     "0xd9b8201ae3470dda2e3e9b7702a34ed05cafccf10ff698a37f2535b8abb3dea1",
     "0x47f421e53f0426dbf0bd626523f188be80036913bab811ed215bb299bb793402",
+    "0xbc3136e127732a23199bf840487afc0c112fa3c519950a900849a3b0ebbd9cf6",
     "0xde2efc3d8bc000695231c447732c961f14eff374077c3a51902f88946f8c8167",
     "0x308db5bbfefbb7c89795d6970721ae4c5ce009844a56c8fcfe70f507a3be6583",
     "0x9311ebc529a94adb7342af33b4a7f7576c6ed32509613fc181d7cfad7c22c923",
@@ -2061,6 +2063,7 @@
     "0x7d96b6bb3d03b16e74596af64b11ca84b543313e1293b650609ff60d7daac6af",
     "0x978df8af8120331d4ec6a0372ad65c83eeb6c3b575d0f584d5d9d2e37b35e759",
     "0xdf6eb67e86df51b3afeefae47cad983cb5575c4363a95aef7839fd76d98feab9",
+    "0x5e52b4a852a4729384e8efa901dadfd2e0fbcceed17252f0e65ba2bbbcc26d1e",
     "0x230edf742b36907bbde2e801e94f3c9b79792865f6b369ee318f15fd0bf98b94",
     "0x0ac3fa7a19e3d04e8cd1a89a654e7a01256507bc84cc91aed837896b740fb074",
     "0x0011d88953a9b759b55aca9cf12a486b92d1635382b66b4da23cd3a65ceccfbd",
@@ -2086,6 +2089,7 @@
     "0x974e42ecf9224c64f4d674c1e655ec8985706822c17979dccfd9f2264f4721a3",
     "0xb717107a881749f2aacb38f4b895b1dae86f97ea8b223236142e925726082a46",
     "0x981a53e9ef804affe71a5a8f100bce6cfca5e3ed492a767d29115cd161e7306c",
+    "0xf0bc0b9e64c2f977e3b8fc370c37eb9fcb520c21e355ae746a638202f3f642cc",
     "0x4011ea7e8072596b1674bcc4f155e147bcea8d73a45e45c994d28003b1d07d41",
     "0xbcba323b1e97a7f3c366f5883f33675448467994407aacd5fff010ef453c8bf5",
     "0x8c68f7c9d90cf3ba3803f0c96f8de8f9e16fb4bfbd9cf106067fb6f58edee9e4",
@@ -5816,15 +5820,6 @@
       "event": "will-hyperliquid-hip-3-open-interest-hit-8b-in-2026",
       "wallet": "0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874",
       "cond": "0x0b6116e7ce990ab76351002a3c7f471e2a499a7bb0cdf6437b5e7fa1412e6179"
-    },
-    "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155": {
-      "shares": 295.0683064353806,
-      "cost": 100.3232241880294,
-      "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
-      "outcome": "Yes",
-      "event": "kor-jej-dae1-2026-07-12",
-      "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
-      "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1"
     }
   },
   "spend": {
@@ -5903,7 +5898,6 @@
     "72657587692017665505599725656194205462581472368991422962137490050829927893951": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3",
     "14298727521347397971969992444073213603189753350952512402670010770159778335698": "0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3",
     "71941893293834599184621753590882651435325558220761902727823613984547213968365": "0xae59ba73bbfb0e2630cc950c513afa1e536f11a8d52b467282926f91dec3397c",
-    "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1",
     "307529025202586833979526819648497003008876078326197368134840608701258822521": "0x3ba96d2cbdca197aae7d82950167e2e6dd34c4df77afd7db06850b1e5b8003c8",
     "13522984739341787711630299374858298769520204179511086795487722642094533431850": "0x892ecd00466ee1787b8f773d3064758ae1be80d7e4c07cc1750df3dc42238a48",
     "99894914207898514284631305777217402140704104471002518113888183892335214453642": "0x7596ba50d124202d21f9b3695ad1e5611fd2f5db2cc7696d40cf2c198e806f73",
@@ -7777,10 +7771,10 @@
       "cost": 100.32,
       "fee": 1.9864,
       "opened": 1783856347,
-      "status": "open",
-      "exit_price": null,
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null
+      "status": "lost",
+      "exit_price": 0.0,
+      "pnl": -102.31,
+      "settled": 1783867043
     },
     "307529025202586833979526819648497003008876078326197368134840608701258822521": {
       "token": "307529025202586833979526819648497003008876078326197368134840608701258822521",
@@ -7884,8 +7878,8 @@
     }
   },
   "hwm": 2548.9580606723184,
-  "feed_sig": "60f1d8bebafbd2d6f4f912baf8681adf",
-  "feed_pushed_at": 1783866228.7619016,
+  "feed_sig": "163f36d69a99f38d33234c5a3dcb79ed",
+  "feed_pushed_at": 1783866981.7792435,
   "missed": [
     {
       "ts": 1783590977,
@@ -9021,9 +9015,9 @@
       "price": 0.5222,
       "stake": 100.32,
       "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-      "status": "open",
-      "pnl": null,
-      "settled": null,
+      "status": "lost",
+      "pnl": -101.76,
+      "settled": 1783867043,
       "name": "LSB1"
     },
     {
diff --git a/live/copybot_live.json b/live/copybot_live.json
index bf57e5ec..057d8276 100644
--- a/live/copybot_live.json
+++ b/live/copybot_live.json
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 {
  "mode": "paper",
  "bankroll": 1000.0,
- "stake": 94.44,
+ "stake": 90.43,
  "stake_pct": 0.04,
  "event_cap": 0,
  "hwm": 2548.96,
  "cash": 2041.62,
- "deployed": 319.35,
+ "deployed": 219.03,
  "reserve": 0.0,
- "realized": 1360.94,
+ "realized": 1260.62,
  "adjustments": 0.03,
- "ledger_drift": 0.0,
- "open_count": 7,
+ "ledger_drift": 0.01,
+ "open_count": 6,
  "fees_paid": 167.14,
  "fee_rate": 0.03,
  "lag": {
@@ -49,6 +49,24 @@
   "1kto1m": 322.02
  },
  "bets": [
+  {
+   "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155",
+   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
+   "name": "LSB1",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
+   "their_price": 0.5101,
+   "my_price": 0.34,
+   "slippage_pct": -0.3335,
+   "shares": 295.07,
+   "cost": 100.32,
+   "fee": 1.99,
+   "opened": 1783856347,
+   "status": "lost",
+   "exit_price": 0.0,
+   "pnl": -102.31,
+   "settled": 1783867043
+  },
   {
    "token": "81729627908647113838238535400683468580916119670288864624921465071586268502282",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -187,24 +205,6 @@
    "sold_shares": 104.51,
    "sold_proceeds": 104.51
   },
-  {
-   "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155",
-   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
-   "name": "LSB1",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
-   "their_price": 0.5101,
-   "my_price": 0.34,
-   "slippage_pct": -0.3335,
-   "shares": 295.07,
-   "cost": 100.32,
-   "fee": 1.99,
-   "opened": 1783856347,
-   "status": "open",
-   "exit_price": null,
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null
-  },
   {
    "token": "14298727521347397971969992444073213603189753350952512402670010770159778335698",
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -1889,6 +1889,21 @@
   }
  ],
  "missed": [
+  {
+   "ts": 1783856662,
+   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
+   "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155",
+   "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1",
+   "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
+   "outcome": "Yes",
+   "price": 0.5222,
+   "stake": 100.32,
+   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
+   "status": "lost",
+   "pnl": -101.76,
+   "settled": 1783867043,
+   "name": "LSB1"
+  },
   {
    "ts": 1783863331,
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -1905,21 +1920,6 @@
    "name": "gkmgkldfmg",
    "exit_price": 0.5135
   },
-  {
-   "ts": 1783856662,
-   "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41",
-   "token": "113717050736693090954094949076546722767581299124112759312610889973919287772155",
-   "cond": "0xba7e1244bc3dabb6c38a128dcf7522104172e8b3a354aa711643c11064e56bf1",
-   "title": "Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?",
-   "outcome": "Yes",
-   "price": 0.5222,
-   "stake": 100.32,
-   "reason": "not copied in the detection window (reconciled)",
-   "status": "open",
-   "pnl": null,
-   "settled": null,
-   "name": "LSB1"
-  },
   {
    "ts": 1783854172,
    "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b",
@@ -2849,6 +2849,6 @@
    "exit_price": 0.5481
   }
  ],
- "missed_pnl": -339.31,
- "updated": 1783866292
+ "missed_pnl": -441.07,
+ "updated": 1783867043
 }
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/rtds_shadow.jsonl b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
index 27b3071f..40c9d14c 100644
--- a/rtds_shadow.jsonl
+++ b/rtds_shadow.jsonl
@@ -734,3 +734,9 @@
 {"ts": 1783865685.53, "trade_ts": 1783865685, "lat_s": 0.52, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 593.333332, "price": 0.8999999986516855, "title": "Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x6901d1b9a21a9628ca5a55825357532112e172e347d764cb7ad691e51b4c0a97", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1783865747.65, "trade_ts": 1783865747, "lat_s": 0.65, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 961.53, "price": 0.4503168907886389, "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x3012d78e33a8216895c3259bf34bf7618be3cd848915df0bd0acd17af0e1e72c", "seen": false}
 {"ts": 1783866066.41, "trade_ts": 1783866066, "lat_s": 0.41, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 3139, "price": 0.999, "title": "Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x065157bf7e55affea6c0f9627434599b31a12984bf15770f3ae333769df87c7d", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783866822.31, "trade_ts": 1783866821, "lat_s": 1.31, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "BUY", "size": 819.506485, "price": 0.3660739780478979, "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x7a570d936fe59f8b54e402bf7eaaf6959a03babf8c7aea2cec520395747e97be", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783866869.04, "trade_ts": 1783866868, "lat_s": 1.04, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 100, "price": 0.38, "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x7213b961b17cedde3020b5bc7c932395924ac7fd36dde44092359027f97936fb", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783866877.87, "trade_ts": 1783866877, "lat_s": 0.87, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 17.157893, "price": 0.3799999801840471, "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0x5e52b4a852a4729384e8efa901dadfd2e0fbcceed17252f0e65ba2bbbcc26d1e", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783866880.75, "trade_ts": 1783866880, "lat_s": 0.75, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 11, "price": 0.38, "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0xbc3136e127732a23199bf840487afc0c112fa3c519950a900849a3b0ebbd9cf6", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783866880.81, "trade_ts": 1783866880, "lat_s": 0.81, "wallet": "0xd7d36345c4aab150e59577e360696b01d01d698b", "name": "gkmgkldfmg", "side": "SELL", "size": 691.35, "price": 0.38, "title": "Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner", "tx": "0xf0bc0b9e64c2f977e3b8fc370c37eb9fcb520c21e355ae746a638202f3f642cc", "seen": false}
+{"ts": 1783866946.49, "trade_ts": 1783866946, "lat_s": 0.49, "wallet": "0x41558102a796ba971c7567cad41c307e59f8fa41", "name": "LSB1", "side": "BUY", "size": 37.03, "price": 0.73, "title": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio EC vs. Gr\u00eamio Novorizontino: 1st Half O", "tx": "0xd1e912600408bddfcb6a10b223963993ae7d78e3077b208fe5618034d0ab49cf", "seen": false}